Metta LU vs Jelgava: Where to Watch, Predictions, Stats

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Soccer Latvian Virsliga Metta LU - Jelgava
Result
2:2
09/08/2025 at 11:00 (Time Zone – GMT-4 (America/New_York))
  • : Virsliga - Round 26
Metta LU - Jelgava - Gamble Responsibly 18+
00:00 / 90:00
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Match Stats

Expected Goals (xG)
1.731.51
Ball Possession
44%56%
Total shots
1719
Shots on target
67
Big Chances
11
Corner Kicks
38
Passes
78% (282/363)81% (386/476)
Yellow Cards
33
Expected Goals (xG)
1.731.51
xG on target (xGOT)
1.011.03
Total shots
1719
Shots on target
67
Shots off target
66
Blocked Shots
56
Shots inside the Box
128
Shots outside the Box
511
Hit the Woodwork
00
Headed Goals
10
Big Chances
11
Corner Kicks
38
Touches in opposition box
2833
Accurate through passes
00
Offsides
22
Free Kicks
1211
Passes
78% (282/363)81% (386/476)
Long passes
54% (41/76)40% (24/60)
Passes in final third
64% (78/121)68% (109/161)
Crosses
44% (11/25)20% (4/20)
Expected assists (xA)
1.531.49
Throw-ins
189
Fouls
1212
Tackles
73% (8/11)89% (17/19)
Duels won
5149
Clearances
3324
Interceptions
212
Errors leading to shot
00
Errors leading to goal
00
Goalkeeper Saves
54
xGOT faced
1.031.01
Goals prevented
-0.97-0.99

Key Moments

Here there are
  • 1st Half (0 - 1)
  • 1', 0 - 1, Emenike K. , Dvorak A. (A),
  • 17', Alekseiciks K. 🟨,
  • 18', Rekis K. 🟨,
  • 28', Kangars A. 🟨,
  • 34', Becers R. 🟨,
  • 2nd Half (2 - 1)
  • 57', Rekis K. , Ivulans M. ,
  • 57', Cesnieks K. , Kamara S. ,
  • 58', Emenike K. , Deruzinskis R. ,
  • 62', 0 - 2, Deruzinskis R. ,
  • 63', Bangura A. , Klavinskis R. ,
  • 63', Saleh S. , Evelons E. ,
  • 65', 1 - 2, Ivulans M. (Pen),
  • 69', Becers R. , Boroduska E. ,
  • 69', Penkevics K. 🟨,
  • 74', 2 - 2, Evelons E. , Scremin G. (A),
  • 83', Klavinskis R. 🟨,
  • 84', Scremin G. , Molotkovs A. ,
  • 89', Polasek M. , Janovskis A. ,

Highlights

Chances of winning


Metta LU
21.4%
Draw
26.8%
Jelgava
51.8%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)
26% 24.7% 49.3%

Our Initial ML Estimation

30.7% 20.9% 41.8%


Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

  • Metta LU has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-4.6%)
  • Jelgava has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+2.5%)
  • ML Model estimates a higher probability for Metta LU than the current prediction. (+9.3%)
  • Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests a strong performance forecast for Metta LU, possibly due to key factors that the model accounted for.
  • ML Model estimates a lower probability for Jelgava than the current prediction. (-10%)
  • Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests a potential downturn for Jelgava, possibly due to injuries or other negative factors.
  • Metta LU - Jelgava Odds

    1 X 2 Marga
    Avarage Now
    (Initially)
    4.44
    (3.5)
    3.55
    (3.68)
    1.84
    (1.84)
    5.2%
    (10.2%)

  • The most likely Over/Under: 2.50
  • What is the prediction for Metta LU - Jelgava?
  • Users Predictions: 10 users predict this event. Metta will win (votes: 2 - 20%). Jelgava will win (votes: 6 - 60%). It will Tie (votes: 2 - 20%).
    Confidence interval (95%) for Jelgava: 29.6%90.4%.
  • High ROI Users Predictions (ROI>2%): Jelgava will win (3 of 4 users predict this - 75%).
  • The most likely score by Bookmakers is 1:0.
  • Preview Facts
    • A mid-table team and an outsider will play in this match (ranked 9 in the zone Virsliga (Relegation) and 6).
    • In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Metta won 2.
    • Recent performances by Metta have been up and down (last 5 games: 3 wins).
    • Jelgava is going through a rough patch (in the last 5 games, wins – 1).
    • Recently, Metta has had a series of away games.
    • Jelgava might have a minor edge in this game.
    • In the last 20 head-to-head matches, Metta won 7 matches, drew 2 matches, lost 11 matches, and goals 20:23. (average 1:1.2).
    • Including home matches between the teams, Metta won 4 matches, drew 1 match, lost 5 matches, and goals 9:9. (average 0.9:0.9).
    What were the results of their latest head-to-head matches?
    The latest head-to-head matches between Metta LU - Jelgava were as follows:
    13.06.2025 Jelgava - Metta LU 2:1
    18.04.2025 Metta LU - Jelgava 0:0
    22.09.2024 Metta LU - Jelgava 2:0
    01.07.2024 Jelgava - Metta LU 1:0
    11.05.2024 Metta LU - Jelgava 3:0
    Latest results of Metta LU
    03.08.2025 Auda Riga - Metta LU 0:1
    27.07.2025 Riga - Metta LU 3:2
    19.07.2025 Metta LU - RFS 0:4
    13.07.2025 Mārupe - Metta LU 1:4
    06.07.2025 Grobiņa - Metta LU 0:1
    Latest results of Jelgava
    02.08.2025 Jelgava - Liepāja 1:2
    27.07.2025 BFC Daugavpils - Jelgava 2:0
    20.07.2025 Jelgava - Super Nova 1:0
    05.07.2025 Auda Riga - Jelgava 2:0
    01.07.2025 Riga - Jelgava 3:0
    Latvian Virsliga Table
    2025
    PlWDLDiffPts
    1Riga FC26214161:174467
    2RFS26211470:254564
    3FK Liepaja26135844:38644
    4Auda261141134:30437
    5BFC Daugavpils26971038:45-734
    6Jelgava26771223:31-828
    7Tukums 200026661428:48-2024
    8Super Nova264111128:37-923
    9Metta26561523:52-2921
    10Grobina26551623:49-2620

          Promotion ~ Champions League (Qualification: )
          Promotion ~ Conference League (Qualification: )
          Virsliga (Relegation)
          Relegation ~ Nakotnes liga

    Which TV channels are streaming of Metta LU - Jelgava?
    It is being streamed on various channels, including:
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