Italy vs Slovenia, EuroBasket: Where to Watch, Predictions, Stats

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Basketball EuroBasket Italy - Slovenia
Result
77:84
07/09/2025 at 11:30 (Time Zone – GMT-4 (America/New_York))
  • : EuroBasket - Play Offs - 1/8-finals
Italy - Slovenia - Gamble Responsibly 18+
00:00 / 90:00
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Match Stats

Field Goals Attempted
5464
Field Goals Made
2527
Field Goals %
46.3%42.2%
2-Point Field G. Attempted
2428
2-Point Field Goals Made
1415
2-Point Field Goals %
58.3%53.6%
3-Point Field G. Attempted
3036
3-Point Field Goals Made
1112
3-Point Field Goals %
36.7%33.3%
Free Throws Attempted
2322
Free Throws Made
1618
Free Throws %
69.6%81.8%
Offensive Rebounds
813
Defensive Rebounds
2221
Total Rebounds
3034
Assists
2412
Blocks
00
Turnovers
1414
Steals
97
Personal Fouls
2422

Highlights

Chances of winning


Italy
58%
Slovenia
42%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)
66.6% 33.4%

Our Initial ML Estimation

67.9% 32.1%


Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

  • Italy has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-8.6%)
  • Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, indicating that Italy's form might have worsened.
  • Slovenia has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+8.6%)
  • Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting Slovenia's recent form is better than expected.
  • ML Model estimates a higher probability for Italy than the current prediction. (+9.9%)
  • Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests a strong performance forecast for Italy, possibly due to key factors that the model accounted for.
  • ML Model estimates a lower probability for Slovenia than the current prediction. (-9.9%)
  • Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests a potential downturn for Slovenia, possibly due to injuries or other negative factors.
  • Italy - Slovenia Odds

    1 X 2 Marga
    Avarage Now
    (Initially)
    1.64
    (1.46)

    2.29
    (2.91)
    4.7%
    (2.9%)

  • The most likely Over/Under: 172.00
  • The most likely Handicap: 1 (-3)
  • What is the prediction for Italy - Slovenia?
  • Users Predictions: Slovenia will win (44 of 50 users predict this - 88%).
    Confidence interval (95%): 78.99%97.01%.
  • High ROI Users Predictions (ROI>2%): Slovenia will win (8 of 9 users predict this - 88.89%).
  • The most likely score by Bookmakers is 88:85.
  • Preview Facts
    • Italy is currently in amazing form (last 5 games: 4 wins).
    • Slovenia's form has been unstable in recent games (in the last 5 games, wins – 3).
    • Italy will hold a modest advantage in this match.
    • In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Italy won 0 matches, drew 0 matches, lost 5 matches, and goals 384:431. (average 76.8:86.2).
    What were the results of their latest head-to-head matches?
    The latest head-to-head matches between Italy - Slovenia were as follows:
    09.09.2023 Italy - Slovenia 85:89
    Latest results of Italy
    04.09.2025 Italy - Cyprus 89:54
    02.09.2025 Italy - Spain 67:63
    30.08.2025 Italy - Georgia 78:62
    28.08.2025 Greece - Italy 75:66
    Latest results of Slovenia
    04.09.2025 Israel - Slovenia 96:106
    02.09.2025 Iceland - Slovenia 79:87
    31.08.2025 Slovenia - Belgium 86:69
    30.08.2025 France - Slovenia 103:95
    28.08.2025 Slovenia - Poland 95:105
    Draw
    Final tournament

    1/8-finals
    1Lithuania (B2)Latvia (A3)88 : 79
    2Greece (C1)Israel (D4)84 : 79
    3Turkey (A1)Sweden (B4)85 : 79
    4Poland (D2)Bosnia & Herzegovina (C3)80 : 72
    5Germany (B1)Portugal (A4)85 : 58
    6Italy (C2)Slovenia (D3)77 : 84
    7Serbia (A2)Finland (B3)86 : 92
    8France (D1)Georgia (C4)70 : 80

    Quarter-finals
    1Lithuania (B2)Greece (C1)76 : 87
    2Turkey (A1)Poland (D2)91 : 77
    3Germany (B1)Slovenia (D3)99 : 91
    4Finland (B3)Georgia (C4)93 : 79

    Semi-finals
    1Greece (C1)Turkey (A1)68 : 94
    2Germany (B1)Finland (B3)98 : 86

    Final
    1Turkey (A1)Germany (B1)

    3rd place
    2Greece (C1)Finland (B3)
    Which TV channels are streaming of Italy - Slovenia?
    It is being streamed on various channels, including:
    brazilBrazilESPN 4
    bulgariaBulgariaDiema Sport
    croatiaCroatiaSportKlub 1
    czech-republicCzech-republicCT sport
    finlandFinlandRuutu+
    germanyGermanyMagenta Sport
    greeceGreeceNova Sports Start
    hungaryHungaryM4 Sport
    italyItalyDAZN Italia
    polandPolandTVP Sport
    serbiaSerbiaSportKlub 1
    slovakiaSlovakiaSTVR Sport
    sloveniaSloveniaSportKlub 5
    worldWorldCourt Side 1891
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