Jasmine Paolini vs Anastasija Sevastova: Where to Watch, Predictions, Stats

26/09/2025 at 04:00 (Time Zone – GMT-4 (America/New_York))

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WTA - SINGLES: Beijing, hard - 1/32-finals

Match Stats


Aces
3	1
Double Faults
0	1
1st Serve Percentage
70%	56%
1st Serve Points Won
65% (28/43)	67% (18/27)
2nd Serve Points Won
72% (13/18)	29% (6/21)
Break Points Saved
100% (7/7)	20% (1/5)
1st Return Points Won
33% (9/27)	37% (16/43)
2nd Return Points Won
71% (15/21)	28% (5/18)
Break Points Converted
80% (4/5)	0% (0/7)
Service Points Won
67% (41/61)	50% (24/48)
Return Points Won
50% (24/48)	33% (20/61)
Total Points Won
60% (65/109)	40% (44/109)
Last 10 Balls
7	3
Match Points Saved
0	0
Service Games Won
100% (8/8)	50% (4/8)
Return Games Won
50% (4/8)	0% (0/8)
Total Games Won
75% (12/16)	25% (4/16)

Chances of winning

Jasmine Paolini
81.4%

Anastasija Sevastova
18.6%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

78.1%

21.9%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Jasmine Paolini has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+3.3%)

Anastasija Sevastova has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-3.3%)

Jasmine Paolini - Anastasija Sevastova Odds

	1	X	2	Marga
Avarage Now (Initially)	1.18 ↓ (1.22)		5.17 ↑ (4.35)	4.4% (5%)

What is the prediction for Jasmine Paolini - Anastasija Sevastova?

Users Predictions: 5 users predict this event. Paolini will win (votes: 4 - 80%). Sevastova will win (votes: 1 - 20%).

High ROI Users Predictions (ROI>2%): 2 high ROI users predict this event. Paolini (votes: 1 - 50%). Sevastova (votes: 1 - 50%).

The most likely score by Bookmakers is 2:0.

Preview Facts

Paolini is ranked WTA: 8. Sevastova is ranked WTA: 221.
Paolini is currently in amazing form (last 5 games: 4 wins).
In recent matches, Sevastova has shown inconsistent performance (in the last 5 games, wins – 2).
Paolini may have a physical advantage due to more rest days in recent times.
In this match, Paolini is the obvious favorite.
In the last 4 head-to-head matches, Paolini won 4 matches, drew 0 matches, lost 0 matches, and goals 6:1. (average 1.5:0.3).

How many head-to-head matches has Jasmine Paolini won against Anastasija Sevastova?

Jasmine Paolini has won 1 of their last 1 head-to-head matches.

How many head-to-head matches has Anastasija Sevastova won against Jasmine Paolini?

Anastasija Sevastova has won 0 of their last 1 head-to-head matches.

What were the results of their latest head-to-head matches?

The latest head-to-head matches between Jasmine Paolini - Anastasija Sevastova were as follows:

30.06.2025 Jasmine Paolini - Anastasija Sevastova 2:1

Latest results of Jasmine Paolini

21.09.2025 Jasmine Paolini - Jessica Pegula 2:0 ✺

19.09.2025 Jasmine Paolini - Elina Svitolina 2:1 ✺

16.09.2025 Jasmine Paolini - Xin Yu Wang 2:1 ✺

29.08.2025 Marketa Vondrousova - Jasmine Paolini 2:0 ✺

27.08.2025 Iva Jovic - Jasmine Paolini 0:2 ✺

Latest results of Anastasija Sevastova

23.09.2025 Anastasija Sevastova - Kimberly Birrell 2:0 ✺

26.08.2025 Ekaterina Alexandrova - Anastasija Sevastova 2:0 ✺

10.08.2025 Anastasija Sevastova - Ashlyn Krueger 1:2 ✺

08.08.2025 Anastasija Sevastova - Emina Bektas 2:1 ✺

03.08.2025 Naomi Osaka - Anastasija Sevastova 2:0 ✺

Draw

Singles - Main

1/64-finals

1	Swiatek I. (1)	Bye
2	Yuan Y. (WC)	Putintseva Y.	2 : 0
3	Li A.	Osorio C.	1 : 2
4	Bye	Kalinskaya A. (28)
5	Samsonova L. (19)	Bye
6	Boisson L.	Galfi D. (Q)	2 : 1
7	Sramkova R.	Ruse G.	0 : 2
8	Bye	Navarro E. (16)
9	Osaka N. (12)	Bye
10	Sasnovich A. (Q)	Tjen J. (Q)	2 : 1
11	Frech M.	Seidel E. (Q)	0 : 2
12	Bye	Kostyuk M. (23)
13	Raducanu E. (30)	Bye
14	Vekic D.	Bucsa C. (Q)	0 : 2
15	Tomljanovic A.	Starodubtseva Y.	2 : 0
16	Bye	Pegula J. (5)
17	Andreeva M. (4)	Bye
18	Uchijima M. (Q)	Zhu L. (WC)	0 : 2
19	Bouzas Maneiro J.	Cristian J.	2 : 0
20	Bye	Yastremska D. (29)
21	Shnaider D. (17)	Bye
22	Jimenez Kasintseva V. (Q)	Joint M.	0 : 2
23	Kartal S.	Parks A.	2 : 0
24	Bye	Kasatkina D. (14)
25	Tauson C. (10)	Bye
26	Sonmez Z.	Wei S. (WC)	2 : 0
27	Siniakova K.	Potapova A.	0 : 2
28	Bye	Mboko V. (21)
29	Noskova L. (26)	Bye
30	Guo H. (WC)	Wang Xiy. (WC)	0 : 2
31	Lamens S.	Arango E. (LL)	0 : 2
32	Bye	Zheng Q. (7)
33	Paolini J. (6)	Bye
34	Sevastova A.	Birrell K.	2 : 0
35	Kudermetova P.	Inglis M. (Q)	2 : 0
36	Bye	Kenin S. (27)
37	Kudermetova V. (24)	Bye
38	Bondar A. (Q)	Andreescu B.	2 : 0
39	Maria T.	Bouzkova M.	0 : 2
40	Bye	Linette M. (33)
41	Muchova K. (13)	Bye
42	Dolehide C.	Cirstea S.	0 : 2
43	Jacquemot E. (Q)	Ruzic A.	0 : 2
44	Bye	Badosa P. (18)
45	Wang Xin. (31)	Bye
46	Zakharova A. (Q)	Zhang S. (WC)	1 : 2
47	Boulter K.	Baptiste H.	2 : 1
48	Bye	Anisimova A. (3)
49	Rybakina E. (8)	Bye
50	Siegemund L.	McNally C.	0 : 2
51	Zhang R. (WC)	Lys E.	0 : 2
52	Bye	Jovic I. (32)
53	Mertens E. (20)	Bye
54	Kessler M.	Shi H. (WC)	2 : 0
55	Krejcikova B.	Blinkova A.	2 : 0
56	Bye	Alexandrova E. (9)
57	Bencic B. (15)	Bye
58	Volynets K. (Q)	Stearns P.	2 : 1
59	Hon P. (Q)	Golubic V.	2 : 1
60	Bye	Ostapenko J. (22)
61	Fernandez L. (25)	Bye
62	Krueger A.	Sakkari M.	1 : 2
63	Bronzetti L.	Rakhimova K.	0 : 2
64	Bye	Gauff C. (2)

