Result
1:1
26/07/2025 at 04:00 (Time Zone – GMT-4 (America/New_York))
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Match Stats
| |
---|
Expected Goals (xG) |
---|
0.65 | 3.74 |
Ball Possession |
---|
33% | 67% |
Total shots |
---|
9 | 20 |
Shots on target |
---|
3 | 9 |
Big Chances |
---|
1 | 7 |
Corner Kicks |
---|
2 | 6 |
Passes |
---|
74% (195/264) | 86% (456/528) |
Expected Goals (xG) |
---|
0.65 | 3.74 |
xG on target (xGOT) |
---|
0.44 | 2.49 |
Total shots |
---|
9 | 20 |
Shots on target |
---|
3 | 9 |
Shots off target |
---|
5 | 6 |
Blocked Shots |
---|
1 | 5 |
Shots inside the Box |
---|
7 | 16 |
Shots outside the Box |
---|
2 | 3 |
Hit the Woodwork |
---|
1 | 2 |
Big Chances |
---|
1 | 7 |
Corner Kicks |
---|
2 | 6 |
Touches in opposition box |
---|
17 | 37 |
Accurate through passes |
---|
0 | 0 |
Offsides |
---|
1 | 3 |
Free Kicks |
---|
11 | 21 |
Passes |
---|
74% (195/264) | 86% (456/528) |
Long passes |
---|
33% (22/66) | 47% (27/57) |
Passes in final third |
---|
61% (46/75) | 68% (113/166) |
Crosses |
---|
50% (5/10) | 11% (3/28) |
Expected assists (xA) |
---|
0.90 | 1.29 |
Throw-ins |
---|
21 | 29 |
Fouls |
---|
21 | 11 |
Tackles |
---|
86% (12/14) | 80% (4/5) |
Duels won |
---|
37 | 38 |
Clearances |
---|
41 | 19 |
Interceptions |
---|
7 | 6 |
Errors leading to shot |
---|
0 | 0 |
Errors leading to goal |
---|
0 | 0 |
Goalkeeper Saves |
---|
8 | 2 |
xGOT faced |
---|
2.49 | 0.44 |
Goals prevented |
---|
1.49 | -0.56 |
Key Moments
Here there are
- 1st Half (1 - 0)
- 17', 1 - 0, Jiang L. ⚽, Wang Z. (A),
- 2nd Half (0 - 1)
- 46', Abdukerim Qaharman ↓, Qurban W. ↑,
- 46', Wang Haisheng ↓, Li Jiahao ↑,
- 46', Jiang L. ↓, Cui Shengcheng ↑,
- 57', Wang Z. ↓, Sun W. ↑,
- 63', Zhou Y. ↓, Huang W. ↑,
- 63', Xiong J. ↓, Wang Z. ↑,
- 64', Song Yi ↓, Liu G. ↑,
- 73', Abdusalam S. ↓, Tang Zhiheng ↑,
- 75', Huang Jiale ↓, Zhang Jinliang ↑,
- 80', Yang B. ↓, Zhong Minghzi ↑,
- 86', Pan Yuchen ↓, Xu Lei ↑,
- 90+8', 1 - 1, Sun Yue (Pen),
Chances of winning
Hubei Istar 20.6% | Draw 26.7% | Jiangxi Lushan 52.7% |
Initial Probability
(when we started the analysis)
Our Initial ML Estimation
Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:
Hubei Istar has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+2.7%)Jiangxi Lushan has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-2%)ML Model estimates a lower probability for Hubei Istar than the current prediction. (-3%)ML Model estimates a higher probability for Jiangxi Lushan than the current prediction. (+2.9%)
Hubei Istar - Jiangxi Lushan Odds
|
1 |
X |
2 |
Marga |
|
Avarage Now (Initially) |
4.45 ↓ (5.2) |
3.42 ↑ (3.4) |
1.74 ↑ (1.7) |
9.3% (7.5%) | |
The most likely Over/Under: 2.25
What is the prediction for Hubei Istar - Jiangxi Lushan?
High ROI Users Predictions (ROI>2%): 1 high ROI users predict this event. Jiangxi Lushan (votes: 1 - 100%).
Users Predictions:
Jiangxi Lushan will win
(4 of 4 users predict this - 100%).
Confidence interval (95%): 100% – 100%. The most likely score by Bookmakers is 0:1.
Preview Facts
- The game between a mid-table team and the outsider (ranked 11 in the zone Yi League (Relegation Group: ) and 5 in the zone Yi League (Relegation Group: )).
- Hubei Istar is Yi League (Relegation Group )
- Hubei Istar is going through a rough patch (last 5 games: 0 wins).
- Jiangxi Lushan is in very good shape now (in the last 5 games, wins – 4).
- In this match, Jiangxi Lushan is seen as the favorite.
- In the last 3 head-to-head matches, Hubei Istar won 1 match, drew 1 match, lost 1 match, and goals 5:5. (average 1.7:1.7).
