Itabaiana vs Ituano: Where to Watch, Predictions, Stats

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Soccer Brazilian Serie C Itabaiana - Ituano
Result
3:1
27/07/2025 at 15:30 (Time Zone – GMT-4 (America/New_York))
  • : Serie C - First stage - Round 14
Itabaiana - Ituano - Gamble Responsibly 18+
00:00 / 90:00
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Match Stats

Ball Possession
51%49%
Total shots
814
Shots on target
57
Corner Kicks
68
Yellow Cards
13
Total shots
814
Shots on target
57
Shots off target
37
Corner Kicks
68
Goalkeeper Saves
62

Key Moments

Here there are
  • 1st Half (1 - 1)
  • 3', Carlos Coppetti 🟨,
  • 4', Grigor 🟨,
  • 16', 1 - 0, Leilson (Pen),
  • 20', Leo Passos 🟨,
  • 30', Tiaguinho , Guilherme Dal Pian ,
  • 35', Neto Berola 🟨,
  • 41', 1 - 1, Leo Passos , Neto Berola (A),
  • 2nd Half (2 - 0)
  • 49', 2 - 1, Jackson , Leilson (A),
  • 54', 3 - 1, Jackson , Leilson (A),
  • 62', Vinicius Popo , Ze Carlos ,
  • 62', Neto Berola , Felipe Muranga ,
  • 64', Jackson , Karl ,
  • 64', Dione , Joao Maranhao ,
  • 67', Belem P. , Betao ,
  • 70', Dija , Kaio Mendes ,
  • 70', Grigor , Gabriel Razera ,
  • 75', Tarcisio , DG ,
  • 75', Carlos Coppetti , Vini Locatelli ,

Chances of winning


Itabaiana
36.6%
Draw
31.4%
Ituano
32%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)
40.9% 31% 28.1%

Our Initial ML Estimation

42.7% 29.7% 26.9%


Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

  • Itabaiana has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-4.3%)
  • Ituano has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+3.9%)
  • ML Model estimates a higher probability for Itabaiana than the current prediction. (+6.1%)
  • Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests a strong performance forecast for Itabaiana, possibly due to key factors that the model accounted for.
  • ML Model estimates a lower probability for Ituano than the current prediction. (-5.1%)
  • Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests a potential downturn for Ituano, possibly due to injuries or other negative factors.
  • Itabaiana - Ituano Odds

    1 X 2 Marga
    Avarage Now
    (Initially)
    2.5
    (2.2)
    2.92
    (2.9)
    2.86
    (3.2)
    9.2%
    (11.2%)

  • The most likely Over/Under: 2.00
  • What is the prediction for Itabaiana - Ituano?
  • High ROI Users Predictions (ROI>2%): 1 high ROI users predict this event. Ituano (votes: 1 - 100%).
  • The most likely score by Bookmakers is 1:1.
  • Preview Facts
    • The game between a mid-table team and the outsider (ranked 19 in the zone Relegation ~ Serie D and 10).
    • Recent form of Itabaiana has been disappointing (last 5 games: 1 wins).
    • In recent matches, Ituano has shown inconsistent performance (in the last 5 games, wins – 1).
    • Ituano may face physical challenges compared to their opponent, as they have played more matches in recent days.
    • The chances of victory for both teams are nearly identical in this match.
    • In the last 2 head-to-head matches, Itabaiana won 1 match, drew 0 matches, lost 1 match, and goals 2:3. (average 1:1.5).
    • Including home match between the teams, Itabaiana won 1 match, drew 0 matches, lost 0 matches, and goals 1:0.
    Latest results of Itabaiana
    19.07.2025 Londrina - Itabaiana 2:0
    12.07.2025 Itabaiana - Confiança 0:0
    06.07.2025 Anápolis - Itabaiana 1:0
    30.06.2025 Itabaiana - Botafogo PB 1:0
    15.06.2025 Guarani - Itabaiana 2:1
    Latest results of Ituano
    19.07.2025 Ituano - Botafogo PB 0:3
    13.07.2025 Guarani - Ituano 0:0
    05.07.2025 Ituano - Retrô Brasil 2:0
    29.06.2025 Caxias - Ituano 2:1
    14.06.2025 Ituano - São Bernardo 1:1
    Brazilian Serie C Table
    First stage
    PlWDLDiffPts
    1SER Caxias19121626:21537
    2Ponte Preta19113520:16436
    3Nautico19106325:71836
    4Londrina1986527:19830
    5Sao Bernardo1986519:15430
    6Brusque1984720:17328
    7Guarani1976620:20027
    8Floresta EC1976615:15027
    9Confianca1975721:22-126
    10Ypiranga FC1974817:21-425
    11Maringa FC19510426:24225
    12Ituano1966719:24-524
    13Botafogo PB1965822:21123
    14Figueirense1958621:18323
    15Anapolis1958616:19-323
    16Itabaiana1964916:20-422
    17CSA1957721:23-222
    18ABC19212520:25-518
    19Retro1935117:22-1514
    20Tombense1928914:23-914

          Promotion ~ Serie C (Second stage: )
          Relegation ~ Serie D

    Which TV channels are streaming of Itabaiana - Ituano?
    It is being streamed on various channels, including:
    brazilBrazilClaro TV+, IT tv Plus, Sky+, SportyNet+, Zapping
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