Jagiellonia Białystok vs Lech Poznań: Where to Watch, Predictions, Stats

Bet nowGamble Responsibly 18+
Soccer Polish Ekstraklasa Jagiellonia Białystok - Lech Poznań
16/03/2025 at 15:15 (Time Zone – GMT-4 (America/New_York))
  • POLAND: Ekstraklasa - Round 25
  • Referee: Stefanski D. (Pol)
Jagiellonia Białystok - Lech Poznań - Gamble Responsibly 18+
00:00 / 90:00
Advertisement
Watch and bet Jagiellonia Białystok - Lech Poznań live
  1. Sign in or Register (it's free) to watch and bet Live Stream*
  2. To place a bet while streaming, go to Live In-Play
  3. Prior to joining Bet365.com and funding your account in order to view this event, or any other particular event via Bet365.com live stream, you are strongly advised to check with Bet365.com if, depending on your place of residence, it is possible to view this live stream.

Match Stats

Expected Goals (xG)
1.391.31
Ball Possession
31%69%
Goal Attempts
1116
Shots on Goal
12
Shots off Goal
67
Blocked Shots
47
Big Chances
11
Corner Kicks
04
Shots inside the Box
78
Shots outside the Box
48
Hit the Woodwork
10
Goalkeeper Saves
10
Free Kicks
1517
Offsides
10
Fouls
1715
Yellow Cards
33
Throw-ins
1920
Touches in the Opposition Box
2618
Passes
68% (153/226)84% (434/516)
Passes in the final third
58% (40/69)73% (121/166)
Crosses
30% (3/10)24% (6/25)
Tackles
67% (10/15)58% (7/12)
Clearances Total
4518
Interceptions
810

Key Moments

Here there are
  • 1st Half (1 - 1)
  • 9', 0 - 1, Gholizadeh A. , Salamon B. (A),
  • 31', 1 - 1, Imaz J. , Hansen K. (A),
  • 37', Milic A. , Gurgul M. ,
  • 41', Sousa A. , Jagiello F. ,
  • 44', Romanczuk T. 🟨,
  • 2nd Half (1 - 0)
  • 50', Wojtuszek N. , Polak C. ,
  • 52', Salamon B. 🟨,
  • 58', Hansen K. , Semedo E. ,
  • 58', Flach L. , Kubicki J. ,
  • 59', 2 - 1, Murawski R. (Own goal),
  • 65', Polak C. 🟨,
  • 69', Hakans D. , Walemark P. ,
  • 69', Carstensen R. , Pereira J. ,
  • 75', Churlinov D. , Pietuszewski O. ,
  • 75', Pululu A. , Diaby-Fadiga L. ,
  • 89', Abramowicz S. 🟨,
  • 90+2', Murawski R. 🟨,
  • 90+4', Douglas A. 🟨,

Highlights

Chances of winning


Jagiellonia Białystok
35.2%
Draw
27.5%
Lech Poznań
37.3%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)
37.9% 27.2% 34.9%

Our Initial ML Estimation

37.5% 27.5% 35.3%


Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

  • Jagiellonia Białystok has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-2.7%)
  • Lech Poznań has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+2.4%)
  • ML Model estimates a higher probability for Jagiellonia Białystok than the current prediction. (+2.3%)
  • ML Model estimates a lower probability for Lech Poznań than the current prediction. (-2%)
  • Jagiellonia Białystok - Lech Poznań Odds

    1 X 2 Marga
    Avarage Now
    (Initially)
    2.67
    (2.48)
    3.4
    (3.46)
    2.51
    (2.69)
    6.7%
    (6.5%)

  • The most likely Over/Under: 2.75
  • What is the prediction for Jagiellonia Białystok - Lech Poznań?
  • Users Predictions: 18 users predict this event. Jagiellonia will win (votes: 5 - 27.8%). Lech will win (votes: 10 - 55.6%). It will Tie (votes: 3 - 16.7%).
    Confidence interval (95%) for Lech: 32.6%78.6%.
  • The most likely score by Bookmakers is 1:1.
  • Preview Facts
    • One of the most interesting matches of the day's play. In the match war can see two teams from the top of the table (ranked 3 in the zone Promotion ~ Conference League (Qualification: ) and 1 in the zone Promotion ~ Champions League (Qualification: )).
    • Last 5 head-to-head matches Jagiellonia won 0.
    • One and the other team get a very uncertain game.
    • Jagiellonia could have problems with physics compare with it opponent - last days they played more matches than their opponents.
    • In this match the chances to achieve triumph for both teams are almost equal.
    • There will not play in Jagiellonia: Dieguez A. (Knee Injury) Sacek M. (Leg Injury)
    • There will not play in Lech: Dagerstal F. (Injury) Thordarson G. (Inactive)
    • Last 20 head-to-head matches Jagiellonia won 5 matches, drawn 7 matches, lost 8 matches and goals 27:41 (average 1.4:2.1).
    • Including matches at home between the teams Jagiellonia won 2 matches, drawn 5 matches, lost 2 matches and goals 14:14 (average 1.6:1.6).
    What were the results of their latest head-to-head matches?
    The latest head-to-head matches between Jagiellonia Białystok - Lech Poznań were as follows:
    14.09.2024 Lech Poznań - Jagiellonia Białystok 5:0
    17.02.2024 Jagiellonia Białystok - Lech Poznań 1:2
    24.10.2023 Lech Poznań - Jagiellonia Białystok 3:3
    27.05.2023 Lech Poznań - Jagiellonia Białystok 2:0
    12.11.2022 Jagiellonia Białystok - Lech Poznań 1:2
    Latest results of Lech Poznań
    Polish Ekstraklasa Table
    2025/26
    PlWDLDiffPts
    1Radomiak Radom11005:143
    2Termalica B-B11004:043
    3Cracovia11004:133
    4Wisla Plock11002:023
    5Gornik Zabrze11002:113
    6Motor Lublin11001:013
    7Widzew Lodz11001:013
    8Rakow11001:013
    9Piast Gliwice00000:000
    10Legia00000:000
    11Arka Gdynia10010:1-10
    12GKS Katowice10010:1-10
    13Zaglebie10010:1-10
    14Korona Kielce10010:2-20
    15Lech Poznan10011:4-30
    16Pogon Szczecin10011:5-40
    17Jagiellonia10010:4-40
    18Lechia Gdansk10011:2-1-5

          Promotion ~ Champions League (Qualification: )
          Promotion ~ Conference League (Qualification: )
          Relegation ~ Division 1

    Which TV channels are streaming of Jagiellonia Białystok - Lech Poznań?
    It is being streamed on various channels, including:
    croatiaCroatiaArena Sport 7, Arena Sport 9, MAXtv To Go
    finlandFinlandVeikkaus TV
    polandPolandCANAL+ 4K Ultra, CANAL+ Poland, CANAL+ Sport 3, Canal+ Sport Online, Ekstraklasa TV
    slovakiaSlovakiaJOJ Play, JOJ Sport 2
    ukraineUkraineKyivstar TV
    worldWorldOnefootball
    X
    bet365
    advertisement
    LiveStream.Fan