Juárez vs UNAM: Where to Watch, Predictions, Stats

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Soccer Mexican Liga MX Juárez - UNAM
Result
3:1
23/09/2025 at 23:00 (Time Zone – GMT-4 (America/New_York))
  • : Liga MX - Apertura - Round 10
  • Referee: Perez S. (Mex)
Juárez - UNAM - Gamble Responsibly 18+
00:00 / 90:00
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Match Stats

Expected Goals (xG)
1.270.55
Ball Possession
45%55%
Total shots
106
Shots on target
41
Big Chances
41
Corner Kicks
52
Passes
84% (303/359)82% (367/447)
Yellow Cards
13
Red Cards
01
Expected Goals (xG)
1.270.55
xG on target (xGOT)
2.780.05
Total shots
106
Shots on target
41
Shots off target
22
Blocked Shots
43
Shots inside the Box
64
Shots outside the Box
42
Hit the Woodwork
00
Headed Goals
11
Big Chances
41
Corner Kicks
52
Touches in opposition box
1113
Accurate through passes
00
Offsides
11
Free Kicks
1414
Passes
84% (303/359)82% (367/447)
Long passes
50% (19/38)53% (27/51)
Passes in final third
62% (43/69)68% (88/129)
Crosses
19% (3/16)11% (1/9)
Expected assists (xA)
0.430.77
Throw-ins
2623
Fouls
1414
Tackles
55% (11/20)63% (10/16)
Duels won
4742
Clearances
1922
Interceptions
108
Errors leading to shot
00
Errors leading to goal
00
Goalkeeper Saves
01
xGOT faced
0.052.78
Goals prevented
-0.95-0.22

Key Moments

Here there are
  • 1st Half (1 - 0)
  • 14', 1 - 0, Estupinan O. ,
  • 35', Martinez Yepez H. E. 🟨,
  • 39', Caicedo J. 🟨,
  • 2nd Half (2 - 1)
  • 59', 1 - 1, Martinez G. , Bennevendo P. (A),
  • 65', Lopez R. , Vite P. ,
  • 65', Fulgencio R. , Madson ,
  • 66', Martinez G. , Macias J. ,
  • 68', Caicedo J. 🟨,
  • 69', 2 - 1, Pizarro R. , Puma (A),
  • 77', Nathan Silva 🟨,
  • 82', Carrasquilla A. , Ramsey A. ,
  • 85', Estupinan O. , Zaldivar A. ,
  • 90', Trigos S. , Garcia S. ,
  • 90+1', Pizarro R. , Villalpando D. ,
  • 90+5', 3 - 1, Guilherme Castilho , Puma (A),

Chances of winning


Juárez
32%
Draw
29.5%
UNAM
38.5%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)
36.8% 28.2% 35.1%

Our Initial ML Estimation

36.4% 28.5% 35.5%


Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

  • Juárez has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-4.8%)
  • UNAM has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+3.4%)
  • ML Model estimates a higher probability for Juárez than the current prediction. (+4.4%)
  • ML Model estimates a lower probability for UNAM than the current prediction. (-3%)
  • Juárez - UNAM Odds

    1 X 2 Marga
    Avarage Now
    (Initially)
    2.95
    (2.45)
    3.21
    (3.2)
    2.48
    (2.57)
    5.4%
    (11%)

  • The most likely Over/Under: 2.25
  • What is the prediction for Juárez - UNAM?
  • Users Predictions: 8 users predict this event. Juárez will win (votes: 4 - 50%). UNAM will win (votes: 1 - 12.5%). It will Tie (votes: 3 - 37.5%).
    Confidence interval (95%) for Juárez: 15.4%84.6%.
  • The most likely score by Bookmakers is 1:1.
  • Preview Facts
    • Two mid-table teams will face off this time (ranked 9 in the zone Promotion ~ Liga MX (Apertura ~ Play In: ) and 7 in the zone Promotion ~ Liga MX (Apertura ~ Play In: )).
    • In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Juárez won 1.
    • Currently, both teams are in excellent shape.
    • Juárez may have a physical advantage due to more rest days in recent times.
    • The probability of winning is almost the same for both teams in this match.
    • There will not play in Juárez: Gonzalez Mendoza J. A. (Achilles Tendon Injury)
    • There will not play in UNAM: Lopez S. (Finger Injury) Ruvalcaba J. (Yellow Cards)
    • There are questionable in Juárez: Madson (Muscle Injury) Nevarez Pulgarin F. J. (Injury) Torres Ramirez I. J. M. (Injury) Valoyes D. (Injury)
    • In the last 16 head-to-head matches, Juárez won 3 matches, drew 6 matches, lost 7 matches, and goals 20:22. (average 1.3:1.4).
    • Including home matches between the teams, Juárez won 3 matches, drew 3 matches, lost 3 matches, and goals 17:13. (average 1.9:1.4).
    What were the results of their latest head-to-head matches?
    The latest head-to-head matches between Juárez - UNAM were as follows:
    27.04.2025 Juárez - UNAM 1:2
    12.04.2025 UNAM - Juárez 0:0
    17.07.2024 Juárez - UNAM 1:2
    14.01.2024 UNAM - Juárez 1:0
    22.08.2023 Juárez - UNAM 4:1
    Latest results of Juárez
    19.09.2025 Cruz Azul - Juárez 3:2
    12.09.2025 Necaxa - Juárez 1:1
    29.08.2025 Juárez - Mazatlan 1:0
    22.08.2025 Juárez - Santos Laguna 2:1
    Latest results of UNAM
    20.09.2025 UNAM - Tigres UANL 1:1
    12.09.2025 Mazatlan - UNAM 1:4
    31.08.2025 UNAM - Atlas 1:0
    24.08.2025 UNAM - Puebla 0:0
    16.08.2025 Toluca - UNAM 1:1
    Mexican Liga MX Table
    2025/26
    PlWDLDiffPts
    1Cruz Azul1073021:12924
    2Toluca1071228:131522
    3Monterrey1071222:17522
    4Club America1063119:10921
    5Tigres UANL1054119:91019
    6Club Tijuana1044219:11816
    7Juarez1043313:12115
    8Pachuca1042413:12114
    9UNAM Pumas1034313:13013
    10Club Leon1033410:16-612
    11Guadalajara Chivas1032514:17-311
    12Atl. San Luis1031615:16-110
    13Santos Laguna1031613:17-410
    14Necaxa102359:17-89
    15Mazatlan FC1015412:17-58
    16Queretaro1022611:18-78
    17Atlas1014515:24-97
    18Puebla101279:24-155

          Promotion ~ Liga MX (Apertura ~ Play Offs: Quarter~finals)
          Promotion ~ Liga MX (Apertura ~ Play In: )

    Which TV channels are streaming of Juárez - UNAM?
    It is being streamed on various channels, including:
    mexicoMexicoAmazon Prime Video, Azteca 7, Azteca Deportes, Caliente TV, Tubi TV
    usaUsaFox Deportes, Fox Deportes, Fox Sports App, Foxsports.com, NBC Universo, Telemundo, UNIVERSO NOW
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