Result
2:1
27/07/2025 at 15:00 (Time Zone – GMT-4 (America/New_York))
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Match Stats
| |
|---|
| Ball Possession |
|---|
| 55% | 45% |
| Total shots |
|---|
| 7 | 6 |
| Shots on target |
|---|
| 4 | 4 |
| Corner Kicks |
|---|
| 12 | 5 |
| Total shots |
|---|
| 7 | 6 |
| Shots on target |
|---|
| 4 | 4 |
| Shots off target |
|---|
| 3 | 2 |
| Corner Kicks |
|---|
| 12 | 5 |
| Goalkeeper Saves |
|---|
| 3 | 2 |
Key Moments
Here there are
- 1st Half (0 - 1)
- 16', 0 - 1, Yuri Souza ⚽,
- 2nd Half (2 - 0)
- 67', 1 - 1, Allan ⚽,
- 80', 2 - 1, Marcio Jonatan (Pen),
Chances of winning
Guarany de Bagé
30% | Draw
30.2% | Joinville
39.9% |
Initial Probability
(when we started the analysis)
Our Initial ML Estimation
Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:
Guarany de Bagé has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-5%)Joinville has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+3.9%)ML Model estimates a higher probability for Guarany de Bagé than the current prediction. (+6.2%)Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests a strong performance forecast for Guarany de Bagé, possibly due to key factors that the model accounted for.ML Model estimates a lower probability for Joinville than the current prediction. (-5.1%)Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests a potential downturn for Joinville, possibly due to injuries or other negative factors.
Guarany de Bagé - Joinville Odds
|
1 |
X |
2 |
Marga |
|
Avarage Now
(Initially) |
3.07 ↑
(2.58) |
3.05 ↓
(3.12) |
2.31 ↓
(2.51) |
8.8%
(10.8%) | |
The most likely Over/Under: 1.75
Preview Facts
- The game will be played between two neighbours in the standings (ranked 5 and 3 in the zone Promotion ~ Serie D (Play Offs: 1/16~finals))
- Joinville is Qualified for Serie D (Play Offs 1/16~finals)
- Guarany de Bagé is currently in amazing form (last 5 games: 3 wins).
- Joinville's form has been unstable in recent games (in the last 5 games, wins – 1).
- In this match, both teams are almost equally likely to win.
- In the last 1 head-to-head match, Guarany de Bagé won 0 matches, drew 0 matches, lost 1 match, and goals 0:1.
How many head-to-head matches has Guarany de Bagé won against Joinville?
Guarany de Bagé has won 0 of their last 1 head-to-head matches.
How many head-to-head matches has Joinville won against Guarany de Bagé?
Joinville has won 1 of their last 1 head-to-head matches.
What were the results of their latest head-to-head matches?
The latest head-to-head matches between Guarany de Bagé - Joinville were as follows:
19.04.2025
Joinville
-
Guarany de Bagé
1:0
Latest results of Guarany de Bagé
Latest results of Joinville
Draw
Play Offs1/16-finals| 1 | Lagarto | Central SC | 2 : 2, 0 : 1 |
| 2 | Tuna Luso | Maranhao | 2 : 0, 1 : 4 |
| 3 | ASA | Ferroviario | 2 : 0, 1 : 0 |
| 4 | Manauara | Sampaio Correa | 1 : 0, 1 : 1 |
| 5 | AE Altos | Independencia | 3 : 1, 5 : 1 |
| 6 | Santa Cruz | Sergipe | 3 : 1, 1 : 2 |
| 7 | America RN | Juazeirense | 2 : 0, 1 : 1 |
| 8 | Imperatriz | Manaus | 1 : 2, 2 : 0 |
| 9 | Aparecidense | Marica | 2 : 2, 2 : 1 |
| 10 | EC Sao Jose | Goiatuba | 1 : 2, 1 : 1 |
| 11 | Inter de Limeira | Marcilio Dias | 2 : 1, 0 : 0 |
| 12 | Rio Branco ES | Luverdense | 3 : 0, 0 : 0 |
| 13 | Portuguesa | Mixto | 1 : 1, 0 : 1 |
| 14 | Cianorte | Joinville | 4 : 0, 1 : 1 |
| 15 | Barra FC | Cascavel | 3 : 0, 1 : 0 |
| 16 | Ceilandia | Agua Santa | 1 : 0, 1 : 1 |
1/8-finals| 1 | Central SC | Maranhao | 0 : 0, 1 : 2 |
| 2 | ASA | Manauara | 0 : 0, 1 : 0 |
| 3 | AE Altos | Santa Cruz | 0 : 1, 1 : 1 |
| 4 | America RN | Imperatriz | 0 : 0, 1 : 0 |
| 5 | Aparecidense | Goiatuba | 0 : 2, 3 : 2 |
| 6 | Inter de Limeira | Rio Branco ES | 0 : 0, 1 : 0 |
| 7 | Mixto | Cianorte | 0 : 2, 1 : 1 |
| 8 | Barra FC | Ceilandia | 1 : 0, 1 : 1 |
Quarter-finals| 1 | Maranhao | ASA | 1 : 0 |
| 2 | Santa Cruz | America RN | 1 : 0 |
| 3 | Goiatuba | Inter de Limeira | 0 : 0 |
| 4 | Cianorte | Barra FC | |
Which TV channels are streaming of Guarany de Bagé - Joinville?
It is being streamed on various channels, including:
