Jong Ajax vs Helmond Sport: Where to Watch, Predictions, Stats

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Soccer Dutch Eerste Divisie Jong Ajax - Helmond Sport
Result
1:0
28/04/2025 at 14:00 (Time Zone – GMT-4 (America/New_York))
  • : Eerste Divisie - Round 36
Jong Ajax - Helmond Sport - Gamble Responsibly 18+
00:00 / 90:00
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Match Stats

Expected Goals (xG)
0.620.34
Ball Possession
47%53%
Total shots
96
Shots on target
42
Big Chances
01
Corner Kicks
53
Passes
81% (281/345)82% (323/393)
Yellow Cards
21
Expected Goals (xG)
0.620.34
xG on target (xGOT)
0.600.12
Total shots
96
Shots on target
42
Shots off target
53
Blocked Shots
01
Shots inside the Box
52
Shots outside the Box
43
Hit the Woodwork
01
Big Chances
01
Corner Kicks
53
Touches in opposition box
239
Accurate through passes
00
Offsides
31
Free Kicks
1011
Passes
81% (281/345)82% (323/393)
Long passes
42% (20/48)52% (33/64)
Passes in final third
74% (86/117)60% (30/50)
Crosses
13% (2/16)18% (2/11)
Expected assists (xA)
0.690.34
Throw-ins
2214
Fouls
1110
Tackles
67% (10/15)100% (6/6)
Duels won
3126
Clearances
1118
Interceptions
88
Errors leading to shot
00
Errors leading to goal
00
Goalkeeper Saves
23
xGOT faced
0.120.60
Goals prevented
0.12-0.33

Key Moments

Here there are
  • 1st Half (0 - 0)
  • 15', Verkuijl M. 🟨,
  • 30', Van Den Eynden F. 🟨,
  • 2nd Half (1 - 0)
  • 46', Bisselink S. , Essakkati T. ,
  • 61', Ingason H. , Golliard T. ,
  • 61', Ostrc E. , Doudah M. ,
  • 71', Wolff K. , Rijkhoff J. ,
  • 72', Absalem A. , Van Hove B. ,
  • 77', 🟨,
  • 85', 1 - 0, Janse D. ,

Highlights

Chances of winning


Jong Ajax
43.1%
Draw
25.3%
Helmond Sport
31.7%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)
36.7% 25.4% 37.9%

Our Initial ML Estimation

36.2% 25.8% 38.4%


Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

  • Jong Ajax has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+6.4%)
  • Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting increased confidence in Jong Ajax's performance.
  • Helmond Sport has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-6.2%)
  • Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, and Helmond Sport might be facing challenges that affect their performance.
  • ML Model estimates a lower probability for Jong Ajax than the current prediction. (-6.9%)
  • Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests that there may be underlying issues with Jong Ajax that the model has picked up on.
  • ML Model estimates a higher probability for Helmond Sport than the current prediction. (+6.7%)
  • Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests that Helmond Sport could outperform expectations, possibly based on recent matchups or player stats.
  • Jong Ajax - Helmond Sport Odds

    1 X 2 Marga
    Avarage Now
    (Initially)
    2.17
    (2.58)
    3.72
    (3.72)
    2.95
    (2.49)
    6.9%
    (5.8%)

  • The most likely Over/Under: 3.00
  • What is the prediction for Jong Ajax - Helmond Sport?
    The most likely score is 1:1. User prediction is will win! ( of users predict this).
    Preview Facts
    • An autsider and a mid-table team will play in this game (ranked 17 and 11).
    • Last 5 head-to-head matches Jong Ajax won 1.
    • Jong Ajax has a chain of defeats in the last matches (in the last 5 games wins - 0).
    • Recent matches Helmond Sport is playing uncertain (in the last 5 games wins - 0).
    • Jong Ajax could have problems with physics compare with it opponent - last days they played more matches than their opponents.
    • In this match the chances to win of both teams are almost equal.
    • There will not play in Helmond Sport: Ludwig M. (Knee Injury)
    • Last 20 head-to-head matches Jong Ajax won 9 matches, drawn 7 matches, lost 4 matches and goals 36:24 (average 1.8:1.2).
    • Including matches at home between the teams Jong Ajax won 4 matches, drawn 4 matches, lost 2 matches and goals 15:9 (average 1.5:0.9).
    What were the results of their latest head-to-head matches?
    The latest head-to-head matches between Jong Ajax - Helmond Sport were as follows:
    04.10.2024 Helmond Sport - Jong Ajax 1:1
    19.04.2024 Helmond Sport - Jong Ajax 3:1
    27.11.2023 Jong Ajax - Helmond Sport 4:1
    27.01.2023 Helmond Sport - Jong Ajax 1:1
    07.10.2022 Jong Ajax - Helmond Sport 0:1
    Latest results of Jong Ajax
    19.04.2025 De Graafschap - Jong Ajax 2:0
    14.04.2025 Jong Ajax - Vitesse 1:1
    04.04.2025 Dordrecht - Jong Ajax 3:0
    31.03.2025 Jong Ajax - Volendam 0:2
    11.03.2025 Jong Ajax - Emmen 0:2
    Latest results of Helmond Sport
    18.04.2025 Helmond Sport - Cambuur 1:1
    13.04.2025 VVV-Venlo - Helmond Sport 4:1
    05.04.2025 Helmond Sport - Telstar 2:2
    14.03.2025 Helmond Sport - Jong PSV 1:1
    Draw
    Promotion

    Quarter-finals
    1De GraafschapDordrecht0 : 2, 0 : 0
    2ByeWillem II
    3TelstarDen Haag1 : 0, 2 : 0
    4Den BoschCambuur1 : 1, 1 : 0

    Semi-finals
    1DordrechtWillem II
    2TelstarDen Bosch0 : 0
    Which TV channels are streaming of Jong Ajax - Helmond Sport?
    It is being streamed on various channels, including:
    netherlandsNetherlandsCanal+, ESPN 3
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