Joao Fonseca vs Tomas Machac: Where to Watch, Predictions, Stats

27/08/2025 at 12:45 (Time Zone – GMT-4 (America/New_York))

Grandstand (New York, NY).

ATP - SINGLES: US Open, hard - 1/32-finals

Match Stats


Aces
9	3
Double Faults
4	2
1st Serve Percentage
66%	60%
1st Serve Points Won
73% (38/52)	79% (45/57)
2nd Serve Points Won
59% (16/27)	66% (25/38)
Break Points Saved
50% (3/6)	100% (4/4)
Average 1st Serve Speed
182 km/h	178 km/h
Average 2nd Serve Speed
156 km/h	143 km/h
1st Return Points Won
21% (12/57)	27% (14/52)
2nd Return Points Won
34% (13/38)	41% (11/27)
Break Points Converted
0% (0/4)	50% (3/6)
Winners
21	30
Unforced Errors
31	24
Net Points Won
67% (10/15)	86% (24/28)
Service Points Won
68% (54/79)	74% (69/93)
Return Points Won
26% (24/93)	32% (25/79)
Total Points Won
45% (78/172)	55% (94/172)
Last 10 Balls
5	5
Match Points Saved
1	0
Service Games Won
79% (11/14)	100% (15/15)
Return Games Won
0% (0/15)	21% (3/14)
Total Games Won
38% (11/29)	62% (18/29)
Distance Covered (metres)
1611	1606

Chances of winning

Joao Fonseca
50.5%

Tomas Machac
49.5%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

52%

48%

Our Initial ML Estimation

55.1%

44.9%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Joao Fonseca has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-1.5%)

Tomas Machac has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+1.5%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Joao Fonseca than the current prediction. (+4.6%)

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Tomas Machac than the current prediction. (-4.6%)

Joao Fonseca - Tomas Machac Odds

	1	X	2	Marga
Avarage Now (Initially)	1.89 ↑ (1.76)		1.9 ↓ (1.91)	5.7% (9.2%)

What is the prediction for Joao Fonseca - Tomas Machac?

Users Predictions: 28 users predict this event. Fonseca will win (votes: 15 - 53.6%). Machac will win (votes: 13 - 46.4%).
Confidence interval (95%) for Fonseca: 35.1% – 72.1%.

High ROI Users Predictions (ROI>2%): 3 high ROI users predict this event. Fonseca (votes: 1 - 33.3%). Machac (votes: 2 - 66.7%).

The most likely score by Bookmakers is 1:3.

Preview Facts

Fonseca is ranked ATP: 45. Machac is ranked ATP: 22.
Both players are showing inconsistent performances lately.
The chances of victory for both players are nearly identical in this match.
The players have not played against each other recently.

How many head-to-head matches has Joao Fonseca won against Tomas Machac?

Joao Fonseca has won of their last 0 head-to-head matches.

How many head-to-head matches has Tomas Machac won against Joao Fonseca?

Tomas Machac has won of their last 0 head-to-head matches.

What were the results of their latest head-to-head matches?

The latest head-to-head matches between Joao Fonseca - Tomas Machac were as follows:

