Al-Nasr vs Ittihad Kalba: Where to Watch, Predictions, Stats

10/01/2025 at 08:05 (Time Zone – GMT-5 (America/New_York))

Al Maktoum Stadium (Dubai).

UNITED ARAB EMIRATES: UAE League - Round 12

Match Stats


Expected Goals (xG)
2.89	1.62
Ball Possession
64%	36%
Goal Attempts
28	10
Shots on Goal
10	5
Shots off Goal
11	2
Blocked Shots
7	3
Big Chances
6	4
Corner Kicks
10	6
Shots inside the Box
17	9
Shots outside the Box
11	1
Hit the Woodwork
1	0
Goalkeeper Saves
3	7
Free Kicks
15	12
Offsides
5	1
Fouls
12	15
Yellow Cards
2	4
Throw-ins
13	14
Touches in the Opposition Box
30	18
Passes
91% (499/550)	78% (241/309)
Passes in the final third
83% (143/173)	60% (36/60)
Crosses
21% (7/33)	15% (2/13)
Tackles
73% (11/15)	86% (6/7)
Clearances Total
15	31
Interceptions
10	9

Key Moments

Here there are

1st Half (0 - 1)
11', 0 - 1, Moghanlou S. ⚽, Ghoddos S. (A),
40', Al Hamhami A. 🟨,
44', Ghoddos S. 🟨,
2nd Half (3 - 1)
46', Ahmed N. ↓, Gabbiadini M. ↑,
46', Fer L. ↓, Amzar C. ↑,
50', 0 - 2, Moghanlou S. ⚽,
58', 1 - 2, Azarkan M. ⚽, Taarabt A. (A),
68', Ghayedi M. 🟨,
68', Omer R. ↓, Juma R. ↑,
69', Azarkan M. ↓, Ahmed M. ↑,
72', Al Mansoori H. 🟨,
77', Juma R. 🟨,
80', Sadiq H. ↓, Ampofo E. ↑,
84', Al Darmaki K. ↓, Koffi K. ↑,
85', 2 - 2, Mabkhout A. ⚽, Ndiaye M. (A),
90+1', 3 - 2, Boussaid O. ⚽,
90+2', Boussaid O. 🟨,
90+3', Caio Eduardo ↓, Al Blooshi Y. ↑,
90+3', Ghoddos S. ↓, Gustavo ↑,

Chances of winning

Al-Nasr
49.3%

Draw
24.5%

Ittihad Kalba
26.2%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

42.1%

21.9%

35.9%

Our Initial ML Estimation

43.8%

22.8%

34.5%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Al-Nasr has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+7.2%)

Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting increased confidence in Al-Nasr's performance.

Ittihad Kalba has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-9.7%)

Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, and Ittihad Kalba might be facing challenges that affect their performance.

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Al-Nasr than the current prediction. (-5.5%)

Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests that there may be underlying issues with Al-Nasr that the model has picked up on.

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Ittihad Kalba than the current prediction. (+8.3%)

Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests that Ittihad Kalba could outperform expectations, possibly based on recent matchups or player stats.

Al-Nasr - Ittihad Kalba Odds

	1	X	2	Marga
Avarage Now (Initially)	1.83 ↓ (2.16)	3.69 ↓ (4.15)	3.44 ↑ (2.53)	10.8% (9.9%)

The most likely Over/Under: 3.25

What is the prediction for Al-Nasr - Ittihad Kalba?

The most likely score is 2:1.

Preview Facts

Let's enjoy game between two mid-table teams (ranked 6 and 7).
Last 5 head-to-head matches Al-Nasr won 1.
Two teams are playing changeable.
Ittihad Kalba could have advantage in physics - more days for rest in last days.
Al-Nasr will have a poor advantage in this game.
Last 20 head-to-head matches Al-Nasr won 8 matches, drawn 6 matches, lost 6 matches and goals 38:30 (average 1.9:1.5).
Including matches at home between the teams Al-Nasr won 6 matches, drawn 3 matches, lost 2 matches and goals 20:11 (average 1.8:1).

How many head-to-head matches has Al-Nasr won against Ittihad Kalba?

Al-Nasr has won 1 of their last 4 head-to-head matches.

How many head-to-head matches has Ittihad Kalba won against Al-Nasr?

Ittihad Kalba has won 1 of their last 4 head-to-head matches.

What were the results of their latest head-to-head matches?

The latest head-to-head matches between Al-Nasr - Ittihad Kalba were as follows:

26.04.2024 Al-Nasr - Ittihad Kalba 2:2

26.11.2023 Ittihad Kalba - Al-Nasr 0:0

02.04.2023 Al-Nasr - Ittihad Kalba 3:0

29.10.2022 Ittihad Kalba - Al-Nasr 5:3

Latest results of Al-Nasr

05.01.2025 Shabab Al-Ahli - Al-Nasr 2:0 ✺

29.12.2024 Al-Nasr - Shabab Al-Ahli 5:5 ✺

23.12.2024 Shabab Al-Ahli - Al-Nasr 2:0 ✺

15.12.2024 Al-Nasr - Khor Fakkan 3:1 ✺

08.12.2024 Al-Nasr - Dibba Al-Hisn 3:2 ✺

Latest results of Ittihad Kalba

05.01.2025 Ittihad Kalba - Ajman Club 3:2 ✺

15.12.2024 Dibba Al-Hisn - Ittihad Kalba 2:2 ✺

11.12.2024 Ittihad Kalba - Al Ain 3:3 ✺

07.12.2024 Ittihad Kalba - Al-Jazira 1:1 ✺

22.11.2024 Shabab Al-Ahli - Ittihad Kalba 0:0 ✺

UAE Football League Table

2024/25

		Pl	W	D	L		Diff	Pts
1	Shabab Al-Ahli Dubai ✔	24	17	6	1	52:19	33	57
2	Al Sharjah	24	14	3	7	36:19	17	45
3	Al Wahda	24	12	8	4	46:29	17	44
4	Al Wasl	24	12	7	5	47:30	17	43
5	Al Ain	24	11	7	6	54:32	22	40
6	Al Jazira	24	10	6	8	42:36	6	36
7	Al Nasr	24	10	5	9	42:41	1	35
8	Khorfakkan	24	9	6	9	38:44	-6	33
9	Ittihad Kalba	24	8	7	9	35:33	2	31
10	Ajman	24	8	3	13	36:45	-9	27
11	Bani Yas	24	7	5	12	27:48	-21	26
12	Al Bataeh	24	6	6	12	26:41	-15	24
13	Dibba Al Hisn ✔	24	4	4	16	26:51	-25	16
14	Al Urooba ✔	24	3	1	20	21:60	-39	10

      Promotion ~ AFC Champions League (League phase: )
      Promotion ~ AFC Champions League 2
      Relegation ~ Division 1

Clinched Spots for Teams

Shabab Al-Ahli Dubai is Confirmed as championsnQualified for AFC Champions League (League phase )
Dibba Al Hisn is Relegated to Division 1
Al Urooba is Relegated to Division 1

Which TV channels are streaming of Al-Nasr - Ittihad Kalba?

It is being streamed on various channels, including:


United-arab-emirates	Maraya
World	Triller TV+