- Including home match between the teams, Hubei Istar won 0 matches, drew 1 match, lost 0 matches, and goals 1:1.
How many head-to-head matches has Hubei Istar won against Jiangxi Lushan?
Hubei Istar has won 1 of their last 1 head-to-head matches.
How many head-to-head matches has Jiangxi Lushan won against Hubei Istar?
Jiangxi Lushan has won 0 of their last 1 head-to-head matches.
What were the results of their latest head-to-head matches?
The latest head-to-head matches between Hubei Istar - Jiangxi Lushan were as follows:
14.05.2025
Jiangxi Lushan
-
Hubei Istar
2:4
Latest results of Hubei Istar
Latest results of Jiangxi Lushan
Chinese Yi League Table
2025North | | Pl | W | D | L | | Diff | Pts |
1 | Wuxi Wugou ✔ | 21 | 12 | 6 | 3 | 27:12 | 15 | 42 |
2 | Nantong Haimen | 21 | 10 | 8 | 3 | 38:23 | 15 | 38 |
3 | Changchun Xidu | 21 | 10 | 7 | 4 | 19:11 | 8 | 37 |
4 | Shandong Taishan B | 21 | 9 | 9 | 3 | 33:21 | 12 | 36 |
5 | Jiangxi Lushan | 21 | 10 | 5 | 6 | 24:19 | 5 | 35 |
6 | Hangzhou Linping | 21 | 8 | 7 | 6 | 24:26 | -2 | 31 |
7 | Shanghai Port B ✔ | 21 | 6 | 7 | 8 | 23:22 | 1 | 25 |
8 | Taian Tiankuang ✔ | 21 | 6 | 5 | 10 | 20:25 | -5 | 23 |
9 | Lanzhou Longyuan ✔ | 21 | 5 | 7 | 9 | 21:30 | -9 | 22 |
10 | Shanxi Chongde Ronghai ✔ | 21 | 4 | 8 | 9 | 16:32 | -16 | 20 |
11 | Hubei Istar ✔ | 21 | 3 | 7 | 11 | 23:37 | -14 | 16 |
12 | Beijing Technology ✔ | 21 | 4 | 2 | 15 | 19:29 | -10 | 14 |
South | | Pl | W | D | L | | Diff | Pts |
1 | Guangxi Hengchen ✔ | 20 | 16 | 3 | 1 | 43:9 | 34 | 51 |
2 | Shenzhen ✔ | 20 | 12 | 6 | 2 | 25:12 | 13 | 42 |
3 | Chengdu Rongcheng B | 20 | 11 | 4 | 5 | 35:16 | 19 | 37 |
4 | Guizhou Zhucheng | 20 | 11 | 3 | 6 | 31:24 | 7 | 36 |
5 | Guangzhou Dandelion | 20 | 10 | 5 | 5 | 30:17 | 13 | 35 |
6 | Wuhan Three Towns B ✔ | 20 | 8 | 5 | 7 | 21:17 | 4 | 29 |
7 | Wenzhou Professional ✔ | 20 | 5 | 8 | 7 | 18:22 | -4 | 23 |
8 | Ganzhou Ruishi ✔ | 20 | 3 | 11 | 6 | 17:27 | -10 | 20 |
9 | Kunming City Star ✔ | 20 | 4 | 6 | 10 | 14:27 | -13 | 18 |
10 | Guangdong Mingtu ✔ | 20 | 3 | 7 | 10 | 17:30 | -13 | 16 |
11 | Quanzhou Yassin ✔ | 20 | 2 | 6 | 12 | 10:27 | -17 | 12 |
12 | Guangxi Lanhang ✔ | 20 | 0 | 6 | 14 | 9:42 | -33 | 6 |
Promotion ~ Yi League (Promotion Group: )
Yi League (Relegation Group: )
Clinched Spots for Teams
Wuxi Wugou is Qualified for Yi League (Promotion Group )
Shanghai Port B is Yi League (Relegation Group )
Taian Tiankuang is Yi League (Relegation Group )
Lanzhou Longyuan is Yi League (Relegation Group )
Shanxi Chongde Ronghai is Yi League (Relegation Group )
Hubei Istar is Yi League (Relegation Group )
Beijing Technology is Yi League (Relegation Group )
Guangxi Hengchen is Qualified for Yi League (Promotion Group )
Shenzhen is Qualified for Yi League (Promotion Group )
Wuhan Three Towns B is Yi League (Relegation Group )
Wenzhou Professional is Yi League (Relegation Group )
Ganzhou Ruishi is Yi League (Relegation Group )
Kunming City Star is Yi League (Relegation Group )
Guangdong Mingtu is Yi League (Relegation Group )
Quanzhou Yassin is Yi League (Relegation Group )
Guangxi Lanhang is Yi League (Relegation Group )
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