Itabaiana vs Náutico Capibaribe: Where to Watch, Predictions, Stats

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Soccer Brazilian Serie C Itabaiana - Náutico Capibaribe
Result
2:1
13/04/2025 at 15:00 (Time Zone – GMT-4 (America/New_York))
  • : Serie C - First stage - Round 1
Itabaiana - Náutico Capibaribe - Gamble Responsibly 18+
00:00 / 90:00
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Match Stats

Ball Possession
45%55%
Total shots
1010
Shots on target
31
Corner Kicks
23
Yellow Cards
41
Total shots
1010
Shots on target
31
Shots off target
79
Corner Kicks
23
Goalkeeper Saves
01

Key Moments

Here there are
  • 1st Half (0 - 1)
  • 34', 0 - 1, Vinicius ,
  • 38', Fabian Fernandez Nizio A. R. 🟨,
  • 45+4', Wenderson 🟨,
  • 2nd Half (2 - 0)
  • 46', Valdeci , Robinho ,
  • 46', Bruno Sena , Fabricio Oya ,
  • 53', 1 - 1, Wendel R. N. J. , Carlos Coppetti (A),
  • 60', Felipe Santana , Marco Antonio ,
  • 67', Carlos Coppetti 🟨,
  • 70', Jackson , Cabral J. ,
  • 70', Fabian Fernandez Nizio A. R. , Romeo ,
  • 73', 2 - 1, Cabral J. , Leilson (A),
  • 76', Kauan , Betao ,
  • 77', Helio Borges , Caio Vitor ,
  • 77', Wenderson , Bruno Mezenga ,
  • 80', Marcos Ytalo , Igor Fernandes ,
  • 80', Luiz Paulo , Arnaldo ,
  • 84', Wendel R. N. J. 🟨,
  • 89', 🟨,

Chances of winning


Itabaiana
31.8%
Draw
32.1%
Náutico Capibaribe
36.1%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)
27.6% 30.3% 42%

Our Initial ML Estimation

27.3% 30.6% 42.5%


Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

  • Itabaiana has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+4.2%)
  • Náutico Capibaribe has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-5.9%)
  • Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, and Náutico Capibaribe might be facing challenges that affect their performance.
  • ML Model estimates a lower probability for Itabaiana than the current prediction. (-4.5%)
  • ML Model estimates a higher probability for Náutico Capibaribe than the current prediction. (+6.4%)
  • Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests that Náutico Capibaribe could outperform expectations, possibly based on recent matchups or player stats.
  • Itabaiana - Náutico Capibaribe Odds

    1 X 2 Marga
    Avarage Now
    (Initially)
    2.84
    (3.29)
    2.82
    (3)
    2.51
    (2.16)
    10.6%
    (10%)

  • The most likely Over/Under: 2.00
  • Preview Facts
    • One and the other team get a very uncertain game.
    • Náutico will have a small advantage in this match.
    • Last 2 head-to-head matches Itabaiana won 0 matches, drawn 1 matches, lost 1 matches and goals 0:1 (average 0:0.5).
    • Including matches at home between the teams Itabaiana won 0 matches, drawn 1 matches, lost 0 matches and goals 0:0
    Latest results of Itabaiana
    Latest results of Náutico Capibaribe
    Brazilian Serie C Table
    2025
    PlWDLDiffPts
    1Ponte Preta1062210:7320
    2Ypiranga FC1061311:10119
    3Londrina1054118:9919
    4SER Caxias960316:11518
    5CSA1044212:8416
    6Sao Bernardo104339:7215
    7Brusque94328:6215
    8Guarani104249:9014
    9Ituano93429:8113
    10Maringa FC1034314:14013
    11Nautico933310:6412
    12Floresta EC93335:7-212
    13Tombense92528:8011
    14Figueirense1024412:13-110
    15ABC101729:12-310
    16Botafogo PB92349:909
    17Confianca1022610:16-68
    18Retro102264:12-88
    19Itabaiana92168:13-57
    20Anapolis100736:12-67

          Promotion ~ Serie C (Second stage: )
          Relegation ~ Serie D

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