Independiente Medellín vs Junior Barranquilla: Where to Watch, Predictions, Stats

Bet nowGamble Responsibly 18+
Soccer Colombian Primera A Independiente Medellín - Junior Barranquilla
Result
1:0
11/06/2025 at 19:15 (Time Zone – GMT-4 (America/New_York))
  • : Primera A - Apertura - Quadrangular - Round 4
Independiente Medellín - Junior Barranquilla - Gamble Responsibly 18+
00:00 / 90:00
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Match Stats

Expected Goals (xG)
1.220.49
Ball Possession
46%54%
Total shots
1611
Shots on target
62
Big Chances
10
Corner Kicks
25
Passes
74% (211/285)73% (249/341)
Yellow Cards
32
Expected Goals (xG)
1.220.49
xG on target (xGOT)
0.730.06
Total shots
1611
Shots on target
62
Shots off target
76
Blocked Shots
33
Shots inside the Box
84
Shots outside the Box
87
Hit the Woodwork
10
Big Chances
10
Corner Kicks
25
Touches in opposition box
1419
Accurate through passes
00
Offsides
40
Free Kicks
913
Passes
74% (211/285)73% (249/341)
Long passes
48% (34/71)43% (33/76)
Passes in final third
62% (52/84)58% (61/105)
Crosses
29% (4/14)47% (7/15)
Expected assists (xA)
0.380.46
Throw-ins
1823
Fouls
139
Tackles
77% (10/13)73% (16/22)
Duels won
4252
Clearances
2816
Interceptions
26
Errors leading to shot
00
Errors leading to goal
00
Goalkeeper Saves
25
xGOT faced
0.060.73
Goals prevented
0.06-0.27

Key Moments

Here there are
  • 1st Half (1 - 0)
  • 4', Rivera D. 🟨,
  • 25', Berrio L. 🟨,
  • 42', Chaverra F. 🟨,
  • 45+3', 1 - 0, Leon B. , Ortiz J. (A),
  • 2nd Half (0 - 0)
  • 62', Gonzalez L. , Enamorado J. ,
  • 62', Rivera D. , Cuenu J. ,
  • 66', Berrio L. , Moreno D. ,
  • 76', Castrillon B. , Diaz J. ,
  • 76', Barrera J. , Perez M. ,
  • 76', Rodallega Y. , Loboa H. ,
  • 76', Palacios J. , Torijano F. ,
  • 80', Paiva G. 🟨,
  • 86', Fydriszewski F. 🟨,
  • 87', Leon B. , Angulo ,
  • 88', Chaverra F. , Sandoval L. ,
  • 90+1', Moreno D. , Quintero Y. ,

Highlights

https://tinyurl.com/592c8vr4

Chances of winning


Independiente Medellín
53.1%
Draw
26.4%
Junior Barranquilla
20.4%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)
37.8% 28.7% 33.5%

Our Initial ML Estimation

38.1% 28.5% 33.2%


Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

  • Independiente Medellín has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+15.3%)
  • Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting increased confidence in Independiente Medellín's performance.
  • Junior Barranquilla has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-13.1%)
  • Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, and Junior Barranquilla might be facing challenges that affect their performance.
  • ML Model estimates a lower probability for Independiente Medellín than the current prediction. (-15%)
  • Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests that there may be underlying issues with Independiente Medellín that the model has picked up on.
  • ML Model estimates a higher probability for Junior Barranquilla than the current prediction. (+12.8%)
  • Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests that Junior Barranquilla could outperform expectations, possibly based on recent matchups or player stats.
  • Independiente Medellín - Junior Barranquilla Odds

    1 X 2 Marga
    Avarage Now
    (Initially)
    1.79
    (2.47)
    3.54
    (3.25)
    4.49
    (2.78)
    6.4%
    (7.2%)

  • The most likely Over/Under: 2.50
  • What is the prediction for Independiente Medellín - Junior Barranquilla?
  • Users Predictions: 9 users predict this event. Ind Medellín will win (votes: 5 - 55.6%). Junior will win (votes: 3 - 33.3%). It will Tie (votes: 1 - 11.1%).
    Confidence interval (95%) for Ind Medellín: 23.1%88.1%.
  • High ROI Users Predictions (ROI>2%): 5 high ROI users predict this event. Ind Medellín (votes: 3 - 60%). Junior (votes: 2 - 40%).
  • The most likely score by Bookmakers is 1:0.
  • Preview Facts
    • A leader and an outsider will face off in this match (ranked 1 in the zone Promotion ~ Primera A (Apertura ~ Play Offs: Final) and 4).
    • In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Ind Medellín won 2.
    • Ind Medellín is currently in amazing form (last 5 games: 3 wins).
    • Junior has been unpredictable lately (in the last 5 games, wins – 2).
    • Ind Medellín is expected to have a slight advantage in this match.
    • In the last 20 head-to-head matches, Ind Medellín won 6 matches, drew 3 matches, lost 11 matches, and goals 22:28. (average 1.1:1.4).
    • Including home matches between the teams, Ind Medellín won 5 matches, drew 2 matches, lost 2 matches, and goals 12:5. (average 1.3:0.6).
    What were the results of their latest head-to-head matches?
    The latest head-to-head matches between Independiente Medellín - Junior Barranquilla were as follows:
    08.06.2025 Junior Barranquilla - Independiente Medellín 0:1
    06.04.2025 Junior Barranquilla - Independiente Medellín 1:0
    02.10.2024 Junior Barranquilla - Independiente Medellín 2:1
    11.09.2024 Independiente Medellín - Junior Barranquilla 2:0
    27.07.2024 Independiente Medellín - Junior Barranquilla 0:0
    Colombian Primera A Table
    Clausura
    PlWDLDiffPts
    1Junior541013:5813
    2Llaneros53206:1511
    3Santa Fe52306:429
    4Atl. Nacional52218:538
    5Fortaleza42206:428
    6Deportes Tolima52124:407
    7Envigado41215:505
    8Alianza41214:405
    9Chico51226:7-15
    10La Equidad51223:5-25
    11Dep. Cali51224:8-45
    12Dep. Pasto21105:414
    13America De Cali31113:304
    14Ind. Medellin41126:7-14
    15Pereira41124:5-14
    16U. Magdalena41122:6-44
    17Aguilas40223:5-22
    18Bucaramanga20113:4-11
    19Once Caldas30124:7-31
    20Millonarios20020:2-20

          Promotion ~ Primera A (Clausura ~ Quadrangular: )

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