Italy W vs Spain W, UEFA Euro Women: Where to Watch, Predictions, Stats

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Soccer UEFA Euro Women
Soccer UEFA Euro Women Italy W - Spain W
Result
1:3
11/07/2025 at 15:00 (Time Zone – GMT-4 (America/New_York))
  • : Euro Women - Round 3
Italy W - Spain W - Gamble Responsibly 18+
00:00 / 90:00
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Match Stats

Expected Goals (xG)
1.711.95
Ball Possession
26%74%
Total shots
1320
Shots on target
28
Big Chances
22
Corner Kicks
59
Passes
74% (201/272)90% (720/798)
Expected Goals (xG)
1.711.95
xG on target (xGOT)
0.402.79
Total shots
1320
Shots on target
28
Shots off target
78
Blocked Shots
44
Shots inside the Box
912
Shots outside the Box
48
Hit the Woodwork
10
Big Chances
22
Corner Kicks
59
Touches in opposition box
1945
Accurate through passes
03
Offsides
21
Free Kicks
73
Passes
74% (201/272)90% (720/798)
Long passes
40% (16/40)46% (12/26)
Passes in final third
53% (20/38)82% (211/257)
Crosses
44% (4/9)48% (10/21)
Expected assists (xA)
0.831.89
Throw-ins
1518
Fouls
37
Tackles
64% (7/11)67% (10/15)
Duels won
2628
Clearances
2412
Interceptions
136
Errors leading to shot
10
Errors leading to goal
21
Goalkeeper Saves
51
xGOT faced
2.790.40
Goals prevented
-0.21-0.60

Key Moments

Here there are
  • 1st Half (1 - 1)
  • 10', 1 - 0, Oliviero E. ⚽,
  • 14', 1 - 1, del Castillo A. ⚽, Putellas A. (A),
  • 2nd Half (0 - 2)
  • 49', 1 - 2, Guijarro P. ⚽,
  • 58', del Castillo A. ↓, Lopez V. ↑,
  • 58', Piemonte M. ↓, Girelli C. ↑,
  • 76', Paralluelo S. ↓, Gonzalez Rodriguez E. ↑,
  • 76', Caldentey M. ↓, Pina C. ↑,
  • 76', Giugliano M. ↓, Severini E. ↑,
  • 77', Bonansea B. ↓, Serturini A. ↑,
  • 77', Salvai C. ↓, Piga J. ↑,
  • 85', Cantore S. ↓, Cambiaghi M. ↑,
  • 87', Guijarro P. ↓, Zubieta M. ↑,
  • 90+1', 1 - 3, Gonzalez Rodriguez E. ⚽, Putellas A. (A),

Chances of winning


Italy W
9.7%		Draw
16.1%		Spain W
74.1%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)
7.2% 16% 76.7%


Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

  • Italy W has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+2.5%)
  • Spain W has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-2.6%)
    •

    Italy W - Spain W Odds

    1 X 2 Marga
    Avarage Now
    (Initially)    		 9.56 ↓
    (13.07)    		 5.79 ↓
    (5.91)    		 1.3 ↑
    (1.23)    		 4.7%
    (5.7%)

  • The most likely Over/Under: 3.00
    •
    What is the prediction for Italy W - Spain W?
  • Users Predictions: 41 users predict this event. Spain will win (votes: 36 - 87.8%). It will Tie (votes: 5 - 12.2%).
    Confidence interval (95%) for Spain: 77.8% – 97.8%.
  • High ROI Users Predictions (ROI>2%): Spain W will win (9 of 10 users predict this - 90%).
    •
  • The most likely score by Bookmakers is 0:2.
    •
    Preview Facts
    • Spain is Qualified for Euro Women (Play Offs )
    • In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Italy won 1.
    • Spain is on a winning streak and currently in very good shape (last 5 games: 5 wins).
    • Italy may have a physical advantage due to more rest days in recent times.
    • In this match, Spain is the undeniable favorite.
    • In the last 7 head-to-head matches, Italy won 1 match, drew 3 matches, lost 3 matches, and goals 5:9. (average 0.7:1.3).
    What were the results of their latest head-to-head matches?
    The latest head-to-head matches between Italy W - Spain W were as follows:
    29.10.2024 Italy W - Spain W 1:1
    01.12.2023 Spain W - Italy W 2:3
    27.10.2023 Italy W - Spain W 0:1
    Latest results of Italy W
    07.07.2025 Portugal W - Italy W 1:1 ✺
    03.07.2025 Belgium W - Italy W 0:1 ✺
    03.06.2025 Wales W - Italy W 1:4 ✺
    30.05.2025 Italy W - Sweden W 0:0
    08.04.2025 Denmark W - Italy W 0:3
    Latest results of Spain W
    07.07.2025 Spain W - Belgium W 6:2 ✺
    03.07.2025 Spain W - Portugal W 5:0 ✺
    27.06.2025 Spain W - Japan W 3:1
    03.06.2025 Spain W - England W 2:1 ✺
    30.05.2025 Belgium W - Spain W 1:5 ✺
    UEFA Euro Women Table
    Final tournament

