Result
2:1
08/04/2026 at 06:45 (Time Zone – GMT-4 (America/New_York))
- ATP - SINGLES: Monte Carlo, clay - 1/16-finals
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Match Stats
| |
|---|
| Aces |
|---|
| 3 | 5 |
| Double Faults |
|---|
| 3 | 3 |
| 1st serve percentage |
|---|
| 68% | 58% |
| 1st serve points won |
|---|
| 70% (50/71) | 75% (40/53) |
| 2nd serve points won |
|---|
| 58% (19/33) | 56% (22/39) |
| Break Points Saved |
|---|
| 10/12 | 4/7 |
| 1st return points won |
|---|
| 25% (13/53) | 30% (21/71) |
| 2nd return points won |
|---|
| 44% (17/39) | 42% (14/33) |
| Break Points Converted |
|---|
| 3/7 | 2/12 |
| Winners |
|---|
| 25 | 32 |
| Unforced errors |
|---|
| 23 | 30 |
| Net points won |
|---|
| 50% (8/16) | 96% (22/23) |
| Service Points Won |
|---|
| 66% (69/104) | 67% (62/92) |
| Return Points Won |
|---|
| 33% (30/92) | 34% (35/104) |
| Total Points Won |
|---|
| 51% (99/196) | 49% (97/196) |
| Last 10 balls |
|---|
| 7 | 3 |
| Match points saved |
|---|
| 0 | 0 |
| Service games won |
|---|
| 88% (14/16) | 80% (12/15) |
| Return games won |
|---|
| 20% (3/15) | 13% (2/16) |
| Total games won |
|---|
| 55% (17/31) | 45% (14/31) |
Chances of winning
Joao Fonseca
75.5% | Arthur Rinderknech
24.5% |
Initial Probability
(when we started the analysis)
Our Initial ML Estimation
Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:
Joao Fonseca has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+7.8%)Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting increased confidence in Joao Fonseca's performance.Arthur Rinderknech has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-7.8%)Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, and Arthur Rinderknech might be facing challenges that affect their performance.ML Model estimates a lower probability for Joao Fonseca than the current prediction. (-7.3%)Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests that there may be underlying issues with Joao Fonseca that the model has picked up on.ML Model estimates a higher probability for Arthur Rinderknech than the current prediction. (+7.3%)Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests that Arthur Rinderknech could outperform expectations, possibly based on recent matchups or player stats.
Joao Fonseca - Arthur Rinderknech Odds
|
1 |
X |
2 |
Marga |
|
Avarage Now
(Initially) |
1.27 ↓
(1.41) |
|
3.87 ↑
(2.96) |
4.7%
(4.7%) | |
What is the prediction for Joao Fonseca - Arthur Rinderknech?
- Users Predictions:
21 users predict this event. Fonseca will win (votes: 19 - 90.5%). Rinderknech will win (votes: 2 - 9.5%).
Confidence interval (95%) for Fonseca: 78% – 100%. - High ROI Users Predictions (ROI>2%): Joao Fonseca will win (6 of 6 users predict this - 100%) 🥈 Silver Tip.
- The most likely score by Bookmakers is 2:0.
Preview Facts
- Fonseca is ranked ATP: 40. Rinderknech is ranked ATP: 27.
- In recent matches, Fonseca has shown inconsistent form (last 5 games: 3 wins).
- Rinderknech is going through a rough patch (in the last 5 games, wins – 1).
- In this match, Fonseca is seen as the favorite.
- In recent times, the players did not meet on the field.
How many head-to-head matches has Joao Fonseca won against Arthur Rinderknech?
Joao Fonseca has won of their last 0 head-to-head matches.
How many head-to-head matches has Arthur Rinderknech won against Joao Fonseca?
Arthur Rinderknech has won of their last 0 head-to-head matches.
What were the results of their latest head-to-head matches?
