Jannik Sinner vs Shintaro Mochizuki: Where to Watch, Predictions, Stats

Bet nowGamble Responsibly 18+
Result
3:0
05/07/2026 at 14:10 (Time Zone – GMT-4 (America/New_York))
  • ATP - SINGLES: Wimbledon, grass - 1/8-finals
Jannik Sinner - Shintaro Mochizuki - Gamble Responsibly 18+
00:00 / 90:00
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Match Stats

Aces
154
Double Faults
33
1st serve percentage
71%54%
1st serve points won
82% (49/60)71% (45/63)
2nd serve points won
60% (15/25)44% (24/54)
Break Points Saved
5/58/12
Average 1st serve speed
200 km/h176 km/h
Average 2nd serve speed
167 km/h134 km/h
1st return points won
30% (19/63)20% (12/60)
2nd return points won
56% (30/54)40% (10/25)
Break Points Converted
4/120/5
Winners
4425
Unforced errors
3328
Net points won
76% (22/29)83% (33/40)
Service Points Won
75% (64/85)60% (70/117)
Return Points Won
40% (47/117)25% (21/85)
Total Points Won
55% (111/202)45% (91/202)
Last 10 balls
82
Match points saved
00
Service games won
100% (14/14)75% (12/16)
Return games won
25% (4/16)0% (0/14)
Total games won
60% (18/30)40% (12/30)
Distance covered (metres)
23722360

Chances of winning


Jannik Sinner
95.3%
Shintaro Mochizuki
4.7%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)
93.8% 6.2%


Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

  • Jannik Sinner has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+1.5%)
  • Shintaro Mochizuki has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-1.5%)
  • Jannik Sinner - Shintaro Mochizuki Odds

    1 X 2 Marga
    Avarage Now
    (Initially)
    1.01
    (1.01)

    20.54
    (15.24)
    3.6%
    (5.6%)

    • The most likely Over/Under: 28.00
    What is the prediction for Jannik Sinner - Shintaro Mochizuki?
    • Users Predictions: 8 users predict this event. Sinner will win (votes: 3 - 37.5%). Mochizuki will win (votes: 5 - 62.5%).
      Confidence interval (95%) for Mochizuki: 29%96%.
    • Over/Under & Asian Handicap Predictions by Selected Experts:
      • AH +10.5 Games - Mochizuki (1.48) (votes: 1 - 100%) .
    • Overall Expert Consensus (including all markets): 1 Selected Experts predict this event. Mochizuki (votes: 1 - 100%).
    • The most likely score by Bookmakers is 3:0.
    Preview Facts
    • Sinner is ranked ATP: 1. Mochizuki is ranked ATP: 151.
    • Sinner is undoubtedly in great shape (last 5 games: 4 wins).
    • Mochizuki is in great form and has won several matches in a row (last 5 games: 5 wins).
    • Sinner may have a physical advantage due to more rest days in recent times.
    • In this match, Sinner is the obvious favorite.
    • Recently, there has been no match between the players.
    Latest results of Jannik Sinner
    Latest results of Shintaro Mochizuki
    Draw
    Singles - Main

    1/64-finals
    1Sinner J. (1)Kecmanovic M.3 : 2
    2Borges N.Boyer T. (Q)3 : 0
    3Vukic A.Brooksby J.0 : 3
    4Nava E.Buse I. (31)1 : 3
    5Jodar R. (23)Gill F. (WC)3 : 0
    6Shapovalov D. (RET.)Carreno-Busta P.0 : 2
    7Mochizuki S. (Q)Basing M. (Q)3 : 0
    8Quinn E.Darderi L. (14)3 : 0
    9Ruud C. (11)Hurkacz H.0 : 3
    10Medjedovic H.Ofner S.2 : 3
    11Kwon S. (Q)Landaluce M.3 : 0
    12Muller A.Paul T. (21)0 : 3
    13Nakashima B. (28)Pinnington Jones J. (WC)3 : 0
    14Struff J-L.Baez S.3 : 2
    15Ugo Carabelli C. (RET.)Merida Aguilar D.2 : 1
    16Cilic M.Medvedev D. (8)0 : 3
    17Auger-Aliassime F. (3)Shevchenko A.3 : 0
    18Walton A.Prizmic D.1 : 3
    19Vallejo D.Mejia N. (Q)1 : 3
    20Zheng M. (Q)Norrie C. (26)3 : 2
    21Davidovich Fokina A. (22)Cerundolo J. M.3 : 0
    22Tirante T. A.Marozsan F.0 : 3
    23van Assche L. (RET.)Fucsovics M.0 : 1
    24Svrcina D.Tien L. (16)1 : 3
    25Rublev A. (12)Safiullin R. (Q)2 : 3
    26Kovacevic A.Van De Zandschulp B.1 : 3
    27De Jong J.Hijikata R.3 : 2
    28Bautista-Agut R.Fonseca J. (24)0 : 3
    29Rinderknech A. (25)Tarvet O. (Q)3 : 1
    30Trungelliti M.Damm M.1 : 3
    31Gaston H. (Q)Tsitsipas S.0 : 3
    32Wu Y.Djokovic N. (7)1 : 3
    33De Minaur A. (5)Burruchaga R. A.3 : 0
    34Mannarino A.Droguet T.3 : 0
    35Llamas Ruiz P. (LL)Svajda Z.0 : 3
    36Majchrzak K.Tabilo A. (30)3 : 0
    37Khachanov K. (19)Harris B. (Q)3 : 1
    38Hanfmann Y.Mpetshi Perricard G.3 : 1
    39Griekspoor T.Duckworth J.1 : 3
    40Navone M.Cobolli F. (9)1 : 3
    41Mensik J. (15)Samuel T. (WC)3 : 2
    42Sweeny D. (Q)Dimitrov G. (WC)0 : 3
    43Wawrinka S. (WC)Berrettini M.1 : 3
    44Collignon R.Fils A. (20)0 : 3
    45Humbert U. (27)Bergs Z.2 : 3
    46Shimabukuro S.Faria J. (Q)1 : 3
    47Dzumhur D.Fery A. (WC)1 : 3
    48Virtanen O. (Q)Shelton B. (4)3 : 2
    49Fritz T. (6)Lajovic D. (LL)3 : 0
    50Kypson P.McDonald M. (Q)3 : 1
    51Bonzi B. (RET.)Diallo G.2 : 2
    52Sonego L.Etcheverry T. M. (29)3 : 1
    53Tiafoe F. (17)Atmane T.3 : 1
    54Kopriva V.Choinski J.0 : 3
    55Jacquet K. (Q)Gaubas V. (Q)3 : 0
    56Kokkinakis T.Bublik A. (10)2 : 3
    57Lehecka J. (13)Popyrin A.3 : 0
    58Molcan A.Altmaier D.3 : 1
    59Michelsen A.Fearnley J. (WC)2 : 3
    60Munar J.Cerundolo F. (18)3 : 0
    61Arnaldi M. (32)Halys Q.1 : 3
    62Moutet C.Giron M.1 : 3
    63Royer V.Wendelken H. (WC)3 : 1
    64Blockx A.Zverev A. (2)1 : 3