Latest results of Joao Fonseca

25.08.2025 Joao Fonseca - Miomir Kecmanovic 3:0 ✺

11.08.2025 Joao Fonseca - Terence Atmane 0:2 ✺

09.08.2025 Alejandro Davidovich Fokina - Joao Fonseca Davidovich Fokina A. retired ✺

07.08.2025 Joao Fonseca - Bu Yunchaokete 2:1 ✺

28.07.2025 Tristan Schoolkate - Joao Fonseca 2:0 ✺

Latest results of Tomas Machac

24.08.2025 Luca Nardi - Tomas Machac 0:3 ✺

09.08.2025 Tomas Machac - Adrian Mannarino 0:2 ✺

29.07.2025 Reilly Opelka - Tomas Machac 2:1 ✺

03.07.2025 August Holmgren - Tomas Machac 3:2 ✺

01.07.2025 Damir Dzumhur - Tomas Machac 0:3 ✺

Draw

Singles - Main

1/64-finals

1	Sinner J. (1)	Kopriva V.	3 : 0
2	Popyrin A.	Ruusuvuori E.	3 : 0
3	Royer V. (WC)	Bu Y.	3 : 0
4	Fucsovics M.	Shapovalov D. (27)	0 : 3
5	Bublik A. (23)	Cilic M.	3 : 0
6	Sonego L.	Schoolkate T. (WC)	2 : 3
7	Borges N.	Holt B.	3 : 0
8	Moller E.	Paul T. (14)	0 : 3
9	Musetti L. (10)	Mpetshi Perricard G.	3 : 1
10	Halys Q.	Goffin D.	1 : 3
11	Brooksby J.	Vukic A.	3 : 2
12	Passaro F. (Q)	Cobolli F. (24)	2 : 3
13	Diallo G. (31)	Dzumhur D.	3 : 1
14	Munar J.	Faria J. (LL)	3 : 1
15	Bergs Z.	Tseng C. H.	3 : 0
16	Gomez F. A. (Q)	Draper J. (5)	1 : 3
17	Zverev A. (3)	Tabilo A.	3 : 0
18	Bautista-Agut R.	Fearnley J.	1 : 3
19	Monfils G.	Safiullin R.	2 : 3
20	Harris B. (LL)	Auger-Aliassime F. (25)	0 : 3
21	Humbert U. (22)	Walton A.	1 : 3
22	Kovacevic A.	Wong C. (Q)	0 : 3
23	Duckworth J. (LL)	Boyer T. (WC)	0 : 3
24	Prizmic D. (Q)	Rublev A. (15)	0 : 3
25	Khachanov K. (9)	Basavareddy N. (WC)	3 : 1
26	Dellien H.	Majchrzak K.	1 : 3
27	Riedi L. (Q)	Martinez P.	3 : 0
28	Arnaldi M.	Cerundolo F. (19)	2 : 3
29	Tsitsipas S. (26)	Muller A.	3 : 1
30	Altmaier D.	Medjedovic H.	3 : 2
31	Gaston H.	Mochizuki S. (Q)	0 : 3
32	O'Connell C.	De Minaur A. (8)	0 : 3
33	Djokovic N. (7)	Tien L.	3 : 0
34	Svajda Z. (Q)	Piros Z. (Q)	3 : 0
35	Norrie C.	Korda S. (RET.)	2 : 0
36	Comesana F.	Michelsen A. (28)	3 : 1
37	Tiafoe F. (17)	Nishioka Y.	3 : 0
38	Damm M. (Q)	Blanch Dar. (WC)	3 : 0
39	Struff J-L. (Q)	McDonald M.	3 : 1
40	Van De Zandschulp B.	Rune H. (11)	0 : 3
41	Mensik J. (16)	Jarry N.	3 : 0
42	Blanchet U. (Q)	Marozsan F.	3 : 1
43	Fonseca J.	Kecmanovic M.	3 : 0
44	Nardi L.	Machac T. (21)	0 : 3
45	Nakashima B. (30)	De Jong J. (Q)	3 : 2
46	Kym J. (Q)	Quinn E.	3 : 1
47	Baez S.	Harris L. (Q)	0 : 3
48	Nava E. (WC)	Fritz T. (4)	0 : 3
49	Shelton B. (6)	Buse I. (Q)	3 : 0
50	Carreno-Busta P.	Llamas Ruiz P. (Q)	3 : 0
51	Thompson J.	Moutet C.	3 : 1
52	Mannarino A.	Griekspoor T. (29)	3 : 0
53	Lehecka J. (20)	Coric B.	3 : 1
54	Ugo Carabelli C.	Etcheverry T. M.	0 : 3
55	Galan D. E. (Alt)	Collignon R.	0 : 3
56	Ofner S.	Ruud C. (12)	0 : 3
57	Medvedev D. (13)	Bonzi B.	2 : 3
58	Navone M.	Giron M.	2 : 3
59	Carballes Baena R.	Rinderknech A.	1 : 3
60	Shevchenko A.	Davidovich Fokina A. (18)	0 : 3
61	Darderi L. (32)	Hijikata R.	3 : 0
62	Dostanic S. (WC)	Spizzirri E. (WC)	0 : 3
63	Bellucci M.	Shang J. (RET.)	2 : 1
64	Opelka R.	Alcaraz C. (2)	0 : 3

