Jan Choinski vs Roberto Carballes Baena: Where to Watch, Predictions, Stats

Bet nowGamble Responsibly 18+
Tennis ATP US Open Jan Choinski - Roberto Carballes Baena
Result
2:3
26/08/2024 at 11:00 (Time Zone – GMT-4 (America/New_York))
  • ATP - SINGLES: US Open (USA), hard - 1/64-finals
Jan Choinski - Roberto Carballes Baena - Gamble Responsibly 18+
00:00 / 90:00
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Match Stats

Aces
918
Double Faults
58
1st Serve Percentage
62%51%
1st Serve Points Won
70% (71/102)79% (67/85)
2nd Serve Points Won
48% (30/63)54% (45/83)
Break Points Saved
67% (12/18)82% (14/17)
1st Return Points Won
21% (18/85)30% (31/102)
2nd Return Points Won
46% (38/83)52% (33/63)
Break Points Converted
18% (3/17)33% (6/18)
Winners
6641
Unforced Errors
7425
Net Points Won
75% (50/67)71% (12/17)
Max Points In Row
67
Service Points Won
61% (101/165)67% (112/168)
Return Points Won
33% (56/168)39% (64/165)
Total Points Won
47% (157/333)53% (176/333)
Max Games In Row
33
Service Games Won
75% (18/24)88% (23/26)
Return Games Won
12% (3/26)25% (6/24)
Total Games Won
42% (21/50)58% (29/50)

Chances of winning


Jan Choinski
36.5%
Roberto Carballes Baena
63.5%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)
43% 57%

Our Initial ML Estimation

43.7% 56.3%


Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

  • Jan Choinski has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-6.5%)
  • Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, indicating that Jan Choinski's form might have worsened.
  • Roberto Carballes Baena has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+6.5%)
  • Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting Roberto Carballes Baena's recent form is better than expected.
  • ML Model estimates a higher probability for Jan Choinski than the current prediction. (+7.2%)
  • Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests a strong performance forecast for Jan Choinski, possibly due to key factors that the model accounted for.
  • ML Model estimates a lower probability for Roberto Carballes Baena than the current prediction. (-7.2%)
  • Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests a potential downturn for Roberto Carballes Baena, possibly due to injuries or other negative factors.
  • Jan Choinski - Roberto Carballes Baena Odds

    1 X 2 Marga
    Avarage Now
    (Initially)
    2.62
    (2.13)

    1.51
    (1.61)
    4.5%
    (9.1%)
    What is the prediction for Jan Choinski - Roberto Carballes Baena?
    The most likely score is 0:3. User prediction is will win! ( of users predict this).
    Preview Facts
    • Choinski is ranked ATP: 281. Carballes Baena is ranked ATP: 54.
    • Recent matches Choinski is playing unstable (in the last 5 games wins - 3).
    • Carballes Baena is in a poor shape now (in the last 5 games wins - 1).
    • Choinski could have problems with physics compare with it opponent - last days they played more matches than their opponents.
    • Carballes Baena will have a mini benefit in this match.
    • Recently, the players did not play each other.
    Latest results of Jan Choinski
    Draw
    Singles - Main

    1/64-finals
    1Sinner J. (1)McDonald M.3 : 1
    2Spizzirri E. (Q)Michelsen A.0 : 3
    3Bellucci M. (Q)Wawrinka S. (WC)3 : 0
    4O'Connell C.Jarry N. (26)3 : 1
    5Fils A. (24)Tien L. (WC)3 : 1
    6Munar J.Diallo G. (Q)1 : 3
    7Purcell M.Vukic A.3 : 0
    8Sonego L.Paul T. (14)1 : 3
    9Tsitsipas S. (11)Kokkinakis T.1 : 3
    10Borges N.Coria F.3 : 0
    11Schoolkate T. (WC)Daniel T.3 : 2
    12Mensik J.Auger-Aliassime F. (19)3 : 0
    13Cobolli F. (31)Duckworth J.3 : 1
    14Bergs Z.Kotov P.3 : 2
    15Marozsan F.Medjedovic H. (Q)3 : 2
    16Lajovic D.Medvedev D. (5)1 : 3
    17Alcaraz C. (3)Tu L. (Q)3 : 1
    18Shapovalov D.Van De Zandschulp B.0 : 3
    19Diaz Acosta F.Gaston H.3 : 0
    20Zhang Z. (RET.)Draper J. (25)0 : 2
    21Tabilo A. (22)Goffin D.0 : 3
    22Coric B.Mannarino A.0 : 3
    23Fognini F.Machac T.0 : 3
    24Moutet C.Korda S. (16)0 : 3
    25De Minaur A. (10)Giron M.3 : 1
    26Virtanen O. (Q)Halys Q. (Q)3 : 1
    27Navone M.Altmaier D.3 : 1
    28Evans D.Khachanov K. (23)3 : 2
    29Arnaldi M. (30)Svajda Z. (WC)3 : 0
    30Forbes M. (WC)Safiullin R.0 : 3
    31Lestienne C.Thompson J.0 : 3
    32Skatov T. (Q)Hurkacz H. (7)0 : 3
    33Ruud C. (8)Bu Y. (Q)3 : 0
    34Monfils G.Schwartzman D. (Q)3 : 1
    35Choinski J. (Q)Carballes Baena R.2 : 3
    36Shang J.Bublik A. (27)3 : 2
    37Humbert U. (17)Monteiro T.3 : 0
    38Stricker D.Comesana F.1 : 3
    39Ramos A.Berrettini M.0 : 3
    40Ugo Carabelli C.Fritz T. (12)0 : 3
    41Rune H. (15)Nakashima B.0 : 3
    42Cazaux A.Carreno-Busta P.3 : 0
    43Nishioka Y. (RET.)Kecmanovic M.2 : 2
    44Opelka R.Musetti L. (18)1 : 3
    45Cerundolo F. (29)Ofner S.3 : 1
    46Mpetshi Perricard G.Etcheverry T. M.0 : 3
    47Muller A. (WC)Walton A.3 : 1
    48Marterer M. (LL)Zverev A. (4)1 : 3
    49Rublev A. (6)Seyboth Wild T.3 : 0
    50Eubanks C. (WC)Rinderknech A.2 : 3
    51Grenier H. (Q)Krueger M. (Q)1 : 3
    52Fucsovics M. (RET.)Lehecka J. (32)1 : 2
    53Baez S. (21)Darderi L.3 : 1
    54Nagal S.Griekspoor T.0 : 3
    55Hijikata R.Davidovich Fokina A.3 : 1
    56Jacquet K. (Q)Dimitrov G. (9)0 : 3
    57Shelton B. (13)Thiem D. (WC)3 : 0
    58Nardi L.Bautista-Agut R.0 : 3
    59Shevchenko A.Koepfer D.3 : 1
    60Kovacevic A.Tiafoe F. (20)1 : 3
    61Popyrin A. (28)Kwon S.3 : 0
    62Martinez P.Kasnikowski M. (Q)3 : 2
    63Djere L.Struff J-L.3 : 2
    64Albot R. (Q)Djokovic N. (2)0 : 3

