Istra 1961 vs Lokomotiva Zagreb: Where to Watch, Predictions, Stats

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Soccer Croatian HNL Istra 1961 - Lokomotiva Zagreb
Result
2:2
09/08/2025 at 12:15 (Time Zone – GMT-4 (America/New_York))
  • : HNL - Round 2
  • Referee: Lovric Z. (Cro)
Istra 1961 - Lokomotiva Zagreb - Gamble Responsibly 18+
00:00 / 90:00
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Match Stats

Expected Goals (xG)
1.581.27
Ball Possession
56%44%
Total shots
1713
Shots on target
45
Big Chances
22
Corner Kicks
95
Passes
80% (300/375)81% (241/298)
Yellow Cards
12
Red Cards
01
Expected Goals (xG)
1.581.27
xG on target (xGOT)
1.372.31
Total shots
1713
Shots on target
45
Shots off target
74
Blocked Shots
64
Shots inside the Box
108
Shots outside the Box
75
Hit the Woodwork
10
Headed Goals
01
Big Chances
22
Corner Kicks
95
Touches in opposition box
2715
Accurate through passes
20
Offsides
11
Free Kicks
146
Passes
80% (300/375)81% (241/298)
Long passes
31% (11/35)49% (23/47)
Passes in final third
71% (98/139)70% (48/69)
Crosses
19% (5/27)24% (4/17)
Expected assists (xA)
1.070.50
Throw-ins
1424
Fouls
714
Tackles
57% (12/21)91% (10/11)
Duels won
4529
Clearances
2542
Interceptions
610
Errors leading to shot
01
Errors leading to goal
01
Goalkeeper Saves
32
xGOT faced
2.311.37
Goals prevented
0.31-0.63

Key Moments

Here there are
  • 1st Half (0 - 1)
  • 8', 0 - 1, Vukovic D. ,
  • 42', Pajac M. 🟨,
  • 2nd Half (2 - 1)
  • 46', Vukovic D. , Gorican S. ,
  • 46', Situm M. , Godec N. ,
  • 46', Frederiksen E. , Rozic V. ,
  • 46', Mauric A. , Ayuma I. ,
  • 47', 1 - 1, Lawal S. , Loncar S. (A),
  • 65', Stojakovic A. , Subotic M. ,
  • 72', Loncar S. 🟨,
  • 76', Prevljak S. , Bangura S. ,
  • 77', 2 - 1, Bangura S. ,
  • 80', Mbacke D. 🟨,
  • 83', Lawal S. , Nasraoui M. ,
  • 85', Krivak F. , Huskic A. ,
  • 85', Antolic D. , Susak M. ,
  • 90', Kolinger D. 🟥,
  • 90+2', Loncar S. , Robertsson L. ,
  • 90+4', 2 - 2, Susak M. , Pajac M. (A),

Highlights

Chances of winning


Istra 1961
53%
Draw
27.6%
Lokomotiva Zagreb
19.4%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)
43.5% 31.8% 24.7%

Our Initial ML Estimation

43.6% 31.7% 24.6%


Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

  • Istra 1961 has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+9.5%)
  • Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting increased confidence in Istra 1961's performance.
  • Lokomotiva Zagreb has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-5.3%)
  • Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, and Lokomotiva Zagreb might be facing challenges that affect their performance.
  • ML Model estimates a lower probability for Istra 1961 than the current prediction. (-9.4%)
  • Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests that there may be underlying issues with Istra 1961 that the model has picked up on.
  • ML Model estimates a higher probability for Lokomotiva Zagreb than the current prediction. (+5.2%)
  • Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests that Lokomotiva Zagreb could outperform expectations, possibly based on recent matchups or player stats.
  • Istra 1961 - Lokomotiva Zagreb Odds

    1 X 2 Marga
    Avarage Now
    (Initially)
    1.87
    (2.16)
    3.5
    (2.95)
    4.78
    (3.81)
    3.1%
    (6.4%)

  • The most likely Over/Under: 2.50
  • What is the prediction for Istra 1961 - Lokomotiva Zagreb?
  • Users Predictions: 13 users predict this event. Istra 1961 will win (votes: 10 - 76.9%). Lokomotiva will win (votes: 1 - 7.7%). It will Tie (votes: 2 - 15.4%).
    Confidence interval (95%) for Istra 1961: 54%99.8%.
  • High ROI Users Predictions (ROI>2%): Istra 1961 will win (6 of 7 users predict this - 85.71%).
  • The most likely score by Bookmakers is 1:0.
  • Preview Facts
    • In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Istra 1961 won 3.
    • Each of the teams is struggling with stability in their game.
    • Lokomotiva may have a physical advantage due to more rest days in recent times.
    • Recently, Istra 1961 has had a series of home games.
    • In this match, Istra 1961 is seen as the favorite.
    • There will not play in Lokomotiva: Gorican S. (Inactive) Zilinski F. (Injury)
    • There are questionable in Lokomotiva: Leovac M. (Injury)
    • In the last 20 head-to-head matches, Istra 1961 won 6 matches, drew 7 matches, lost 7 matches, and goals 21:30. (average 1.1:1.5).
    • Including home matches between the teams, Istra 1961 won 4 matches, drew 4 matches, lost 3 matches, and goals 15:15. (average 1.4:1.4).
    What were the results of their latest head-to-head matches?
    The latest head-to-head matches between Istra 1961 - Lokomotiva Zagreb were as follows:
    03.05.2025 Lokomotiva Zagreb - Istra 1961 0:0
    04.03.2025 Istra 1961 - Lokomotiva Zagreb 3:0
    28.02.2025 Istra 1961 - Lokomotiva Zagreb 3:2
    01.12.2024 Lokomotiva Zagreb - Istra 1961 1:2
    14.09.2024 Istra 1961 - Lokomotiva Zagreb 0:2
    Latest results of Istra 1961
    03.08.2025 Hajduk Split - Istra 1961 2:1
    26.07.2025 Istra 1961 - Orijent 2:1
    19.07.2025 Istra 1961 - Wolfsberger 0:1
    12.07.2025 Istra 1961 - Slovácko 1:0
    05.07.2025 Istra 1961 - Primorje 3:1
    Latest results of Lokomotiva Zagreb
    Croatian HNL Table
    2025/26
    PlWDLDiffPts
    1D. Zagreb22005:056
    2Rijeka21102:024
    3Lok. Zagreb21103:214
    4Hajduk Split11002:113
    5Varazdin10101:101
    6Gorica10101:101
    7Istra 196120113:4-11
    8Osijek20110:2-21
    9Slaven Belupo10010:2-20
    10Vukovar 199120020:4-40

          Promotion ~ Champions League (Qualification: )
          Promotion ~ Europa League (League phase: )
          Promotion ~ Conference League (Qualification: )
          Relegation ~ Prva NL

    Which TV channels are streaming of Istra 1961 - Lokomotiva Zagreb?
    It is being streamed on various channels, including:
    bosnia-and-herzegovinaBosnia-and-herzegovinaArena Sport 1
    croatiaCroatiaMAX Sport 1, MAXtv To Go
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