Itabaiana vs Náutico Capibaribe: Where to Watch, Predictions, Stats

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Soccer Brazilian Serie C Itabaiana - Náutico Capibaribe
Result
2:1
13/04/2025 at 15:00 (Time Zone – GMT-4 (America/New_York))
  • : Serie C - First stage - Round 1
Itabaiana - Náutico Capibaribe - Gamble Responsibly 18+
00:00 / 90:00
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Match Stats

Ball Possession
45%55%
Total shots
1010
Shots on target
31
Corner Kicks
23
Yellow Cards
41
Total shots
1010
Shots on target
31
Shots off target
79
Corner Kicks
23
Goalkeeper Saves
01

Key Moments

Here there are
  • 1st Half (0 - 1)
  • 34', 0 - 1, Vinicius ,
  • 38', Fabian Fernandez Nizio A. R. 🟨,
  • 45+4', Wenderson 🟨,
  • 2nd Half (2 - 0)
  • 46', Valdeci , Robinho ,
  • 46', Bruno Sena , Fabricio Oya ,
  • 53', 1 - 1, Wendel R. N. J. , Carlos Coppetti (A),
  • 60', Felipe Santana , Marco Antonio ,
  • 67', Carlos Coppetti 🟨,
  • 70', Jackson , Cabral J. ,
  • 70', Fabian Fernandez Nizio A. R. , Romeo ,
  • 73', 2 - 1, Cabral J. , Leilson (A),
  • 76', Kauan , Betao ,
  • 77', Helio Borges , Caio Vitor ,
  • 77', Wenderson , Bruno Mezenga ,
  • 80', Marcos Ytalo , Igor Fernandes ,
  • 80', Luiz Paulo , Arnaldo ,
  • 84', Wendel R. N. J. 🟨,
  • 89', 🟨,

Chances of winning


Itabaiana
31.8%
Draw
32.1%
Náutico Capibaribe
36.1%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)
27.6% 30.3% 42%

Our Initial ML Estimation

27.3% 30.6% 42.5%


Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

  • Itabaiana has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+4.2%)
  • Náutico Capibaribe has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-5.9%)
  • Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, and Náutico Capibaribe might be facing challenges that affect their performance.
  • ML Model estimates a lower probability for Itabaiana than the current prediction. (-4.5%)
  • ML Model estimates a higher probability for Náutico Capibaribe than the current prediction. (+6.4%)
  • Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests that Náutico Capibaribe could outperform expectations, possibly based on recent matchups or player stats.
  • Itabaiana - Náutico Capibaribe Odds

    1 X 2 Marga
    Avarage Now
    (Initially)
    2.84
    (3.29)
    2.82
    (3)
    2.51
    (2.16)
    10.6%
    (10%)

  • The most likely Over/Under: 2.00
  • Preview Facts
    • One and the other team get a very uncertain game.
    • Náutico will have a small advantage in this match.
    • Last 2 head-to-head matches Itabaiana won 0 matches, drawn 1 matches, lost 1 matches and goals 0:1 (average 0:0.5).
    • Including matches at home between the teams Itabaiana won 0 matches, drawn 1 matches, lost 0 matches and goals 0:0
    Latest results of Itabaiana
    Latest results of Náutico Capibaribe
    Brazilian Serie C Table
    2025
    PlWDLDiffPts
    1SER Caxias16120426:17936
    2Nautico1685320:61429
    3Sao Bernardo1685318:9929
    4Ponte Preta1683516:15127
    5Londrina1675424:16826
    6Floresta EC1666413:13024
    7Brusque1664616:15122
    8Ypiranga FC1663713:17-421
    9CSA1656518:17121
    10Confianca1655619:21-220
    11Guarani1655613:15-220
    12Ituano1655615:18-320
    13Botafogo PB1654719:17219
    14Anapolis1647513:17-419
    15Itabaiana1653813:17-418
    16Maringa FC1639420:22-218
    17Figueirense1638517:17017
    18ABC16211316:19-317
    19Retro163496:19-1313
    20Tombense1626812:20-812

          Promotion ~ Serie C (Second stage: )
          Relegation ~ Serie D

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