Świt Nowy Dwór Mazowiecki vs Jagiellonia II Białystok: Where to Watch, Predictions, Stats

Bet nowGamble Responsibly 18+
Soccer Polish Division 3 - Group I Świt Nowy Dwór Mazowiecki - Jagiellonia II Białystok
Result
3:2
20/09/2025 at 08:00 (Time Zone – GMT-4 (America/New_York))
  • : III Liga - Group I - Round 9
Świt Nowy Dwór Mazowiecki - Jagiellonia II Białystok - Gamble Responsibly 18+
00:00 / 90:00
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Key Moments

Here there are
  • 1st Half (1 - 1)
  • 11', 1 - 0, Kucharczyk M. ,
  • 29', 1 - 1, ,
  • 2nd Half (2 - 1)
  • 71', 1 - 2, ,
  • 80', 2 - 2, Kucharczyk M. ,
  • 85', 3 - 2, Kucharczyk M. ,

Chances of winning


Świt Nowy Dwór Mazowiecki
49.4%
Draw
23.6%
Jagiellonia II Białystok
27%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)
46.2% 25% 28.9%

Our Initial ML Estimation

47.4% 24.4% 28.2%


Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

  • Świt Nowy Dwór Mazowiecki has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+3.2%)
  • Jagiellonia II Białystok has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-1.9%)
  • ML Model estimates a lower probability for Świt Nowy Dwór Mazowiecki than the current prediction. (-2%)
  • ML Model estimates a higher probability for Jagiellonia II Białystok than the current prediction. (+1.2%)
  • Świt Nowy Dwór Mazowiecki - Jagiellonia II Białystok Odds

    1 X 2 Marga
    Avarage Now
    (Initially)
    1.95
    (2)
    4.07
    (3.7)
    3.56
    (3.2)
    4.1%
    (8.3%)

  • The most likely Over/Under: 3.25
  • Preview Facts
    • This match features one of the leaders against an outsider (ranked 5 and 16 in the zone Relegation).
    • In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Świt won 1.
    • Świt has been quite unpredictable recently (last 5 games: 2 wins).
    • Jagiellonia II's performance has dropped in recent matches (in the last 5 games, wins – 0).
    • Świt might have a minor edge in this game.
    • In the last 12 head-to-head matches, Świt won 5 matches, drew 1 match, lost 6 matches, and goals 16:22. (average 1.3:1.8).
    • Including home matches between the teams, Świt won 3 matches, drew 1 match, lost 3 matches, and goals 10:11. (average 1.4:1.6).
    What were the results of their latest head-to-head matches?
    The latest head-to-head matches between Świt Nowy Dwór Mazowiecki - Jagiellonia II Białystok were as follows:
    23.11.2024 Jagiellonia II Białystok - Świt Nowy Dwór Mazowiecki 5:2
    03.08.2024 Świt Nowy Dwór Mazowiecki - Jagiellonia II Białystok 1:0
    17.03.2024 Jagiellonia II Białystok - Świt Nowy Dwór Mazowiecki 1:0
    23.08.2023 Świt Nowy Dwór Mazowiecki - Jagiellonia II Białystok 2:2
    03.06.2023 Świt Nowy Dwór Mazowiecki - Jagiellonia II Białystok 2:3
    Polish Division 3 - Group I Table
    2025/26
    PlWDLDiffPts
    1Zabki971133:151822
    2LKS Lomza961221:101119
    3Warta Sieradz961216:8819
    4Legia II961222:14819
    5Swit Mazowiecki951317:16116
    6Suwalki942313:13014
    7GKS Belchatow942321:24-314
    8T. Mazowiecki941417:12513
    9Bron Radom934214:13113
    10Wasilkow941411:18-713
    11Wikielec933311:12-112
    12Plock II932416:14211
    13Widzew Lodz II931517:23-610
    14Olimpia Elblag923412:17-59
    15Troszyn922518:19-18
    16Jagiellonia II913510:17-76
    17Mlawa913514:23-96
    18Biala Piska90278:23-152

          Promotion ~ Division 2
          Promotion ~ Division 2 (Promotion ~ Play Offs: )
          Relegation

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