İstanbul Başakşehir vs Heidenheim: Where to Watch, Predictions, Stats

Bet nowGamble Responsibly 18+
Soccer UEFA Europa Conference League İstanbul Başakşehir - Heidenheim
Result
3:1
12/12/2024 at 12:45 (Time Zone – GMT-5 (America/New_York))
  • EUROPE: Conference League - League phase - Round 5
  • Referee: Guida M. (Ita)
İstanbul Başakşehir - Heidenheim - Gamble Responsibly 18+
00:00 / 90:00
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Match Stats

Expected Goals (xG)
1.511.38
Ball Possession
41%59%
Goal Attempts
1116
Shots on Goal
64
Shots off Goal
33
Blocked Shots
29
Big Chances
31
Corner Kicks
96
Shots inside the Box
99
Shots outside the Box
27
Hit the Woodwork
01
Goalkeeper Saves
33
Free Kicks
1512
Offsides
00
Fouls
1215
Yellow Cards
13
Throw-ins
1427
Touches in the Opposition Box
2713
Passes
75% (247/331)81% (381/472)
Passes in the final third
62% (61/98)70% (76/108)
Crosses
30% (6/20)26% (6/23)
Tackles
67% (10/15)80% (16/20)
Clearances Total
2020
Interceptions
810

Key Moments

Here there are
  • 1st Half (2 - 0)
  • 6', 1 - 0, Turuc D. , Piatek K. (A),
  • 18', 2 - 0, Crespo M. , Kemen O. (A),
  • 24', Ergun O. , Ozdemir B. ,
  • 30', Breunig M. , Honsak M. ,
  • 30', Wanner P. , Schoppner J. ,
  • 45+1', Maloney L. 🟨,
  • 2nd Half (1 - 1)
  • 61', 2 - 1, Honsak M. ,
  • 62', Scienza L. , Negele C. ,
  • 62', Maloney L. , Fohrenbach J. ,
  • 68', 3 - 1, Piatek K. , Crespo M. (A),
  • 72', Busch M. , Traore O. H. ,
  • 73', Piatek K. 🟨,
  • 73', Schoppner J. 🟨,
  • 74', Turuc D. , Keny P. P. ,
  • 86', Piatek K. , Pelkas D. ,
  • 86', Davidson , Kaplan E. ,
  • 90+2', Eicher V. 🟨,

Chances of winning


İstanbul Başakşehir
41.7%
Draw
27.4%
Heidenheim
30.9%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)
34% 26.9% 39.1%

Our Initial ML Estimation

36.2% 25.3% 36.7%


Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

  • İstanbul Başakşehir has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+7.7%)
  • Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting increased confidence in İstanbul Başakşehir's performance.
  • Heidenheim has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-8.2%)
  • Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, and Heidenheim might be facing challenges that affect their performance.
  • ML Model estimates a lower probability for İstanbul Başakşehir than the current prediction. (-5.5%)
  • Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests that there may be underlying issues with İstanbul Başakşehir that the model has picked up on.
  • ML Model estimates a higher probability for Heidenheim than the current prediction. (+5.8%)
  • Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests that Heidenheim could outperform expectations, possibly based on recent matchups or player stats.
  • İstanbul Başakşehir - Heidenheim Odds

    1 X 2 Marga
    Avarage Now
    (Initially)
    2.25
    (2.65)
    3.42
    (3.35)
    3.05
    (2.3)
    6.4%
    (11.1%)

  • The most likely Over/Under: 2.50
  • What is the prediction for İstanbul Başakşehir - Heidenheim?
  • Users Predictions: 23 users predict this event. Başakşehir will win (votes: 11 - 47.8%). Heidenheim will win (votes: 8 - 34.8%). It will Tie (votes: 4 - 17.4%).
    Confidence interval (95%) for Başakşehir: 27.4%68.2%.
  • The most likely score by Bookmakers is 1:1.
  • Preview Facts
    • Recent matches Başakşehir is playing mutable (in the last 5 games wins - 2).
    • Heidenheim has a line of defeats in latest matches (in the last 5 games wins - 0).
    • Heidenheim could have problems with physics compare with it opponent - last days they played more matches than their opponents.
    • Recently Başakşehir have a series of home games.
    • The possibility to win in this match is almost balanced for both teams.
    • There will not play in Başakşehir: Ba O. (Yellow Cards)
    • There will not play in Heidenheim: Janes L. (Shoulder Injury) Kaufmann M. (Ankle Injury) Niehues J. (Knee Injury) Pieringer M. (Achilles Tendon Injury)
    • There are questionable in Başakşehir: Beyaz O. (Injury) Gurler S. (Injury) Sahiner O. (Injury)
    • Last 1 head-to-head matches Başakşehir won 1 matches, drawn 0 matches, lost 0 matches and goals 1:0
    Latest results of İstanbul Başakşehir
    Latest results of Heidenheim
    Draw
    2025/26