    1/32-finals
    1Sinner J. (1)Michelsen A.3 : 0
    2Bellucci M.O'Connell C.1 : 3
    3Fils A. (24)Diallo G.1 : 3
    4Purcell M. (RET.)Paul T. (14)0 : 2
    5Kokkinakis T.Borges N.0 : 3
    6Schoolkate T.Mensik J.2 : 3
    7Cobolli F. (31)Bergs Z.3 : 1
    8Marozsan F.Medvedev D. (5)0 : 3
    9Alcaraz C. (3)Van De Zandschulp B.0 : 3
    10Diaz Acosta F.Draper J. (25)0 : 3
    11Goffin D.Mannarino A.3 : 1
    12Machac T.Korda S. (16)3 : 0
    13De Minaur A. (10)Virtanen O.3 : 0
    14Navone M.Evans D.0 : 3
    15Arnaldi M. (30)Safiullin R.3 : 0
    16Thompson J.Hurkacz H. (7)3 : 0
    17Ruud C. (8)Monfils G.3 : 1
    18Carballes Baena R.Shang J.0 : 3
    19Humbert U. (17)Comesana F.1 : 3
    20Berrettini M.Fritz T. (12)0 : 3
    21Nakashima B.Cazaux A.3 : 0
    22Kecmanovic M.Musetti L. (18)2 : 3
    23Cerundolo F. (29)Etcheverry T. M.2 : 3
    24Muller A.Zverev A. (4)0 : 3
    25Rublev A. (6)Rinderknech A.3 : 2
    26Krueger M.Lehecka J. (32)2 : 3
    27Baez S. (RET.) (21)Griekspoor T.0 : 1
    28Hijikata R.Dimitrov G. (9)0 : 3
    29Shelton B. (13)Bautista-Agut R.3 : 0
    30Shevchenko A. (RET.)Tiafoe F. (20)0 : 2
    31Popyrin A. (28)Martinez P.3 : 0
    32Djere L. (RET.)Djokovic N. (2)0 : 2

    1/16-finals
    1Sinner J. (1)O'Connell C.3 : 0
    2Diallo G.Paul T. (14)1 : 3
    3Borges N.Mensik J.3 : 2
    4Cobolli F. (31)Medvedev D. (5)0 : 3
    5Van De Zandschulp B.Draper J. (25)0 : 3
    6Goffin D.Machac T.0 : 3
    7De Minaur A. (10)Evans D.3 : 1
    8Arnaldi M. (30)Thompson J.0 : 3
    9Ruud C. (8)Shang J.3 : 2
    10Comesana F.Fritz T. (12)0 : 3
    11Nakashima B.Musetti L. (18)3 : 1
    12Etcheverry T. M.Zverev A. (4)1 : 3
    13Rublev A. (6)Lehecka J. (32)3 : 0
    14Griekspoor T.Dimitrov G. (9)0 : 3
    15Shelton B. (13)Tiafoe F. (20)2 : 3
    16Popyrin A. (28)Djokovic N. (2)3 : 1

    1/8-finals
    1Sinner J. (1)Paul T. (14)3 : 0
    2Borges N.Medvedev D. (5)0 : 3
    3Draper J. (25)Machac T.3 : 0
    4De Minaur A. (10)Thompson J.3 : 1
    5Ruud C. (8)Fritz T. (12)1 : 3
    6Nakashima B.Zverev A. (4)1 : 3
    7Rublev A. (6)Dimitrov G. (9)2 : 3
    8Tiafoe F. (20)Popyrin A. (28)3 : 1

    Quarter-finals
    1Sinner J. (1)Medvedev D. (5)3 : 1
    2Draper J. (25)De Minaur A. (10)3 : 0
    3Fritz T. (12)Zverev A. (4)3 : 1
    4Dimitrov G. (RET.) (9)Tiafoe F. (20)1 : 2

    Semi-finals
    1Sinner J. (1)Draper J. (25)3 : 0
    2Fritz T. (12)Tiafoe F. (20)3 : 2

    Final
    1Sinner J. (1)Fritz T. (12)3 : 0
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