Result
1:0
25/05/2025 at 09:00 (Time Zone – GMT-4 (America/New_York))
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Match Stats
| |
|---|
| Expected Goals (xG) |
|---|
| 1.09 | 1.57 |
| Ball Possession |
|---|
| 41% | 59% |
| Total shots |
|---|
| 11 | 17 |
| Shots on target |
|---|
| 4 | 6 |
| Big Chances |
|---|
| 4 | 2 |
| Corner Kicks |
|---|
| 3 | 5 |
| Passes |
|---|
| 76% (234/308) | 82% (373/453) |
| Yellow Cards |
|---|
| 1 | 2 |
| Expected Goals (xG) |
|---|
| 1.09 | 1.57 |
| xG on target (xGOT) |
|---|
| 1.07 | 1.25 |
| Total shots |
|---|
| 11 | 17 |
| Shots on target |
|---|
| 4 | 6 |
| Shots off target |
|---|
| 7 | 4 |
| Blocked Shots |
|---|
| 0 | 7 |
| Shots inside the Box |
|---|
| 9 | 8 |
| Shots outside the Box |
|---|
| 2 | 9 |
| Hit the Woodwork |
|---|
| 0 | 1 |
| Big Chances |
|---|
| 4 | 2 |
| Corner Kicks |
|---|
| 3 | 5 |
| Touches in opposition box |
|---|
| 24 | 29 |
| Accurate through passes |
|---|
| 0 | 0 |
| Offsides |
|---|
| 2 | 0 |
| Free Kicks |
|---|
| 14 | 16 |
| Passes |
|---|
| 76% (234/308) | 82% (373/453) |
| Long passes |
|---|
| 47% (29/62) | 64% (43/67) |
| Passes in final third |
|---|
| 69% (71/103) | 69% (126/183) |
| Crosses |
|---|
| 57% (8/14) | 19% (4/21) |
| Expected assists (xA) |
|---|
| 1.72 | 0.74 |
| Throw-ins |
|---|
| 16 | 19 |
| Fouls |
|---|
| 16 | 14 |
| Tackles |
|---|
| 59% (16/27) | 71% (15/21) |
| Duels won |
|---|
| 68 | 53 |
| Clearances |
|---|
| 30 | 23 |
| Interceptions |
|---|
| 12 | 11 |
| Errors leading to shot |
|---|
| 1 | 0 |
| Errors leading to goal |
|---|
| 0 | 0 |
| Goalkeeper Saves |
|---|
| 6 | 3 |
| xGOT faced |
|---|
| 1.25 | 1.07 |
| Goals prevented |
|---|
| 1.25 | 0.06 |
Key Moments
Here there are
- 1st Half (1 - 0)
- 19', Lizunovs V. 🟨,
- 28', Emenike K. 🟨,
- 45+1', 1 - 0, Diedhiou B. ⚽, Diallo B. (A),
- 2nd Half (0 - 0)
- 46', Fofana W. ↓, Cucurs D. ↑,
- 61', Peilans M. ↓, Becers R. ↑,
- 67', Diedhiou B. ↓, Murakami S. ↑,
- 71', Promise V. ↓, Petersons A. ↑,
- 71', Emenike K. ↓, Campos I. ↑,
- 80', Muhammad Y. ↓, Janovskis A. ↑,
- 83', Kone M. ↓, Kudelkins A. ↑,
- 88', Diallo B. ↓, Kauselis K. ↑,
- 90+4', Veips R. 🟨,
Chances of winning
BFC Daugavpils
37.1% | Draw
28.3% | Jelgava
34.6% |
Initial Probability
(when we started the analysis)
Our Initial ML Estimation
Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:
BFC Daugavpils has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-11.4%)Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, indicating that BFC Daugavpils's form might have worsened.Jelgava has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+10.6%)Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting Jelgava's recent form is better than expected.ML Model estimates a higher probability for BFC Daugavpils than the current prediction. (+12.4%)Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests a strong performance forecast for BFC Daugavpils, possibly due to key factors that the model accounted for.ML Model estimates a lower probability for Jelgava than the current prediction. (-11.1%)Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests a potential downturn for Jelgava, possibly due to injuries or other negative factors.
BFC Daugavpils - Jelgava Odds
|
1 |
X |
2 |
Marga |
|
Avarage Now
(Initially) |
2.49 ↑
(1.87) |
3.26 ↓
(3.3) |
2.67 ↓
(3.78) |
8.4%
(10.2%) | |
The most likely Over/Under: 2.50
Preview Facts
- This time we’ll see a clash between two mid-table teams (ranked 6 and 4).
- In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Daugavpils won 2.
- Daugavpils is going through a rough patch (last 5 games: 0 wins).
- In recent matches, Jelgava has shown inconsistent performance (in the last 5 games, wins – 2).
- Recently, Daugavpils has had a series of away games.
- Daugavpils might have a minor edge in this game.
- In the last 20 head-to-head matches, Daugavpils won 3 matches, drew 8 matches, lost 9 matches, and goals 17:24. (average 0.9:1.2).
- Including home matches between the teams, Daugavpils won 3 matches, drew 4 matches, lost 3 matches, and goals 13:10. (average 1.3:1).
How many head-to-head matches has BFC Daugavpils won against Jelgava?
BFC Daugavpils has won 3 of their last 9 head-to-head matches.
How many head-to-head matches has Jelgava won against BFC Daugavpils?
Jelgava has won 2 of their last 9 head-to-head matches.
What were the results of their latest head-to-head matches?
The latest head-to-head matches between BFC Daugavpils - Jelgava were as follows:
10.04.2025
Jelgava
-
BFC Daugavpils
4:1
01.09.2024
Jelgava
-
BFC Daugavpils
0:0
21.06.2024
BFC Daugavpils
-
Jelgava
3:0
03.05.2024
BFC Daugavpils
-
Jelgava
1:0
09.03.2024
Jelgava
-
BFC Daugavpils
0:0
Latest results of BFC Daugavpils
Latest results of Jelgava
Latvian Virsliga Table
2025 | | Pl | W | D | L | | Diff | Pts |
| 1 | Riga FC | 20 | 16 | 3 | 1 | 48:12 | 36 | 51 |
| 2 | RFS | 20 | 15 | 1 | 4 | 44:18 | 26 | 46 |
| 3 | FK Liepaja | 20 | 9 | 5 | 6 | 33:31 | 2 | 32 |
| 4 | Auda | 20 | 9 | 4 | 7 | 30:23 | 7 | 31 |
| 5 | BFC Daugavpils | 20 | 7 | 5 | 8 | 29:33 | -4 | 26 |
| 6 | Jelgava | 20 | 6 | 6 | 8 | 19:20 | -1 | 24 |
| 7 | Grobina | 20 | 5 | 4 | 11 | 20:39 | -19 | 19 |
| 8 | Super Nova | 20 | 3 | 9 | 8 | 25:30 | -5 | 18 |
| 9 | Tukums 2000 | 20 | 3 | 6 | 11 | 20:39 | -19 | 15 |
| 10 | Metta | 20 | 3 | 5 | 12 | 17:40 | -23 | 14 |
Promotion ~ Champions League (Qualification: )
Promotion ~ Conference League (Qualification: )
Virsliga (Relegation)
Relegation ~ Nakotnes liga
Which TV channels are streaming of BFC Daugavpils - Jelgava?
It is being streamed on various channels, including:
| |
|---|
 Latvia | Sportacentrs TV |
 World | Onefootball |
