JYP vs Ilves: Where to Watch, Predictions, Stats

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Hockey Finnish SM-liiga JYP - Ilves
Result
4:3
10/09/2025 at 11:30 (Time Zone – GMT-4 (America/New_York))
  • : Liiga
JYP - Ilves - Gamble Responsibly 18+
00:00 / 90:00
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Match Stats

Expected Goals (xG)
1.943.66
Shots on Goal
2022
Shots off target
1615
Shooting PCT
20% (4/20)13.64% (3/22)
Blocked Shots
715
Goalkeeper Saves
1916
Saves PCT
86.36% (19/22)80% (16/20)
Penalties
73
PIM
146
Power-play Goals
00
Shorthanded Goals
00
Power-play PCT
0% (0/3)0% (0/7)
Pen. Killing PCT
100% (7/7)100% (3/3)
Faceoffs Won
1934
Faceoffs %
35.8564.15
Empty Net Goals
00

Key Moments

Here there are
  • 1st Period (2 - 2)
  • 02:24, Pulli J. (2 min),
  • 05:38, 1 - 0, Puustinen J. (G), True A. (A), Torgersson D. (A2)
  • 09:51, 1 - 1, Torok M. (G), Jasek L. (A), Ratinen S. (A2)
  • 10:34, 1 - 2, Engberg T. (G), Kucerik R. (A), Torok M. (A2)
  • 16:33, 2 - 2, Makinen O. (G), Peltola E. (A), Perttu M. (A2)
  • 20:00, Johansson S. (2 min),
  • 2nd Period (1 - 1)
  • 05:27, Bourque T. (2 min),
  • 12:16, 2 - 3, Jasek L. (G), Torok M. (A), Johansson S. (A2)
  • 14:48, Vayrynen T. (2 min),
  • 17:27, 3 - 3, Peltola E. (G), Huovila S. (A), Liikonen V. (A2)
  • 17:27, Lassila J. (2 min),
  • 17:27, Svejkovsky L. (2 min),
  • 17:27, Liikonen V. (2 min),
  • 17:27, Kucerik R. (2 min),
  • 18:28, Perttu M. (2 min),
  • 3rd Period (1 - 0)
  • 03:15, Puustinen J. (2 min),
  • 15:49, 4 - 3, Vatanen S. (G), Huovila S. (A), Lassila J. (A2)

Chances of winning


JYP
33.1%
Draw
23.2%
Ilves
43.7%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)
36% 22.3% 41.6%

Our Initial ML Estimation

36% 22.3% 41.6%


Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

  • JYP has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-2.9%)
  • Ilves has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+2.1%)
  • ML Model estimates a higher probability for JYP than the current prediction. (+2.9%)
  • ML Model estimates a lower probability for Ilves than the current prediction. (-2.1%)
  • JYP - Ilves Odds

    1 X 2 Marga
    Avarage Now
    (Initially)
    2.86
    (2.6)
    3.99
    (4.2)
    2.16
    (2.25)
    6.3%
    (6.7%)

  • The most likely Over/Under: 5.25
  • What is the prediction for JYP - Ilves?
  • High ROI Users Predictions (ROI>2%): 1 high ROI users predict this event. JYP (votes: 1 - 100%).
  • The most likely score by Bookmakers is 2:3.
  • Preview Facts
    • In the last 5 head-to-head matches, JYP won 2.
    • JYP has had mixed results lately (last 5 games: 2 wins).
    • Ilves is showing excellent form with consecutive wins (last 5 games: 5 wins).
    • Ilves may face physical challenges compared to their opponent, as they have played more matches in recent days.
    • In this match, both teams have almost equal chances to win.
    • In the last 20 head-to-head matches, JYP won 3 matches, drew 0 matches, lost 17 matches, and goals 44:74. (average 2.2:3.7).
    • Including home matches between the teams, JYP won 2 matches, drew 0 matches, lost 8 matches, and goals 26:34. (average 2.6:3.4).
    What were the results of their latest head-to-head matches?
    The latest head-to-head matches between JYP - Ilves were as follows:
    22.02.2025 JYP - Ilves 3:1
    28.01.2025 Ilves - JYP 6:3
    11.12.2024 JYP - Ilves 6:2
    16.11.2024 Ilves - JYP 5:2
    01.03.2024 JYP - Ilves 0:3
    Latest results of JYP
    04.09.2025 JYP - Vaasan Sport 4:1
    29.08.2025 KooKoo - JYP 4:3
    28.08.2025 JYP - KooKoo 5:0
    22.08.2025 Kärpät - JYP 5:4
    14.08.2025 Vaasan Sport - JYP 8:2
    Latest results of Ilves
    06.09.2025 Ilves - Storhamar Dragons 3:0
    04.09.2025 Ilves - Red Bull Salzburg 2:1
    30.08.2025 Belfast Giants - Ilves 4:7
    28.08.2025 ERC Ingolstadt - Ilves 1:3
    22.08.2025 Ilves - TPS 3:2
    Finnish SM-liiga Table
    2025/26
    PlWWOLOLPts
    1TPS Turku321009:48
    2Kiekko-Espoo320106:47
    3Assat3200110:46
    4JYP2200010:56
    5Tappara220009:46
    6Pelicans211006:25
    7SaiPa3101111:124
    8Hameenlinna310117:84
    9Karpat210016:53
    10Vaasan Sport310026:73
    11IFK Helsinki310029:123
    12KooKoo310029:133
    13KalPa201017:82
    14Ilves200025:100
    15Jukurit200025:110
    16Lukko200021:70

          Promotion ~ Liiga (Play Offs: Quarter~finals)
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    Which TV channels are streaming of JYP - Ilves?
    It is being streamed on various channels, including:
    finlandFinlandMTV Katsomo, MTV Urheilu 2
    swedenSwedenTV4 Play
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