Itabaiana vs Caxias: Where to Watch, Predictions, Stats

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Soccer Brazilian Serie C Itabaiana - Caxias
Result
2:1
24/05/2025 at 18:30 (Time Zone – GMT-4 (America/New_York))
  • : Serie C - First stage - Round 7
Itabaiana - Caxias - Gamble Responsibly 18+
00:00 / 90:00
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Match Stats

Ball Possession
51%49%
Total shots
2310
Shots on target
63
Corner Kicks
34
Yellow Cards
13
Total shots
2310
Shots on target
63
Shots off target
177
Corner Kicks
34
Goalkeeper Saves
24

Key Moments

Here there are
  • 1st Half (0 - 1)
  • 34', Pedro Cuiaba 🟨,
  • 37', 0 - 1, Iago ,
  • 42', Thiago Coelho 🟨,
  • 2nd Half (2 - 0)
  • 46', Romeu , Leilson ,
  • 62', Fabian Fernandez Nizio A. R. , Robinho ,
  • 62', Jackson , Joao Cabral ,
  • 65', Eduardo Melo , Eliedson ,
  • 65', Pedro Cuiaba , Gustavo Nescau ,
  • 66', 1 - 1, Leilson ,
  • 73', Vinicius Guedes , Lorran ,
  • 73', Iago , Petterson ,
  • 74', Carlos Coppetti , Elimar ,
  • 74', Fabricio Oya , Rhuan Silveira ,
  • 76', 2 - 1, Robinho , Joao Cabral (A),
  • 77', Calyson , Gabriel Lima ,
  • 79', Betao 🟨,

Chances of winning


Itabaiana
35.1%
Draw
32.2%
Caxias
32.7%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)
39.9% 29.3% 30.8%

Our Initial ML Estimation

40.4% 29.7% 30.4%


Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

  • Itabaiana has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-4.8%)
  • Caxias has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+1.9%)
  • ML Model estimates a higher probability for Itabaiana than the current prediction. (+5.3%)
  • Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests a strong performance forecast for Itabaiana, possibly due to key factors that the model accounted for.
  • ML Model estimates a lower probability for Caxias than the current prediction. (-2.3%)
  • Itabaiana - Caxias Odds

    1 X 2 Marga
    Avarage Now
    (Initially)
    2.6
    (2.28)
    2.83
    (3.1)
    2.79
    (2.95)
    9.6%
    (10%)

  • The most likely Over/Under: 2.00
  • What is the prediction for Itabaiana - Caxias?
  • High ROI Users Predictions (ROI>2%): 1 high ROI users predict this event. Itabaiana (votes: 1 - 100%).
  • The most likely score by Bookmakers is 1:1.
  • Preview Facts
    • An outsider and one of the leaders will play in this match (ranked 17 in the zone Relegation ~ Serie D and 2 in the zone Promotion ~ Serie C (Second stage: )).
    • Itabaiana has suffered several defeats recently (last 5 games: 0 wins).
    • In recent matches, Caxias has shown inconsistent performance (in the last 5 games, wins – 3).
    • The probability of winning is almost the same for both teams in this match.
    • The teams have not played against each other recently.
    Latest results of Itabaiana
    18.05.2025 Retrô Brasil - Itabaiana 1:0
    12.05.2025 Itabaiana - Figueirense 1:1
    03.05.2025 Tombense - Itabaiana 2:0
    27.04.2025 Itabaiana - São Bernardo 0:1
    19.04.2025 Ypiranga - Itabaiana 3:2
    Latest results of Caxias
    18.05.2025 São Bernardo - Caxias 1:0
    11.05.2025 Caxias - Retrô Brasil 2:1
    05.05.2025 Figueirense - Caxias 2:3
    28.04.2025 Caxias - Guarani 2:0
    20.04.2025 Confiança - Caxias 2:1
    Brazilian Serie C Table
    2025
    PlWDLDiffPts
    1SER Caxias1180321:14724
    2Ponte Preta1172211:7423
    3Ypiranga FC1162311:10120
    4Londrina1155119:10920
    5Nautico1144312:6616
    6CSA1144314:11316
    7Ituano1144312:10216
    8Sao Bernardo1144310:8216
    9Floresta EC114437:8-116
    10Guarani1143410:10015
    11Brusque114349:10-115
    12Maringa FC1135314:14014
    13Figueirense1134414:13113
    14Tombense112548:11-311
    15ABC1118210:13-311
    16Itabaiana113179:14-510
    17Botafogo PB1124510:11-110
    18Anapolis111737:12-510
    19Confianca1123611:17-69
    20Retro112274:14-108

          Promotion ~ Serie C (Second stage: )
          Relegation ~ Serie D

    Which TV channels are streaming of Itabaiana - Caxias?
    It is being streamed on various channels, including:
    brazilBrazilClaro TV+, IT tv Plus, Nosso Futebol+, Sky+, Zapping
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