Jelgava vs Grobiņa: Where to Watch, Predictions, Stats

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Soccer Latvian Virsliga Jelgava - Grobiņa
Result
0:1
22/06/2025 at 09:00 (Time Zone – GMT-4 (America/New_York))
  • : Virsliga - Round 19
Jelgava - Grobiņa - Gamble Responsibly 18+
00:00 / 90:00
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Match Stats

Expected Goals (xG)
0.451.48
Ball Possession
45%55%
Total shots
1015
Shots on target
14
Big Chances
02
Corner Kicks
411
Passes
70% (214/304)75% (276/366)
Yellow Cards
21
Expected Goals (xG)
0.451.48
xG on target (xGOT)
0.021.44
Total shots
1015
Shots on target
14
Shots off target
47
Blocked Shots
54
Shots inside the Box
612
Shots outside the Box
43
Hit the Woodwork
01
Big Chances
02
Corner Kicks
411
Touches in opposition box
2035
Accurate through passes
00
Offsides
01
Free Kicks
1511
Passes
70% (214/304)75% (276/366)
Long passes
33% (19/57)43% (26/60)
Passes in final third
69% (58/84)53% (70/131)
Crosses
38% (8/21)20% (6/30)
Expected assists (xA)
0.511.60
Throw-ins
2336
Fouls
1115
Tackles
90% (9/10)65% (13/20)
Duels won
5662
Clearances
3521
Interceptions
116
Errors leading to shot
00
Errors leading to goal
00
Goalkeeper Saves
31
xGOT faced
1.440.02
Goals prevented
0.440.02

Key Moments

Here there are
  • 1st Half (0 - 0)
  • 30', Penkevics K. 🟨,
  • 2nd Half (0 - 1)
  • 49', Veips R. 🟨,
  • 52', Sdaigui Z. , Gaucis R. ,
  • 61', Bekili P. 🟨,
  • 69', Becers R. , Petersons A. ,
  • 70', Dzerins R. , Fjodorovs M. ,
  • 82', 0 - 1, Krautmanis J. , Kluskins G. (A),
  • 83', Boroduska E. , Kasica D. ,
  • 86', Promise V. , Susts M. ,
  • 90+3', Dobrecovs D. , Leitans G. ,

Highlights

Chances of winning


Jelgava
56.5%
Draw
23.1%
Grobiņa
20.3%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)
55.7% 22.3% 22.1%

Our Initial ML Estimation

58.6% 21.2% 21%


Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

  • Jelgava has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+0.8%)
  • Grobiņa has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-1.8%)
  • ML Model estimates a higher probability for Jelgava than the current prediction. (+2.1%)
  • ML Model estimates a higher probability for Grobiņa than the current prediction. (+0.7%)
  • Jelgava - Grobiņa Odds

    1 X 2 Marga
    Avarage Now
    (Initially)
    1.62
    (1.64)
    3.95
    (4.1)
    4.5
    (4.14)
    9.5%
    (9.5%)

  • The most likely Over/Under: 2.75
  • What is the prediction for Jelgava - Grobiņa?
  • High ROI Users Predictions (ROI>2%): 1 high ROI users predict this event. Jelgava (votes: 1 - 100%).
  • Users Predictions: Jelgava will win (10 of 11 users predict this - 90.91%).
    Confidence interval (95%): 73.92%100%.
  • The most likely score by Bookmakers is 1:0.
  • Preview Facts
    • A meeting between a mid-table team and the outsider will take place in this match (ranked 5 and 8).
    • In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Jelgava won 3.
    • Recent performances by Jelgava have been up and down (last 5 games: 1 wins).
    • Grobiņa has been struggling lately (in the last 5 games, wins – 1).
    • Recently, Grobiņa has had a series of home games.
    • In this match, Jelgava is considered a favorite.
    • In the last 7 head-to-head matches, Jelgava won 5 matches, drew 1 match, lost 1 match, and goals 15:8. (average 2.1:1.1).
    • Including home matches between the teams, Jelgava won 4 matches, drew 0 matches, lost 0 matches, and goals 9:1. (average 2.3:0.3).
    What were the results of their latest head-to-head matches?
    The latest head-to-head matches between Jelgava - Grobiņa were as follows:
    29.04.2025 Jelgava - Grobiņa 1:0
    06.03.2025 Grobiņa - Jelgava 1:1
    09.11.2024 Jelgava - Grobiņa 2:0
    23.08.2024 Grobiņa - Jelgava 2:3
    16.06.2024 Grobiņa - Jelgava 4:2
    Latest results of Jelgava
    17.06.2025 Tukums 2000 - Jelgava 1:1
    13.06.2025 Jelgava - Metta LU 2:1
    30.05.2025 Jelgava - Liepāja 0:1
    25.05.2025 BFC Daugavpils - Jelgava 1:0
    21.05.2025 Super Nova - Jelgava 0:0
    Latest results of Grobiņa
    18.06.2025 Grobiņa - Auda Riga 1:2
    14.06.2025 Grobiņa - Riga 0:2
    31.05.2025 RFS - Grobiņa 6:0
    26.05.2025 Grobiņa - Super Nova 1:1
    21.05.2025 Grobiņa - Tukums 2000 2:0
    Latvian Virsliga Table
    2025
    PlWDLDiffPts
    1Riga FC20163148:123651
    2RFS20151444:182646
    3FK Liepaja2095633:31232
    4Auda2094730:23731
    5BFC Daugavpils2075829:33-426
    6Jelgava2066819:20-124
    7Grobina20541120:39-1919
    8Super Nova2039825:30-518
    9Tukums 200020361120:39-1915
    10Metta20351217:40-2314

          Promotion ~ Champions League (Qualification: )
          Promotion ~ Conference League (Qualification: )
          Virsliga (Relegation)
          Relegation ~ Nakotnes liga

    Which TV channels are streaming of Jelgava - Grobiņa?
    It is being streamed on various channels, including:
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