Ituano vs Retrô Brasil: Where to Watch, Predictions, Stats

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Soccer Brazilian Serie C Ituano - Retrô Brasil
Result
2:0
05/07/2025 at 16:00 (Time Zone – GMT-4 (America/New_York))
  • : Serie C - First stage - Round 11
Ituano - Retrô Brasil - Gamble Responsibly 18+
00:00 / 90:00
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Match Stats

Ball Possession
47%53%
Total shots
149
Shots on target
63
Corner Kicks
49
Yellow Cards
22
Total shots
149
Shots on target
63
Shots off target
86
Corner Kicks
49
Goalkeeper Saves
34

Key Moments

Here there are
  • 1st Half (1 - 0)
  • 25', Eduardo 🟨,
  • 38', Daniel 🟨,
  • 41', Thassio 🟨,
  • 45+1', 1 - 0, Leo Passos ,
  • 2nd Half (1 - 0)
  • 46', Fernando Canesin , Vinicius Popo ,
  • 46', Thassio , Dija ,
  • 46', Eduardo , Rayne Assis ,
  • 46', Diego Guerra , Luquinhas ,
  • 55', Fabinho 🟨,
  • 61', Luquinhas , Junior Fialho ,
  • 71', Neto Berola , Ze Carlos ,
  • 72', Robson Reis , Mascote ,
  • 78', Mike , Rodrigo Varanda ,
  • 89', Leo Passos , Nathan Silva ,
  • 90+1', Ramon , Kaio Mendes ,
  • 90+4', 2 - 0, Vinicius Popo ,

Chances of winning


Ituano
52.7%
Draw
28.1%
Retrô Brasil
19.2%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)
55.1% 24.3% 20.6%

Our Initial ML Estimation

58.2% 23% 19.5%


Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

  • Ituano has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-2.4%)
  • Retrô Brasil has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-1.4%)
  • ML Model estimates a higher probability for Ituano than the current prediction. (+5.5%)
  • Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests a strong performance forecast for Ituano, possibly due to key factors that the model accounted for.
  • ML Model estimates a higher probability for Retrô Brasil than the current prediction. (+0.3%)
  • Ituano - Retrô Brasil Odds

    1 X 2 Marga
    Avarage Now
    (Initially)
    1.73
    (1.65)
    3.23
    (3.75)
    4.74
    (4.42)
    10%
    (9.9%)

  • The most likely Over/Under: 2.00
  • What is the prediction for Ituano - Retrô Brasil?
  • Users Predictions: Ituano will win (9 of 10 users predict this - 90%).
    Confidence interval (95%): 71.41%100%.
  • High ROI Users Predictions (ROI>2%): Ituano will win (5 of 5 users predict this - 100%).
  • The most likely score by Bookmakers is 1:0.
  • Preview Facts
    • A mid-table team will face off against the outsider in this match (ranked 12 and 19 in the zone Relegation ~ Serie D).
    • The current form of both teams is below expectations.
    • In this match, Ituano is seen as the favorite.
    • In recent times, the teams did not meet on the field.
    Latest results of Ituano
    29.06.2025 Caxias - Ituano 2:1
    14.06.2025 Ituano - São Bernardo 1:1
    01.06.2025 Maringá - Ituano 1:1
    25.05.2025 Ituano - Floresta 0:0
    18.05.2025 Figueirense - Ituano 2:0
    Latest results of Retrô Brasil
    28.06.2025 Retrô Brasil - Londrina 0:4
    14.06.2025 Anápolis - Retrô Brasil 0:0
    31.05.2025 Retrô Brasil - Guarani 0:2
    21.05.2025 Fortaleza - Retrô Brasil 1:2
    Brazilian Serie C Table
    First stage
    PlWDLDiffPts
    1SER Caxias19121626:21537
    2Ponte Preta19113520:16436
    3Nautico19106325:71836
    4Londrina1986527:19830
    5Sao Bernardo1986519:15430
    6Brusque1984720:17328
    7Guarani1976620:20027
    8Floresta EC1976615:15027
    9Confianca1975721:22-126
    10Ypiranga FC1974817:21-425
    11Maringa FC19510426:24225
    12Ituano1966719:24-524
    13Botafogo PB1965822:21123
    14Figueirense1958621:18323
    15Anapolis1958616:19-323
    16Itabaiana1964916:20-422
    17CSA1957721:23-222
    18ABC19212520:25-518
    19Retro1935117:22-1514
    20Tombense1928914:23-914

          Promotion ~ Serie C (Second stage: )
          Relegation ~ Serie D

    Which TV channels are streaming of Ituano - Retrô Brasil?
    It is being streamed on various channels, including:
    brazilBrazilClaro TV+, IT tv Plus, Nosso Futebol+, Sky+, Zapping
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