Legia Warsaw vs Jagiellonia Białystok: Where to Watch, Predictions, Stats

Bet nowGamble Responsibly 18+
Soccer Polish Ekstraklasa Legia Warsaw - Jagiellonia Białystok
Result
0:0
24/09/2025 at 15:00 (Time Zone – GMT-4 (America/New_York))
  • : Ekstraklasa - Round 6
Legia Warsaw - Jagiellonia Białystok - Gamble Responsibly 18+
00:00 / 90:00
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Match Stats

Expected Goals (xG)
1.740.11
Ball Possession
51%49%
Total shots
203
Shots on target
71
Big Chances
30
Corner Kicks
22
Passes
78% (339/434)78% (328/418)
Yellow Cards
13
Expected Goals (xG)
1.740.11
xG on target (xGOT)
2.460.01
Total shots
203
Shots on target
71
Shots off target
62
Blocked Shots
70
Shots inside the Box
121
Shots outside the Box
82
Hit the Woodwork
10
Headed Goals
01
Big Chances
30
Corner Kicks
22
Touches in opposition box
246
Accurate through passes
00
Offsides
07
Free Kicks
1619
Passes
78% (339/434)78% (328/418)
Long passes
44% (30/68)34% (19/56)
Passes in final third
68% (104/154)62% (43/69)
Crosses
30% (7/23)22% (2/9)
Expected assists (xA)
1.110.19
Throw-ins
2215
Fouls
1916
Tackles
61% (11/18)71% (12/17)
Duels won
6154
Clearances
1526
Interceptions
95
Errors leading to shot
00
Errors leading to goal
00
Goalkeeper Saves
17
xGOT faced
0.012.46
Goals prevented
-0.992.46

Key Moments

Here there are
  • 1st Half (0 - 0)
  • 45', Pululu A. 🟨,
  • 45', Stojanovic P. 🟨,
  • 2nd Half (0 - 0)
  • 46', Stojanovic P. , Urbanski K. ,
  • 62', Bichakhchyan V. , Weisshaupt N. ,
  • 62', Romanczuk T. , Lozano S. ,
  • 62', Pozo A. , Jozwiak K. ,
  • 69', Vital B. 🟨,
  • 73', Jozwiak K. 🟨,
  • 76', Imaz J. , Sylla Y. ,
  • 87', Kapustka B. , Krasniqi E. ,
  • 87', Reca A. , Vinagre R. ,
  • 89', Pietuszewski O. , Cantero A. ,
  • 89', Pululu A. , Flach L. ,

Highlights

Chances of winning


Legia Warsaw
49.9%
Draw
30.1%
Jagiellonia Białystok
20%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)
57.7% 22.4% 20%

Our Initial ML Estimation

63.1% 24.5% 18.3%


Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

  • Legia Warsaw has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-7.8%)
  • Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, indicating that Legia Warsaw's form might have worsened.
  • The chances for Jagiellonia Białystok have remained the same compared to the initial analysis.
  • ML Model estimates a higher probability for Legia Warsaw than the current prediction. (+13.2%)
  • Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests a strong performance forecast for Legia Warsaw, possibly due to key factors that the model accounted for.
  • ML Model estimates a lower probability for Jagiellonia Białystok than the current prediction. (-1.7%)
  • Legia Warsaw - Jagiellonia Białystok Odds

    1 X 2 Marga
    Avarage Now
    (Initially)
    2.15
    (1.63)
    3.31
    (4.2)
    5.36
    (4.71)
    -4.5%
    (6.4%)

    • The most likely Over/Under: 2.75
    What is the prediction for Legia Warsaw - Jagiellonia Białystok?
  • Users Predictions: 11 users predict this event. Legia will win (votes: 5 - 45.5%). Jagiellonia will win (votes: 3 - 27.3%). It will Tie (votes: 3 - 27.3%).
    Confidence interval (95%) for Legia: 16.1%74.9%.
  • The most likely score by Bookmakers is 1:1.
  • Preview Facts
    • Postponed due to european competitions.
    • In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Legia won 2.
    • Recent performances by Legia have been up and down (last 5 games: 3 wins).
    • Jagiellonia is in superb shape, having picked up a string of victories recently (last 5 games: 4 wins).
    • In this match, Legia is a strong favorite.
    • There will not play in Legia: Goncalves C. (Injury)
    • In the last 20 head-to-head matches, Legia won 8 matches, drew 8 matches, lost 4 matches, and goals 32:16. (average 1.6:0.8).
    • Including home matches between the teams, Legia won 7 matches, drew 1 match, lost 2 matches, and goals 22:6. (average 2.2:0.6).
    What were the results of their latest head-to-head matches?
    The latest head-to-head matches between Legia Warsaw - Jagiellonia Białystok were as follows:
    13.04.2025 Legia Warsaw - Jagiellonia Białystok 0:1
    26.02.2025 Legia Warsaw - Jagiellonia Białystok 3:1
    06.10.2024 Jagiellonia Białystok - Legia Warsaw 1:1
    06.07.2024 Legia Warsaw - Jagiellonia Białystok 2:0
    07.04.2024 Legia Warsaw - Jagiellonia Białystok 1:1
    Latest results of Legia Warsaw
    Polish Ekstraklasa Table
    2025/26
    PlWDLDiffPts
    1Jagiellonia1173123:131024
    2Gornik Zabrze1272319:10923
    3Cracovia1163220:12821
    4Korona Kielce1254316:11519
    5Wisla Plock1053212:7518
    6Lech Poznan1053218:16218
    7Widzew Lodz1251620:17316
    8Legia1043313:9415
    9Radomiak Radom1243522:22015
    10Rakow1142512:15-314
    11Zaglebie1034321:16513
    12Pogon Szczecin1141616:20-413
    13Arka Gdynia123367:19-1212
    14GKS Katowice1232716:24-811
    15Motor Lublin1125413:21-811
    16Termalica B-B1123615:21-69
    17Piast Gliwice91448:11-37
    18Lechia Gdansk1133519:26-77

          Promotion ~ Champions League (Qualification: )
          Promotion ~ Conference League (Qualification: )
          Relegation ~ Division 1

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