Result
2:0
27/07/2025 at 08:00 (Time Zone – GMT-4 (America/New_York))
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Match Stats
| |
|---|
| Expected Goals (xG) |
|---|
| 1.93 | 1.16 |
| Ball Possession |
|---|
| 41% | 59% |
| Total shots |
|---|
| 10 | 14 |
| Shots on target |
|---|
| 5 | 0 |
| Big Chances |
|---|
| 3 | 0 |
| Corner Kicks |
|---|
| 2 | 6 |
| Passes |
|---|
| 77% (278/359) | 84% (410/489) |
| Yellow Cards |
|---|
| 3 | 5 |
| Red Cards |
|---|
| 1 | 0 |
| Expected Goals (xG) |
|---|
| 1.93 | 1.16 |
| xG on target (xGOT) |
|---|
| 1.61 | 0.00 |
| Total shots |
|---|
| 10 | 14 |
| Shots on target |
|---|
| 5 | 0 |
| Shots off target |
|---|
| 3 | 11 |
| Blocked Shots |
|---|
| 2 | 3 |
| Shots inside the Box |
|---|
| 9 | 10 |
| Shots outside the Box |
|---|
| 1 | 4 |
| Hit the Woodwork |
|---|
| 0 | 0 |
| Big Chances |
|---|
| 3 | 0 |
| Corner Kicks |
|---|
| 2 | 6 |
| Touches in opposition box |
|---|
| 20 | 28 |
| Accurate through passes |
|---|
| 0 | 0 |
| Offsides |
|---|
| 2 | 1 |
| Free Kicks |
|---|
| 15 | 14 |
| Passes |
|---|
| 77% (278/359) | 84% (410/489) |
| Long passes |
|---|
| 51% (37/72) | 51% (28/55) |
| Passes in final third |
|---|
| 65% (67/103) | 85% (179/210) |
| Crosses |
|---|
| 50% (3/6) | 35% (11/31) |
| Expected assists (xA) |
|---|
| 0.84 | 2.60 |
| Throw-ins |
|---|
| 18 | 14 |
| Fouls |
|---|
| 14 | 15 |
| Tackles |
|---|
| 78% (7/9) | 67% (8/12) |
| Duels won |
|---|
| 64 | 48 |
| Clearances |
|---|
| 25 | 12 |
| Interceptions |
|---|
| 14 | 6 |
| Errors leading to shot |
|---|
| 0 | 0 |
| Errors leading to goal |
|---|
| 0 | 0 |
| Goalkeeper Saves |
|---|
| 0 | 3 |
| xGOT faced |
|---|
| 0.00 | 1.61 |
| Goals prevented |
|---|
| 0.00 | -0.39 |
Key Moments
Here there are
- 1st Half (1 - 0)
- 13', 1 - 0, Saidy M. ⚽, Fofana W. (A),
- 16', Saidy M. 🟨,
- 32', Mihalcovs G. 🟨,
- 2nd Half (1 - 0)
- 46', Deruzinskis R. ↓, Emenike K. ↑,
- 46', Williams W. ↓, Skrebels R. ↑,
- 50', Saidy M. 🟨,
- 51', Zaleiko G. 🟨,
- 53', Diallo B. ↓, Konate F. P. ↑,
- 53', Fofana W. ↓, Cucurs D. ↑,
- 54', Polasek M. 🟨,
- 61', Zaleiko G. ↓, Becers R. ↑,
- 68', Hasek F. ↓, Boroduska E. ↑,
- 81', Yuzvak A. 🟨,
- 84', Mihalcovs G. ↓, Murakami S. ↑,
- 90', Penkevics K. 🟨,
- 90+1', Polasek M. ↓, Petersons A. ↑,
- 90+3', 🟨,
- 90+5', 2 - 0, Konate F. P. ⚽,
Chances of winning
BFC Daugavpils
44% | Draw
28.6% | Jelgava
27.4% |
Initial Probability
(when we started the analysis)
Our Initial ML Estimation
Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:
BFC Daugavpils has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+4.8%)Jelgava has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-5.9%)Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, and Jelgava might be facing challenges that affect their performance.ML Model estimates a lower probability for BFC Daugavpils than the current prediction. (-4.8%)ML Model estimates a higher probability for Jelgava than the current prediction. (+5.9%)Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests that Jelgava could outperform expectations, possibly based on recent matchups or player stats.
