Result
0:1
22/06/2025 at 09:00 (Time Zone – GMT-4 (America/New_York))
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Match Stats
| |
---|
Expected Goals (xG) |
---|
0.45 | 1.48 |
Ball Possession |
---|
45% | 55% |
Total shots |
---|
10 | 15 |
Shots on target |
---|
1 | 4 |
Big Chances |
---|
0 | 2 |
Corner Kicks |
---|
4 | 11 |
Passes |
---|
70% (214/304) | 75% (276/366) |
Yellow Cards |
---|
2 | 1 |
Expected Goals (xG) |
---|
0.45 | 1.48 |
xG on target (xGOT) |
---|
0.02 | 1.44 |
Total shots |
---|
10 | 15 |
Shots on target |
---|
1 | 4 |
Shots off target |
---|
4 | 7 |
Blocked Shots |
---|
5 | 4 |
Shots inside the Box |
---|
6 | 12 |
Shots outside the Box |
---|
4 | 3 |
Hit the Woodwork |
---|
0 | 1 |
Big Chances |
---|
0 | 2 |
Corner Kicks |
---|
4 | 11 |
Touches in opposition box |
---|
20 | 35 |
Accurate through passes |
---|
0 | 0 |
Offsides |
---|
0 | 1 |
Free Kicks |
---|
15 | 11 |
Passes |
---|
70% (214/304) | 75% (276/366) |
Long passes |
---|
33% (19/57) | 43% (26/60) |
Passes in final third |
---|
69% (58/84) | 53% (70/131) |
Crosses |
---|
38% (8/21) | 20% (6/30) |
Expected assists (xA) |
---|
0.51 | 1.60 |
Throw-ins |
---|
23 | 36 |
Fouls |
---|
11 | 15 |
Tackles |
---|
90% (9/10) | 65% (13/20) |
Duels won |
---|
56 | 62 |
Clearances |
---|
35 | 21 |
Interceptions |
---|
11 | 6 |
Errors leading to shot |
---|
0 | 0 |
Errors leading to goal |
---|
0 | 0 |
Goalkeeper Saves |
---|
3 | 1 |
xGOT faced |
---|
1.44 | 0.02 |
Goals prevented |
---|
0.44 | 0.02 |
Key Moments
Here there are
- 1st Half (0 - 0)
- 30', Penkevics K. 🟨,
- 2nd Half (0 - 1)
- 49', Veips R. 🟨,
- 52', Sdaigui Z. ↓, Gaucis R. ↑,
- 61', Bekili P. 🟨,
- 69', Becers R. ↓, Petersons A. ↑,
- 70', Dzerins R. ↓, Fjodorovs M. ↑,
- 82', 0 - 1, Krautmanis J. ⚽, Kluskins G. (A),
- 83', Boroduska E. ↓, Kasica D. ↑,
- 86', Promise V. ↓, Susts M. ↑,
- 90+3', Dobrecovs D. ↓, Leitans G. ↑,
Chances of winning
Jelgava 56.5% | Draw 23.1% | Grobiņa 20.3% |
Initial Probability
(when we started the analysis)
Our Initial ML Estimation
Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:
Jelgava has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+0.8%)Grobiņa has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-1.8%)ML Model estimates a higher probability for Jelgava than the current prediction. (+2.1%)ML Model estimates a higher probability for Grobiņa than the current prediction. (+0.7%)
Jelgava - Grobiņa Odds
|
1 |
X |
2 |
Marga |
|
Avarage Now (Initially) |
1.62 ↓ (1.64) |
3.95 ↓ (4.1) |
4.5 ↑ (4.14) |
9.5% (9.5%) | |
The most likely Over/Under: 2.75
What is the prediction for Jelgava - Grobiņa?
High ROI Users Predictions (ROI>2%): 1 high ROI users predict this event. Jelgava (votes: 1 - 100%).
Users Predictions:
Jelgava will win
(10 of 11 users predict this - 90.91%).
Confidence interval (95%): 73.92% – 100%. The most likely score by Bookmakers is 1:0.
Preview Facts
- A meeting between a mid-table team and the outsider will take place in this match (ranked 5 and 8).
- In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Jelgava won 3.
- Recent performances by Jelgava have been up and down (last 5 games: 1 wins).
- Grobiņa has been struggling lately (in the last 5 games, wins – 1).
- Recently, Grobiņa has had a series of home games.
- In this match, Jelgava is considered a favorite.
- In the last 7 head-to-head matches, Jelgava won 5 matches, drew 1 match, lost 1 match, and goals 15:8. (average 2.1:1.1).
- Including home matches between the teams, Jelgava won 4 matches, drew 0 matches, lost 0 matches, and goals 9:1. (average 2.3:0.3).
How many head-to-head matches has Jelgava won against Grobiņa?
Jelgava has won 4 of their last 6 head-to-head matches.
How many head-to-head matches has Grobiņa won against Jelgava?
Grobiņa has won 1 of their last 6 head-to-head matches.
What were the results of their latest head-to-head matches?
The latest head-to-head matches between Jelgava - Grobiņa were as follows:
29.04.2025
Jelgava
-
Grobiņa
1:0
06.03.2025
Grobiņa
-
Jelgava
1:1
09.11.2024
Jelgava
-
Grobiņa
2:0
23.08.2024
Grobiņa
-
Jelgava
2:3
16.06.2024
Grobiņa
-
Jelgava
4:2
Latest results of Jelgava
Latest results of Grobiņa
Latvian Virsliga Table
2025 | | Pl | W | D | L | | Diff | Pts |
1 | Riga FC | 20 | 16 | 3 | 1 | 48:12 | 36 | 51 |
2 | RFS | 20 | 15 | 1 | 4 | 44:18 | 26 | 46 |
3 | FK Liepaja | 20 | 9 | 5 | 6 | 33:31 | 2 | 32 |
4 | Auda | 20 | 9 | 4 | 7 | 30:23 | 7 | 31 |
5 | BFC Daugavpils | 20 | 7 | 5 | 8 | 29:33 | -4 | 26 |
6 | Jelgava | 20 | 6 | 6 | 8 | 19:20 | -1 | 24 |
7 | Grobina | 20 | 5 | 4 | 11 | 20:39 | -19 | 19 |
8 | Super Nova | 20 | 3 | 9 | 8 | 25:30 | -5 | 18 |
9 | Tukums 2000 | 20 | 3 | 6 | 11 | 20:39 | -19 | 15 |
10 | Metta | 20 | 3 | 5 | 12 | 17:40 | -23 | 14 |
Promotion ~ Champions League (Qualification: )
Promotion ~ Conference League (Qualification: )
Virsliga (Relegation)
Relegation ~ Nakotnes liga
Which TV channels are streaming of Jelgava - Grobiņa?
It is being streamed on various channels, including:
| |
---|
Latvia | Sportacentrs TV |
World | Onefootball |