Belgium W vs Italy W, UEFA Euro Women: Where to Watch, Predictions, Stats

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Soccer UEFA Euro Women
Soccer UEFA Euro Women Belgium W - Italy W
Result
0:1
03/07/2025 at 12:00 (Time Zone – GMT-4 (America/New_York))
  • : Euro Women - Round 1
  • Referee: Grundbacher D. (Sui)
Belgium W - Italy W - Gamble Responsibly 18+
00:00 / 90:00
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Match Stats

Expected Goals (xG)
0.731.41
Ball Possession
53%47%
Total shots
1017
Shots on target
27
Big Chances
02
Corner Kicks
45
Passes
83% (314/380)79% (265/334)
Yellow Cards
13
Expected Goals (xG)
0.731.41
xG on target (xGOT)
0.671.88
Total shots
1017
Shots on target
27
Shots off target
56
Blocked Shots
34
Shots inside the Box
69
Shots outside the Box
48
Hit the Woodwork
00
Big Chances
02
Corner Kicks
45
Touches in opposition box
1825
Accurate through passes
20
Offsides
00
Free Kicks
814
Passes
83% (314/380)79% (265/334)
Long passes
51% (21/41)68% (41/60)
Passes in final third
70% (73/104)58% (52/89)
Crosses
13% (2/16)44% (7/16)
Expected assists (xA)
1.001.89
Throw-ins
2916
Fouls
148
Tackles
71% (10/14)54% (7/13)
Duels won
2948
Clearances
1522
Interceptions
69
Errors leading to shot
00
Errors leading to goal
00
Goalkeeper Saves
62
xGOT faced
1.880.67
Goals prevented
1.190.43

Key Moments

Here there are
  • 1st Half (0 - 1)
  • 16', Lenzini M. 🟨,
  • 33', Di Guglielmo L. 🟨,
  • 44', 0 - 1, Caruso A. ⚽, Di Guglielmo L. (A),
  • 2nd Half (0 - 0)
  • 51', Cantore S. 🟨,
  • 53', Di Guglielmo L. ↓, Oliviero E. ↑,
  • 53', Giugliano M. ↓, Greggi G. ↑,
  • 66', Toloba A. ↓, Detruyer M. ↑,
  • 66', Janssens J. ↓, Wijnants S. ↑,
  • 72', Lenzini M. ↓, Piga J. ↑,
  • 72', Cantore S. ↓, Cambiaghi M. ↑,
  • 75', Eurlings H. ↓, Dhont E. ↑,
  • 80', Kees S. 🟨,
  • 87', Vanhaevermaet J. ↓, De Caigny T. ↑,
  • 87', Deloose L. ↓, Van Kerkhoven E. ↑,

Chances of winning


Belgium W
19.1%		Draw
23.8%		Italy W
57.1%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)
22.7% 24.9% 52.4%


Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

  • Belgium W has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-3.6%)
  • Italy W has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+4.7%)
    •

    Belgium W - Italy W Odds

    1 X 2 Marga
    Avarage Now
    (Initially)    		 4.86 ↑
    (4.16)    		 3.94 ↑
    (3.8)    		 1.68 ↓
    (1.8)    		 5.6%
    (5.8%)

  • The most likely Over/Under: 2.75
    •
    What is the prediction for Belgium W - Italy W?
  • Users Predictions: 41 users predict this event. Belgium will win (votes: 8 - 19.5%). Italy will win (votes: 29 - 70.7%). It will Tie (votes: 4 - 9.8%).
    Confidence interval (95%) for Italy: 56.8% – 84.6%.
  • High ROI Users Predictions (ROI>2%): 9 high ROI users predict this event. Belgium (votes: 1 - 11.1%). Italy (votes: 5 - 55.6%). Tie (votes: 3 - 33.3%).
    •
  • The most likely score by Bookmakers is 0:1.
    •
    Preview Facts
    • Belgium may face physical challenges compared to their opponent, as they have played more matches in recent days.
    • In this match, Italy is considered a favorite.
    • In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Belgium won 4 matches, drew 0 matches, lost 1 match, and goals 10:5. (average 2:1).
    What were the results of their latest head-to-head matches?
    The latest head-to-head matches between Belgium W - Italy W were as follows:
    16.02.2023 Italy W - Belgium W 1:2
    Latest results of Belgium W
    26.06.2025 Belgium W - Greece W 2:0
    20.06.2025 France W - Belgium W 5:0
    03.06.2025 Portugal W - Belgium W 0:3 ✺
    30.05.2025 Belgium W - Spain W 1:5 ✺
    08.04.2025 Belgium W - England W 3:2
    Latest results of Italy W
    03.06.2025 Wales W - Italy W 1:4 ✺
    30.05.2025 Italy W - Sweden W 0:0
    08.04.2025 Denmark W - Italy W 0:3
    04.04.2025 Sweden W - Italy W 3:2
    25.02.2025 Italy W - Denmark W 1:3
    UEFA Euro Women Table
    Final tournament

    Group A
    PlWDLDiffPts
    1Norway W33008:539
    2Switzerland W31114:314
    3Finland W31113:304
    4Iceland W30033:7-40


    Group B
    PlWDLDiffPts
    1Spain W330014:3119
    2Italy W31113:4-14
    3Belgium W31024:8-43
    4Portugal W30122:8-61


    Group C
    PlWDLDiffPts
    1Sweden W ✔ 33008:179
    2Germany W ✔ 32015:506
    3Poland W31023:7-43
    4Denmark W30033:6-30


    Group D
    PlWDLDiffPts
    1France W22006:246
    2England W21015:233
    3Netherlands W21013:4-13
    4Wales W20021:7-60

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    Which TV channels are streaming of Belgium W - Italy W?
    It is being streamed on various channels, including:
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