Legia Warsaw vs Jagiellonia Białystok: Where to Watch, Predictions, Stats

Bet nowGamble Responsibly 18+
Soccer Polish Ekstraklasa Legia Warsaw - Jagiellonia Białystok
Result
0:0
24/09/2025 at 15:00 (Time Zone – GMT-4 (America/New_York))
  • : Ekstraklasa - Round 6
Legia Warsaw - Jagiellonia Białystok - Gamble Responsibly 18+
00:00 / 90:00
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Match Stats

Expected Goals (xG)
1.740.11
Ball Possession
51%49%
Total shots
203
Shots on target
71
Big Chances
30
Corner Kicks
22
Passes
78% (339/434)78% (328/418)
Yellow Cards
13
Expected Goals (xG)
1.740.11
xG on target (xGOT)
2.460.01
Total shots
203
Shots on target
71
Shots off target
62
Blocked Shots
70
Shots inside the Box
121
Shots outside the Box
82
Hit the Woodwork
10
Headed Goals
01
Big Chances
30
Corner Kicks
22
Touches in opposition box
246
Accurate through passes
00
Offsides
07
Free Kicks
1619
Passes
78% (339/434)78% (328/418)
Long passes
44% (30/68)34% (19/56)
Passes in final third
68% (104/154)62% (43/69)
Crosses
30% (7/23)22% (2/9)
Expected assists (xA)
1.110.19
Throw-ins
2215
Fouls
1916
Tackles
61% (11/18)71% (12/17)
Duels won
6154
Clearances
1526
Interceptions
95
Errors leading to shot
00
Errors leading to goal
00
Goalkeeper Saves
17
xGOT faced
0.012.46
Goals prevented
-0.992.46

Key Moments

Here there are
  • 1st Half (0 - 0)
  • 45', Pululu A. 🟨,
  • 45', Stojanovic P. 🟨,
  • 2nd Half (0 - 0)
  • 46', Stojanovic P. , Urbanski K. ,
  • 62', Bichakhchyan V. , Weisshaupt N. ,
  • 62', Romanczuk T. , Lozano S. ,
  • 62', Pozo A. , Jozwiak K. ,
  • 69', Vital B. 🟨,
  • 73', Jozwiak K. 🟨,
  • 76', Imaz J. , Sylla Y. ,
  • 87', Kapustka B. , Krasniqi E. ,
  • 87', Reca A. , Vinagre R. ,
  • 89', Pietuszewski O. , Cantero A. ,
  • 89', Pululu A. , Flach L. ,

Highlights

Chances of winning


Legia Warsaw
49.9%
Draw
30.1%
Jagiellonia Białystok
20%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)
57.7% 22.4% 20%

Our Initial ML Estimation

63.1% 24.5% 18.3%


Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

  • Legia Warsaw has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-7.8%)
  • Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, indicating that Legia Warsaw's form might have worsened.
  • The chances for Jagiellonia Białystok have remained the same compared to the initial analysis.
  • ML Model estimates a higher probability for Legia Warsaw than the current prediction. (+13.2%)
  • Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests a strong performance forecast for Legia Warsaw, possibly due to key factors that the model accounted for.
  • ML Model estimates a lower probability for Jagiellonia Białystok than the current prediction. (-1.7%)
  • Legia Warsaw - Jagiellonia Białystok Odds

    1 X 2 Marga
    Avarage Now
    (Initially)
    2.15
    (1.63)
    3.31
    (4.2)
    5.36
    (4.71)
    -4.5%
    (6.4%)

  • The most likely Over/Under: 2.75
  • What is the prediction for Legia Warsaw - Jagiellonia Białystok?
  • Users Predictions: 11 users predict this event. Legia will win (votes: 5 - 45.5%). Jagiellonia will win (votes: 3 - 27.3%). It will Tie (votes: 3 - 27.3%).
    Confidence interval (95%) for Legia: 16.1%74.9%.
  • The most likely score by Bookmakers is 1:1.
  • Preview Facts
    • Postponed due to european competitions.
    • In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Legia won 2.
    • Recent performances by Legia have been up and down (last 5 games: 3 wins).
    • Jagiellonia is in superb shape, having picked up a string of victories recently (last 5 games: 4 wins).
    • In this match, Legia is a strong favorite.
    • There will not play in Legia: Goncalves C. (Injury)
    • In the last 20 head-to-head matches, Legia won 8 matches, drew 8 matches, lost 4 matches, and goals 32:16. (average 1.6:0.8).
    • Including home matches between the teams, Legia won 7 matches, drew 1 match, lost 2 matches, and goals 22:6. (average 2.2:0.6).
    What were the results of their latest head-to-head matches?
    The latest head-to-head matches between Legia Warsaw - Jagiellonia Białystok were as follows:
    13.04.2025 Legia Warsaw - Jagiellonia Białystok 0:1
    26.02.2025 Legia Warsaw - Jagiellonia Białystok 3:1
    06.10.2024 Jagiellonia Białystok - Legia Warsaw 1:1
    06.07.2024 Legia Warsaw - Jagiellonia Białystok 2:0
    07.04.2024 Legia Warsaw - Jagiellonia Białystok 1:1
    Latest results of Legia Warsaw
    Polish Ekstraklasa Table
    2025/26
    PlWDLDiffPts
    1Gornik Zabrze960314:7718
    2Cracovia852116:9717
    3Wisla Plock952211:6517
    4Jagiellonia852114:10417
    5Korona Kielce943211:7415
    6Lech Poznan842215:14114
    7Legia833211:6512
    8Radomiak Radom932415:16-111
    9Zaglebie824216:13310
    10Widzew Lodz931513:12110
    11Motor Lublin82429:12-310
    12Pogon Szczecin931514:18-410
    13Termalica B-B923411:13-29
    14Arka Gdynia92345:10-59
    15Rakow82249:13-48
    16GKS Katowice1022611:21-108
    17Lechia Gdansk932418:22-46
    18Piast Gliwice70433:7-44

          Promotion ~ Champions League (Qualification: )
          Promotion ~ Conference League (Qualification: )
          Relegation ~ Division 1

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