Jagiellonia Białystok vs Molde: Where to Watch, Predictions, Stats

Bet nowGamble Responsibly 18+
Soccer UEFA Europa Conference League Jagiellonia Białystok - Molde
Result
3:0
07/11/2024 at 15:00 (Time Zone – GMT-5 (America/New_York))
  • EUROPE: Conference League - League phase - Round 3
  • Referee: Milanovic M. (Srb)
Jagiellonia Białystok - Molde - Gamble Responsibly 18+
00:00 / 90:00
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Match Stats

Expected Goals (xG)
1.990.23
Ball Possession
46%54%
Goal Attempts
147
Shots on Goal
52
Shots off Goal
34
Blocked Shots
61
Free Kicks
1510
Corner Kicks
23
Offsides
41
Throw-ins
1013
Goalkeeper Saves
22
Fouls
1015
Total Passes
456526
Completed Passes
355430
Crosses Completed
31
Interceptions
209

Key Moments

Here there are
  • 1st Half (1 - 0)
  • 6', 1 - 0, Pululu A. , Kubicki J. (A),
  • 2nd Half (2 - 0)
  • 60', 2 - 0, Hansen K. , Imaz J. (A),
  • 62', Enggaard M. , Ihler F. ,
  • 62', Stenevik H. , Haugan E. ,
  • 67', Kubicki J. , Nene ,
  • 75', 3 - 0, Hansen K. , Imaz J. (A),
  • 77', Brynhildsen O. , Hestad E. ,
  • 77', Daehli M. , Granaas S. ,
  • 79', Pululu A. , Diaby-Fadiga L. ,
  • 85', Sacek M. , Kovacik P. ,
  • 85', Imaz J. , Costa Silva T. ,
  • 85', Churlinov D. , Listkowski M. ,
  • 87', Hagelskjaer A. , Lund V. ,

Chances of winning


Jagiellonia Białystok
31.9%
Draw
26.9%
Molde
41.2%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)
36.9% 27% 36.1%

Our Initial ML Estimation

37.1% 26.9% 35.9%


Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

  • Jagiellonia Białystok has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-5%)
  • Molde has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+5.1%)
  • Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting Molde's recent form is better than expected.
  • ML Model estimates a higher probability for Jagiellonia Białystok than the current prediction. (+5.2%)
  • Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests a strong performance forecast for Jagiellonia Białystok, possibly due to key factors that the model accounted for.
  • ML Model estimates a lower probability for Molde than the current prediction. (-5.3%)
  • Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests a potential downturn for Molde, possibly due to injuries or other negative factors.
  • Jagiellonia Białystok - Molde Odds

    1 X 2 Marga
    Avarage Now
    (Initially)
    2.91
    (2.45)
    3.52
    (3.35)
    2.29
    (2.5)
    6.4%
    (10.7%)

    • The most likely Over/Under: 2.50
    What is the prediction for Jagiellonia Białystok - Molde?
  • Users Predictions: 19 users predict this event. Jagiellonia will win (votes: 9 - 47.4%). Molde will win (votes: 6 - 31.6%). It will Tie (votes: 4 - 21.1%).
    Confidence interval (95%) for Jagiellonia: 24.9%69.9%.
  • The most likely score by Bookmakers is 1:1.
  • Preview Facts
    • Jagiellonia in the last match got series victories and it is in a super good shape (in the last 5 games wins - 5).
    • Recent matches Molde is playing uncertain (in the last 5 games wins - 2).
    • The chances to win of two teams are almost the same in this match.
    • There will not play in Jagiellonia: Skrzypczak M. (Injury) Villar Miki (Injury)
    • There will not play in Molde: Berisha V. (Injury) Gulbrandsen F. (Injury)
    • There are questionable in Jagiellonia: Diaby-Fadiga L. (Injury) Wojdakowski D. (Knee Injury)
    • There are questionable in Molde: Bakke J. (Injury)
    • Recently, the teams did not play each other.
    Latest results of Molde
    03.11.2024 Molde - Bodø Glimt 3:3
    30.10.2024 Sandnes Ulf - Molde 0:2
    27.10.2024 Haugesund - Molde 0:3
    24.10.2024 Gent - Molde 2:1
    19.10.2024 Molde - Sandefjord 0:1
    UEFA Europa Conference League Table
    League phase
    PlWDLDiffPts
    1Zrinjski11005:053
    2AEK Larnaca11004:043
    3Sparta Prague11004:133
    4Lech Poznan11004:133
    5Lausanne11003:033
    6Celje11003:123
    7Crystal Palace11002:023
    8Rayo Vallecano11002:023
    9Fiorentina11002:023
    10Rakow11002:023
    11Shakhtar Donetsk11003:213
    12Strasbourg11002:113
    13Mainz11001:013
    14Samsunspor11001:013
    15Jagiellonia11001:013
    16Noah11001:013
    17Drita10101:101
    18KuPS10101:101
    19Hacken10100:001
    20Shelbourne10100:001
    21Aberdeen10012:3-10
    22Slovan Bratislava10011:2-10
    23Rijeka10010:1-10
    24Omonia10010:1-10
    25Legia10010:1-10
    26Hamrun10010:1-10
    27AEK Athens FC10011:3-20
    28Sigma Olomouc10010:2-20
    29Dyn. Kyiv10010:2-20
    30Shkendija10010:2-20
    31Univ. Craiova10010:2-20
    32SK Rapid10011:4-30
    33Shamrock Rovers10011:4-30
    34Breidablik10010:3-30
    35AZ Alkmaar10010:4-40
    36Lincoln Red Imps10010:5-50

          Promotion ~ Conference League (Play Offs: 1/8~finals)
          Promotion ~ Conference League (Play Offs: 1/16~finals)

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