Spezia vs Juve Stabia: Where to Watch, Predictions, Stats

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Soccer Italian Serie B Spezia - Juve Stabia
Result
1:3
20/09/2025 at 09:00 (Time Zone – GMT-4 (America/New_York))
  • : Serie B - Round 4
  • Referee: Massimi L. (Ita)
Spezia - Juve Stabia - Gamble Responsibly 18+
00:00 / 90:00
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Match Stats

Expected Goals (xG)
0.961.26
Ball Possession
47%53%
Total shots
811
Shots on target
45
Big Chances
34
Corner Kicks
63
Passes
79% (282/355)84% (356/425)
Yellow Cards
03
Expected Goals (xG)
0.961.26
xG on target (xGOT)
0.472.38
Total shots
811
Shots on target
45
Shots off target
33
Blocked Shots
13
Shots inside the Box
58
Shots outside the Box
23
Hit the Woodwork
01
Headed Goals
10
Big Chances
34
Corner Kicks
63
Touches in opposition box
2219
Accurate through passes
01
Offsides
21
Free Kicks
2513
Passes
79% (282/355)84% (356/425)
Long passes
42% (28/67)50% (27/54)
Passes in final third
63% (64/102)71% (80/113)
Crosses
37% (10/27)25% (2/8)
Expected assists (xA)
1.100.94
Throw-ins
918
Fouls
1325
Tackles
64% (9/14)75% (6/8)
Duels won
6349
Clearances
2130
Interceptions
87
Errors leading to shot
00
Errors leading to goal
00
Goalkeeper Saves
23
xGOT faced
2.380.47
Goals prevented
-0.62-0.53

Key Moments

Here there are
  • 1st Half (0 - 2)
  • 2', 0 - 1, Correia O. , Gabrielloni A. (A),
  • 19', 0 - 2, Carissoni L. , Maistro F. (A),
  • 45', Pierobon C. 🟨,
  • 2nd Half (1 - 1)
  • 46', Cassata F. , Kouda R. ,
  • 46', Artistico G. , Soleri E. ,
  • 56', Maistro F. , Candellone L. ,
  • 56', Gabrielloni A. , Burnete R. ,
  • 58', Di Serio G. , Vlahovic V. ,
  • 59', 1 - 2, Soleri E. , Esposito Sa. (A),
  • 61', 1 - 3, Candellone L. , Burnete R. (A),
  • 64', Correia O. 🟨,
  • 65', Varnier M. , Stabile G. ,
  • 71', Beruatto P. , Aurelio G. ,
  • 72', Hristov P. , Lapadula G. ,
  • 79', Ruggero M. 🟨,
  • 83', Correia O. , Zuccon F. ,
  • 83', Pierobon C. , Mosti N. ,

Highlights

Chances of winning


Spezia
24.9%
Draw
34.2%
Juve Stabia
40.8%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)
45.3% 30% 24.7%

Our Initial ML Estimation

44.9% 30.3% 24.9%


Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

  • Spezia has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-20.4%)
  • Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, indicating that Spezia's form might have worsened.
  • Juve Stabia has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+16.1%)
  • Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting Juve Stabia's recent form is better than expected.
  • ML Model estimates a higher probability for Spezia than the current prediction. (+20%)
  • Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests a strong performance forecast for Spezia, possibly due to key factors that the model accounted for.
  • ML Model estimates a lower probability for Juve Stabia than the current prediction. (-15.9%)
  • Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests a potential downturn for Juve Stabia, possibly due to injuries or other negative factors.
  • Spezia - Juve Stabia Odds

    1 X 2 Marga
    Avarage Now
    (Initially)
    6.3
    (2.12)
    4.3
    (3.2)
    3.34
    (3.88)
    -30.9%
    (4.2%)

  • The most likely Over/Under: 2.00
  • What is the prediction for Spezia - Juve Stabia?
  • Users Predictions: 10 users predict this event. Spezia will win (votes: 4 - 40%). Juve Stabia will win (votes: 1 - 10%). It will Tie (votes: 5 - 50%).
    Confidence interval (95%) for a draw: 19%81%.
  • The most likely score by Bookmakers is 1:0.
  • Preview Facts
    • In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Spezia won 2.
    • Both teams have been playing unpredictably.
    • Recently, Spezia has had a series of home games.
    • In this match, Spezia is a strong favorite.
    • There will not play in Spezia: Aurelio G. (Inactive) Bandinelli F. (Inactive) Serpe L. (Inactive) Verde D. (Inactive)
    • There will not play in Juve Stabia: Battistella T. (Knee Injury) Bellich M. (Overload) Ciammaglichella A. (Overload) Morachioli G. (Lacking Match Fitness)
    • In the last 8 head-to-head matches, Spezia won 3 matches, drew 2 matches, lost 3 matches, and goals 13:11. (average 1.6:1.4).
    • Including home matches between the teams, Spezia won 1 match, drew 2 matches, lost 1 match, and goals 6:5. (average 1.5:1.3).
    What were the results of their latest head-to-head matches?
    The latest head-to-head matches between Spezia - Juve Stabia were as follows:
    12.01.2025 Spezia - Juve Stabia 1:1
    10.11.2024 Juve Stabia - Spezia 0:3
    Latest results of Spezia
    14.09.2025 Empoli - Spezia 1:1
    30.08.2025 Spezia - Catanzaro 0:0
    24.08.2025 Spezia - Carrarese 0:2
    18.08.2025 Spezia - Sampdoria 2:1
    10.08.2025 Spezia - Vis Pesaro Canceled
    Latest results of Juve Stabia
    13.09.2025 Juve Stabia - Reggiana 0:0
    30.08.2025 Juve Stabia - Venezia 0:0
    15.08.2025 Lecce - Juve Stabia 2:0
    07.08.2025 Juve Stabia - Potenza 1:0
    Italian Serie B Table
    2025/26
    PlWDLDiffPts
    1Modena43109:2710
    2Palermo43106:1510
    3Cesena43108:4410
    4Frosinone42205:238
    5Monza42114:317
    6Avellino42117:707
    7Juve Stabia41304:226
    8Carrarese41216:515
    9Reggiana41216:515
    10Sudtirol41216:605
    11Venezia41215:505
    12Entella41214:405
    13Pescara41128:714
    14Catanzaro40404:404
    15Padova41123:5-24
    16Empoli41125:9-44
    17Mantova41033:6-33
    18Spezia40222:6-42
    19Bari40132:8-61
    20Sampdoria40042:8-60

          Promotion ~ Serie A
          Promotion ~ Serie B (Play Offs: Semi~finals)
          Promotion ~ Serie B (Play Offs: Quarter~finals)
          Serie B (Play Out: )
          Relegation

    Which TV channels are streaming of Spezia - Juve Stabia?
    It is being streamed on various channels, including:
    italyItalyAmazon Prime Video, DAZN Italia, LAB Channel
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