1/32-finals

1	Swiatek I. (1)	Yuan Y.	2 : 0
2	Osorio C.	Kalinskaya A. (28)	2 : 1
3	Samsonova L. (19)	Boisson L.	0 : 2
4	Ruse G.	Navarro E. (16)	0 : 2
5	Osaka N. (12)	Sasnovich A.	1 : 2
6	Seidel E.	Kostyuk M. (23)	0 : 2
7	Raducanu E. (30)	Bucsa C.	2 : 0
8	Tomljanovic A.	Pegula J. (5)	0 : 2
9	Andreeva M. (4)	Zhu L.	2 : 0
10	Bouzas Maneiro J.	Yastremska D. (29)	2 : 0
11	Shnaider D. (17)	Joint M.	0 : 2
12	Kartal S.	Kasatkina D. (14)	2 : 0
13	Tauson C. (10)	Sonmez Z.	1 : 2
14	Potapova A.	Mboko V. (21)	2 : 0
15	Noskova L. (26)	Wang Xiy.	2 : 0
16	Arango E.	Zheng Q. (7)	0 : 2
17	Paolini J. (6)	Sevastova A.	2 : 0
18	Kudermetova P.	Kenin S. (27)	0 : 2
19	Kudermetova V. (24)	Bondar A.	2 : 0
20	Bouzkova M.	Linette M. (33)	2 : 0
21	Muchova K. (13)	Cirstea S.	2 : 0
22	Ruzic A.	Badosa P. (18)	0 : 2
23	Wang Xin. (31)	Zhang S.	0 : 2
24	Boulter K.	Anisimova A. (3)	0 : 2
25	Rybakina E. (8)	McNally C.	2 : 1
26	Lys E.	Jovic I. (32)	2 : 1
27	Mertens E. (20)	Kessler M.	0 : 2
28	Krejcikova B.	Alexandrova E. (9)	2 : 0
29	Bencic B. (15)	Volynets K.	2 : 0
30	Hon P.	Ostapenko J. (22)	2 : 0
31	Fernandez L. (25)	Sakkari M.	2 : 0
32	Rakhimova K.	Gauff C. (2)	0 : 2

1/16-finals

1	Swiatek I. (1)	Osorio C. (RET.)	1 : 0
2	Boisson L. (RET.)	Navarro E. (16)	0 : 1
3	Sasnovich A.	Kostyuk M. (23)	0 : 2
4	Raducanu E. (30)	Pegula J. (5)	1 : 2
5	Andreeva M. (4)	Bouzas Maneiro J.	2 : 0
6	Joint M.	Kartal S.	0 : 2
7	Sonmez Z.	Potapova A.	0 : 2
8	Noskova L. (26)	Zheng Q. (RET.) (7)	1 : 1
9	Paolini J. (6)	Kenin S. (27)	2 : 0
10	Kudermetova V. (24)	Bouzkova M.	0 : 2
11	Muchova K. (13)	Badosa P. (RET.) (18)	0 : 0
12	Zhang S.	Anisimova A. (3)	0 : 2
13	Rybakina E. (8)	Lys E.	1 : 2
14	Kessler M.	Krejcikova B. (RET.)	1 : 1
15	Bencic B. (15)	Hon P.	2 : 1
16	Fernandez L. (25)	Gauff C. (2)	1 : 2

1/8-finals

1	Swiatek I. (1)	Navarro E. (16)
2	Kostyuk M. (23)	Pegula J. (5)
3	Andreeva M. (4)	Kartal S.
4	Potapova A.	Noskova L. (26)
5	Paolini J. (6)	Bouzkova M.	2 : 0
6	Muchova K. (13)	Anisimova A. (3)	1 : 2
7	Lys E.	Kessler M.	2 : 1
8	Bencic B. (15)	Gauff C. (2)	1 : 2

Quarter-finals

1	TBD #1	TBD #2
2	TBD #3	TBD #4
3	Paolini J. (6)	Anisimova A. (3)
4	Lys E.	Gauff C. (2)

Semi-finals

1	TBD #1	TBD #2
2	TBD #3	TBD #4

Final

1

TBD #1

TBD #2

Which TV channels are streaming of Jasmine Paolini - Anastasija Sevastova?

It is being streamed on various channels, including:


Bulgaria	Max Sport 1
Germany	Sky Sport Tennis
Slovakia	Voyo
United-kingdom	Sky Sports Tennis