Once Caldas vs Junior Barranquilla: Where to Watch, Predictions, Stats

26/07/2025 at 19:10 (Time Zone – GMT-4 (America/New_York))

Estadio Palogrande (Manizales).

: Primera A - Clausura - Round 4
Referee: Rojas A. (Col)

Match Stats


Expected Goals (xG)
1.31	1.04
Ball Possession
51%	49%
Total shots
21	17
Shots on target
4	6
Big Chances
1	1
Corner Kicks
4	7
Passes
80% (299/376)	76% (272/356)
Yellow Cards
3	2
Expected Goals (xG)
1.31	1.04
xG on target (xGOT)
1.34	1.60
Total shots
21	17
Shots on target
4	6
Shots off target
11	7
Blocked Shots
6	4
Shots inside the Box
7	9
Shots outside the Box
14	8
Hit the Woodwork
0	1
Headed Goals
2	1
Big Chances
1	1
Corner Kicks
4	7
Touches in opposition box
17	19
Accurate through passes
0	0
Offsides
5	4
Free Kicks
12	11
Passes
80% (299/376)	76% (272/356)
Long passes
37% (16/43)	44% (31/70)
Passes in final third
73% (85/117)	49% (47/96)
Crosses
11% (2/18)	35% (7/20)
Expected assists (xA)
0.59	0.44
Throw-ins
25	22
Fouls
11	12
Tackles
69% (9/13)	73% (8/11)
Duels won
48	42
Clearances
24	24
Interceptions
9	7
Errors leading to shot
0	0
Errors leading to goal
0	0
Goalkeeper Saves
4	2
xGOT faced
1.60	1.34
Goals prevented
-0.40	-0.66

Key Moments

Here there are

1st Half (0 - 0)
26', Silveira M. 🟨,
33', Esparragoza C. 🟨,
2nd Half (2 - 2)
57', Zuleta M. ↓, Gomez P. ↑,
57', Garcia Castillo A. ↓, Ibarguen A. ↑,
64', Castrillon B. ↓, Chara Y. ↑,
64', Salazar J. ↓, Enamorado J. ↑,
66', 0 - 1, Rivas J. ⚽, Suarez Y. (A),
67', Celis G. ↓, Angel Bernal F. S. ↑,
70', Barrios M. ↓, Zapata Ramirez J. A. ↑,
71', Sanchez L. ↓, Quinones D. ↑,
72', Zapata Ramirez J. A. 🟨,
78', 0 - 2, Angel Bernal F. S. ⚽, Chara Y. (A),
78', Tamayo K. ↓, Palacios L. ↑,
81', 1 - 2, Zapata Ramirez J. A. ⚽,
81', Rivas J. ↓, Monzon L. ↑,
81', Rodriguez S. ↓, Acuna S. ↑,
90', 2 - 2, Zapata Ramirez J. A. ⚽, Quinones D. (A),
90+3', Riquett J. 🟨,
90+4', Moreno D. 🟨,

Chances of winning

Once Caldas
46.1%

Draw
29.4%

Junior Barranquilla
24.5%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

41.4%

30.7%

27.9%

Our Initial ML Estimation

42.2%

31.3%

27.4%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Once Caldas has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+4.7%)

Junior Barranquilla has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-3.4%)

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Once Caldas than the current prediction. (-3.9%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Junior Barranquilla than the current prediction. (+2.9%)

Once Caldas - Junior Barranquilla Odds

	1	X	2	Marga
Avarage Now (Initially)	2.05 ↓ (2.26)	3.17 ↑ (3.05)	3.79 ↑ (3.36)	6.8% (6.8%)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.25

What is the prediction for Once Caldas - Junior Barranquilla?

Users Predictions: 6 users predict this event. Once Caldas will win (votes: 3 - 50%). Junior will win (votes: 2 - 33.3%). It will Tie (votes: 1 - 16.7%).

