Barra Santa Catarina vs Joinville: Where to Watch, Predictions, Stats

Bet nowGamble Responsibly 18+
Soccer Brazilian Serie D Barra Santa Catarina - Joinville
Result
1:0
30/06/2025 at 18:00 (Time Zone – GMT-4 (America/New_York))
  • : Serie D - Round 10
Barra Santa Catarina - Joinville - Gamble Responsibly 18+
00:00 / 90:00
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Match Stats

Ball Possession
51%49%
Total shots
813
Shots on target
76
Corner Kicks
51
Total shots
813
Shots on target
76
Shots off target
17
Corner Kicks
51
Goalkeeper Saves
66

Key Moments

Here there are
  • 1st Half (1 - 0)
  • 38', 1 - 0, Marcelo ,
  • 2nd Half (0 - 0)

Chances of winning


Barra Santa Catarina
41.2%
Draw
30.3%
Joinville
28.5%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)
45% 26.9% 28.1%

Our Initial ML Estimation

47.5% 28.4% 26.6%


Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

  • Barra Santa Catarina has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-3.8%)
  • Joinville has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+0.4%)
  • ML Model estimates a higher probability for Barra Santa Catarina than the current prediction. (+6.3%)
  • Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests a strong performance forecast for Barra Santa Catarina, possibly due to key factors that the model accounted for.
  • ML Model estimates a lower probability for Joinville than the current prediction. (-1.9%)
  • Barra Santa Catarina - Joinville Odds

    1 X 2 Marga
    Avarage Now
    (Initially)
    2.2
    (2)
    3
    (3.35)
    3.19
    (3.2)
    10.2%
    (11.1%)

  • The most likely Over/Under: 2.00
  • Preview Facts
    • One of today’s top clashes will feature two teams fighting for the top spots (ranked 2 in the zone Promotion ~ Serie D (Play Offs: 1/16~finals) and 1 in the zone Promotion ~ Serie D (Play Offs: 1/16~finals)).
    • In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Barra won 0.
    • Recent performances by Barra have been up and down (last 5 games: 2 wins).
    • Joinville is currently in excellent shape (in the last 5 games, wins – 4).
    • Barra may face physical challenges compared to their opponent, as they have played more matches in recent days.
    • Barra could have a small edge in this match.
    • In the last 7 head-to-head matches, Barra won 0 matches, drew 4 matches, lost 3 matches, and goals 6:9. (average 0.9:1.3).
    • Including home matches between the teams, Barra won 0 matches, drew 3 matches, lost 2 matches, and goals 5:7. (average 1:1.4).
    What were the results of their latest head-to-head matches?
    The latest head-to-head matches between Barra Santa Catarina - Joinville were as follows:
    17.05.2025 Joinville - Barra Santa Catarina 2:1
    19.01.2025 Barra Santa Catarina - Joinville 0:0
    21.09.2024 Barra Santa Catarina - Joinville 2:2
    18.02.2024 Barra Santa Catarina - Joinville 1:1
    14.09.2023 Barra Santa Catarina - Joinville 1:2
    Latest results of Joinville
    Brazilian Serie D Table
    2025

    Group 1
    PlWDLDiffPts
    1Manauara1165022:71523
    2Tuna Luso1163219:71221
    3Independencia1153315:13218
    4Manaus1144315:13216
    5Aguia De Maraba1143414:9515
    6Trem1243521:22-115
    7GAS1242616:20-414
    8Humaita11011010:41-311


    Group 2
    PlWDLDiffPts
    1AE Altos ✔ 1275022:121026
    2Sampaio Correa1254314:8619
    3Imperatriz1153313:12118
    4Iguatu1242613:14-114
    5Parnahyba1234512:17-513
    6Maranhao1127214:11313
    7Tocantinopolis1226410:16-612
    8Maracana1223711:19-89


    Group 3
    PlWDLDiffPts
    1Santa Cruz ✔ 1172216:7923
    2Central SC ✔ 1172214:6823
    3America RN1162317:8920
    4Ferroviario1142513:16-314
    5Santa Cruz de Natal114169:16-713
    6Treze PB124176:15-913
    7Sousa123279:11-211
    8Horizonte1132610:15-511


    Group 4
    PlWDLDiffPts
    1ASA ✔ 1173123:81524
    2Sergipe1153314:8618
    3Juazeirense1153311:12-118
    4Lagarto1152416:14217
    5Jequie1243515:15015
    6Uniao Carmolandense1243512:15-315
    7Barcelona112549:16-711
    8SC Penedense110473:15-124


    Group 5
    PlWDLDiffPts
    1Aparecidense ✔ 1291230:111928
    2Ceilandia ✔ 1172217:10723
    3Luverdense1162312:11120
    4Mixto1154219:13619
    5Capital113448:8013
    6Goiania112278:17-98
    7Goianesia1214710:19-97
    8Porto Velho111377:22-156


    Group 6
    PlWDLDiffPts
    1Portuguesa1273218:13524
    2Marica1254314:10419
    3Rio Branco ES1152413:9417
    4Pouso Alegre1252513:13017
    5Agua Santa1243516:17-115
    6Nova Iguacu1235411:13-214
    7Porto Vitoria1134410:11-113
    8Boavista122379:18-99


    Group 7
    PlWDLDiffPts
    1Inter de Limeira ✔ 1283118:61227
    2Goiatuba1253420:16418
    3Cascavel1245313:14-117
    4Uberlandia1244420:15516
    5Cianorte1244417:16116
    6Monte Azul1225510:15-511
    7Operario MS1225511:19-811
    8Itabirito121749:17-810


    Group 8
    PlWDLDiffPts
    1Barra FC ✔ 1172218:81023
    2Joinville1162310:7320
    3EC Sao Jose1154217:10719
    4Marcilio Dias1144314:13116
    5Sao Luiz114079:16-712
    6Guarany de Bage113356:11-512
    7Azuriz113266:10-411
    8Brasil de Pelotas113176:11-510

          Promotion ~ Serie D (Play Offs: 1/16~finals)

    Clinched Spots for Teams
    AE Altos is Qualified for Serie D (Play Offs 1/16~finals)
    Santa Cruz is Qualified for Serie D (Play Offs 1/16~finals)
    Central SC is Qualified for Serie D (Play Offs 1/16~finals)
    ASA is Qualified for Serie D (Play Offs 1/16~finals)
    Aparecidense is Qualified for Serie D (Play Offs 1/16~finals)
    Ceilandia is Qualified for Serie D (Play Offs 1/16~finals)
    Inter de Limeira is Qualified for Serie D (Play Offs 1/16~finals)
    Barra FC is Qualified for Serie D (Play Offs 1/16~finals)
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