Result
2:2
09/08/2025 at 12:15 (Time Zone – GMT-4 (America/New_York))
- : HNL - Round 2
- Referee: Lovric Z. (Cro)
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Match Stats
| |
---|
Expected Goals (xG) |
---|
1.58 | 1.27 |
Ball Possession |
---|
56% | 44% |
Total shots |
---|
17 | 13 |
Shots on target |
---|
4 | 5 |
Big Chances |
---|
2 | 2 |
Corner Kicks |
---|
9 | 5 |
Passes |
---|
80% (300/375) | 81% (241/298) |
Yellow Cards |
---|
1 | 2 |
Red Cards |
---|
0 | 1 |
Expected Goals (xG) |
---|
1.58 | 1.27 |
xG on target (xGOT) |
---|
1.37 | 2.31 |
Total shots |
---|
17 | 13 |
Shots on target |
---|
4 | 5 |
Shots off target |
---|
7 | 4 |
Blocked Shots |
---|
6 | 4 |
Shots inside the Box |
---|
10 | 8 |
Shots outside the Box |
---|
7 | 5 |
Hit the Woodwork |
---|
1 | 0 |
Headed Goals |
---|
0 | 1 |
Big Chances |
---|
2 | 2 |
Corner Kicks |
---|
9 | 5 |
Touches in opposition box |
---|
27 | 15 |
Accurate through passes |
---|
2 | 0 |
Offsides |
---|
1 | 1 |
Free Kicks |
---|
14 | 6 |
Passes |
---|
80% (300/375) | 81% (241/298) |
Long passes |
---|
31% (11/35) | 49% (23/47) |
Passes in final third |
---|
71% (98/139) | 70% (48/69) |
Crosses |
---|
19% (5/27) | 24% (4/17) |
Expected assists (xA) |
---|
1.07 | 0.50 |
Throw-ins |
---|
14 | 24 |
Fouls |
---|
7 | 14 |
Tackles |
---|
57% (12/21) | 91% (10/11) |
Duels won |
---|
45 | 29 |
Clearances |
---|
25 | 42 |
Interceptions |
---|
6 | 10 |
Errors leading to shot |
---|
0 | 1 |
Errors leading to goal |
---|
0 | 1 |
Goalkeeper Saves |
---|
3 | 2 |
xGOT faced |
---|
2.31 | 1.37 |
Goals prevented |
---|
0.31 | -0.63 |
Key Moments
Here there are
- 1st Half (0 - 1)
- 8', 0 - 1, Vukovic D. ⚽,
- 42', Pajac M. 🟨,
- 2nd Half (2 - 1)
- 46', Vukovic D. ↓, Gorican S. ↑,
- 46', Situm M. ↓, Godec N. ↑,
- 46', Frederiksen E. ↓, Rozic V. ↑,
- 46', Mauric A. ↓, Ayuma I. ↑,
- 47', 1 - 1, Lawal S. ⚽, Loncar S. (A),
- 65', Stojakovic A. ↓, Subotic M. ↑,
- 72', Loncar S. 🟨,
- 76', Prevljak S. ↓, Bangura S. ↑,
- 77', 2 - 1, Bangura S. ⚽,
- 80', Mbacke D. 🟨,
- 83', Lawal S. ↓, Nasraoui M. ↑,
- 85', Krivak F. ↓, Huskic A. ↑,
- 85', Antolic D. ↓, Susak M. ↑,
- 90', Kolinger D. 🟥,
- 90+2', Loncar S. ↓, Robertsson L. ↑,
- 90+4', 2 - 2, Susak M. ⚽, Pajac M. (A),
Chances of winning
Istra 1961 53% | Draw 27.6% | Lokomotiva Zagreb 19.4% |
Initial Probability
(when we started the analysis)
Our Initial ML Estimation
Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:
Istra 1961 has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+9.5%)Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting increased confidence in Istra 1961's performance.Lokomotiva Zagreb has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-5.3%)Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, and Lokomotiva Zagreb might be facing challenges that affect their performance.ML Model estimates a lower probability for Istra 1961 than the current prediction. (-9.4%)Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests that there may be underlying issues with Istra 1961 that the model has picked up on.ML Model estimates a higher probability for Lokomotiva Zagreb than the current prediction. (+5.2%)Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests that Lokomotiva Zagreb could outperform expectations, possibly based on recent matchups or player stats.
