Itabaiana vs Caxias: Where to Watch, Predictions, Stats

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Soccer Brazilian Serie C Itabaiana - Caxias
Result
2:1
24/05/2025 at 18:30 (Time Zone – GMT-4 (America/New_York))
  • : Serie C - First stage - Round 7
Itabaiana - Caxias - Gamble Responsibly 18+
00:00 / 90:00
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Match Stats

Ball Possession
51%49%
Total shots
2310
Shots on target
63
Corner Kicks
34
Yellow Cards
13
Total shots
2310
Shots on target
63
Shots off target
177
Corner Kicks
34
Goalkeeper Saves
24

Key Moments

Here there are
  • 1st Half (0 - 1)
  • 34', Pedro Cuiaba 🟨,
  • 37', 0 - 1, Iago ,
  • 42', Thiago Coelho 🟨,
  • 2nd Half (2 - 0)
  • 46', Romeu , Leilson ,
  • 62', Fabian Fernandez Nizio A. R. , Robinho ,
  • 62', Jackson , Joao Cabral ,
  • 65', Eduardo Melo , Eliedson ,
  • 65', Pedro Cuiaba , Gustavo Nescau ,
  • 66', 1 - 1, Leilson ,
  • 73', Vinicius Guedes , Lorran ,
  • 73', Iago , Petterson ,
  • 74', Carlos Coppetti , Elimar ,
  • 74', Fabricio Oya , Rhuan Silveira ,
  • 76', 2 - 1, Robinho , Joao Cabral (A),
  • 77', Calyson , Gabriel Lima ,
  • 79', Betao 🟨,

Chances of winning


Itabaiana
35.1%
Draw
32.2%
Caxias
32.7%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)
39.9% 29.3% 30.8%

Our Initial ML Estimation

40.4% 29.7% 30.4%


Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

  • Itabaiana has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-4.8%)
  • Caxias has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+1.9%)
  • ML Model estimates a higher probability for Itabaiana than the current prediction. (+5.3%)
  • Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests a strong performance forecast for Itabaiana, possibly due to key factors that the model accounted for.
  • ML Model estimates a lower probability for Caxias than the current prediction. (-2.3%)
  • Itabaiana - Caxias Odds

    1 X 2 Marga
    Avarage Now
    (Initially)
    2.6
    (2.28)
    2.83
    (3.1)
    2.79
    (2.95)
    9.6%
    (10%)

  • The most likely Over/Under: 2.00
  • What is the prediction for Itabaiana - Caxias?
  • High ROI Users Predictions (ROI>2%): 1 high ROI users predict this event. Itabaiana (votes: 1 - 100%).
  • The most likely score by Bookmakers is 1:1.
  • Preview Facts
    • An outsider and one of the leaders will play in this match (ranked 17 in the zone Relegation ~ Serie D and 2 in the zone Promotion ~ Serie C (Second stage: )).
    • Itabaiana has suffered several defeats recently (last 5 games: 0 wins).
    • In recent matches, Caxias has shown inconsistent performance (in the last 5 games, wins – 3).
    • The probability of winning is almost the same for both teams in this match.
    • The teams have not played against each other recently.
    Latest results of Itabaiana
    18.05.2025 Retrô Brasil - Itabaiana 1:0
    12.05.2025 Itabaiana - Figueirense 1:1
    03.05.2025 Tombense - Itabaiana 2:0
    27.04.2025 Itabaiana - São Bernardo 0:1
    19.04.2025 Ypiranga - Itabaiana 3:2
    Latest results of Caxias
    18.05.2025 São Bernardo - Caxias 1:0
    11.05.2025 Caxias - Retrô Brasil 2:1
    05.05.2025 Figueirense - Caxias 2:3
    28.04.2025 Caxias - Guarani 2:0
    20.04.2025 Confiança - Caxias 2:1
    Brazilian Serie C Table
    2025
    PlWDLDiffPts
    1SER Caxias960316:11518
    2Ponte Preta95229:7217
    3Ypiranga FC95138:10-216
    4Londrina944114:9516
    5Brusque94328:6215
    6CSA834110:7313
    7Maringa FC834113:11213
    8Ituano93429:8113
    9Floresta EC83325:5012
    10Sao Bernardo93336:7-112
    11Guarani93248:9-111
    12Tombense92528:8011
    13ABC91719:9010
    14Nautico82338:539
    15Botafogo PB92349:909
    16Figueirense923411:12-19
    17Retro92254:8-48
    18Itabaiana92168:13-57
    19Confianca92169:15-67
    20Anapolis90726:9-37

          Promotion ~ Serie C (Second stage: )
          Relegation ~ Serie D

    Which TV channels are streaming of Itabaiana - Caxias?
    It is being streamed on various channels, including:
    brazilBrazilClaro TV+, IT tv Plus, Nosso Futebol+, Sky+, Zapping
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