    1/32-finals
    1Sinner J. (1)Borges N.3 : 0
    2Brooksby J.Buse I. (31)3 : 0
    3Jodar R. (23)Carreno-Busta P.3 : 2
    4Mochizuki S.Quinn E.3 : 0
    5Hurkacz H.Ofner S.3 : 0
    6Kwon S.Paul T. (21)0 : 3
    7Nakashima B. (28)Struff J-L.2 : 3
    8Merida Aguilar D.Medvedev D. (8)1 : 3
    9Auger-Aliassime F. (3)Prizmic D.3 : 0
    10Mejia N.Zheng M.1 : 3
    11Davidovich Fokina A. (22)Marozsan F.3 : 0
    12Fucsovics M.Tien L. (16)3 : 1
    13Safiullin R.Van De Zandschulp B.3 : 2
    14De Jong J.Fonseca J. (24)0 : 3
    15Rinderknech A. (25)Damm M.3 : 0
    16Tsitsipas S.Djokovic N. (7)0 : 3
    17De Minaur A. (5)Mannarino A.3 : 0
    18Svajda Z.Majchrzak K.3 : 2
    19Khachanov K. (19)Hanfmann Y.3 : 0
    20Duckworth J.Cobolli F. (9)1 : 3
    21Mensik J. (15)Dimitrov G.1 : 3
    22Berrettini M.Fils A. (20)3 : 1
    23Bergs Z.Faria J.3 : 1
    24Fery A.Virtanen O.3 : 1
    25Fritz T. (6)Kypson P.3 : 0
    26Diallo G.Sonego L.2 : 3
    27Tiafoe F. (17)Choinski J.3 : 1
    28Jacquet K.Bublik A. (10)0 : 3
    29Lehecka J. (13)Molcan A.3 : 0
    30Fearnley J.Munar J.0 : 3
    31Halys Q.Giron M.0 : 3
    32Royer V.Zverev A. (2)0 : 3

    1/16-finals
    1Sinner J. (1)Brooksby J.3 : 0
    2Jodar R. (23)Mochizuki S.1 : 3
    3Hurkacz H.Paul T. (21)3 : 1
    4Struff J-L.Medvedev D. (8)3 : 0
    5Auger-Aliassime F. (3)Zheng M.3 : 0
    6Davidovich Fokina A. (22)Fucsovics M.3 : 0
    7Safiullin R.Fonseca J. (24)3 : 0
    8Rinderknech A. (25)Djokovic N. (7)1 : 3
    9De Minaur A. (5)Svajda Z.3 : 1
    10Khachanov K. (19)Cobolli F. (9)2 : 3
    11Dimitrov G.Berrettini M.3 : 2
    12Bergs Z.Fery A.2 : 3
    13Fritz T. (6)Sonego L.3 : 1
    14Tiafoe F. (17)Bublik A. (10)2 : 3
    15Lehecka J. (13)Munar J.3 : 1
    16Giron M.Zverev A. (2)0 : 3

    1/8-finals
    1Sinner J. (1)Mochizuki S.3 : 0
    2Hurkacz H. (RET.)Struff J-L.2 : 2
    3Auger-Aliassime F. (3)Davidovich Fokina A. (22)3 : 2
    4Safiullin R.Djokovic N. (7)1 : 3
    5De Minaur A. (5)Cobolli F. (9)0 : 3
    6Dimitrov G.Fery A.2 : 3
    7Fritz T. (6)Bublik A. (10)3 : 0
    8Lehecka J. (13)Zverev A. (2)1 : 3

    Quarter-finals
    1Sinner J. (1)Struff J-L.3 : 0
    2Auger-Aliassime F. (3)Djokovic N. (7)2 : 3
    3Cobolli F. (9)Fery A.0 : 3
    4Fritz T. (6)Zverev A. (2)0 : 3

    Semi-finals
    1Sinner J. (1)Djokovic N. (7)3 : 0
    2Fery A.Zverev A. (2)0 : 3

    Final
    1Sinner J. (1)Zverev A. (2)3 : 1
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