Brasil de Pelotas vs Joinville: Where to Watch, Predictions, Stats

Bet nowGamble Responsibly 18+
Soccer Brazilian Serie D Brasil de Pelotas - Joinville
Result
1:0
08/06/2025 at 15:00 (Time Zone – GMT-4 (America/New_York))
  • : Serie D - Round 8
Brasil de Pelotas - Joinville - Gamble Responsibly 18+
00:00 / 90:00
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Match Stats

Ball Possession
46%54%
Total shots
47
Shots on target
23
Corner Kicks
49
Total shots
47
Shots on target
23
Shots off target
24
Corner Kicks
49
Goalkeeper Saves
31

Key Moments

Here there are
  • 1st Half (1 - 0)
  • 40', 1 - 0, Alexiel ,
  • 2nd Half (0 - 0)

Chances of winning


Brasil de Pelotas
25.9%
Draw
32.2%
Joinville
41.9%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)
20.8% 31.4% 47.8%

Our Initial ML Estimation

20.5% 30.9% 48.6%


Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

  • Brasil de Pelotas has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+5.1%)
  • Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting increased confidence in Brasil de Pelotas's performance.
  • Joinville has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-5.9%)
  • Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, and Joinville might be facing challenges that affect their performance.
  • ML Model estimates a lower probability for Brasil de Pelotas than the current prediction. (-5.4%)
  • Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests that there may be underlying issues with Brasil de Pelotas that the model has picked up on.
  • ML Model estimates a higher probability for Joinville than the current prediction. (+6.7%)
  • Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests that Joinville could outperform expectations, possibly based on recent matchups or player stats.
  • Brasil de Pelotas - Joinville Odds

    1 X 2 Marga
    Avarage Now
    (Initially)
    3.5
    (4.36)
    2.81
    (2.89)
    2.16
    (1.9)
    10.4%
    (10.2%)

  • The most likely Over/Under: 1.50
  • Preview Facts
    • Let's watch a game between a leader and an outsider (ranked 8 and 1 in the zone Promotion ~ Serie D (Play Offs: 1/16~finals)).
    • Brasil de Pelotas is on a losing streak (last 5 games: 0 wins).
    • Joinville is currently in excellent shape (in the last 5 games, wins – 4).
    • Joinville might have a minor edge in this game.
    • In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Brasil de Pelotas won 2 matches, drew 2 matches, lost 1 match, and goals 4:2. (average 0.8:0.4).
    • Including home matches between the teams, Brasil de Pelotas won 2 matches, drew 0 matches, lost 0 matches, and goals 3:0. (average 1.5:0).
    What were the results of their latest head-to-head matches?
    The latest head-to-head matches between Brasil de Pelotas - Joinville were as follows:
    01.06.2025 Joinville - Brasil de Pelotas 1:0
    Latest results of Joinville
    Draw
    Play Offs

    1/16-finals
    1LagartoCentral SC2 : 2, 0 : 1
    2Tuna LusoMaranhao2 : 0, 1 : 4
    3America RNJuazeirense2 : 0, 1 : 1
    4ImperatrizManaus1 : 2, 2 : 0
    5AE AltosIndependencia3 : 1, 5 : 1
    6Santa CruzSergipe3 : 1, 1 : 2
    7ASAFerroviario2 : 0, 1 : 0
    8ManauaraSampaio Correa1 : 0, 1 : 1
    9AparecidenseMarica2 : 2, 2 : 1
    10EC Sao JoseGoiatuba1 : 2, 1 : 1
    11Inter de LimeiraMarcilio Dias2 : 1, 0 : 0
    12Rio Branco ESLuverdense3 : 0, 0 : 0
    13PortuguesaMixto1 : 1, 0 : 1
    14CianorteJoinville4 : 0, 1 : 1
    15Barra FCCascavel3 : 0, 1 : 0
    16CeilandiaAgua Santa1 : 0, 1 : 1

    1/8-finals
    1Central SCMaranhao
    2America RNImperatriz
    3AE AltosSanta Cruz
    4ASAManauara
    5AparecidenseGoiatuba
    6Inter de LimeiraRio Branco ES
    7MixtoCianorte
    8Barra FCCeilandia
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