Juárez vs UNAM: Where to Watch, Predictions, Stats

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Soccer Mexican Liga MX Juárez - UNAM
Result
1:2 penalties
27/04/2025 at 19:00 (Time Zone – GMT-4 (America/New_York))
  • : Liga MX - Clausura - Play In - Semi-finals
Juárez - UNAM - Gamble Responsibly 18+
00:00 / 90:00
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Match Stats

Expected Goals (xG)
0.370.53
Ball Possession
68%32%
Total shots
117
Shots on target
41
Big Chances
03
Corner Kicks
83
Passes
88% (342/388)69% (132/192)
Yellow Cards
24
Red Cards
11
Expected Goals (xG)
0.370.53
xG on target (xGOT)
0.500.80
Total shots
117
Shots on target
41
Shots off target
52
Blocked Shots
24
Shots inside the Box
25
Shots outside the Box
92
Hit the Woodwork
10
Big Chances
03
Corner Kicks
83
Touches in opposition box
814
Accurate through passes
00
Offsides
11
Free Kicks
1311
Passes
88% (342/388)69% (132/192)
Long passes
60% (24/40)25% (11/44)
Passes in final third
82% (106/130)47% (28/59)
Crosses
13% (5/40)50% (3/6)
Expected assists (xA)
0.350.31
Throw-ins
1915
Fouls
1113
Tackles
69% (9/13)80% (12/15)
Duels won
3645
Clearances
1039
Interceptions
27
Errors leading to shot
00
Errors leading to goal
00
Goalkeeper Saves
03
xGOT faced
0.800.50
Goals prevented
-0.20-0.50

Key Moments

Here there are
  • 1st Half (1 - 1)
  • 15', Monroy P. 🟨,
  • 16', 0 - 1, Martinez G. , Trigos S. (A),
  • 19', Martinez G. 🟨,
  • 20', 1 - 1, Madson , Puma (A),
  • 35', Martinez G. 🟥,
  • 35', Murillo J. 🟨,
  • 41', Suarez L. , Ruvalcaba J. ,
  • 41', Pussetto I. , Bennevendo P. ,
  • 45+8', Madson 🟨,
  • 2nd Half (0 - 0)
  • 54', Murillo J. , Zaldivar A. ,
  • 68', Ruvalcaba J. 🟨,
  • 70', Madson , Valoyes D. ,
  • 70', Villalpando D. , Hurtado A. ,
  • 75', Campillo Del Campo D. , Nevarez Pulgarin F. J. ,
  • 75', Orquin R. , Lopez E. ,
  • 86', Padilla A. 🟨,
  • 90+6', Manriquez J. 🟥,
  • 90+8', Ruvalcaba J. , Funes Mori R. ,
  • 90+9', Trigos S. , Quispe Cordova P. A. ,
  • Penalties (1 - 2)
  • 1, Estupinan O. (Pen),
  • 1, Carrasquilla A. (Pen),
  • 2, Zaldivar A. (Pen),
  • 2, Nathan Silva (Pen),
  • 3, Hurtado A. (Pen),
  • 3, Funes Mori R. (Pen),
  • 4, Puma (Pen),
  • 4, Caicedo J. (Pen),
  • 5, Valoyes D. (Pen),
  • 5, Ergas R. (Pen),

Chances of winning


Juárez
33.7%
Draw
31.4%
UNAM
34.9%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)
38.6% 27.1% 34.3%

Our Initial ML Estimation

39.2% 26.7% 33.8%


Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

  • Juárez has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-4.9%)
  • UNAM has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+0.6%)
  • ML Model estimates a higher probability for Juárez than the current prediction. (+5.5%)
  • Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests a strong performance forecast for Juárez, possibly due to key factors that the model accounted for.
  • ML Model estimates a lower probability for UNAM than the current prediction. (-1.1%)
  • Juárez - UNAM Odds

    1 X 2 Marga
    Avarage Now
    (Initially)
    2.79
    (2.35)
    3.01
    (3.35)
    2.71
    (2.65)
    5.9%
    (10.1%)

  • The most likely Over/Under: 2.00
  • Preview Facts
    • This time we will watch a game between teams from the middle of a tournament table (ranked 9 in the zone Promotion ~ Liga MX (Apertura ~ Play In: ) and 10 in the zone Promotion ~ Liga MX (Apertura ~ Play In: )).
    • Last 5 head-to-head matches Juárez won 1.
    • Two teams are playing changeable.
    • Juárez could have problems with physics compare with it opponent - last days they played more matches than their opponents.
    • The chances to win of two teams are almost the same in this match.
    • Last 15 head-to-head matches Juárez won 3 matches, drawn 6 matches, lost 6 matches and goals 19:20 (average 1.3:1.3).
    • Including matches at home between the teams Juárez won 3 matches, drawn 3 matches, lost 2 matches and goals 16:11 (average 2:1.4).
    What were the results of their latest head-to-head matches?
    The latest head-to-head matches between Juárez - UNAM were as follows:
    12.04.2025 UNAM - Juárez 0:0
    17.07.2024 Juárez - UNAM 1:2
    14.01.2024 UNAM - Juárez 1:0
    22.08.2023 Juárez - UNAM 4:1
    08.01.2023 UNAM - Juárez 2:1
    Latest results of Juárez
    20.04.2025 Juárez - Querétaro 0:2
    15.04.2025 Juárez - Necaxa 2:2
    12.04.2025 UNAM - Juárez 0:0
    05.04.2025 Atlas - Juárez 1:1
    29.03.2025 Juárez - Puebla 2:0
    Latest results of UNAM
    19.04.2025 Tigres UANL - UNAM 2:1
    16.04.2025 UNAM - Santos Laguna 2:0
    12.04.2025 UNAM - Juárez 0:0
    09.04.2025 UNAM - Vancouver Whitecaps 2:2
    05.04.2025 Cruz Azul - UNAM 3:2
    Draw
    Clausura - Play Offs

    Quarter-finals
    1Toluca (1)Monterrey (8)2 : 1, 2 : 3
    2Tigres UANL (4)Necaxa (5)2 : 2, 0 : 0
    3Club America (2)Pachuca (7)2 : 0, 0 : 0
    4Cruz Azul (3)Club Leon (6)2 : 1, 3 : 2

    Semi-finals
    1Toluca (1)Tigres UANL (4)3 : 0, 1 : 1
    2Club America (2)Cruz Azul (3)2 : 1, 0 : 1

    Final
    1Toluca (1)Club America (2)2 : 0, 0 : 0
    Which TV channels are streaming of Juárez - UNAM?
    It is being streamed on various channels, including:
    mexicoMexicoAzteca 7, Azteca Deportes, Tubi TV
    puerto-ricoPuerto-ricoFox Sports 2
    usaUsaFox Deportes, Fox Deportes, Fox Sports 1, Fox Sports 2, Foxsports.com
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