Juárez vs Toluca: Where to Watch, Predictions, Stats

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Soccer Mexican Liga MX Juárez - Toluca
11/08/2025 at 23:00 (Time Zone – GMT-4 (America/New_York))
Juárez - Toluca - Gamble Responsibly 18+
00:00 / 90:00
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Chances of winning


Juárez
26.1%
Draw
26.4%
Toluca
47.4%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)
25.2% 25.9% 48.8%

Our Initial ML Estimation

25.5% 26.2% 48.3%


Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

  • Juárez has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+0.9%)
  • Toluca has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-1.4%)
  • ML Model estimates a lower probability for Juárez than the current prediction. (-0.6%)
  • ML Model estimates a higher probability for Toluca than the current prediction. (+0.9%)
  • Juárez - Toluca Odds

    1 X 2 Marga
    Avarage Now
    (Initially)
    3.58
    (3.6)
    3.6
    (3.5)
    2
    (1.86)
    5.6%
    (10.1%)

  • The most likely Over/Under: 2.75
  • Preview Facts
    • In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Juárez won 1.
    • Juárez has been quite unpredictable recently (last 5 games: 2 wins).
    • Toluca is in great form at the moment (in the last 5 games, wins – 3).
    • Toluca may face physical challenges compared to their opponent, as they have played more matches in recent days.
    • Recently, Juárez has had a series of away games.
    • Recently, Toluca has had a series of home games.
    • Toluca could have a small edge in this match.
    • In the last 14 head-to-head matches, Juárez won 6 matches, drew 4 matches, lost 4 matches, and goals 20:22. (average 1.4:1.6).
    • Including home matches between the teams, Juárez won 2 matches, drew 3 matches, lost 2 matches, and goals 8:11. (average 1.1:1.6).
    What were the results of their latest head-to-head matches?
    The latest head-to-head matches between Juárez - Toluca were as follows:
    22.02.2025 Juárez - Toluca 0:4
    13.07.2024 Toluca - Juárez 3:2
    08.03.2024 Juárez - Toluca 1:1
    16.07.2023 Toluca - Juárez 2:4
    23.04.2023 Toluca - Juárez 1:1
    Latest results of Juárez
    03.08.2025 Cincinnati - Juárez 2:3
    31.07.2025 Charlotte - Juárez 1:4
    25.07.2025 Tijuana - Juárez 1:1
    19.07.2025 Tigres UANL - Juárez 1:0
    11.07.2025 Juárez - Club América 1:1
    Latest results of Toluca
    05.08.2025 Toluca - New York City 2:1
    01.08.2025 Toluca - CF Montréal 2:1
    29.07.2025 Toluca - Columbus Crew 2:2
    26.07.2025 Toluca - Tigres UANL 3:4
    20.07.2025 Club América - Toluca 1:3
    Mexican Liga MX Table
    2025/26
    PlWDLDiffPts
    1Pachuca33007:259
    2Toluca320110:736
    3Tigres UANL22005:326
    4Monterrey32014:406
    5Cruz Azul31207:435
    6Club America31205:325
    7Necaxa31115:504
    8Mazatlan FC31112:204
    9Atlas31117:8-14
    10Club Tijuana31113:4-14
    11Santos Laguna31025:503
    12Guadalajara Chivas21014:403
    13Atl. San Luis31024:5-13
    14Puebla31024:5-13
    15UNAM Pumas31024:6-23
    16Club Leon31022:5-33
    17Juarez30212:3-12
    18Queretaro30031:6-50

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