BFC Daugavpils - Jelgava Odds
|
1 |
X |
2 |
Marga |
|
Avarage Now
(Initially) |
2.19 ↓
(2.3) |
3.37 ↑
(3.27) |
3.52 ↑
(2.71) |
3.7%
(11.2%) | |
The most likely Over/Under: 2.50
What is the prediction for BFC Daugavpils - Jelgava?
High ROI Users Predictions (ROI>2%): 1 high ROI users predict this event. Daugavpils (votes: 1 - 100%). The most likely score by Bookmakers is 1:1.
Preview Facts
- This time we’ll see a clash between two mid-table teams (ranked 5 and 6).
- In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Daugavpils won 3.
- Daugavpils is undoubtedly in great shape (last 5 games: 3 wins).
- Jelgava has been struggling lately (in the last 5 games, wins – 1).
- Jelgava may have a physical advantage due to more rest days in recent times.
- Recently, Daugavpils has had a series of away games.
- In this match, both teams have almost equal chances to win.
- In the last 20 head-to-head matches, Daugavpils won 4 matches, drew 7 matches, lost 9 matches, and goals 18:24. (average 0.9:1.2).
- Including home matches between the teams, Daugavpils won 4 matches, drew 3 matches, lost 3 matches, and goals 14:10. (average 1.4:1).
How many head-to-head matches has BFC Daugavpils won against Jelgava?
BFC Daugavpils has won 4 of their last 10 head-to-head matches.
How many head-to-head matches has Jelgava won against BFC Daugavpils?
Jelgava has won 2 of their last 10 head-to-head matches.
What were the results of their latest head-to-head matches?
The latest head-to-head matches between BFC Daugavpils - Jelgava were as follows:
25.05.2025
BFC Daugavpils
-
Jelgava
1:0
10.04.2025
Jelgava
-
BFC Daugavpils
4:1
01.09.2024
Jelgava
-
BFC Daugavpils
0:0
21.06.2024
BFC Daugavpils
-
Jelgava
3:0
03.05.2024
BFC Daugavpils
-
Jelgava
1:0
Latest results of BFC Daugavpils
Latest results of Jelgava
Latvian Virsliga Table
2025 | | Pl | W | D | L | | Diff | Pts |
| 1 | Riga FC | 26 | 21 | 4 | 1 | 61:17 | 44 | 67 |
| 2 | RFS | 26 | 21 | 1 | 4 | 70:25 | 45 | 64 |
| 3 | FK Liepaja | 26 | 13 | 5 | 8 | 44:38 | 6 | 44 |
| 4 | Auda | 26 | 11 | 4 | 11 | 34:30 | 4 | 37 |
| 5 | BFC Daugavpils | 26 | 9 | 7 | 10 | 38:45 | -7 | 34 |
| 6 | Jelgava | 26 | 7 | 7 | 12 | 23:31 | -8 | 28 |
| 7 | Tukums 2000 | 26 | 6 | 6 | 14 | 28:48 | -20 | 24 |
| 8 | Super Nova | 26 | 4 | 11 | 11 | 28:37 | -9 | 23 |
| 9 | Metta | 26 | 5 | 6 | 15 | 23:52 | -29 | 21 |
| 10 | Grobina | 26 | 5 | 5 | 16 | 23:49 | -26 | 20 |
Promotion ~ Champions League (Qualification: )
Promotion ~ Conference League (Qualification: )
Virsliga (Relegation)
Relegation ~ Nakotnes liga
Which TV channels are streaming of BFC Daugavpils - Jelgava?
It is being streamed on various channels, including:
| |
|---|
 Latvia | Sportacentrs TV, TV4 |
 World | Onefootball |
