Jacopo Berrettini vs Lorenzo Carboni: Where to Watch, Predictions, Stats

Bet nowGamble Responsibly 18+
Tennis Como Challenger Men Jacopo Berrettini - Lorenzo Carboni
Result
2:0
27/08/2025 at 04:00 (Time Zone – GMT-4 (America/New_York))
  • CHALLENGER MEN - SINGLES: Como, clay - 1/8-finals
Jacopo Berrettini - Lorenzo Carboni - Gamble Responsibly 18+
00:00 / 90:00
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Match Stats

Aces
23
Double Faults
11
1st Serve Percentage
55%64%
1st Serve Points Won
71% (25/35)53% (24/45)
2nd Serve Points Won
52% (15/29)60% (15/25)
Break Points Saved
60% (3/5)56% (5/9)
1st Return Points Won
47% (21/45)29% (10/35)
2nd Return Points Won
40% (10/25)48% (14/29)
Break Points Converted
44% (4/9)40% (2/5)
Service Points Won
63% (40/64)56% (39/70)
Return Points Won
44% (31/70)38% (24/64)
Total Points Won
53% (71/134)47% (63/134)
Last 10 Balls
82
Match Points Saved
00
Service Games Won
80% (8/10)60% (6/10)
Return Games Won
40% (4/10)20% (2/10)
Total Games Won
60% (12/20)40% (8/20)

Chances of winning


Jacopo Berrettini
47.8%
Lorenzo Carboni
52.2%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)
59.7% 40.3%

Our Initial ML Estimation

58.8% 41.2%


Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

  • Jacopo Berrettini has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-11.9%)
  • Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, indicating that Jacopo Berrettini's form might have worsened.
  • Lorenzo Carboni has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+11.9%)
  • Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting Lorenzo Carboni's recent form is better than expected.
  • ML Model estimates a higher probability for Jacopo Berrettini than the current prediction. (+11%)
  • Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests a strong performance forecast for Jacopo Berrettini, possibly due to key factors that the model accounted for.
  • ML Model estimates a lower probability for Lorenzo Carboni than the current prediction. (-11%)
  • Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests a potential downturn for Lorenzo Carboni, possibly due to injuries or other negative factors.
  • Jacopo Berrettini - Lorenzo Carboni Odds

    1 X 2 Marga
    Avarage Now
    (Initially)
    1.99
    (1.53)

    1.83
    (2.27)
    4.8%
    (9.4%)
    What is the prediction for Jacopo Berrettini - Lorenzo Carboni?
  • Users Predictions: 6 users predict this event. Berrettini will win (votes: 2 - 33.3%). Carboni will win (votes: 4 - 66.7%).
  • The most likely score by Bookmakers is 0:2.
  • Preview Facts
    • Berrettini is ranked ATP: 371. Carboni is ranked ATP: 564.
    • In recent matches, Berrettini has shown inconsistent form (last 5 games: 2 wins).
    • Carboni is in superb shape, having picked up a string of victories recently (last 5 games: 5 wins).
    • Berrettini may have a physical advantage due to more rest days in recent times.
    • In this match, both players are almost equally likely to win.
    • Recently, there has been no match between the players.
    Latest results of Lorenzo Carboni
    Draw
    Singles - Main

    1/16-finals
    1Budkov Kjaer N. (1)Stebe C. (Alt)2 : 0
    2Bondioli F. (WC)Fonio G. (Q)1 : 2
    3Brancaccio R. (Q)Feldbausch K. (NG)2 : 0
    4Arnaboldi F. (Alt)Guillen Meza A. (7)0 : 2
    5Bueno G. (4)Diaz Acosta F.2 : 1
    6Squire H. (Q)Compagnucci T. (Q)2 : 0
    7Montes-De La Torre I. (LL)Mikrut L. (Alt)1 : 2
    8Caniato C. A. (WC)Rodriguez Taverna S. (5)2 : 1
    9Travaglia S. (6)Pennaforti G. (Q)2 : 0
    10Martin Tiffon P.Torres J. B.1 : 2
    11Berrettini J.Ambrogi L. E. (Alt)2 : 1
    12Carboni L. (WC)Skatov T. (3)2 : 1
    13Gakhov I. (8)Ajdukovic D.0 : 2
    14Boitan G. A. (Q)Prihodko O.0 : 2
    15Jianu F. C.Martin A. (Alt)0 : 2
    16Ritschard A. (RET.)Monteiro T. (2)0 : 0

    1/8-finals
    1Budkov Kjaer N. (1)Fonio G.2 : 0
    2Brancaccio R.Guillen Meza A. (7)2 : 0
    3Bueno G. (4)Squire H.0 : 2
    4Mikrut L.Caniato C. A.2 : 1
    5Travaglia S. (RET.) (6)Torres J. B.1 : 1
    6Berrettini J.Carboni L.2 : 0
    7Ajdukovic D.Prihodko O.2 : 0
    8Martin A.Monteiro T. (2)0 : 2

    Quarter-finals
    1Budkov Kjaer N. (1)Brancaccio R.2 : 0
    2Squire H.Mikrut L.0 : 2
    3Torres J. B.Berrettini J.2 : 1
    4Ajdukovic D.Monteiro T. (2)2 : 1

    Semi-finals
    1Budkov Kjaer N. (1)Mikrut L.1 : 2
    2Torres J. B.Ajdukovic D.0 : 2

    Final
    1Mikrut L.Ajdukovic D.2 : 0
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