    Group A
    PlWDLDiffPts
    1Norway W33008:539
    2Switzerland W31114:314
    3Finland W31113:304
    4Iceland W30033:7-40


    Group B
    PlWDLDiffPts
    1Spain W330014:3119
    2Italy W31113:4-14
    3Belgium W31024:8-43
    4Portugal W30122:8-61


    Group C
    PlWDLDiffPts
    1Sweden W33008:179
    2Germany W32015:506
    3Poland W31023:7-43
    4Denmark W30033:6-30


    Group D
    PlWDLDiffPts
    1France W330011:479
    2England W320111:386
    3Netherlands W31025:9-43
    4Wales W30032:13-110

          Promotion ~ Euro Women (Play Offs: )

    Which TV channels are streaming of Italy W - Spain W?
    It is being streamed on various channels, including:
    africaAfricaDStv Now, New World Sport 2, New World Sport App, Sporty TV, StarTimes App, SuperSport Football, SuperSport GOtv Football, SuperSport MaXimo 2
    argentinaArgentinaDisney+, ESPN 3
    asiaAsiabeIN Connect MENA, beIN Sports MENA 1, beIN Sports MENA English 2, TOD
    australiaAustraliaOptus Sport, Stan Sport
    austriaAustriaSky Go Austria
    belgiumBelgiumBNT News App, Ketnet, RTBF Auvio Direct
    bosnia-and-herzegovinaBosnia-and-herzegovinaBHT 1
    brazilBrazilAmazon Prime Video, Caze TV
    bulgariaBulgariaBNT 1, BNT 3
    canadaCanadaTSN 3, TSN 5, TSN+
    chileChileDisney+
    chinaChinaZhiBo8
    colombiaColombiaDisney+, ESPN 3
    croatiaCroatiaHRT 2, MAXtv To Go
    czech-republicCzech-republicCT sport Plus
    denmarkDenmarkTV3+, Viaplay
    estoniaEstoniaETV 2
    finlandFinlandYLE Areena, YLE TV2
    franceFranceFree, Molotov TV, TMC
    georgiaGeorgia1TV, 1TV Player
    germanyGermanyDas Erste, DAZN 1 Bar Deutsch, DAZN Deutsch, Sky Go Germany, WOW
    greeceGreeceERT 2
    hong-kongHong-kongHOY TV
    hungaryHungaryM4 Sport
    icelandIcelandRUV 2
    indiaIndiaFanCode, FanCode
    irelandIrelandRTE 2, RTE Player
    israelIsraelSport 2
    italyItalyRAI 2, RaiPlay
    kenyaKenyaGotv
    kosovoKosovoRTK 1
    maltaMaltaTVM Sport+
    mexicoMexicoDisney+, ESPN
    moldovaMoldovaTVR Moldova
    netherlandsNetherlandsCanal+, Sporza
    nigeriaNigeriaSupersport Maximo 2
    north-macedoniaNorth-macedoniaMRT 1, MRT 3
    norwayNorwayTV2, TV2 Play
    peruPeruDisney+
    polandPolandsport.tvp.pl, TVP Sport app, TVP Sport
    portugalPortugalSport TV2
    romaniaRomaniaTVR+, TVR Sport
    serbiaSerbiaRTS 2
    slovakiaSlovakiaSTVR Sport
    sloveniaSloveniaSlovenia TV2
    south-africaSouth-africaSuperSport Football
    south-americaSouth-americaViX Latin America
    south-koreaSouth-koreaSPOTV Now, SPOTV Prime
    spainSpainRTVE Play, TVE La 1
    swedenSwedenViaplay
    switzerlandSwitzerlandPlay RTS, Play RTS, RSI La 2, RTS 2, RTS 2, RTS Sport, RTS Sport, SRF 2, SRF 2, SRF Play, SRF Play
    turkeyTurkeyTabii, TRT Spor
    ukraineUkraineSuspilne Sport
    united-kingdomUnited-kingdomBBC iPlayer, BBC One, BBC Radio 5 Live, BBC Sport app, BBC Sport
    uruguayUruguayDisney+
    usaUsaFOX Network, Fox Sports App, Foxsports.com, TUDN App, TUDN
    venezuelaVenezuelaDisney+, Inter
    worldWorldSport 24 Extra
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