Jordan Thompson vs August Holmgren: Where to Watch, Predictions, Stats

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Tennis ATP Shanghai Jordan Thompson - August Holmgren
Result
2:1
01/10/2025 at 02:00 (Time Zone – GMT-4 (America/New_York))
  • ATP - SINGLES: Shanghai, hard - 1/64-finals
Jordan Thompson - August Holmgren - Gamble Responsibly 18+
00:00 / 90:00
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Match Stats

Aces
108
Double Faults
14
1st Serve Percentage
61%60%
1st Serve Points Won
80% (43/54)81% (38/47)
2nd Serve Points Won
57% (20/35)48% (15/31)
Break Points Saved
80% (4/5)50% (2/4)
1st Return Points Won
19% (9/47)20% (11/54)
2nd Return Points Won
52% (16/31)43% (15/35)
Break Points Converted
50% (2/4)20% (1/5)
Service Points Won
71% (63/89)68% (53/78)
Return Points Won
32% (25/78)29% (26/89)
Total Points Won
53% (88/167)47% (79/167)
Last 10 Balls
64
Match Points Saved
01
Service Games Won
93% (14/15)86% (12/14)
Return Games Won
14% (2/14)7% (1/15)
Total Games Won
55% (16/29)45% (13/29)

Chances of winning


Jordan Thompson
61.8%
August Holmgren
38.2%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)
63.9% 36.1%

Our Initial ML Estimation

63.7% 36.3%


Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

  • Jordan Thompson has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-2.1%)
  • August Holmgren has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+2.1%)
  • ML Model estimates a higher probability for Jordan Thompson than the current prediction. (+1.9%)
  • ML Model estimates a lower probability for August Holmgren than the current prediction. (-1.9%)
  • Jordan Thompson - August Holmgren Odds

    1 X 2 Marga
    Avarage Now
    (Initially)
    1.73
    (1.43)

    2.62
    (2.53)
    -3.9%
    (9.5%)
    What is the prediction for Jordan Thompson - August Holmgren?
  • Users Predictions: 8 users predict this event. Jordan Thompson will win (votes: 3 - 37.5%). Holmgren will win (votes: 5 - 62.5%).
    Confidence interval (95%) for Holmgren: 29%96%.
  • High ROI Users Predictions (ROI>2%): 1 high ROI users predict this event. Jordan Thompson (votes: 1 - 100%).
  • The most likely score by Bookmakers is 2:0.
  • Preview Facts
    • Jordan Thompson is ranked ATP: 78. Holmgren is ranked ATP: 176.
    • Recent form of Jordan Thompson has been disappointing (last 5 games: 1 wins).
    • In recent matches, Holmgren has shown inconsistent performance (in the last 5 games, wins – 2).
    • Jordan Thompson may have a physical advantage due to more rest days in recent times.
    • In this match, Jordan Thompson is a strong favorite.
    • In the last 1 head-to-head match, Jordan Thompson won 0 matches, drew 0 matches, lost 1 match, and goals 0:2.
    Latest results of Jordan Thompson
    Latest results of August Holmgren
    Draw
    Singles - Main

