Jelgava vs Super Nova: Where to Watch, Predictions, Stats

Bet nowGamble Responsibly 18+
Soccer Latvian Virsliga Jelgava - Super Nova
Result
1:0
20/07/2025 at 10:00 (Time Zone – GMT-4 (America/New_York))
  • : Virsliga - Round 23
Jelgava - Super Nova - Gamble Responsibly 18+
00:00 / 90:00
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Match Stats

Expected Goals (xG)
1.930.00
Ball Possession
57%43%
Total shots
250
Shots on target
70
Big Chances
00
Corner Kicks
100
Passes
83% (378/455)73% (258/355)
Yellow Cards
42
Expected Goals (xG)
1.930.00
xG on target (xGOT)
1.040.00
Total shots
250
Shots on target
70
Shots off target
120
Blocked Shots
60
Shots inside the Box
180
Shots outside the Box
70
Hit the Woodwork
10
Big Chances
00
Corner Kicks
100
Touches in opposition box
4013
Accurate through passes
10
Offsides
21
Free Kicks
2015
Passes
83% (378/455)73% (258/355)
Long passes
66% (40/61)41% (28/68)
Passes in final third
80% (144/181)44% (26/59)
Crosses
22% (5/23)17% (1/6)
Expected assists (xA)
1.290.13
Throw-ins
2226
Fouls
1520
Tackles
69% (9/13)52% (12/23)
Duels won
5653
Clearances
1830
Interceptions
1010
Errors leading to shot
00
Errors leading to goal
00
Goalkeeper Saves
06
xGOT faced
0.001.04
Goals prevented
0.000.04

Key Moments

Here there are
  • 1st Half (1 - 0)
  • 13', 1 - 0, Ullman O. , Holoubek D. (A),
  • 27', Alekseiciks K. 🟨,
  • 2nd Half (0 - 0)
  • 54', Yuzvak A. 🟨,
  • 56', Cudars K. 🟨,
  • 65', Deruzinskis R. , Becers R. ,
  • 71', Dione M. , Sprukts E. ,
  • 71', Zengis R. , Emsis E. ,
  • 71', Bombans G. , Skadmanis K. ,
  • 83', Hasek F. , Boroduska E. ,
  • 83', Muhammad Y. , Zaleiko G. ,
  • 84', Boroduska E. 🟨,
  • 87', Hasek M. 🟨,
  • 90+2', Emsis E. 🟨,
  • 90+4', Holoubek D. , Emenike K. ,

Chances of winning


Jelgava
55.5%
Draw
24.4%
Super Nova
20.1%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)
43.1% 28.5% 28.3%

Our Initial ML Estimation

44.7% 29.5% 27.3%


Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

  • Jelgava has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+12.4%)
  • Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting increased confidence in Jelgava's performance.
  • Super Nova has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-8.2%)
  • Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, and Super Nova might be facing challenges that affect their performance.
  • ML Model estimates a lower probability for Jelgava than the current prediction. (-10.8%)
  • Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests that there may be underlying issues with Jelgava that the model has picked up on.
  • ML Model estimates a higher probability for Super Nova than the current prediction. (+7.2%)
  • Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests that Super Nova could outperform expectations, possibly based on recent matchups or player stats.
  • Jelgava - Super Nova Odds

    1 X 2 Marga
    Avarage Now
    (Initially)
    1.65
    (2.1)
    3.76
    (3.18)
    4.55
    (3.2)
    9.3%
    (10.4%)

  • The most likely Over/Under: 2.50
  • Preview Facts
    • This time we’ll see a clash between two mid-table teams (ranked 6 and 7).
    • In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Jelgava won 1.
    • Jelgava has suffered several defeats recently (last 5 games: 0 wins).
    • Super Nova's form has been unstable in recent games (in the last 5 games, wins – 2).
    • Jelgava may have a physical advantage due to more rest days in recent times.
    • In this match, Jelgava is considered a favorite.
    • In the last 6 head-to-head matches, Jelgava won 2 matches, drew 4 matches, lost 0 matches, and goals 9:6. (average 1.5:1).
    • Including home matches between the teams, Jelgava won 2 matches, drew 1 match, lost 0 matches, and goals 6:3. (average 2:1).
    What were the results of their latest head-to-head matches?
    The latest head-to-head matches between Jelgava - Super Nova were as follows:
    21.05.2025 Super Nova - Jelgava 0:0
    05.04.2025 Jelgava - Super Nova 2:1
    01.10.2023 Super Nova - Jelgava 1:1
    09.07.2023 Jelgava - Super Nova 2:2
    18.05.2023 Super Nova - Jelgava 2:2
    Latest results of Jelgava
    05.07.2025 Auda Riga - Jelgava 2:0
    01.07.2025 Riga - Jelgava 3:0
    26.06.2025 Jelgava - RFS 0:1
    22.06.2025 Jelgava - Grobiņa 0:1
    17.06.2025 Tukums 2000 - Jelgava 1:1
    Latest results of Super Nova
    12.07.2025 JDFS Alberts - Super Nova 1:3
    06.07.2025 Super Nova - Tukums 2000 1:0
    01.07.2025 Super Nova - Auda Riga 0:1
    27.06.2025 Super Nova - Metta LU 1:1
    22.06.2025 Riga - Super Nova 2:0
    Latvian Virsliga Table
    2025
    PlWDLDiffPts
    1Riga FC23184155:154058
    2RFS23181457:203755
    3Auda23114834:26837
    4FK Liepaja23105838:36235
    5BFC Daugavpils2386934:42-830
    6Jelgava23761020:25-527
    7Super Nova23491026:32-621
    8Tukums 200023561225:41-1621
    9Grobina23541421:44-2319
    10Metta23451418:47-2917

          Promotion ~ Champions League (Qualification: )
          Promotion ~ Conference League (Qualification: )
          Virsliga (Relegation)
          Relegation ~ Nakotnes liga

    Which TV channels are streaming of Jelgava - Super Nova?
    It is being streamed on various channels, including:
    latviaLatviaSportacentrs TV, TV4
    worldWorldOnefootball
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