High ROI Users Predictions (ROI>2%): 2 high ROI users predict this event. Junior (votes: 1 - 50%). Tie (votes: 1 - 50%).

The most likely score by Bookmakers is 1:0.

Preview Facts

In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Once Caldas won 1.
The recent form of both competitors has been shaky.
Once Caldas could have a small edge in this match.
In the last 20 head-to-head matches, Once Caldas won 7 matches, drew 3 matches, lost 10 matches, and goals 17:27. (average 0.9:1.4).
Including home matches between the teams, Once Caldas won 4 matches, drew 2 matches, lost 3 matches, and goals 10:8. (average 1.1:0.9).

How many head-to-head matches has Once Caldas won against Junior Barranquilla?

Once Caldas has won 2 of their last 7 head-to-head matches.

How many head-to-head matches has Junior Barranquilla won against Once Caldas?

Junior Barranquilla has won 3 of their last 7 head-to-head matches.

What were the results of their latest head-to-head matches?

The latest head-to-head matches between Once Caldas - Junior Barranquilla were as follows:

13.02.2025 Junior Barranquilla - Once Caldas 2:0

01.12.2024 Junior Barranquilla - Once Caldas 1:2

27.11.2024 Once Caldas - Junior Barranquilla 2:2

11.11.2024 Once Caldas - Junior Barranquilla 0:0

20.04.2024 Junior Barranquilla - Once Caldas 1:0

Latest results of Once Caldas

23.07.2025 Once Caldas - San Antonio Bulo Bulo 4:0 ✺

22.07.2025 Atlético Bucaramanga - Once Caldas Postponed ✺

20.07.2025 Fortaleza CEIF - Once Caldas 2:1 ✺

16.07.2025 San Antonio Bulo Bulo - Once Caldas 0:3 ✺

11.07.2025 Once Caldas - Atlético Nacional 1:3 ✺

Latest results of Junior Barranquilla

23.07.2025 Junior Barranquilla - Unión Magdalena 4:1 ✺

19.07.2025 Rionegro Águilas - Junior Barranquilla 2:3 ✺

12.07.2025 Deportivo Cali - Junior Barranquilla 0:2 ✺

19.06.2025 Deportes Tolima - Junior Barranquilla 2:0 ✺

15.06.2025 Junior Barranquilla - América de Cali 0:1 ✺

Colombian Primera A Table

Clausura

		Pl	W	D	L		Diff	Pts
1	Junior	5	4	1	0	13:5	8	13
2	Atl. Nacional	6	3	2	1	11:5	6	11
3	Llaneros	5	3	2	0	6:1	5	11
4	Deportes Tolima	6	3	1	2	5:4	1	10
5	Fortaleza	5	2	3	0	8:6	2	9
6	Santa Fe	6	2	3	1	7:6	1	9
7	Bucaramanga	4	2	1	1	8:6	2	7
8	Ind. Medellin	5	2	1	2	7:7	0	7
9	Pereira	5	2	1	2	6:6	0	7
10	Dep. Cali	6	1	3	2	7:11	-4	6
11	Dep. Pasto	3	1	2	0	6:5	1	5
12	Envigado	4	1	2	1	5:5	0	5
13	Chico	5	1	2	2	6:7	-1	5
14	La Equidad	5	1	2	2	3:5	-2	5
15	U. Magdalena	5	1	2	2	3:7	-4	5
16	Alianza	6	1	2	3	5:10	-5	5
17	America De Cali	4	1	1	2	3:4	-1	4
18	Aguilas	6	0	4	2	6:8	-2	4
19	Once Caldas	5	0	2	3	6:10	-4	2
20	Millonarios	4	0	1	3	3:6	-3	1

Promotion ~ Primera A (Clausura ~ Quadrangular: )

Which TV channels are streaming of Once Caldas - Junior Barranquilla?

It is being streamed on various channels, including:


Colombia	Win+ Futbol, Win play
Mexico	Fanatiz
South-america	RCN Nuestra Tele Internacional
Usa	Fanatiz