Jacob Fearnley vs Andrey Rublev: Where to Watch, Predictions, Stats

Bet nowGamble Responsibly 18+
Tennis ATP Paris Jacob Fearnley - Andrey Rublev
Result
0:2
27/10/2025 at 10:15 (Time Zone – GMT-4 (America/New_York))
  • ATP - SINGLES: Paris, hard - 1/32-finals
Jacob Fearnley - Andrey Rublev - Gamble Responsibly 18+
00:00 / 90:00
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Match Stats

Aces
13
Double Faults
112
1st Serve Percentage
68%58%
1st Serve Points Won
60% (28/47)71% (20/28)
2nd Serve Points Won
23% (5/22)65% (13/20)
Break Points Saved
50% (5/10)67% (2/3)
1st Return Points Won
29% (8/28)40% (19/47)
2nd Return Points Won
35% (7/20)77% (17/22)
Break Points Converted
33% (1/3)50% (5/10)
Winners
159
Unforced Errors
195
Net Points Won
90% (9/10)71% (10/14)
Service Points Won
48% (33/69)69% (33/48)
Return Points Won
31% (15/48)52% (36/69)
Total Points Won
41% (48/117)59% (69/117)
Last 10 Balls
28
Match Points Saved
00
Service Games Won
44% (4/9)88% (7/8)
Return Games Won
13% (1/8)56% (5/9)
Total Games Won
29% (5/17)71% (12/17)

Chances of winning


Jacob Fearnley
41.3%
Andrey Rublev
58.7%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)
35.8% 64.2%

Our Initial ML Estimation

36.6% 63.4%


Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

  • Jacob Fearnley has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+5.5%)
  • Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting increased confidence in Jacob Fearnley's performance.
  • Andrey Rublev has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-5.5%)
  • Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, and Andrey Rublev might be facing challenges that affect their performance.
  • ML Model estimates a lower probability for Jacob Fearnley than the current prediction. (-4.7%)
  • ML Model estimates a higher probability for Andrey Rublev than the current prediction. (+4.7%)
  • Jacob Fearnley - Andrey Rublev Odds

    1 X 2 Marga
    Avarage Now
    (Initially)
    2.32
    (2.62)

    1.6
    (1.46)
    5.5%
    (6.7%)
    What is the prediction for Jacob Fearnley - Andrey Rublev?
    • Users Predictions: 17 users predict this event. Fearnley will win (votes: 8 - 47.1%). Rublev will win (votes: 9 - 52.9%).
      Confidence interval (95%) for Rublev: 29.2%76.6%.
    • Over/Under & Asian Handicap Predictions by High ROI users:
      • AH +2.5 Games - Fearnley (1.70) (votes: 1 - 100%) .
    • High ROI Users Predictions (ROI>2%): Andrey Rublev will win (9 of 12 users predict this - 75%) 🥇 Gold Tip.
    • Overall votes from High ROI Users Predictions (including all markets): 13 high ROI users predict this event. Fearnley (votes: 4 - 30.8%). Rublev (votes: 9 - 69.2%).
    • The most likely score by Bookmakers is 0:2.
    Preview Facts
    • Fearnley is ranked ATP: 81. Rublev is ranked ATP: 15.
    • Fearnley is showing really good form (last 5 games: 4 wins).
    • Rublev has been on a rough run of results (in the last 5 games, wins – 0).
    • Fearnley may face physical challenges compared to their opponent, as they have played more matches in recent days.
    • Rublev will hold a modest advantage in this match.
    • The players have not played against each other recently.
    Latest results of Jacob Fearnley
    Latest results of Andrey Rublev
    Draw
    Singles - Main

    1/32-finals
    1Alcaraz C. (1)Bye
    2Norrie C.Baez S.2 : 0
    3Marozsan F.Rinderknech A. (WC)0 : 2
    4Vacherot V. (WC)Lehecka J. (14)2 : 0
    5Auger-Aliassime F. (9)Comesana F. (Q)2 : 1
    6Muller A.Nakashima B.2 : 0
    7Altmaier D.Giron M.2 : 0
    8ByeRuud C. (8)
    9Fritz T. (4)Bye
    10Vukic A. (Q)Atmane T. (WC)2 : 1
    11Moutet C.Opelka R. (LL)2 : 1
    12Popyrin A.Bublik A. (13)0 : 2
    13Khachanov K. (10)Quinn E. (Q)2 : 0
    14Shapovalov D.Fonseca J.1 : 2
    15Griekspoor T.Diallo G.0 : 2
    16ByeDe Minaur A. (6)
    17Musetti L. (7)Bye
    18Sonego L.Korda S. (Q)2 : 0
    19Mpetshi Perricard G.Dimitrov G.0 : 2
    20Munar J.Medvedev D. (11)0 : 2
    21Davidovich Fokina A. (15)Royer V. (LL)2 : 1
    22Darderi L.Cazaux A. (WC)0 : 2
    23Etcheverry T. M. (Q)Ugo Carabelli C.0 : 2
    24ByeZverev A. (3)
    25Shelton B. (5)Bye
    26Cobolli F.Machac T.2 : 0
    27Tien L.Borges N.2 : 0
    28Fearnley J. (Q)Rublev A. (12)0 : 2
    29Cerundolo F.Dzumhur D. (Q)2 : 0
    30Kovacevic A. (LL)Kecmanovic M.1 : 2
    31Michelsen A.Bergs Z.1 : 2
    32ByeSinner J. (2)

    1/16-finals
    1Alcaraz C. (1)Norrie C.1 : 2
    2Rinderknech A.Vacherot V.1 : 2
    3Auger-Aliassime F. (9)Muller A.2 : 1
    4Altmaier D.Ruud C. (8)2 : 0
    5Fritz T. (4)Vukic A.2 : 0
    6Moutet C.Bublik A. (13)0 : 2
    7Khachanov K. (10)Fonseca J.2 : 1
    8Diallo G.De Minaur A. (6)1 : 2
    9Musetti L. (7)Sonego L.1 : 2
    10Dimitrov G.Medvedev D. (WO.) (11)
    11Davidovich Fokina A. (15)Cazaux A.2 : 0
    12Ugo Carabelli C.Zverev A. (3)1 : 2
    13Shelton B. (5)Cobolli F.2 : 0
    14Tien L.Rublev A. (12)0 : 2
    15Cerundolo F.Kecmanovic M.2 : 1
    16Bergs Z.Sinner J. (2)0 : 2

    1/8-finals
    1Norrie C.Vacherot V.0 : 2
    2Auger-Aliassime F. (9)Altmaier D.2 : 1
    3Fritz T. (4)Bublik A. (13)0 : 2
    4Khachanov K. (10)De Minaur A. (6)0 : 2
    5Sonego L.Medvedev D. (11)1 : 2
    6Davidovich Fokina A. (15)Zverev A. (3)0 : 2
    7Shelton B. (5)Rublev A. (12)2 : 0
    8Cerundolo F.Sinner J. (2)0 : 2

    Quarter-finals
    1Vacherot V.Auger-Aliassime F. (9)0 : 2
    2Bublik A. (13)De Minaur A. (6)2 : 1
    3Medvedev D. (11)Zverev A. (3)1 : 2
    4Shelton B. (5)Sinner J. (2)0 : 2

    Semi-finals
    1Auger-Aliassime F. (9)Bublik A. (13)2 : 0
    2Zverev A. (3)Sinner J. (2)0 : 2

    Final
    1Auger-Aliassime F. (9)Sinner J. (2)0 : 2
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