Junior Barranquilla vs Independiente Medellín: Where to Watch, Predictions, Stats

Bet nowGamble Responsibly 18+
Soccer Colombian Primera A Junior Barranquilla - Independiente Medellín
Result
1:0
06/04/2025 at 19:20 (Time Zone – GMT-4 (America/New_York))
  • : Primera A - Apertura - Round 12
  • Referee: Ruiz D. (Col)
Junior Barranquilla - Independiente Medellín - Gamble Responsibly 18+
00:00 / 90:00
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Match Stats

Expected Goals (xG)
1.161.07
Ball Possession
40%60%
Total shots
718
Shots on target
25
Big Chances
10
Corner Kicks
111
Passes
71% (208/293)81% (354/437)
Yellow Cards
14
Expected Goals (xG)
1.161.07
xG on target (xGOT)
0.370.20
Total shots
718
Shots on target
25
Shots off target
38
Blocked Shots
25
Shots inside the Box
39
Shots outside the Box
49
Hit the Woodwork
01
Big Chances
10
Corner Kicks
111
Touches in opposition box
1429
Offsides
10
Free Kicks
77
Passes
71% (208/293)81% (354/437)
Long passes
25% (15/61)58% (28/48)
Passes in final third
47% (31/66)67% (115/172)
Crosses
50% (4/8)16% (3/19)
Expected assists (xA)
0.870.68
Fouls
77
Tackles
59% (10/17)75% (12/16)
Duels won
3940
Clearances Total
388
Interceptions
35
Errors leading to shot
00
Errors leading to goal
01
Goalkeeper Saves
51
xGOT faced
0.200.37
Goals prevented
0.20-0.63

Key Moments

Here there are
  • 1st Half (1 - 0)
  • 9', 1 - 0, Bacca C. , Gutierrez T. (A),
  • 44', Herrera E. 🟨,
  • 45', Londono D. 🟨,
  • 2nd Half (0 - 0)
  • 46', Garcia M. , Fydriszewski F. ,
  • 46', Mosquera J. , Angulo ,
  • 51', Sandoval L. 🟨,
  • 62', Paiva G. , Gonzalez L. ,
  • 62', Bacca C. , Rodriguez S. ,
  • 62', Perlaza B. , Arizala J. ,
  • 63', Chaverra L. 🟨,
  • 68', Gutierrez T. , Caicedo D. ,
  • 68', Chara Y. , Enamorado J. ,
  • 79', Ortiz J. , Alvarado J. ,
  • 81', Alvarado J. 🟨,
  • 86', Berrio L. , Serna A. ,
  • 89', Herrera E. , Velez Carey J. J. ,

Highlights

https://tinyurl.com/mssxahd3

Chances of winning


Junior Barranquilla
35.2%
Draw
31.1%
Independiente Medellín
33.7%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)
31.7% 27.9% 40.4%

Our Initial ML Estimation

31.8% 27.8% 40.3%


Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

  • Junior Barranquilla has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+3.5%)
  • Independiente Medellín has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-6.7%)
  • Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, and Independiente Medellín might be facing challenges that affect their performance.
  • ML Model estimates a lower probability for Junior Barranquilla than the current prediction. (-3.4%)
  • ML Model estimates a higher probability for Independiente Medellín than the current prediction. (+6.6%)
  • Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests that Independiente Medellín could outperform expectations, possibly based on recent matchups or player stats.
  • Junior Barranquilla - Independiente Medellín Odds

    1 X 2 Marga
    Avarage Now
    (Initially)
    2.65
    (2.9)
    3
    (3.3)
    2.78
    (2.28)
    6.9%
    (8.6%)

  • The most likely Over/Under: 2.00

  • Watch this match and Colombian Primera A with fubo (for US customers)
  • Network on : Nuestra Tele
  • What is the prediction for Junior Barranquilla - Independiente Medellín?
    The most likely score is 1:1. User prediction is will win! ( of users predict this).
    Preview Facts
    • One of the most exciting matches of the day will feature two top-of-the-table teams (ranked 5 in the zone Promotion ~ Primera A (Apertura ~ Quadrangular: ) and 7 in the zone Promotion ~ Primera A (Apertura ~ Quadrangular: )).
    • Last 5 head-to-head matches Junior won 3.
    • Junior is in a very good shape now (in the last 5 games wins - 4).
    • Recent matches Ind Medellín is playing unpredictable (in the last 5 games wins - 1).
    • Junior could have problems with physics compare with it opponent - last days they played more matches than their opponents.
    • The chances to win of two teams are almost the same in this match.
    • Last 20 head-to-head matches Junior won 11 matches, drawn 4 matches, lost 5 matches and goals 31:24 (average 1.6:1.2).
    • Including matches at home between the teams Junior won 9 matches, drawn 1 matches, lost 0 matches and goals 24:10 (average 2.4:1).
    What were the results of their latest head-to-head matches?
    The latest head-to-head matches between Junior Barranquilla - Independiente Medellín were as follows:
    02.10.2024 Junior Barranquilla - Independiente Medellín 2:1
    11.09.2024 Independiente Medellín - Junior Barranquilla 2:0
    27.07.2024 Independiente Medellín - Junior Barranquilla 0:0
    01.02.2024 Junior Barranquilla - Independiente Medellín 3:0
    13.12.2023 Independiente Medellín - Junior Barranquilla 2:2
    Colombian Primera A Table
    2025
    PlWDLDiffPts
    1America De Cali1896325:121333
    2Atl. Nacional1795332:151732
    3Millonarios1794423:131031
    4Junior1787220:11931
    5Ind. Medellin1678117:61129
    6Santa Fe1776423:16727
    7Deportes Tolima1676322:15727
    8Once Caldas1682619:18126
    9Dep. Pasto1775517:16126
    10Dep. Cali1759314:12224
    11Alianza1765614:18-423
    12Pereira1757518:19-122
    13Bucaramanga1755716:18-220
    14Envigado1753915:24-918
    15Llaneros17521016:22-617
    16Fortaleza1745810:22-1217
    17Chico1838710:26-1617
    18Aguilas1719711:17-612
    19La Equidad17241112:24-1210
    20U. Magdalena1608812:22-108

          Promotion ~ Primera A (Apertura ~ Quadrangular: )

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