Jelgava vs Rīgas FS: Where to Watch, Predictions, Stats

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Soccer Latvian Virsliga Jelgava - Rīgas FS
Result
2:2
05/05/2025 at 07:00 (Time Zone – GMT-4 (America/New_York))
  • : Virsliga - Round 11
Jelgava - Rīgas FS - Gamble Responsibly 18+
00:00 / 90:00
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Match Stats

Expected Goals (xG)
1.071.79
Ball Possession
36%64%
Total shots
1316
Shots on target
510
Big Chances
01
Corner Kicks
19
Passes
71% (225/316)84% (468/555)
Yellow Cards
13
Expected Goals (xG)
1.071.79
xG on target (xGOT)
2.023.18
Total shots
1316
Shots on target
510
Shots off target
65
Blocked Shots
21
Shots inside the Box
910
Shots outside the Box
46
Hit the Woodwork
10
Big Chances
01
Corner Kicks
19
Touches in opposition box
1936
Accurate through passes
01
Offsides
02
Free Kicks
1310
Passes
71% (225/316)84% (468/555)
Long passes
34% (25/74)47% (26/55)
Passes in final third
63% (59/93)75% (132/175)
Crosses
45% (5/11)34% (10/29)
Expected assists (xA)
0.831.77
Throw-ins
2128
Fouls
1013
Tackles
92% (12/13)65% (13/20)
Duels won
4456
Clearances
4512
Interceptions
810
Errors leading to shot
00
Errors leading to goal
00
Goalkeeper Saves
83
xGOT faced
3.182.02
Goals prevented
1.180.02

Key Moments

Here there are
  • 1st Half (0 - 0)
  • 2nd Half (2 - 2)
  • 46', Porsan Clemente J. , Zelenkovs D. ,
  • 46', Kouadio A. 🟨,
  • 61', Ndjiki R. , Lemajic D. ,
  • 61', Talla M. , Nagasawa M. ,
  • 64', Becers R. , Peilans M. ,
  • 66', Zelenkovs D. 🟨,
  • 72', Promise V. , Boroduska E. ,
  • 76', 1 - 0, Emenike K. , Yuzvak A. (A),
  • 79', Nagasawa M. , Stuglis E. ,
  • 83', 1 - 1, Stuglis E. , Lemajic D. (A),
  • 85', 1 - 2, Stuglis E. , Lemajic D. (A),
  • 90', Yuzvak A. , Janovskis A. ,
  • 90+1', 2 - 2, Janovskis A. ,
  • 90+3', Njie H. 🟨,
  • 90+3', Penkevics K. 🟨,

Chances of winning


Jelgava
12.8%
Draw
18.9%
Rīgas FS
68.3%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)
11.8% 18.6% 69.5%

Our Initial ML Estimation

11.3% 17.9% 72.3%


Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

  • Jelgava has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+1%)
  • Rīgas FS has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-1.2%)
  • ML Model estimates a lower probability for Jelgava than the current prediction. (-1.5%)
  • ML Model estimates a higher probability for Rīgas FS than the current prediction. (+4%)
  • Jelgava - Rīgas FS Odds

    1 X 2 Marga
    Avarage Now
    (Initially)
    7.22
    (7.72)
    4.87
    (4.9)
    1.35
    (1.31)
    8.4%
    (9.6%)

  • The most likely Over/Under: 2.75
  • What is the prediction for Jelgava - Rīgas FS?
    The most likely score is 0:2. User prediction is will win! ( of users predict this).
    Preview Facts
    • Watch a clash between a mid-table side and a current leader (ranked 5 and 1 in the zone Promotion ~ Champions League (Qualification: )).
    • In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Jelgava won 0.
    • Now, both teams are in good form.
    • In this match, RFS is the undisputed favorite.
    • In the last 13 head-to-head matches, Jelgava won 2 matches, drew 0 matches, lost 11 matches, and goals 8:29. (average 0.6:2.2).
    • Including home matches between the teams, Jelgava won 2 matches, drew 0 matches, lost 5 matches, and goals 7:10. (average 1:1.4).
    What were the results of their latest head-to-head matches?
    The latest head-to-head matches between Jelgava - Rīgas FS were as follows:
    11.03.2025 Rīgas FS - Jelgava 1:0
    30.09.2024 Jelgava - Rīgas FS 0:2
    05.07.2024 Rīgas FS - Jelgava 7:0
    15.05.2024 Jelgava - Rīgas FS 1:2
    03.04.2024 Rīgas FS - Jelgava 5:1
    Latest results of Jelgava
    29.04.2025 Jelgava - Grobiņa 1:0
    23.04.2025 Jelgava - Tukums 2000 2:1
    18.04.2025 Metta LU - Jelgava 0:0
    14.04.2025 Liepāja - Jelgava 1:0
    10.04.2025 Jelgava - BFC Daugavpils 4:1
    Latest results of Rīgas FS
    01.05.2025 Rīgas FS - Auda Riga 1:0
    26.04.2025 Rīgas FS - Riga 0:1
    20.04.2025 Super Nova - Rīgas FS 1:2
    15.04.2025 Grobiņa - Rīgas FS 1:4
    09.04.2025 Rīgas FS - Tukums 2000 2:0
    Latvian Virsliga Table
    2025
    PlWDLDiffPts
    1Riga FC1393130:102030
    2RFS1391326:121428
    3Auda1362518:14420
    4Jelgava1354416:14219
    5FK Liepaja1353524:26-218
    6BFC Daugavpils1352619:21-217
    7Metta1333712:25-1312
    8Grobina1333713:25-1212
    9Super Nova1225516:19-311
    10Tukums 20001224611:19-810

          Promotion ~ Champions League (Qualification: )
          Promotion ~ Conference League (Qualification: )
          Virsliga (Relegation)
          Relegation ~ Nakotnes liga

    Which TV channels are streaming of Jelgava - Rīgas FS?
    It is being streamed on various channels, including:
    latviaLatviaSportacentrs TV, TV4
    worldWorldOnefootball
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