The latest head-to-head matches between Joao Fonseca - Arthur Rinderknech were as follows:
Latest results of Joao Fonseca
Latest results of Arthur Rinderknech
Draw
Singles - Main1/32-finals| 1 | Alcaraz C. (1) | Bye | |
| 2 | Baez S. | Wawrinka S. (WC) | 2 : 0 |
| 3 | Etcheverry T. M. | Dimitrov G. | 2 : 1 |
| 4 | Atmane T. | Quinn E. (LL) | 2 : 0 |
| 5 | Lehecka J. (11) | Nava E. (Q) | 2 : 1 |
| 6 | Fucsovics M. | Tabilo A. | 0 : 2 |
| 7 | Monfils G. (WC) | Griekspoor T. | 2 : 1 |
| 8 | Bye | Bublik A. (8) | |
| 9 | Musetti L. (4) | Bye | |
| 10 | Vacherot V. | Cerundolo J. M. (Q) | 2 : 1 |
| 11 | Dzumhur D. (LL) | Marozsan F. | 0 : 2 |
| 12 | Hurkacz H. (PR) | Darderi L. (15) | 2 : 1 |
| 13 | Cobolli F. (10) | Comesana F. (Q) | 2 : 1 |
| 14 | Shapovalov D. | Blockx A. (Q) | 1 : 2 |
| 15 | Norrie C. | Kecmanovic M. | 2 : 1 |
| 16 | Bye | De Minaur A. (5) | |
| 17 | Medvedev D. (7) | Bye | |
| 18 | Bautista-Agut R. (RET.) (LL) | Berrettini M. (WC) | 0 : 0 |
| 19 | Fonseca J. | Diallo G. | 2 : 0 |
| 20 | Rinderknech A. | Khachanov K. (12) | 2 : 0 |
| 21 | Rublev A. (13) | Borges N. | 2 : 1 |
| 22 | Bergs Z. | Mannarino A. | 2 : 0 |
| 23 | Garin C. (Q) | Arnaldi M. (LL) | 2 : 0 |
| 24 | Bye | Zverev A. (3) | |
| 25 | Auger-Aliassime F. (6) | Bye | |
| 26 | Cilic M. | Shevchenko A. (Q) | 2 : 0 |
| 27 | Moutet C. | Muller A. (Q) | 2 : 0 |
| 28 | Popyrin A. | Ruud C. (9) | 0 : 2 |
| 29 | Cerundolo F. (16) | Tsitsipas S. | 2 : 0 |
| 30 | Altmaier D. | Machac T. | 1 : 2 |
| 31 | Kouame M. (WC) | Humbert U. | 0 : 2 |
| 32 | Bye | Sinner J. (2) | |
1/16-finals| 1 | Alcaraz C. (1) | Baez S. | 2 : 0 |
| 2 | Etcheverry T. M. | Atmane T. | 2 : 1 |
| 3 | Lehecka J. (11) | Tabilo A. | 2 : 1 |
| 4 | Monfils G. | Bublik A. (8) | 0 : 2 |
| 5 | Musetti L. (4) | Vacherot V. | 0 : 2 |
| 6 | Marozsan F. | Hurkacz H. | 0 : 2 |
| 7 | Cobolli F. (10) | Blockx A. | 0 : 2 |
| 8 | Norrie C. | De Minaur A. (5) | 1 : 2 |
| 9 | Medvedev D. (7) | Berrettini M. | 0 : 2 |
| 10 | Fonseca J. | Rinderknech A. | 2 : 1 |
| 11 | Rublev A. (13) | Bergs Z. | 0 : 2 |
| 12 | Garin C. | Zverev A. (3) | 1 : 2 |
| 13 | Auger-Aliassime F. (6) | Cilic M. | 2 : 0 |
| 14 | Moutet C. | Ruud C. (9) | 0 : 2 |
| 15 | Cerundolo F. (16) | Machac T. | 0 : 2 |
| 16 | Humbert U. | Sinner J. (2) | 0 : 2 |
1/8-finals| 1 | Alcaraz C. (1) | Etcheverry T. M. | 2 : 1 |
| 2 | Lehecka J. (11) | Bublik A. (8) | 0 : 2 |
| 3 | Vacherot V. | Hurkacz H. | 2 : 1 |
| 4 | Blockx A. | De Minaur A. (5) | 0 : 2 |
| 5 | Berrettini M. | Fonseca J. | 0 : 2 |
| 6 | Bergs Z. | Zverev A. (3) | 0 : 2 |
| 7 | Auger-Aliassime F. (6) | Ruud C. (RET.) (9) | 1 : 0 |
| 8 | Machac T. | Sinner J. (2) | 1 : 2 |
Quarter-finals| 1 | Alcaraz C. (1) | Bublik A. (8) | 2 : 0 |
| 2 | Vacherot V. | De Minaur A. (5) | |
| 3 | Fonseca J. | Zverev A. (3) | 1 : 2 |
| 4 | Auger-Aliassime F. (6) | Sinner J. (2) | 0 : 2 |
Semi-finals| 1 | Alcaraz C. (1) | TBD #2 | |
| 2 | Zverev A. (3) | Sinner J. (2) | |
Final
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