Jorge Wilstermann vs Aurora: Where to Watch, Predictions, Stats

Bet nowGamble Responsibly 18+
Soccer Bolivian Division Profesional Jorge Wilstermann - Aurora
Result
1:1
22/06/2025 at 19:30 (Time Zone – GMT-4 (America/New_York))
  • : Division Profesional - Round 11
  • Referee: Vera B. (Bol)
Jorge Wilstermann - Aurora - Gamble Responsibly 18+
00:00 / 90:00
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Match Stats

Expected Goals (xG)
1.460.73
Ball Possession
56%44%
Total shots
139
Shots on target
44
Big Chances
11
Corner Kicks
17
Passes
79% (345/437)76% (249/327)
Yellow Cards
52
Red Cards
11
Expected Goals (xG)
1.460.73
xG on target (xGOT)
1.240.88
Total shots
139
Shots on target
44
Shots off target
65
Blocked Shots
30
Shots inside the Box
84
Shots outside the Box
65
Hit the Woodwork
21
Big Chances
11
Corner Kicks
17
Touches in opposition box
2226
Accurate through passes
00
Offsides
03
Free Kicks
1014
Passes
79% (345/437)76% (249/327)
Long passes
47% (31/66)52% (32/62)
Passes in final third
62% (59/95)63% (91/145)
Crosses
31% (4/13)21% (6/28)
Expected assists (xA)
1.081.28
Throw-ins
1633
Fouls
1410
Tackles
94% (16/17)67% (8/12)
Duels won
4736
Clearances
3012
Interceptions
66
Errors leading to shot
00
Errors leading to goal
00
Goalkeeper Saves
33
xGOT faced
0.881.24
Goals prevented
-0.120.24

Key Moments

Here there are
  • 1st Half (0 - 0)
  • 18', Torrico D. 🟨,
  • 33', Robson 🟨,
  • 43', Machado C. 🟨,
  • 2nd Half (1 - 1)
  • 46', Robson , Pardo E. ,
  • 46', Barron A. , Guillermo A. ,
  • 46', Corrales R. , Mamani J. ,
  • 50', 1 - 0, Bobadilla H. (Pen),
  • 56', Sanchez A. , Amarilla A. ,
  • 56', Chumacero A. 🟨,
  • 64', Cardenas L. 🟨,
  • 73', Amarilla A. 🟥,
  • 75', Viviani L. , Sejas A. ,
  • 79', Ancieta C. , Rodriguez L. ,
  • 80', Pardo E. 🟨,
  • 82', 1 - 1, Ramallo R. ,
  • 90+1', Machado C. 🟨,

Chances of winning


Jorge Wilstermann
30.4%
Draw
27.1%
Aurora
42.5%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)
38.8% 25.5% 35.8%

Our Initial ML Estimation

38.5% 25.3% 36.1%


Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

  • Jorge Wilstermann has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-8.4%)
  • Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, indicating that Jorge Wilstermann's form might have worsened.
  • Aurora has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+6.7%)
  • Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting Aurora's recent form is better than expected.
  • ML Model estimates a higher probability for Jorge Wilstermann than the current prediction. (+8.1%)
  • Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests a strong performance forecast for Jorge Wilstermann, possibly due to key factors that the model accounted for.
  • ML Model estimates a lower probability for Aurora than the current prediction. (-6.4%)
  • Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests a potential downturn for Aurora, possibly due to injuries or other negative factors.
  • Jorge Wilstermann - Aurora Odds

    1 X 2 Marga
    Avarage Now
    (Initially)
    3.01
    (2.4)
    3.44
    (3.65)
    2.18
    (2.6)
    8.1%
    (7.5%)

  • The most likely Over/Under: 2.50
  • What is the prediction for Jorge Wilstermann - Aurora?
  • Users Predictions: Aurora will win (7 of 8 users predict this - 87.5%).
    Confidence interval (95%): 64.58%100%.
  • The most likely score by Bookmakers is 1:1.
  • Preview Facts
    • In this match, only outsiders will meet (ranked 15 in the zone Division Profesional (Relegation) and 16 in the zone Relegation).
    • In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Wilstermann won 1.
    • Recent form of Wilstermann has been disappointing (last 5 games: 1 wins).
    • Aurora's form has been unstable in recent games (in the last 5 games, wins – 2).
    • Wilstermann may face physical challenges compared to their opponent, as they have played more matches in recent days.
    • Aurora could have a small edge in this match.
    • In the last 20 head-to-head matches, Wilstermann won 7 matches, drew 6 matches, lost 7 matches, and goals 27:23. (average 1.4:1.2).
    • Including home matches between the teams, Wilstermann won 5 matches, drew 3 matches, lost 2 matches, and goals 17:10. (average 1.7:1).
    What were the results of their latest head-to-head matches?
    The latest head-to-head matches between Jorge Wilstermann - Aurora were as follows:
    08.12.2024 Jorge Wilstermann - Aurora 1:3
    15.11.2024 Jorge Wilstermann - Aurora 3:0
    11.08.2024 Aurora - Jorge Wilstermann 0:0
    10.03.2024 Jorge Wilstermann - Aurora 1:1
    25.02.2024 Aurora - Jorge Wilstermann 1:0
    Latest results of Jorge Wilstermann
    Latest results of Aurora
    14.06.2025 Aurora - GVCD San José 3:1
    16.05.2025 Nacional Potosí - Aurora 3:1
    11.05.2025 Aurora - Bolívar 0:2
    03.05.2025 Real Tomayapo - Aurora 0:0
    Bolivian Division Profesional Table
    2025
    PlWDLDiffPts
    1Always Ready1183036:122427
    2The Strongest1181231:171425
    3Bolivar1263329:161321
    4Blooming1163224:17721
    5GV San Jose1252516:20-417
    6Oriente Petrolero1143417:20-315
    7SA Bulo Bulo1235420:24-414
    8Tomayapo1227314:16-213
    9Universitario de Vinto1034312:16-413
    10Academia del Balompie103349:15-612
    11Guabira1132618:28-1011
    12Nacional Potosi1024411:11010
    13Independiente1024416:20-410
    14Real Oruro1115512:17-58
    15Wilstermann111287:25-185
    16Aurora1143422:202-18

          Promotion ~ Copa Libertadores (Group Stage: )
          Promotion ~ Copa Libertadores (Qualification: )
          Promotion ~ Copa Sudamericana (Qualification: )
          Division Profesional (Relegation)
          Relegation

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