Jelgava vs RFS: Where to Watch, Predictions, Stats

Bet nowGamble Responsibly 18+
Soccer Latvian Virsliga Jelgava - RFS
Result
0:1
26/06/2025 at 12:00 (Time Zone – GMT-4 (America/New_York))
  • : Virsliga - Round 20
Jelgava - RFS - Gamble Responsibly 18+
00:00 / 90:00
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Match Stats

Expected Goals (xG)
0.491.54
Ball Possession
23%77%
Total shots
826
Shots on target
08
Big Chances
02
Corner Kicks
28
Passes
62% (121/194)89% (580/650)
Yellow Cards
31
Expected Goals (xG)
0.491.54
xG on target (xGOT)
0.001.39
Total shots
826
Shots on target
08
Shots off target
510
Blocked Shots
38
Shots inside the Box
216
Shots outside the Box
69
Hit the Woodwork
12
Big Chances
02
Corner Kicks
28
Touches in opposition box
944
Accurate through passes
00
Offsides
11
Free Kicks
811
Passes
62% (121/194)89% (580/650)
Long passes
26% (14/53)61% (30/49)
Passes in final third
49% (31/63)84% (234/278)
Crosses
25% (3/12)38% (13/34)
Expected assists (xA)
0.222.32
Throw-ins
1431
Fouls
118
Tackles
68% (15/22)80% (12/15)
Duels won
4056
Clearances
4414
Interceptions
97
Errors leading to shot
00
Errors leading to goal
00
Goalkeeper Saves
70
xGOT faced
1.390.00
Goals prevented
0.390.00

Key Moments

Here there are
  • 1st Half (0 - 0)
  • 2nd Half (0 - 1)
  • 52', Penkevics K. 🟨,
  • 56', 0 - 1, Ikaunieks J. , Odisharia L. (A),
  • 70', Yuzvak A. 🟨,
  • 71', Odisharia L. 🟨,
  • 71', Muhammad Y. 🟨,
  • 79', Petersons A. , Susts M. ,
  • 84', Odisharia L. , Ikaunieks D. ,
  • 88', Emenike K. , Ivanovs M. ,
  • 88', Becers R. , Kasica D. ,

Highlights

Chances of winning


Jelgava
10.6%
Draw
18.2%
RFS
71.1%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)
12.3% 18.8% 68.9%

Our Initial ML Estimation

11.8% 18% 71.8%


Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

  • Jelgava has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-1.7%)
  • RFS has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+2.2%)
  • ML Model estimates a higher probability for Jelgava than the current prediction. (+1.2%)
  • ML Model estimates a higher probability for RFS than the current prediction. (+0.7%)
  • Jelgava - RFS Odds

    1 X 2 Marga
    Avarage Now
    (Initially)
    8.67
    (7.37)
    5.06
    (4.85)
    1.3
    (1.32)
    8.4%
    (9.9%)

  • The most likely Over/Under: 3.25
  • What is the prediction for Jelgava - RFS?
  • Users Predictions: 14 users predict this event. Jelgava will win (votes: 3 - 21.4%). RFS will win (votes: 10 - 71.4%). It will Tie (votes: 1 - 7.1%).
    Confidence interval (95%) for RFS: 47.7%95.1%.
  • High ROI Users Predictions (ROI>2%): RFS will win (4 of 4 users predict this - 100%).
  • The most likely score by Bookmakers is 0:2.
  • Preview Facts
    • Enjoy a meeting between a mid-ranked team and one of the leaders (ranked 5 and 2 in the zone Promotion ~ Conference League (Qualification: )).
    • In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Jelgava won 0.
    • Recent form of Jelgava has been disappointing (last 5 games: 1 wins).
    • RFS is showing top-class performance now (in the last 5 games, wins – 4).
    • In this match, RFS is the obvious favorite.
    • In the last 14 head-to-head matches, Jelgava won 2 matches, drew 1 match, lost 11 matches, and goals 10:31. (average 0.7:2.2).
    • Including home matches between the teams, Jelgava won 2 matches, drew 1 match, lost 5 matches, and goals 9:12. (average 1.1:1.5).
    What were the results of their latest head-to-head matches?
    The latest head-to-head matches between Jelgava - RFS were as follows:
    05.05.2025 Jelgava - RFS 2:2
    11.03.2025 RFS - Jelgava 1:0
    30.09.2024 Jelgava - RFS 0:2
    05.07.2024 RFS - Jelgava 7:0
    15.05.2024 Jelgava - RFS 1:2
    Latest results of Jelgava
    22.06.2025 Jelgava - Grobiņa 0:1
    17.06.2025 Tukums 2000 - Jelgava 1:1
    13.06.2025 Jelgava - Metta LU 2:1
    30.05.2025 Jelgava - Liepāja 0:1
    25.05.2025 BFC Daugavpils - Jelgava 1:0
    Latest results of RFS
    22.06.2025 RFS - Auda Riga 1:0
    18.06.2025 Riga - RFS 3:1
    14.06.2025 RFS - Super Nova 2:1
    31.05.2025 RFS - Grobiņa 6:0
    25.05.2025 Tukums 2000 - RFS 2:5
    Latvian Virsliga Table
    2025
    PlWDLDiffPts
    1Riga FC20163148:123651
    2RFS20151444:182646
    3FK Liepaja2095633:31232
    4Auda2094730:23731
    5BFC Daugavpils2075829:33-426
    6Jelgava2066819:20-124
    7Grobina20541120:39-1919
    8Super Nova2039825:30-518
    9Tukums 200020361120:39-1915
    10Metta20351217:40-2314

          Promotion ~ Champions League (Qualification: )
          Promotion ~ Conference League (Qualification: )
          Virsliga (Relegation)
          Relegation ~ Nakotnes liga

    Which TV channels are streaming of Jelgava - RFS?
    It is being streamed on various channels, including:
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