Noroeste vs Itabuna: Where to Watch, Predictions, Stats

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Soccer Brazilian Serie D Noroeste - Itabuna
Result
3:2
20/07/2024 at 14:00 (Time Zone – GMT-4 (America/New_York))
  • BRAZIL: Serie D - Round 14
Noroeste - Itabuna - Gamble Responsibly 18+
00:00 / 90:00
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Key Moments

Here there are
  • 1st Half (2 - 0)
  • 3', 1 - 0, Vitinho ,
  • 35', 2 - 0, Jonnathan Luis (Own goal),
  • 2nd Half (1 - 2)
  • 58', 2 - 1, Papaterra W. ,
  • 67', 3 - 1, Juninho Potiguar ,
  • 87', 3 - 2, Papaterra W. ,

Chances of winning


Noroeste
53.4%
Draw
26.7%
Itabuna
19.9%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)
51.8% 28.5% 19.7%

Our Initial ML Estimation

54.6% 30% 18.7%


Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

  • Noroeste has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+1.6%)
  • Itabuna has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+0.2%)
  • ML Model estimates a higher probability for Noroeste than the current prediction. (+1.2%)
  • ML Model estimates a lower probability for Itabuna than the current prediction. (-1.2%)
  • Noroeste - Itabuna Odds

    1 X 2 Marga
    Avarage Now
    (Initially)
    1.7
    (1.76)
    3.39
    (3.2)
    4.54
    (4.63)
    10.5%
    (9.7%)

  • The most likely Over/Under: 2.25
  • Preview Facts
    • Enjoy watching a meeting between a mid-table team and a leading team (ranked 5 and 2 in the zone Promotion ~ Serie D (Play Offs: 1/16~finals)).
    • Itabuna is Qualified for Serie D (Play Offs 1/16~finals)
    • Two teams are playing changeable.
    • Noroeste could have problems with physics compare with it opponent - last days they played more matches than their opponents.
    • In this match Noroeste is a favorite.
    • Last 1 head-to-head matches Noroeste won 0 matches, drawn 1 matches, lost 0 matches and goals 0-0.
    What were the results of their latest head-to-head matches?
    The latest head-to-head matches between Noroeste - Itabuna were as follows:
    28.04.2024 Itabuna - Noroeste 0:0
    Latest results of Noroeste
    17.07.2024 Noroeste - Capixaba SC 4:1
    13.07.2024 Portuguesa RJ - Noroeste 3:0
    06.07.2024 Serra - Noroeste 2:2
    03.07.2024 Noroeste - Vitória ES 1:2
    Latest results of Itabuna
    13.07.2024 Itabuna - Ipatinga 0:0
    06.07.2024 Audax Rio - Itabuna 0:1
    03.07.2024 Itabuna - Portuguesa RJ 0:0
    22.06.2024 Nova Iguaçu - Itabuna 1:0
    16.06.2024 Serra - Itabuna 0:2
    Draw
    Play Offs

    1/16-finals
    1LagartoCentral SC2 : 2, 0 : 1
    2Tuna LusoMaranhao2 : 0, 1 : 4
    3ASAFerroviario2 : 0, 1 : 0
    4ManauaraSampaio Correa1 : 0, 1 : 1
    5AE AltosIndependencia3 : 1, 5 : 1
    6Santa CruzSergipe3 : 1, 1 : 2
    7America RNJuazeirense2 : 0, 1 : 1
    8ImperatrizManaus1 : 2, 2 : 0
    9PortuguesaMixto1 : 1, 0 : 1
    10CianorteJoinville4 : 0, 1 : 1
    11Barra FCCascavel3 : 0, 1 : 0
    12CeilandiaAgua Santa1 : 0, 1 : 1
    13AparecidenseMarica2 : 2, 2 : 1
    14EC Sao JoseGoiatuba1 : 2, 1 : 1
    15Inter de LimeiraMarcilio Dias2 : 1, 0 : 0
    16Rio Branco ESLuverdense3 : 0, 0 : 0

    1/8-finals
    1Central SCMaranhao0 : 0, 1 : 2
    2ASAManauara0 : 0, 1 : 0
    3AE AltosSanta Cruz0 : 1, 1 : 1
    4America RNImperatriz0 : 0, 1 : 0
    5MixtoCianorte0 : 2, 1 : 1
    6Barra FCCeilandia1 : 0, 1 : 1
    7AparecidenseGoiatuba0 : 2, 3 : 2
    8Inter de LimeiraRio Branco ES0 : 0, 1 : 0

    Quarter-finals
    1MaranhaoASA3 : 0, 1 : 0
    2Santa CruzAmerica RN1 : 1, 1 : 0
    3CianorteBarra FC0 : 1, 0 : 0
    4GoiatubaInter de Limeira0 : 1, 0 : 0

    Semi-finals
    1MaranhaoSanta Cruz0 : 0, 0 : 1
    2Barra FCInter de Limeira3 : 2, 2 : 0

    Final
    1Santa CruzBarra FC0 : 0, 1 : 2
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