Istra 1961 - Lokomotiva Zagreb Odds
|
1 |
X |
2 |
Marga |
|
Avarage Now (Initially) |
1.87 ↓ (2.16) |
3.5 ↑ (2.95) |
4.78 ↑ (3.81) |
3.1% (6.4%) | |
The most likely Over/Under: 2.50
What is the prediction for Istra 1961 - Lokomotiva Zagreb?
Users Predictions:
13 users predict this event. Istra 1961 will win (votes: 10 - 76.9%). Lokomotiva will win (votes: 1 - 7.7%). It will Tie (votes: 2 - 15.4%).
Confidence interval (95%) for Istra 1961: 54% – 99.8%.High ROI Users Predictions (ROI>2%): Istra 1961 will win (6 of 7 users predict this - 85.71%). The most likely score by Bookmakers is 1:0.
Preview Facts
- In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Istra 1961 won 3.
- Each of the teams is struggling with stability in their game.
- Lokomotiva may have a physical advantage due to more rest days in recent times.
- Recently, Istra 1961 has had a series of home games.
- In this match, Istra 1961 is seen as the favorite.
- There will not play in Lokomotiva: Gorican S.
(Inactive)
Zilinski F.
(Injury)
- There are questionable in Lokomotiva: Leovac M.
(Injury)
- In the last 20 head-to-head matches, Istra 1961 won 6 matches, drew 7 matches, lost 7 matches, and goals 21:30. (average 1.1:1.5).
- Including home matches between the teams, Istra 1961 won 4 matches, drew 4 matches, lost 3 matches, and goals 15:15. (average 1.4:1.4).
How many head-to-head matches has Istra 1961 won against Lokomotiva Zagreb?
Istra 1961 has won 3 of their last 13 head-to-head matches.
How many head-to-head matches has Lokomotiva Zagreb won against Istra 1961?
Lokomotiva Zagreb has won 6 of their last 13 head-to-head matches.
What were the results of their latest head-to-head matches?
The latest head-to-head matches between Istra 1961 - Lokomotiva Zagreb were as follows:
03.05.2025
Lokomotiva Zagreb
-
Istra 1961
0:0
04.03.2025
Istra 1961
-
Lokomotiva Zagreb
3:0
28.02.2025
Istra 1961
-
Lokomotiva Zagreb
3:2
01.12.2024
Lokomotiva Zagreb
-
Istra 1961
1:2
14.09.2024
Istra 1961
-
Lokomotiva Zagreb
0:2
Latest results of Istra 1961
Latest results of Lokomotiva Zagreb
Croatian HNL Table
2025/26 | | Pl | W | D | L | | Diff | Pts |
1 | D. Zagreb | 2 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 5:0 | 5 | 6 |
2 | Rijeka | 2 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 2:0 | 2 | 4 |
3 | Lok. Zagreb | 2 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 3:2 | 1 | 4 |
4 | Hajduk Split | 1 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 2:1 | 1 | 3 |
5 | Varazdin | 1 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 1:1 | 0 | 1 |
6 | Gorica | 1 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 1:1 | 0 | 1 |
7 | Istra 1961 | 2 | 0 | 1 | 1 | 3:4 | -1 | 1 |
8 | Osijek | 2 | 0 | 1 | 1 | 0:2 | -2 | 1 |
9 | Slaven Belupo | 1 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0:2 | -2 | 0 |
10 | Vukovar 1991 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 0:4 | -4 | 0 |
Promotion ~ Champions League (Qualification: )
Promotion ~ Europa League (League phase: )
Promotion ~ Conference League (Qualification: )
Relegation ~ Prva NL
Which TV channels are streaming of Istra 1961 - Lokomotiva Zagreb?
It is being streamed on various channels, including:
| |
---|
Bosnia-and-herzegovina | Arena Sport 1 |
Croatia | MAX Sport 1, MAXtv To Go |