Independiente Medellín vs Junior Barranquilla: Where to Watch, Predictions, Stats

Bet nowGamble Responsibly 18+
Soccer Colombian Primera A Independiente Medellín - Junior Barranquilla
Result
2:2
21/09/2025 at 19:20 (Time Zone – GMT-4 (America/New_York))
  • : Primera A - Clausura - Round 12
  • Referee: Mayorga Londono J. A. (Col)
Independiente Medellín - Junior Barranquilla - Gamble Responsibly 18+
00:00 / 90:00
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Match Stats

Expected Goals (xG)
1.151.68
Ball Possession
53%47%
Total shots
1014
Shots on target
45
Big Chances
12
Corner Kicks
37
Passes
75% (220/295)70% (181/259)
Yellow Cards
33
Expected Goals (xG)
1.151.68
xG on target (xGOT)
1.261.27
Total shots
1014
Shots on target
45
Shots off target
57
Blocked Shots
12
Shots inside the Box
67
Shots outside the Box
47
Hit the Woodwork
00
Big Chances
12
Corner Kicks
37
Touches in opposition box
1024
Accurate through passes
00
Offsides
13
Free Kicks
1622
Passes
75% (220/295)70% (181/259)
Long passes
47% (34/72)47% (30/64)
Passes in final third
53% (41/77)64% (81/126)
Crosses
24% (4/17)33% (7/21)
Expected assists (xA)
0.281.02
Throw-ins
179
Fouls
2216
Tackles
89% (8/9)100% (11/11)
Duels won
3145
Clearances
2619
Interceptions
07
Errors leading to shot
00
Errors leading to goal
00
Goalkeeper Saves
32
xGOT faced
1.271.26
Goals prevented
-0.73-0.74

Key Moments

Here there are
  • 1st Half (0 - 0)
  • 33', Herrera E. 🟨,
  • 45', Rivera D. 🟨,
  • 2nd Half (2 - 2)
  • 47', 0 - 1, Enamorado J. ,
  • 48', Mena Perea E. 🟨,
  • 53', 0 - 2, Rivas J. , Paiva G. (A),
  • 54', Enamorado J. 🟨,
  • 57', Mena Perea E. , Garcia M. ,
  • 57', Loboa H. , Serna A. ,
  • 59', 1 - 2, Chaverra F. (Pen),
  • 63', 2 - 2, Barrera J. ,
  • 65', Paiva G. (Pen),
  • 74', Torijano F. , Palacios J. ,
  • 76', Rivas J. , Chara Y. ,
  • 76', Paiva G. , Titi ,
  • 83', Leon B. 🟨,
  • 84', Barrera J. , Berrio L. ,
  • 86', Fydriszewski F. 🟨,
  • 90+1', Enamorado J. , Castrillon B. ,
  • 90+1', Celis G. , Angel Bernal F. S. ,
  • 90+1', Herrera E. , Guerrero J. ,

Highlights

https://tinyurl.com/dnw4nu2s

Chances of winning


Independiente Medellín
50%
Draw
27.9%
Junior Barranquilla
22.1%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)
50.7% 27.3% 22.1%

Our Initial ML Estimation

53.5% 25.9% 20.9%


Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

  • Independiente Medellín has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-0.7%)
  • The chances for Junior Barranquilla have remained the same compared to the initial analysis.
  • ML Model estimates a higher probability for Independiente Medellín than the current prediction. (+3.5%)
  • ML Model estimates a lower probability for Junior Barranquilla than the current prediction. (-1.2%)
  • Independiente Medellín - Junior Barranquilla Odds

    1 X 2 Marga
    Avarage Now
    (Initially)
    1.89
    (1.85)
    3.34
    (3.44)
    4.28
    (4.25)
    6.3%
    (6.7%)

    • The most likely Over/Under: 2.25
    What is the prediction for Independiente Medellín - Junior Barranquilla?
  • Users Predictions: 9 users predict this event. Ind Medellín will win (votes: 7 - 77.8%). Junior will win (votes: 1 - 11.1%). It will Tie (votes: 1 - 11.1%).
    Confidence interval (95%) for Ind Medellín: 50.6%100%.
  • The most likely score by Bookmakers is 1:0.
  • Preview Facts
    • One of today’s top clashes will feature two teams fighting for the top spots (ranked 4 in the zone Promotion ~ Primera A (Clausura ~ Quadrangular: ) and 2 in the zone Promotion ~ Primera A (Clausura ~ Quadrangular: )).
    • In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Ind Medellín won 3.
    • Ind Medellín is showing really good form (last 5 games: 3 wins).
    • Junior's form has been unstable in recent games (in the last 5 games, wins – 2).
    • In this match, Ind Medellín is considered a favorite.
    • In the last 20 head-to-head matches, Ind Medellín won 7 matches, drew 3 matches, lost 10 matches, and goals 22:24. (average 1.1:1.2).
    • Including home matches between the teams, Ind Medellín won 6 matches, drew 2 matches, lost 2 matches, and goals 13:5. (average 1.3:0.5).
    What were the results of their latest head-to-head matches?
    The latest head-to-head matches between Independiente Medellín - Junior Barranquilla were as follows:
    11.06.2025 Independiente Medellín - Junior Barranquilla 1:0
    08.06.2025 Junior Barranquilla - Independiente Medellín 0:1
    06.04.2025 Junior Barranquilla - Independiente Medellín 1:0
    02.10.2024 Junior Barranquilla - Independiente Medellín 2:1
    11.09.2024 Independiente Medellín - Junior Barranquilla 2:0
    Colombian Primera A Table
    Clausura
    PlWDLDiffPts
    1Bucaramanga1483325:121327
    2Junior1474326:17925
    3Fortaleza1467119:13625
    4Atl. Nacional1466223:16724
    5Ind. Medellin1373325:19624
    6Deportes Tolima1472517:12523
    7Santa Fe1355315:11420
    8Dep. Cali1455419:19020
    9Alianza1455419:19020
    10Once Caldas1454517:16119
    11Llaneros1454511:13-219
    12Aguilas1445518:20-217
    13Millonarios1452716:20-417
    14Pereira1436512:14-215
    15U. Magdalena1443717:24-715
    16America De Cali1435611:13-214
    17Envigado1427511:14-313
    18Chico1426611:22-1112
    19Dep. Pasto1425715:21-611
    20La Equidad142577:19-1211

          Promotion ~ Primera A (Clausura ~ Quadrangular: )

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    It is being streamed on various channels, including:
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