Deportes Tolima vs Junior Barranquilla: Where to Watch, Predictions, Stats

Bet nowGamble Responsibly 18+
Soccer Colombian Primera A Deportes Tolima - Junior Barranquilla
Result
2:0
19/06/2025 at 17:00 (Time Zone – GMT-4 (America/New_York))
  • : Primera A - Apertura - Quadrangular - Round 6
Deportes Tolima - Junior Barranquilla - Gamble Responsibly 18+
00:00 / 90:00
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Match Stats

Expected Goals (xG)
0.780.85
Ball Possession
43%57%
Total shots
1213
Shots on target
43
Big Chances
10
Corner Kicks
34
Passes
79% (224/284)84% (319/378)
Yellow Cards
13
Expected Goals (xG)
0.780.85
xG on target (xGOT)
0.840.42
Total shots
1213
Shots on target
43
Shots off target
65
Blocked Shots
25
Shots inside the Box
87
Shots outside the Box
46
Hit the Woodwork
10
Headed Goals
10
Big Chances
10
Corner Kicks
34
Touches in opposition box
1314
Accurate through passes
00
Offsides
03
Free Kicks
1217
Passes
79% (224/284)84% (319/378)
Long passes
53% (27/51)53% (31/58)
Passes in final third
61% (44/72)63% (56/89)
Crosses
33% (2/6)23% (3/13)
Expected assists (xA)
0.410.53
Throw-ins
1619
Fouls
1712
Tackles
69% (9/13)88% (7/8)
Duels won
4233
Clearances
1711
Interceptions
58
Errors leading to shot
01
Errors leading to goal
00
Goalkeeper Saves
32
xGOT faced
0.420.84
Goals prevented
0.42-1.16

Key Moments

Here there are
  • 1st Half (2 - 0)
  • 4', 1 - 0, Lencina G. , Castro A. (A),
  • 16', 2 - 0, Parra Osorio A. ,
  • 37', Angulo A. 🟨,
  • 38', Cuenu J. 🟨,
  • 2nd Half (0 - 0)
  • 46', Hurtado Torres Y. D. , Arrieta C. ,
  • 46', Perez K. , Gonzalez J. ,
  • 46', Guerrero J. , Mosquera Moreno Y. ,
  • 46', Angulo A. , Quinones J. ,
  • 63', Nieto J. , Reyes C. ,
  • 70', Moreno D. , Bacca M. ,
  • 71', Lencina G. , Fuentes J. ,
  • 75', Cuenu J. , Caicedo Vidal J. ,
  • 75', Quintero Y. , Velez Carey J. J. ,
  • 75', Barrera J. , Canchimbo J. ,
  • 81', Caicedo Vidal J. 🟨,
  • 90+1', Rodriguez S. 🟨,

Highlights

https://tinyurl.com/57jmumja

Chances of winning


Deportes Tolima
46.3%
Draw
28.5%
Junior Barranquilla
25.2%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)
42% 31.3% 26.7%

Our Initial ML Estimation

35.8% 26.7% 31.3%


Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

  • Deportes Tolima has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+4.3%)
  • Junior Barranquilla has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-1.5%)
  • ML Model estimates a lower probability for Deportes Tolima than the current prediction. (-10.5%)
  • Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests that there may be underlying issues with Deportes Tolima that the model has picked up on.
  • ML Model estimates a higher probability for Junior Barranquilla than the current prediction. (+6.1%)
  • Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests that Junior Barranquilla could outperform expectations, possibly based on recent matchups or player stats.
  • Deportes Tolima - Junior Barranquilla Odds

    1 X 2 Marga
    Avarage Now
    (Initially)
    2.02
    (2.23)
    3.28
    (3)
    3.72
    (3.52)
    7.1%
    (6.7%)

  • The most likely Over/Under: 2.50
  • What is the prediction for Deportes Tolima - Junior Barranquilla?
  • Users Predictions: 9 users predict this event. Deportes Tolima will win (votes: 6 - 66.7%). Junior will win (votes: 1 - 11.1%). It will Tie (votes: 2 - 22.2%).
    Confidence interval (95%) for Deportes Tolima: 35.9%97.5%.
  • High ROI Users Predictions (ROI>2%): 2 high ROI users predict this event. Deportes Tolima (votes: 2 - 100%).
  • The most likely score by Bookmakers is 1:1.
  • Preview Facts
    • The game will be played between two neighbours in the standings (ranked 3 and 4)
    • In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Deportes Tolima won 1.
    • Deportes Tolima has been quite unpredictable recently (last 5 games: 1 wins).
    • Junior is going through a series of losses (in the last 5 games, wins – 0).
    • Junior may have a physical advantage due to more rest days in recent times.
    • In this match, Deportes Tolima is seen as the favorite.
    • In the last 20 head-to-head matches, Deportes Tolima won 6 matches, drew 5 matches, lost 9 matches, and goals 18:21. (average 0.9:1.1).
    • Including home matches between the teams, Deportes Tolima won 3 matches, drew 3 matches, lost 5 matches, and goals 7:9. (average 0.6:0.8).
    What were the results of their latest head-to-head matches?
    The latest head-to-head matches between Deportes Tolima - Junior Barranquilla were as follows:
    31.05.2025 Junior Barranquilla - Deportes Tolima 1:1
    15.04.2025 Deportes Tolima - Junior Barranquilla 0:0
    04.12.2024 Junior Barranquilla - Deportes Tolima 3:2
    24.11.2024 Deportes Tolima - Junior Barranquilla 1:0
    24.08.2024 Deportes Tolima - Junior Barranquilla 0:1
    Draw
    Apertura - Play Offs

    Final
    1Santa FeInd. Medellin0 : 0
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