Result
1:0
25/05/2025 at 09:00 (Time Zone – GMT-4 (America/New_York))
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Match Stats
| |
---|
Expected Goals (xG) |
---|
1.09 | 1.57 |
Ball Possession |
---|
41% | 59% |
Total shots |
---|
11 | 17 |
Shots on target |
---|
4 | 6 |
Big Chances |
---|
4 | 2 |
Corner Kicks |
---|
3 | 5 |
Passes |
---|
76% (234/308) | 82% (373/453) |
Yellow Cards |
---|
1 | 2 |
Expected Goals (xG) |
---|
1.09 | 1.57 |
xG on target (xGOT) |
---|
1.07 | 1.25 |
Total shots |
---|
11 | 17 |
Shots on target |
---|
4 | 6 |
Shots off target |
---|
7 | 4 |
Blocked Shots |
---|
0 | 7 |
Shots inside the Box |
---|
9 | 8 |
Shots outside the Box |
---|
2 | 9 |
Hit the Woodwork |
---|
0 | 1 |
Big Chances |
---|
4 | 2 |
Corner Kicks |
---|
3 | 5 |
Touches in opposition box |
---|
24 | 29 |
Accurate through passes |
---|
0 | 0 |
Offsides |
---|
2 | 0 |
Free Kicks |
---|
14 | 16 |
Passes |
---|
76% (234/308) | 82% (373/453) |
Long passes |
---|
47% (29/62) | 64% (43/67) |
Passes in final third |
---|
69% (71/103) | 69% (126/183) |
Crosses |
---|
57% (8/14) | 19% (4/21) |
Expected assists (xA) |
---|
1.72 | 0.74 |
Throw-ins |
---|
16 | 19 |
Fouls |
---|
16 | 14 |
Tackles |
---|
59% (16/27) | 71% (15/21) |
Duels won |
---|
68 | 53 |
Clearances |
---|
30 | 23 |
Interceptions |
---|
12 | 11 |
Errors leading to shot |
---|
1 | 0 |
Errors leading to goal |
---|
0 | 0 |
Goalkeeper Saves |
---|
6 | 3 |
xGOT faced |
---|
1.25 | 1.07 |
Goals prevented |
---|
1.25 | 0.06 |
Key Moments
Here there are
- 1st Half (1 - 0)
- 19', Lizunovs V. 🟨,
- 28', Emenike K. 🟨,
- 45+1', 1 - 0, Diedhiou B. ⚽, Diallo B. (A),
- 2nd Half (0 - 0)
- 46', Fofana W. ↓, Cucurs D. ↑,
- 61', Peilans M. ↓, Becers R. ↑,
- 67', Diedhiou B. ↓, Murakami S. ↑,
- 71', Promise V. ↓, Petersons A. ↑,
- 71', Emenike K. ↓, Campos I. ↑,
- 80', Muhammad Y. ↓, Janovskis A. ↑,
- 83', Kone M. ↓, Kudelkins A. ↑,
- 88', Diallo B. ↓, Kauselis K. ↑,
- 90+4', Veips R. 🟨,
Chances of winning
BFC Daugavpils 37.1% | Draw 28.3% | Jelgava 34.6% |
Initial Probability
(when we started the analysis)
Our Initial ML Estimation
Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:
BFC Daugavpils has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-11.4%)Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, indicating that BFC Daugavpils's form might have worsened.Jelgava has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+10.6%)Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting Jelgava's recent form is better than expected.ML Model estimates a higher probability for BFC Daugavpils than the current prediction. (+12.4%)Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests a strong performance forecast for BFC Daugavpils, possibly due to key factors that the model accounted for.ML Model estimates a lower probability for Jelgava than the current prediction. (-11.1%)Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests a potential downturn for Jelgava, possibly due to injuries or other negative factors.
BFC Daugavpils - Jelgava Odds
|
1 |
X |
2 |
Marga |
|
Avarage Now (Initially) |
2.49 ↑ (1.87) |
3.26 ↓ (3.3) |
2.67 ↓ (3.78) |
8.4% (10.2%) | |
The most likely Over/Under: 2.50
What is the prediction for BFC Daugavpils - Jelgava?
The most likely score is 1:1.
User prediction is will win! ( of users predict this).
Preview Facts
- This time we’ll see a clash between two mid-table teams (ranked 6 and 4).
- In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Daugavpils won 2.
- Daugavpils is going through a rough patch (last 5 games: 0 wins).
- In recent matches, Jelgava has shown inconsistent performance (in the last 5 games, wins – 2).
- Recently, Daugavpils has had a series of away games.
- Daugavpils might have a minor edge in this game.
- In the last 20 head-to-head matches, Daugavpils won 3 matches, drew 8 matches, lost 9 matches, and goals 17:24. (average 0.9:1.2).
- Including home matches between the teams, Daugavpils won 3 matches, drew 4 matches, lost 3 matches, and goals 13:10. (average 1.3:1).
How many head-to-head matches has BFC Daugavpils won against Jelgava?
BFC Daugavpils has won 3 of their last 9 head-to-head matches.
How many head-to-head matches has Jelgava won against BFC Daugavpils?
Jelgava has won 2 of their last 9 head-to-head matches.
What were the results of their latest head-to-head matches?
The latest head-to-head matches between BFC Daugavpils - Jelgava were as follows:
10.04.2025
Jelgava
-
BFC Daugavpils
4:1
01.09.2024
Jelgava
-
BFC Daugavpils
0:0
21.06.2024
BFC Daugavpils
-
Jelgava
3:0
03.05.2024
BFC Daugavpils
-
Jelgava
1:0
09.03.2024
Jelgava
-
BFC Daugavpils
0:0
Latest results of BFC Daugavpils
Latest results of Jelgava
Latvian Virsliga Table
2025 | | Pl | W | D | L | | Diff | Pts |
1 | Riga FC | 16 | 12 | 3 | 1 | 38:10 | 28 | 39 |
2 | RFS | 16 | 12 | 1 | 3 | 39:14 | 25 | 37 |
3 | Auda | 16 | 7 | 4 | 5 | 23:16 | 7 | 25 |
4 | FK Liepaja | 16 | 6 | 4 | 6 | 25:28 | -3 | 22 |
5 | BFC Daugavpils | 16 | 6 | 3 | 7 | 22:26 | -4 | 21 |
6 | Jelgava | 16 | 5 | 5 | 6 | 16:16 | 0 | 20 |
7 | Super Nova | 16 | 3 | 8 | 5 | 22:22 | 0 | 17 |
8 | Grobina | 16 | 4 | 4 | 8 | 16:32 | -16 | 16 |
9 | Metta | 16 | 3 | 3 | 10 | 13:34 | -21 | 12 |
10 | Tukums 2000 | 16 | 2 | 5 | 9 | 14:30 | -16 | 11 |
Promotion ~ Champions League (Qualification: )
Promotion ~ Conference League (Qualification: )
Virsliga (Relegation)
Relegation ~ Nakotnes liga
Which TV channels are streaming of BFC Daugavpils - Jelgava?
It is being streamed on various channels, including:
| |
---|
Latvia | Sportacentrs TV |
World | Onefootball |