Universitatea Craiova vs İstanbul Başakşehir: Where to Watch, Predictions, Stats

Bet nowGamble Responsibly 18+
Soccer UEFA Europa Conference League Universitatea Craiova - İstanbul Başakşehir
Result
3:1
28/08/2025 at 13:30 (Time Zone – GMT-4 (America/New_York))
  • : Conference League - Qualification - Final
  • Referee: Schlager D. (Ger)
Universitatea Craiova - İstanbul Başakşehir - Gamble Responsibly 18+
00:00 / 90:00
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Match Stats

Expected Goals (xG)
1.500.82
Ball Possession
43%57%
Total shots
1410
Shots on target
63
Big Chances
30
Corner Kicks
45
Passes
79% (263/332)86% (369/431)
Yellow Cards
35
Red Cards
01
Expected Goals (xG)
1.500.82
xG on target (xGOT)
2.640.68
Total shots
1410
Shots on target
63
Shots off target
55
Blocked Shots
32
Shots inside the Box
117
Shots outside the Box
33
Hit the Woodwork
00
Headed Goals
01
Big Chances
30
Corner Kicks
45
Touches in opposition box
2819
Accurate through passes
00
Offsides
20
Free Kicks
1714
Passes
79% (263/332)86% (369/431)
Long passes
51% (33/65)64% (30/47)
Passes in final third
64% (50/78)70% (73/105)
Crosses
43% (3/7)28% (7/25)
Expected assists (xA)
1.171.04
Throw-ins
1821
Fouls
1517
Tackles
65% (11/17)67% (10/15)
Duels won
4553
Clearances
2715
Interceptions
512
Errors leading to shot
00
Errors leading to goal
00
Goalkeeper Saves
23
xGOT faced
0.682.64
Goals prevented
-0.32-0.36

Key Moments

Here there are
  • 1st Half (2 - 1)
  • 7', 0 - 1, Selke D. , Operi C. (A),
  • 9', 1 - 1, Cicaldau A. , Bancu N. (A),
  • 20', Baluta T. 🟨,
  • 27', 2 - 1, Baiaram S. , Bancu N. (A),
  • 2nd Half (1 - 0)
  • 46', Crespo M. , Kemen O. ,
  • 47', Turuc D. 🟨,
  • 54', Shomurodov E. 🟨,
  • 54', Selke D. 🟨,
  • 54', Badelj J. 🟨,
  • 63', Ergun O. , Fayzullaev A. ,
  • 63', Ozdemir B. , Gunes U. ,
  • 63', Bancu N. 🟨,
  • 73', Selke D. , Da Costa N. ,
  • 77', Baiaram S. , Nsimba S. ,
  • 77', Cicaldau A. , Mekvabishvili A. ,
  • 80', Operi C. 🟨,
  • 80', Operi C. 🟨,
  • 81', Brnic I. , Sari Y. ,
  • 81', 3 - 1, Nsimba S. , Mekvabishvili A. (A),
  • 90+1', Gunes U. 🟨,
  • 90+2', Teles , Cretu A. ,
  • 90+4', Baluta T. , Houri L. ,

Highlights

Chances of winning


Universitatea Craiova
33.2%
Draw
27.4%
İstanbul Başakşehir
39.4%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)
31.5% 29.1% 39.3%

Our Initial ML Estimation

30.8% 29.8% 40.2%


Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

  • Universitatea Craiova has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+1.7%)
  • İstanbul Başakşehir has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+0.1%)
  • ML Model estimates a lower probability for Universitatea Craiova than the current prediction. (-2.4%)
  • ML Model estimates a higher probability for İstanbul Başakşehir than the current prediction. (+0.8%)
  • Universitatea Craiova - İstanbul Başakşehir Odds

    1 X 2 Marga
    Avarage Now
    (Initially)
    2.77
    (2.88)
    3.43
    (3.12)
    2.37
    (2.31)
    7.4%
    (10.1%)

    • The most likely Over/Under: 2.50
    What is the prediction for Universitatea Craiova - İstanbul Başakşehir?
  • Users Predictions: 25 users predict this event. Uni Craiova will win (votes: 9 - 36%). Başakşehir will win (votes: 11 - 44%). It will Tie (votes: 5 - 20%).
    Confidence interval (95%) for Başakşehir: 24.5%63.5%.
  • High ROI Users Predictions (ROI>2%): 4 high ROI users predict this event. Uni Craiova (votes: 1 - 25%). Başakşehir (votes: 1 - 25%). Tie (votes: 2 - 50%).
  • The most likely score by Bookmakers is 1:1.
  • Preview Facts
    • 1st leg result: 2-1. 2nd leg.
    • Uni Craiova is in very good shape right now (last 5 games: 4 wins).
    • Başakşehir's form has been unstable in recent games (in the last 5 games, wins – 2).
    • Başakşehir may have a physical advantage due to more rest days in recent times.
    • Recently, Başakşehir has had a series of home games.
    • The chances of victory for both teams are nearly identical in this match.
    • In the last 1 head-to-head match, Uni Craiova won 1 match, drew 0 matches, lost 0 matches, and goals 2:1.
    What were the results of their latest head-to-head matches?
    The latest head-to-head matches between Universitatea Craiova - İstanbul Başakşehir were as follows:
    21.08.2025 İstanbul Başakşehir - Universitatea Craiova 1:2
    UEFA Europa Conference League Table
    League phase
    PlWDLDiffPts
    1Zrinjski11005:053
    2AEK Larnaca11004:043
    3Sparta Prague11004:133
    4Lech Poznan11004:133
    5Lausanne11003:033
    6Celje11003:123
    7Crystal Palace11002:023
    8Rayo Vallecano11002:023
    9Fiorentina11002:023
    10Rakow11002:023
    11Shakhtar Donetsk11003:213
    12Strasbourg11002:113
    13Mainz11001:013
    14Samsunspor11001:013
    15Jagiellonia11001:013
    16Noah11001:013
    17Drita10101:101
    18KuPS10101:101
    19Hacken10100:001
    20Shelbourne10100:001
    21Aberdeen10012:3-10
    22Slovan Bratislava10011:2-10
    23Rijeka10010:1-10
    24Omonia10010:1-10
    25Legia10010:1-10
    26Hamrun10010:1-10
    27AEK Athens FC10011:3-20
    28Sigma Olomouc10010:2-20
    29Dyn. Kyiv10010:2-20
    30Shkendija10010:2-20
    31Univ. Craiova10010:2-20
    32SK Rapid10011:4-30
    33Shamrock Rovers10011:4-30
    34Breidablik10010:3-30
    35AZ Alkmaar10010:4-40
    36Lincoln Red Imps10010:5-50

          Promotion ~ Conference League (Play Offs: 1/8~finals)
          Promotion ~ Conference League (Play Offs: 1/16~finals)

    Which TV channels are streaming of Universitatea Craiova - İstanbul Başakşehir?
    It is being streamed on various channels, including:
    romaniaRomaniaDigi Sport 1, Orange TV Go, Prima Sport 1, Prima TV
    turkeyTurkeyTabii, TRT 1
    uzbekistanUzbekistanZor TV
    worldWorldOnefootball
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