Junior Barranquilla vs Palmeiras: Where to Watch, Predictions, Stats

Bet nowGamble Responsibly 18+
Result
1:1
08/04/2026 at 20:30 (Time Zone – GMT-4 (America/New_York))
  • : Copa Libertadores - Group Stage - Round 1
  • Referee: Ramirez M. (Arg)
Junior Barranquilla - Palmeiras - Gamble Responsibly 18+
00:00 / 90:00
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Match Stats

Expected goals (xG)
1.151.81
Ball possession
43%57%
Total shots
922
Shots on target
35
Big chances
11
Corner kicks
211
Passes
81% (256/316)86% (346/402)
Yellow cards
31
Expected goals (xG)
1.151.81
xG on target (xGOT)
1.381.46
Total shots
922
Shots on target
35
Shots off target
38
Blocked shots
39
Shots inside the box
57
Shots outside the box
415
Hit the woodwork
00
Big chances
11
Corner kicks
211
Touches in opposition box
2131
Accurate through passes
00
Offsides
15
Free kicks
917
Passes
81% (256/316)86% (346/402)
Long passes
43% (19/44)57% (23/40)
Passes in final third
71% (65/92)83% (149/180)
Crosses
43% (3/7)21% (5/24)
Expected assists (xA)
0.411.01
Throw ins
1825
Fouls
179
Tackles
69% (11/16)33% (6/18)
Duels won
4055
Clearances
3819
Interceptions
42
Errors leading to shot
12
Errors leading to goal
00
Goalkeeper saves
42
xGOT faced
1.461.38
Goals prevented
0.460.38

Key Moments

Here there are
  • 1st Half (1 - 0)
  • 10', 1 - 0, Gutierrez T. (Penalty Awarded),
  • 14', Perez K. 🟨,
  • 42', Gutierrez T. 🟨,
  • 44', Arthur Gabriel 🟨,
  • 2nd Half (0 - 1)
  • 46', Arthur Gabriel , Khellven ,
  • 46', Mauricio , Sosa R. ,
  • 56', 1 - 1, Sosa R. , Lopez J. (A),
  • 57', Perez K. , Celis G. ,
  • 58', Gutierrez T. , Paiva G. ,
  • 70', Andreas Pereira , Lucas Evangelista ,
  • 70', Allan Elias , Felipe Anderson ,
  • 71', Chara Y. , Muriel L. ,
  • 71', Rivas J. , Canchimbo J. ,
  • 83', Lopez J. , Luighi ,
  • 83', Paiva G. 🟨,
  • 87', Guerrero J. , Herrera E. ,

Highlights

Chances of winning


Junior Barranquilla
23.4%
Draw
28.6%
Palmeiras
48%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)
25.5% 28.6% 45.9%

Our Initial ML Estimation

24.7% 27.8% 47.3%


Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

  • Junior Barranquilla has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-2.1%)
  • Palmeiras has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+2.1%)
  • ML Model estimates a higher probability for Junior Barranquilla than the current prediction. (+1.3%)
  • ML Model estimates a lower probability for Palmeiras than the current prediction. (-0.7%)
  • Junior Barranquilla - Palmeiras Odds

    1 X 2 Marga
    Avarage Now
    (Initially)
    4.07
    (3.65)
    3.38
    (3.26)
    2.06
    (2.03)
    2.6%
    (7.3%)

    • The most likely Over/Under: 2.25
    What is the prediction for Junior Barranquilla - Palmeiras?
    • High ROI Users Predictions (ROI>2%): 1 high ROI users predict this event. Palmeiras (votes: 1 - 100%).
    • Over/Under & Asian Handicap Predictions by High ROI users:
      • DC - Junior (2.06) (votes: 1 - 100%) .
    • Users Predictions: Palmeiras will win (9 of 11 users predict this - 81.82%).
      Confidence interval (95%): 59.03%100%.
    • Overall votes from High ROI Users Predictions (including all markets): 2 high ROI users predict this event. Junior (votes: 1 - 50%). Palmeiras (votes: 1 - 50%).
    • The most likely score by Bookmakers is 0:1.
    Preview Facts
    • In recent matches, Junior has shown inconsistent form (last 5 games: 3 wins).
    • Palmeiras is showing excellent form with consecutive wins (last 5 games: 5 wins).
    • Junior may have a physical advantage due to more rest days in recent times.
    • In this match, Palmeiras is the team to beat.
    • There will not play in Palmeiras: Figueiredo (Injury) Jefte (Inactive) Paulinho (Leg Injury) Piquerez J. (Injury)
    • There are questionable in Palmeiras: Vitor Roque (Inactive)
    • In the last 4 head-to-head matches, Junior won 0 matches, drew 0 matches, lost 4 matches, and goals 1:11. (average 0.3:2.8).
    • Including home matches between the teams, Junior won 0 matches, drew 0 matches, lost 2 matches, and goals 0:5. (average 0:2.5).
    Latest results of Palmeiras
    05.04.2026 Bahia - Palmeiras 1:2
    02.04.2026 Palmeiras - Grêmio 2:1
    21.03.2026 São Paulo - Palmeiras 0:1
    18.03.2026 Palmeiras - Botafogo RJ 2:1
    15.03.2026 Palmeiras - Mirassol 1:0
    Copa Libertadores Table
    Group Stage

    Group A
    PlWDLDiffPts
    1Flamengo RJ11002:023
    2Estudiantes L.P10101:101
    3Ind. Medellin10101:101
    4Cusco10010:2-20


    Group B
    PlWDLDiffPts
    1Coquimbo10101:101
    2Nacional10101:101
    3Deportes Tolima10100:001
    4U. de Deportes10100:001


    Group C
    PlWDLDiffPts
    1Ind. Rivadavia11001:013
    2Fluminense10100:001
    3La Guaira10100:001
    4Bolivar10010:1-10


    Group D
    PlWDLDiffPts
    1Boca Juniors11002:113
    2Cruzeiro11001:013
    3U. Catolica10011:2-10
    4Barcelona SC10010:1-10


    Group E
    PlWDLDiffPts
    1Corinthians11002:023
    2Santa Fe10101:101
    3Penarol10101:101
    4Platense10010:2-20


    Group F
    PlWDLDiffPts
    1Sporting Cristal11001:013
    2Palmeiras10101:101
    3Junior10101:101
    4Cerro Porteno10010:1-10


    Group G
    PlWDLDiffPts
    1Mirassol11001:013
    2LDU Quito11001:013
    3Lanus10010:1-10
    4Always Ready10010:1-10


    Group H
    PlWDLDiffPts
    1Universidad Central11003:123
    2Rosario Central10100:001
    3Ind. del Valle10100:001
    4Libertad Asuncion10011:3-20

          Promotion ~ Copa Libertadores (Play Offs: 1/8~finals)
          Promotion ~ Copa Sudamericana (Play Offs: 1/16~finals)

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