Joao Fonseca vs Mariano Navone: Where to Watch, Predictions, Stats

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Tennis ATP Buenos Aires Joao Fonseca - Mariano Navone
Result
2:1
14/02/2025 at 13:40 (Time Zone – GMT-5 (America/New_York))
  • ATP - SINGLES: Buenos Aires (Argentina), clay - Quarter-finals
Joao Fonseca - Mariano Navone - Gamble Responsibly 18+
00:00 / 90:00
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Match Stats

Aces
102
Double Faults
30
1st Serve Percentage
66%60%
1st Serve Points Won
60% (44/73)49% (30/61)
2nd Serve Points Won
49% (18/37)71% (29/41)
Break Points Saved
64% (9/14)50% (6/12)
1st Return Points Won
51% (31/61)40% (29/73)
2nd Return Points Won
29% (12/41)51% (19/37)
Break Points Converted
50% (6/12)36% (5/14)
Service Points Won
56% (62/110)58% (59/102)
Return Points Won
42% (43/102)44% (48/110)
Total Points Won
50% (105/212)50% (107/212)
Last 10 Balls
73
Match Points Saved
22
Service Games Won
67% (10/15)63% (10/16)
Return Games Won
38% (6/16)33% (5/15)
Total Games Won
52% (16/31)48% (15/31)

Chances of winning


Joao Fonseca
59.8%
Mariano Navone
40.2%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)
63.5% 36.5%

Our Initial ML Estimation

64% 36%


Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

  • Joao Fonseca has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-3.7%)
  • Mariano Navone has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+3.7%)
  • ML Model estimates a higher probability for Joao Fonseca than the current prediction. (+4.2%)
  • ML Model estimates a lower probability for Mariano Navone than the current prediction. (-4.2%)
  • Joao Fonseca - Mariano Navone Odds

    1 X 2 Marga
    Avarage Now
    (Initially)
    1.59
    (1.5)

    2.36
    (2.6)
    5.2%
    (5.2%)
    What is the prediction for Joao Fonseca - Mariano Navone?
  • Users Predictions: 17 users predict this event. Fonseca will win (votes: 5 - 29.4%). Navone will win (votes: 12 - 70.6%).
    Confidence interval (95%) for Navone: 48.9%92.3%.
  • The most likely score by Bookmakers is 2:0.
  • Preview Facts
    • Fonseca is ranked ATP: 99. Navone is ranked ATP: 47.
    • Both players are now playing unstable.
    • Navone could have advantage in physics - more days for rest in last days.
    • Last 2 head-to-head matches Fonseca won 1 matches, drawn 0 matches, lost 1 matches and goals 3:3 (average 1.5:1.5).
    What were the results of their latest head-to-head matches?
    The latest head-to-head matches between Joao Fonseca - Mariano Navone were as follows:
    23.02.2024 Joao Fonseca - Mariano Navone 1:2
    17.11.2022 Joao Fonseca - Mariano Navone 2:1
    Latest results of Joao Fonseca
    Latest results of Mariano Navone
    Draw
    Singles - Main

    1/16-finals
    1Zverev A. (1)Bye
    2Carballes Baena R.Lajovic D.0 : 2
    3Burruchaga R. A. (Q)Cerundolo J. M. (Q)1 : 2
    4Darderi L.Cerundolo F. (5)0 : 2
    5Musetti L. (3)Bye
    6Moutet C.Nagal S. (LL)2 : 0
    7Dzumhur D.Martinez P.1 : 2
    8Schwartzman D. (WC)Jarry N. (7)2 : 1
    9Baez S. (6)Ugo Carabelli C. (WC)2 : 0
    10Diaz Acosta F.Seyboth Wild T.1 : 2
    11Muller A.Djere L. (Q)0 : 2
    12ByeTabilo A. (4)
    13Etcheverry T. M. (8)Fonseca J.0 : 2
    14Gaston H.Coria F. (LL)0 : 2
    15Navone M.Comesana F. (WC)2 : 0
    16ByeRune H. (2)

    1/8-finals
    1Zverev A. (1)Lajovic D.2 : 0
    2Cerundolo J. M.Cerundolo F. (5)0 : 2
    3Musetti L. (3)Moutet C.2 : 0
    4Martinez P.Schwartzman D.2 : 0
    5Baez S. (6)Seyboth Wild T.0 : 2
    6Djere L.Tabilo A. (4)2 : 1
    7Fonseca J.Coria F.2 : 1
    8Navone M.Rune H. (2)2 : 0

    Quarter-finals
    1Zverev A. (1)Cerundolo F. (5)1 : 2
    2Musetti L. (3)Martinez P. (WO.)
    3Seyboth Wild T.Djere L.0 : 2
    4Fonseca J.Navone M.2 : 1

    Semi-finals
    1Cerundolo F. (5)Martinez P.2 : 0
    2Djere L.Fonseca J.1 : 2

    Final
    1Cerundolo F. (5)Fonseca J.0 : 2
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