Juventude vs Mirassol: Where to Watch, Predictions, Stats

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Soccer Brazilian Serie A Juventude - Mirassol
Result
2:2
20/04/2025 at 10:00 (Time Zone – GMT-4 (America/New_York))
  • : Serie A Betano - Round 5
  • Referee: Belence P. (Bra)
Juventude - Mirassol - Gamble Responsibly 18+
00:00 / 90:00
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Match Stats

Expected Goals (xG)
1.242.24
Ball Possession
45%55%
Total shots
1825
Shots on target
66
Big Chances
02
Corner Kicks
53
Passes
78% (266/341)82% (359/437)
Yellow Cards
22
Expected Goals (xG)
1.242.24
xG on target (xGOT)
0.861.84
Total shots
1825
Shots on target
66
Shots off target
64
Blocked Shots
615
Shots inside the Box
1218
Shots outside the Box
67
Hit the Woodwork
10
Big Chances
02
Corner Kicks
53
Touches in opposition box
2342
Through passes
0% (0/1)0% (0/1)
Offsides
10
Free Kicks
1018
Passes
78% (266/341)82% (359/437)
Long passes
47% (21/45)37% (15/41)
Passes in final third
65% (64/99)62% (67/108)
Crosses
13% (4/31)26% (6/23)
Expected assists (xA)
0.471.32
Fouls
1810
Tackles
67% (14/21)55% (6/11)
Duels won
5154
Clearances Total
4238
Interceptions
106
Errors leading to shot
21
Errors leading to goal
00
Goalkeeper Saves
44
xGOT faced
1.840.86
Goals prevented
-0.16-1.13

Key Moments

Here there are
  • 1st Half (2 - 1)
  • 10', Felipinho 🟨,
  • 24', 1 - 0, Enio ,
  • 33', 1 - 1, Iury Castilho , Edson Carioca (A),
  • 45+1', 2 - 1, Batalla E. , Gabriel Taliari (A),
  • 2nd Half (0 - 1)
  • 46', Iury Castilho , Cristian Renato ,
  • 54', Angel W. 🟨,
  • 57', Gabriel Taliari , Gilberto ,
  • 58', Batalla E. , Vitor Pernambuco ,
  • 58', Jean Carlos , Mandaca ,
  • 64', Yago Felipe , Daniel Fabricio ,
  • 72', 2 - 2, Reinaldo (Pen),
  • 74', Negueba , Clayson ,
  • 79', Giraldo D. , Nene ,
  • 81', Neto Moura , Jose Aldo ,
  • 82', Edson Carioca , Maceio ,
  • 83', Alex Muralha 🟨,
  • 85', Jose Aldo 🟨,
  • 86', Enio , Giovanny ,

Chances of winning


Juventude
43.4%
Draw
30.3%
Mirassol
26.3%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)
46% 29.8% 24.1%

Our Initial ML Estimation

39.7% 25.7% 27.9%


Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

  • Juventude has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-2.6%)
  • Mirassol has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+2.2%)
  • ML Model estimates a lower probability for Juventude than the current prediction. (-3.7%)
  • ML Model estimates a higher probability for Mirassol than the current prediction. (+1.6%)
  • Juventude - Mirassol Odds

    1 X 2 Marga
    Avarage Now
    (Initially)
    2.19
    (2.04)
    3.15
    (3.15)
    3.62
    (3.89)
    5%
    (6.5%)

  • The most likely Over/Under: 2.25
  • Preview Facts
    • The game of competitors is shaky now.
    • Mirassol could have problems with physics compare with it opponent - last days they played more matches than their opponents.
    • Juventude will have a small advantage in this match.
    • There will not play in Juventude: Caique Goncalves (Knee Injury) Gabriel Taliari (Ankle Injury) Giraldo D. (Head Injury) Peixoto (Knee Injury)
    • There will not play in Mirassol: Luiz Otavio (Injury) Matheus Sales (Injury) Ze Vitor (Injury)
    • There are questionable in Juventude: Cipriano (Hamstring Injury) Rodrigo Sam (Pelvis Injury)
    • There are questionable in Mirassol: David Braz (Injury) Gabriel (Injury) Leo Gamalho (Injury) Rafa Silva (Inactive)
    • Last 2 head-to-head matches Juventude won 1 matches, drawn 0 matches, lost 1 matches and goals 1:1 (average 0.5:0.5).
    • Including matches at home between the teams Juventude won 0 matches, drawn 0 matches, lost 1 matches and goals 0:1
    What were the results of their latest head-to-head matches?
    The latest head-to-head matches between Juventude - Mirassol were as follows:
    22.08.2023 Mirassol - Juventude 0:1
    13.05.2023 Juventude - Mirassol 0:1
    Latest results of Juventude
    16.04.2025 Flamengo - Juventude 6:0
    12.04.2025 Juventude - Ceará 2:1
    05.04.2025 Botafogo RJ - Juventude 2:0
    01.03.2025 Juventude - Grêmio 2:2
    Latest results of Mirassol
    16.04.2025 Mirassol - Grêmio 4:1
    13.04.2025 Bahia - Mirassol 1:1
    06.04.2025 Mirassol - Fortaleza 1:1
    29.03.2025 Cruzeiro - Mirassol 2:1
    02.03.2025 Corinthians - Mirassol 2:0
    Brazilian Serie A Table
    2025
    PlWDLDiffPts
    1Flamengo RJ21145245:103547
    2Cruzeiro22135435:152044
    3Palmeiras19133327:151242
    4Bahia19106327:171036
    5Botafogo RJ20105530:131735
    6Mirassol1988330:191132
    7Sao Paulo2288626:23332
    8Bragantino22931027:32-530
    9Fluminense2084825:28-328
    10Ceara2175919:20-126
    11Corinthians2167822:27-525
    12Gremio2167820:26-625
    13Atletico-MG1966720:23-324
    14Internacional2066823:28-524
    15Santos21641120:31-1122
    16Juventude21631219:41-2221
    17Vasco20541127:29-219
    18Vitoria21310818:32-1419
    19Fortaleza20361119:32-1315
    20Sport Recife19171112:30-1810

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