Elina Svitolina vs Jessica Pegula: Where to Watch, Predictions, Stats

Result
2:1

11/03/2025 at 16:40 (Time Zone – GMT-4 (America/New_York))

Additional information

WTA - SINGLES: Indian Wells (USA), hard - 1/8-finals

Elina Svitolina - Jessica Pegula - Gamble Responsibly 18+

00:00 / 90:00

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Match Stats


Aces
5	1
Double Faults
7	3
1st Serve Percentage
53%	62%
1st Serve Points Won
68% (34/50)	57% (30/53)
2nd Serve Points Won
55% (24/44)	52% (17/33)
Break Points Saved
33% (1/3)	58% (7/12)
1st Return Points Won
47% (25/53)	34% (17/50)
2nd Return Points Won
48% (16/33)	45% (20/44)
Break Points Converted
42% (5/12)	67% (2/3)
Service Points Won
62% (58/94)	54% (45/84)
Return Points Won
46% (39/84)	38% (36/94)
Total Points Won
54% (97/178)	46% (81/178)
Last 10 Balls
4	6
Match Points Saved
0	0
Service Games Won
86% (12/14)	62% (8/13)
Return Games Won
38% (5/13)	14% (2/14)
Total Games Won
63% (17/27)	37% (10/27)

Chances of winning

Elina Svitolina 36.2%

Jessica Pegula 63.8%

Initially Probability

(when we started the analysis)

Elina Svitolina 36.1%

Jessica Pegula 63.9%

Our Initially ML Estimation

Elina Svitolina 37.8%

Jessica Pegula 62.2%

Elina Svitolina - Jessica Pegula Odds

	1	X	2	Marga
Avarage Now (Initially)	2.64 ↑ (2.53)		1.49 ↑ (1.43)	4.9% (9.5%)

What is the prediction for Elina Svitolina - Jessica Pegula?

The most likely score is 0:2.

Preview Facts

Svitolina is ranked WTA: 23. Pegula is ranked WTA: 4.
Last 5 head-to-head matches Svitolina won 1.
Right away both players are in a satisfying form.
Svitolina could have advantage in physics - more days for rest in last days.
Pegula will have a small advantage in this match.
Our prediction for today's Pegula to win the game is with odds 1.49.
Last 8 head-to-head matches Svitolina won 3 matches, drawn 0 matches, lost 5 matches and goals 9:12 (average 1.1:1.5).

How many head-to-head matches has Elina Svitolina won against Jessica Pegula?

Elina Svitolina has won 1 of their last 4 head-to-head matches.

How many head-to-head matches has Jessica Pegula won against Elina Svitolina?

Jessica Pegula has won 3 of their last 4 head-to-head matches.

What were the results of their latest head-to-head matches?

The latest head-to-head matches between Elina Svitolina - Jessica Pegula were as follows:

11.02.2025 Elina Svitolina - Jessica Pegula 0:2

29.07.2024 Jessica Pegula - Elina Svitolina 1:2

02.09.2023 Elina Svitolina - Jessica Pegula 1:2

04.08.2023 Jessica Pegula - Elina Svitolina 2:1

Latest results of Elina Svitolina

09.03.2025 Danielle Collins - Elina Svitolina 0:2 ✺

07.03.2025 Ashlyn Krueger - Elina Svitolina 1:2 ✺

18.02.2025 Clara Tauson - Elina Svitolina 2:1 ✺

16.02.2025 Elina Svitolina - Anna Kalinskaya 2:0 ✺

11.02.2025 Elina Svitolina - Jessica Pegula 0:2 ✺

Latest results of Jessica Pegula

09.03.2025 Xin Yu Wang - Jessica Pegula 0:2 ✺

07.03.2025 Magda Linette - Jessica Pegula 0:2 ✺

02.03.2025 Jessica Pegula - McCartney Kessler 2:0 ✺

01.03.2025 Jessica Pegula - Ajla Tomljanovic 2:1 ✺

28.02.2025 Jessica Pegula - Anna Blinkova 2:0 ✺

Draw

Singles - Main

1/64-finals

1	Sabalenka A. (1)	Bye
2	Blinkova A.	Kessler M.	0 : 2
3	Kalinina A.	Bronzetti L.	0 : 2
4	Bye	Frech M. (30)
5	Alexandrova E. (20)	Bye
6	Liu C. (Q)	Kudermetova P.	0 : 2
7	Kartal S. (LL)	Lepchenko V. (Q)	2 : 0
8	Bye	Haddad Maia B. (16)
9	Kasatkina D. (12)	Bye
10	Inglis M.	Kenin S.	0 : 2
11	Tomljanovic A. (RET.) (Q)	McNally C.	0 : 1
12	Bye	Samsonova L. (24)
13	Fernandez L. (27)	Bye
14	Kudermetova V.	Cristian J.	0 : 2
15	Jovic I. (WC)	Grabher J.	2 : 1
16	Bye	Paolini J. (6)
17	Gauff C. (3)	Bye
18	Raducanu E.	Uchijima M.	0 : 2
19	Danilovic O.	Tomova V.	0 : 2
20	Bye	Sakkari M. (29)
21	Anisimova A. (17)	Bye
22	Bencic B. (WC)	Maria T.	2 : 0
23	Parks A. (WC)	Kalinskaya A.	2 : 0
24	Bye	Shnaider D. (13)
25	Navarro E. (10)	Bye
26	Cirstea S.	Joint M. (Q)	2 : 0
27	Davis L.	Avanesyan E.	0 : 2
28	Bye	Vekic D. (19)
29	Mertens E. (28)	Bye
30	Golubic V. (Q)	Birrell K. (Q)	0 : 2
31	Bouzas Maneiro J.	Potapova A.	1 : 2
32	Bye	Keys M. (5)
33	Rybakina E. (7)	Bye
34	Bouzkova M.	Lamens S.	1 : 2
35	Begu I.	Li A.	2 : 1
36	Bye	Boulter K. (25)
37	Tauson C. (22)	Bye
38	Osorio C.	Osaka N.	2 : 0
39	Kvitova P. (WC)	Gracheva V.	1 : 2
40	Bye	Andreeva M. (9)
41	Collins D. (14)	Bye
42	Baptiste H. (Q)	Osuigwe W. (Q)	2 : 0
43	Krueger A.	Volynets K.	2 : 1
44	Bye	Svitolina E. (23)
45	Ostapenko J. (26)	Bye
46	Sherif M.	Wang Xin.	0 : 2
47	Stearns P.	Linette M.	1 : 2
48	Bye	Pegula J. (4)
49	Zheng Q. (8)	Bye
50	Ngounoue C. (Q)	Azarenka V.	0 : 2
51	Sramkova R.	Sun L.	1 : 2
52	Bye	Noskova L. (31)
53	Kostyuk M. (18)	Bye
54	Niemeier J. (Q)	Montgomery R. (WC)	1 : 2
55	Rakhimova K.	Dolehide C. (WC)	0 : 2
56	Bye	Lys E. (LL)
57	Muchova K. (15)	Bye
58	Zarazua R. (RET.)	Cocciaretto E.	0 : 1
59	Carle M. L. (Q)	Siniakova K.	0 : 2
60	Bye	Putintseva Y. (21)
61	Jabeur O. (32)	Bye
62	Yastremska D.	Yuan Y.	2 : 0
63	Garcia C.	Pera B. (WC)	2 : 0
64	Bye	Swiatek I. (2)