1/32-finals

1	Sinner J. (1)	Popyrin A.	3 : 0
2	Royer V.	Shapovalov D. (27)	1 : 3
3	Bublik A. (23)	Schoolkate T.	3 : 0
4	Borges N.	Paul T. (14)	2 : 3
5	Musetti L. (10)	Goffin D.	3 : 0
6	Brooksby J.	Cobolli F. (24)	2 : 3
7	Diallo G. (31)	Munar J.	0 : 3
8	Bergs Z. (WO.)	Draper J. (5)
9	Zverev A. (3)	Fearnley J.	3 : 0
10	Safiullin R.	Auger-Aliassime F. (25)	0 : 3
11	Walton A.	Wong C.	1 : 3
12	Boyer T.	Rublev A. (15)	1 : 3
13	Khachanov K. (9)	Majchrzak K.	2 : 3
14	Riedi L.	Cerundolo F. (19)	3 : 2
15	Tsitsipas S. (26)	Altmaier D.	2 : 3
16	Mochizuki S.	De Minaur A. (8)	0 : 3
17	Djokovic N. (7)	Svajda Z.	3 : 1
18	Norrie C.	Comesana F.	3 : 1
19	Tiafoe F. (17)	Damm M.	3 : 1
20	Struff J-L.	Rune H. (11)	3 : 2
21	Mensik J. (16)	Blanchet U.	2 : 3
22	Fonseca J.	Machac T. (21)	0 : 3
23	Nakashima B. (30)	Kym J.	2 : 3
24	Harris L.	Fritz T. (4)	1 : 3
25	Shelton B. (6)	Carreno-Busta P.	3 : 0
26	Thompson J.	Mannarino A.	1 : 3
27	Lehecka J. (20)	Etcheverry T. M.	3 : 1
28	Collignon R.	Ruud C. (12)	3 : 2
29	Bonzi B.	Giron M.	3 : 2
30	Rinderknech A.	Davidovich Fokina A. (18)	3 : 2
31	Darderi L. (32)	Spizzirri E.	3 : 1
32	Bellucci M.	Alcaraz C. (2)	0 : 3

1/16-finals

1	Sinner J. (1)	Shapovalov D. (27)	3 : 1
2	Bublik A. (23)	Paul T. (14)
3	Musetti L. (10)	Cobolli F. (RET.) (24)	2 : 0
4	Munar J.	Bergs Z.	3 : 0
5	Zverev A. (3)	Auger-Aliassime F. (25)
6	Wong C.	Rublev A. (15)	2 : 3
7	Majchrzak K. (RET.)	Riedi L.	0 : 0
8	Altmaier D. (RET.)	De Minaur A. (8)	1 : 2
9	Djokovic N. (7)	Norrie C.	3 : 1
10	Tiafoe F. (17)	Struff J-L.	0 : 3
11	Blanchet U.	Machac T. (21)	0 : 3
12	Kym J.	Fritz T. (4)	1 : 3
13	Shelton B. (RET.) (6)	Mannarino A.	2 : 2
14	Lehecka J. (20)	Collignon R.	3 : 0
15	Bonzi B.	Rinderknech A.	1 : 3
16	Darderi L. (32)	Alcaraz C. (2)	0 : 3

1/8-finals

1	Sinner J. (1)	TBD #2
2	Musetti L. (10)	Munar J.
3	TBD #5	Rublev A. (15)
4	Riedi L.	De Minaur A. (8)
5	Djokovic N. (7)	Struff J-L.
6	Machac T. (21)	Fritz T. (4)
7	Mannarino A.	Lehecka J. (20)
8	Rinderknech A.	Alcaraz C. (2)

Quarter-finals

1	TBD #1	TBD #2
2	TBD #3	TBD #4
3	TBD #5	TBD #6
4	TBD #7	TBD #8

Semi-finals

1	TBD #1	TBD #2
2	TBD #3	TBD #4

Final

1

TBD #1

TBD #2

Which TV channels are streaming of Joao Fonseca - Tomas Machac?

It is being streamed on various channels, including:


Belgium	HBO Max, HBO Max
Bosnia-and-herzegovina	HBO Max
Bulgaria	HBO Max
Croatia	HBO Max
Czech-republic	HBO Max
Denmark	HBO Max
Finland	HBO Max
France	HBO Max
Hungary	HBO Max
Moldova	HBO Max
Montenegro	HBO Max
Netherlands	HBO Max
North-macedonia	HBO Max
Norway	HBO Max
Poland	HBO Max
Romania	HBO Max
Serbia	HBO Max
Slovenia	HBO Max
Spain	HBO Max
Sweden	HBO Max