Result
28/09/2025 at 08:45 (Time Zone – GMT-4 (America/New_York))
- : Ekstraklasa - Round 10
- Referee: Frankowski B. (Pol)
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Chances of winning
Lech Poznań
47.8% | Draw
24.3% | Jagiellonia Białystok
27.9% |
Initial Probability
(when we started the analysis)
Our Initial ML Estimation
Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:
Lech Poznań has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-4.9%)Jagiellonia Białystok has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+3.9%)ML Model estimates a higher probability for Lech Poznań than the current prediction. (+7.7%)Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests a strong performance forecast for Lech Poznań, possibly due to key factors that the model accounted for.ML Model estimates a lower probability for Jagiellonia Białystok than the current prediction. (-5.1%)Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests a potential downturn for Jagiellonia Białystok, possibly due to injuries or other negative factors.
Lech Poznań - Jagiellonia Białystok Odds
|
1 |
X |
2 |
Marga |
|
Avarage Now
(Initially) |
1.97 ↑
(1.79) |
3.79 ↓
(4.05) |
3.4 ↓
(3.94) |
6.5%
(5.9%) | |
The most likely Over/Under: 3.00
What is the prediction for Lech Poznań - Jagiellonia Białystok?
Users Predictions:
4 users predict this event. Lech will win (votes: 2 - 50%). It will Tie (votes: 2 - 50%). The most likely score by Bookmakers is 2:1.
Preview Facts
- The most interesting match of the day — two teams from the very top of the table will face off (ranked 6 and 5).
- In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Lech won 3.
- At the moment, both teams are looking strong and ready to play.
- Recently, Jagiellonia has had a series of away games.
- Lech might have a minor edge in this game.
- There will not play in Lech: Gholizadeh A.
(Thigh Injury)
Hakans D.
(Ankle Injury)
Palma L.
(Red Card)
Walemark P.
(Surgery)
- There are questionable in Lech: Murawski R.
(Leg Injury)
- There are questionable in Jagiellonia: Pululu A.
(Injury)
- In the last 20 head-to-head matches, Lech won 8 matches, drew 6 matches, lost 6 matches, and goals 40:27. (average 2:1.4).
- Including home matches between the teams, Lech won 6 matches, drew 2 matches, lost 3 matches, and goals 27:13. (average 2.5:1.2).
How many head-to-head matches has Lech Poznań won against Jagiellonia Białystok?
Lech Poznań has won 4 of their last 5 head-to-head matches.
How many head-to-head matches has Jagiellonia Białystok won against Lech Poznań?
Jagiellonia Białystok has won 0 of their last 5 head-to-head matches.
What were the results of their latest head-to-head matches?
The latest head-to-head matches between Lech Poznań - Jagiellonia Białystok were as follows:
14.09.2024
Lech Poznań
-
Jagiellonia Białystok
5:0
17.02.2024
Jagiellonia Białystok
-
Lech Poznań
1:2
24.10.2023
Lech Poznań
-
Jagiellonia Białystok
3:3
27.05.2023
Lech Poznań
-
Jagiellonia Białystok
2:0
12.11.2022
Jagiellonia Białystok
-
Lech Poznań
1:2
Latest results of Lech Poznań
Latest results of Jagiellonia Białystok
Polish Ekstraklasa Table
2025/26 | | Pl | W | D | L | | Diff | Pts |
| 1 | Gornik Zabrze | 10 | 6 | 1 | 3 | 15:8 | 7 | 19 |
| 2 | Cracovia | 9 | 5 | 3 | 1 | 17:10 | 7 | 18 |
| 3 | Korona Kielce | 10 | 5 | 3 | 2 | 14:7 | 7 | 18 |
| 4 | Wisla Plock | 9 | 5 | 2 | 2 | 11:6 | 5 | 17 |
| 5 | Jagiellonia | 8 | 5 | 2 | 1 | 14:10 | 4 | 17 |
| 6 | Lech Poznan | 8 | 4 | 2 | 2 | 15:14 | 1 | 14 |
| 7 | Legia | 8 | 3 | 3 | 2 | 11:6 | 5 | 12 |
| 8 | Radomiak Radom | 9 | 3 | 2 | 4 | 15:16 | -1 | 11 |
| 9 | Zaglebie | 8 | 2 | 4 | 2 | 16:13 | 3 | 10 |
| 10 | Widzew Lodz | 9 | 3 | 1 | 5 | 13:12 | 1 | 10 |
| 11 | Motor Lublin | 8 | 2 | 4 | 2 | 9:12 | -3 | 10 |
| 12 | Pogon Szczecin | 9 | 3 | 1 | 5 | 14:18 | -4 | 10 |
| 13 | Termalica B-B | 10 | 2 | 3 | 5 | 13:17 | -4 | 9 |
| 14 | Arka Gdynia | 9 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5:10 | -5 | 9 |
| 15 | Rakow | 8 | 2 | 2 | 4 | 9:13 | -4 | 8 |
| 16 | GKS Katowice | 10 | 2 | 2 | 6 | 11:21 | -10 | 8 |
| 17 | Piast Gliwice | 8 | 1 | 4 | 3 | 7:9 | -2 | 7 |
| 18 | Lechia Gdansk | 10 | 3 | 2 | 5 | 18:25 | -7 | 6 |
Promotion ~ Champions League (Qualification: )
Promotion ~ Conference League (Qualification: )
Relegation ~ Division 1
Which TV channels are streaming of Lech Poznań - Jagiellonia Białystok?
It is being streamed on various channels, including:
| |
|---|
 Argentina | FOX Sports 3 |
 Canada | beIN Connect |
 Croatia | Arena Sport 10, MAXtv To Go |
 Poland | CANAL+ Sport 3, Ekstraklasa TV |
 Serbia | Arena Sport 9 |
 Spain | GolStadium |
 Usa | beIN Connect, Fanatiz |