    1/64-finals
    1Moutet C. (33)Bye
    2Tien L.Kecmanovic M.
    3Cazaux A.Martinez P.2 : 1
    4ByeNorrie C. (30)
    5Davidovich Fokina A. (18)Bye
    6Arnaldi M.Sakamoto R. (Q)2 : 0
    7Wu Y. (RET.) (WC)Svrcina D. (Q)0 : 1
    8ByeMedvedev D. (16)
    9Khachanov K. (9)Bye
    10Kovacevic A.Shang J. (WC)1 : 2
    11Van De Zandschulp B.Borges N.0 : 2
    12ByeTsitsipas S. (24)
    13Nakashima B. (29)Bye
    14Majchrzak K.Quinn E.2 : 0
    15Ugo Carabelli C.Atmane T. (RET.)0 : 0
    16ByeDe Minaur A. (7)
    17Zverev A. (3)Bye
    18Royer V. (Q)Navone M.2 : 1
    19Rinderknech A.Medjedovic H. (RET.)0 : 1
    20ByeMichelsen A. (28)
    21Shapovalov D. (23)Bye
    22Dzumhur D.O'Connell C.0 : 2
    23McDonald M. (LL)Halys Q.0 : 2
    24ByeLehecka J. (15)
    25Auger-Aliassime F. (12)Bye
    26Giron M.Tabilo A. (Q)0 : 2
    27Zhou Y. (WC)De Jong J.1 : 2
    28ByeMensik J. (17)
    29Darderi L. (26)Bye
    30Bu Y.Cerundolo J. M.2 : 1
    31Comesana F.Blanchet U. (Q)2 : 0
    32ByeMusetti L. (8)
    33Shelton B. (6)Bye
    34Goffin D.Muller A.2 : 1
    35Opelka R.Bonzi B.0 : 2
    36ByeDiallo G. (31)
    37Cerundolo F. (19)Bye
    38Mannarino A.Berrettini M.2 : 0
    39Korda S.Bergs Z.0 : 2
    40ByeRuud C. (11)
    41Rublev A. (13)Bye
    42Nishioka Y. (Q)Shevchenko A.2 : 0
    43Munar J.Fucsovics M.2 : 1
    44ByeCobolli F. (22)
    45Tiafoe F. (25)Bye
    46Sonego L.Hanfmann Y. (Q)1 : 2
    47Cilic M.Basilashvili N. (Q)2 : 0
    48ByeDjokovic N. (4)
    49Fritz T. (5)Bye
    50Marozsan F.Wawrinka S. (WC)2 : 1
    51Ofner S. (PR)Nardi L.1 : 2
    52ByeMpetshi Perricard G. (32)
    53Humbert U. (21)Bye
    54Thompson J.Holmgren A. (Q)2 : 1
    55Zhang Z. (WC)Baez S.1 : 2
    56ByeRune H. (10)
    57Bublik A. (14)Bye
    58Djere L.Vacherot V. (Q)0 : 2
    59Walton A.Bellucci M.0 : 2
    60ByeMachac T. (20)
    61Griekspoor T. (27)Bye
    62Brooksby J. (PR)Trotter J. K. (Q)2 : 0
    63Schoolkate T. (Q)Altmaier D.0 : 2
    64ByeSinner J. (2)

    1/32-finals
    1Moutet C. (33)TBD #2
    2Cazaux A.Norrie C. (30)
    3Davidovich Fokina A. (18)Arnaldi M.
    4Svrcina D.Medvedev D. (16)
    5Khachanov K. (9)Shang J.
    6Borges N.Tsitsipas S. (24)
    7Nakashima B. (29)Majchrzak K.
    8Ugo Carabelli C.De Minaur A. (7)
    9Zverev A. (3)Royer V.
    10Rinderknech A.Michelsen A. (28)
    11Shapovalov D. (23)O'Connell C.
    12Halys Q.Lehecka J. (15)
    13Auger-Aliassime F. (12)Tabilo A.
    14De Jong J.Mensik J. (17)
    15Darderi L. (26)Bu Y.
    16Comesana F.Musetti L. (8)
    17Shelton B. (6)Goffin D.
    18Bonzi B.Diallo G. (31)
    19Cerundolo F. (19)Mannarino A.
    20Bergs Z.Ruud C. (11)
    21Rublev A. (13)Nishioka Y.
    22Munar J.Cobolli F. (22)
    23Tiafoe F. (25)Hanfmann Y.
    24Cilic M.Djokovic N. (4)
    25Fritz T. (5)Marozsan F.
    26Nardi L.Mpetshi Perricard G. (32)
    27Humbert U. (21)Thompson J.
    28Baez S.Rune H. (10)
    29Bublik A. (14)Vacherot V.
    30Bellucci M.Machac T. (20)
    31Griekspoor T. (27)Brooksby J.
    32Altmaier D.Sinner J. (2)

    1/16-finals
    1TBD #1TBD #2
    2TBD #3TBD #4
    3TBD #5TBD #6
    4TBD #7TBD #8
    5TBD #9TBD #10
    6TBD #11TBD #12
    7TBD #13TBD #14
    8TBD #15TBD #16
    9TBD #17TBD #18
    10TBD #19TBD #20
    11TBD #21TBD #22
    12TBD #23TBD #24
    13TBD #25TBD #26
    14TBD #27TBD #28
    15TBD #29TBD #30
    16TBD #31TBD #32

    1/8-finals
    1TBD #1TBD #2
    2TBD #3TBD #4
    3TBD #5TBD #6
    4TBD #7TBD #8
    5TBD #9TBD #10
    6TBD #11TBD #12
    7TBD #13TBD #14
    8TBD #15TBD #16

    Quarter-finals
    1TBD #1TBD #2
    2TBD #3TBD #4
    3TBD #5TBD #6
    4TBD #7TBD #8

    Semi-finals
    1TBD #1TBD #2
    2TBD #3TBD #4

    Final
    1TBD #1TBD #2
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