Ivan Denisov vs Luca Castagnola: Where to Watch, Predictions, Stats

Bet nowGamble Responsibly 18+
Tennis Tampere Challenger Men Ivan Denisov - Luca Castagnola
Result
1:2
20/07/2025 at 04:00 (Time Zone – GMT-4 (America/New_York))
  • CHALLENGER MEN - SINGLES: Tampere - Qualification, clay - Semi-finals
Ivan Denisov - Luca Castagnola - Gamble Responsibly 18+
00:00 / 90:00
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Match Stats

Aces
20
Double Faults
63
1st Serve Percentage
56%68%
1st Serve Points Won
62% (38/61)67% (46/69)
2nd Serve Points Won
52% (25/48)56% (18/32)
Break Points Saved
60% (6/10)70% (7/10)
1st Return Points Won
33% (23/69)38% (23/61)
2nd Return Points Won
44% (14/32)48% (23/48)
Break Points Converted
30% (3/10)40% (4/10)
Service Points Won
58% (63/109)62% (61/98)
Return Points Won
38% (37/98)42% (46/109)
Total Points Won
48% (100/207)52% (107/207)
Last 10 Balls
46
Match Points Saved
20
Service Games Won
73% (11/15)80% (12/15)
Return Games Won
20% (3/15)27% (4/15)
Total Games Won
47% (14/30)53% (16/30)

Chances of winning


Ivan Denisov
20.7%
Luca Castagnola
79.3%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)
22.1% 77.9%


Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

  • Ivan Denisov has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-1.4%)
  • Luca Castagnola has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+1.4%)
  • Ivan Denisov - Luca Castagnola Odds

    1 X 2 Marga
    Avarage Now
    (Initially)
    4.51
    (4.21)

    1.18
    (1.2)
    6.9%
    (7.4%)
    Preview Facts
    • Denisov is ranked ATP: 1241. Castagnola is ranked ATP: 582.
    • Each of the players is struggling with stability in their game.
    • Castagnola may have a physical advantage due to more rest days in recent times.
    • In this match, Castagnola is considered a favorite.
    • Recently, there has been no match between the players.
    Latest results of Ivan Denisov
    Latest results of Luca Castagnola
    Draw
    Singles - Main

    1/16-finals
    1Clarke J. (1)Nagal S. (Alt)0 : 2
    2Ahti V. (WC)Houkes M.0 : 2
    3Kicker N. (Q)Geerts M.2 : 1
    4Zahraj P.Durasovic V. (5)1 : 2
    5Popko D. (4)Bailly G. A. (NG)0 : 2
    6Skatov T. (RET.)Faurel T. (Q)0 : 1
    7Reis Da Silva J. (Q)Bueno G.2 : 0
    8Gueymard Wayenburg S.Coppejans K. (6)2 : 1
    9Cina F. (7)Pucinelli de Almeida M.2 : 0
    10Molcan A. (Q)Gakhov I.1 : 2
    11Michalski D. (Alt)Barton H. (Q)0 : 2
    12Negritu Ch.Rincon D. (3)0 : 2
    13Ferreira Silva F. (8)Vasa E. (WC)2 : 0
    14Budkov Kjaer N. (JR)Barrena A.2 : 0
    15Erhard M.Paldanius O. (WC)2 : 0
    16Thanos A. (Q)Onclin G. (2)0 : 2

    1/8-finals
    1Nagal S.Houkes M.2 : 0
    2Kicker N.Durasovic V. (5)2 : 1
    3Bailly G. A.Faurel T.2 : 0
    4Reis Da Silva J.Gueymard Wayenburg S.0 : 2
    5Cina F. (7)Gakhov I.2 : 0
    6Barton H.Rincon D. (3)2 : 1
    7Ferreira Silva F. (8)Budkov Kjaer N.0 : 2
    8Erhard M.Onclin G. (2)2 : 0

    Quarter-finals
    1Nagal S.Kicker N.2 : 0
    2Bailly G. A.Gueymard Wayenburg S.0 : 2
    3Cina F. (7)Barton H.1 : 2
    4Budkov Kjaer N.Erhard M. (RET.)1 : 0

    Semi-finals
    1Nagal S.Gueymard Wayenburg S.0 : 2
    2Barton H.Budkov Kjaer N.0 : 2

    Final
    1Gueymard Wayenburg S.Budkov Kjaer N.1 : 2
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