1/32-finals

1	Sabalenka A. (1)	Kessler M.	2 : 0
2	Bronzetti L.	Frech M. (30)	2 : 0
3	Alexandrova E. (20)	Kudermetova P.	0 : 2
4	Kartal S.	Haddad Maia B. (16)	2 : 0
5	Kasatkina D. (12)	Kenin S.	2 : 1
6	McNally C.	Samsonova L. (24)	0 : 2
7	Fernandez L. (27)	Cristian J.	1 : 2
8	Jovic I.	Paolini J. (6)	1 : 2
9	Gauff C. (3)	Uchijima M.	2 : 1
10	Tomova V.	Sakkari M. (29)	0 : 2
11	Anisimova A. (17)	Bencic B.	1 : 2
12	Parks A.	Shnaider D. (13)	0 : 2
13	Navarro E. (10)	Cirstea S.	2 : 1
14	Avanesyan E.	Vekic D. (19)	0 : 2
15	Mertens E. (28)	Birrell K.	2 : 0
16	Potapova A.	Keys M. (5)	0 : 2
17	Rybakina E. (7)	Lamens S.	2 : 0
18	Begu I.	Boulter K. (25)	1 : 2
19	Tauson C. (22)	Osorio C.	2 : 0
20	Gracheva V.	Andreeva M. (9)	0 : 2
21	Collins D. (14)	Baptiste H.	2 : 1
22	Krueger A.	Svitolina E. (23)	1 : 2
23	Ostapenko J. (26)	Wang Xin.	0 : 2
24	Linette M.	Pegula J. (4)	0 : 2
25	Zheng Q. (8)	Azarenka V.	2 : 0
26	Sun L.	Noskova L. (31)	2 : 0
27	Kostyuk M. (18)	Montgomery R.	2 : 0
28	Dolehide C.	Lys E.	2 : 0
29	Muchova K. (15)	Cocciaretto E.	2 : 0
30	Siniakova K.	Putintseva Y. (21)	2 : 0
31	Jabeur O. (32)	Yastremska D.	0 : 2
32	Garcia C.	Swiatek I. (2)	0 : 2

1/16-finals

1	Sabalenka A. (1)	Bronzetti L.	2 : 0
2	Kudermetova P.	Kartal S.	0 : 2
3	Kasatkina D. (12)	Samsonova L. (24)	1 : 2
4	Cristian J.	Paolini J. (6)	1 : 2
5	Gauff C. (3)	Sakkari M. (29)	2 : 0
6	Bencic B.	Shnaider D. (13)	2 : 0
7	Navarro E. (10)	Vekic D. (19)	0 : 2
8	Mertens E. (28)	Keys M. (5)	1 : 2
9	Rybakina E. (7)	Boulter K. (25)	2 : 0
10	Tauson C. (22)	Andreeva M. (9)	0 : 2
11	Collins D. (14)	Svitolina E. (23)	0 : 2
12	Wang Xin.	Pegula J. (4)	0 : 2
13	Zheng Q. (8)	Sun L.	2 : 0
14	Kostyuk M. (18)	Dolehide C.	2 : 0
15	Muchova K. (15)	Siniakova K.	2 : 0
16	Yastremska D.	Swiatek I. (2)	0 : 2

1/8-finals

1	Sabalenka A. (1)	Kartal S.	2 : 0
2	Samsonova L. (24)	Paolini J. (6)	2 : 0
3	Gauff C. (3)	Bencic B.	1 : 2
4	Vekic D. (19)	Keys M. (5)	1 : 2
5	Rybakina E. (7)	Andreeva M. (9)	0 : 2
6	Svitolina E. (23)	Pegula J. (4)	2 : 1
7	Zheng Q. (8)	Kostyuk M. (18)	2 : 0
8	Muchova K. (15)	Swiatek I. (2)	0 : 2

Quarter-finals

1	Sabalenka A. (1)	Samsonova L. (24)	2 : 0
2	Bencic B.	Keys M. (5)	0 : 2
3	Andreeva M. (9)	Svitolina E. (23)	2 : 0
4	Zheng Q. (8)	Swiatek I. (2)	0 : 2

Semi-finals

1	Sabalenka A. (1)	Keys M. (5)	2 : 0
2	Andreeva M. (9)	Swiatek I. (2)	2 : 1

Final

Sabalenka A. (1)

Andreeva M. (9)

1 : 2

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