    1/8-finals
    1BuducnostBye
    2ByeMilsami
    4ByeVirtus
    5VikingurBye
    7ZalgirisBye
    8ByeLinfield
    9TNSBye
    10ByeDifferdange
    11LevadiaBye
    12ByeIberia 1999
    13O. LjubljanaBye
    14ByeInter Escaldes
    15Din. MinskBye
    16ByeEgnatia
    17DecicSileks1 : 2, 2 : 0
    18ByeSK Rapid
    19Dundee UtdBye
    20ByeUNA Strassen
    21AktobeBye
    22ByeSparta Prague
    23Ararat-ArmeniaBye
    24ByeU. Cluj
    25IlvesBye
    26ByeAZ Alkmaar
    27VaduzBye
    28ByeDungannon
    33Radnicki 1923Bye
    34SJKKlaksvik0 : 2, 1 : 2
    35KosiceBye
    36UrartuNeman0 : 4, 1 : 2
    37Riga FCBye
    38Racing LuxembourgDila Gori0 : 1, 1 : 2
    39SutjeskaDynamo Brest2 : 0, 1 : 2
    40ByeBeitar Jerusalem
    41VllazniaBFC Daugavpils4 : 2, 0 : 1
    42MalishevaVikingur Reykjavik0 : 8, 0 : 1
    43HB TorshavnBye
    44ByeBrondby
    45ZiraBye
    46ByeHajduk Split
    47Atletic EscaldesDudelange3 : 2, 2 : 0
    48ByeDinamo Tirana
    53La FioritaVardar2 : 2, 0 : 3
    54ByeLausanne
    55Zimbru ChisinauBye
    56ByeFC Astana
    57LarneAuda3 : 2, 0 : 0
    58ByePrishtina
    59VarazdinBye
    60ByeSanta Clara
    61ArisBye
    62ByePuskas Academy
    63AEK Athens FCBye
    64ByeH. Beer Sheva
    65VikingBye
    66ZeljeznicarKoper1 : 3, 1 : 1
    67Cherno MoreBye
    68ByeBasaksehir
    69ArazBye
    70ByeAris
    71OmoniaBye
    72Torpedo KutaisiOrdabasy1 : 1, 4 : 3
    73FC BallkaniBye
    74FlorianaHaverfordwest3 : 2, 2 : 1
    75St JosephsCliftonville3 : 2, 2 : 2
    76ByeShamrock Rovers
    77RakowBye
    78ByeZilina
    79ZhodinoRabotnicki1 : 0, 3 : 0
    80ByeMaccabi Haifa
    81AIKBye
    82MagpiesPaide1 : 4, 2 : 3
    83Tre FioriPyunik Yerevan0 : 5, 1 : 0
    84ByeGyor
    85FK SarajevoBye
    86ByeUniv. Craiova
    87HiberniansBye
    88ByeTrnava
    89Polissya ZhytomyrBye
    90Borac Banja LukaFC Santa Coloma2 : 0, 1 : 4
    91PaksBye
    92ByeMaribor
    95BirkirkaraPetrocub0 : 3, 1 : 0
    96ByeSabah Baku
    97SilkeborgBye
    98ByeKA Akureyri
    99Novi PazarBye
    100ByeJagiellonia
    101OleksandriyaBye
    102ByePartizan
    107Austria ViennaBye
    108ByeSpaeri
    109RosenborgBye
    110ByeBanga
    111HammarbyBye
    112ByeCharleroi
    113St. PatricksHegelmann2 : 0, 1 : 0
    114KaljuPartizani1 : 0, 1 : 1
    117Kauno ZalgirisPenybont1 : 1, 3 : 0
    118ValurFlora2 : 1, 3 : 0
    119ArdaBye
    120NSI RunavikHJK0 : 5, 4 : 0

    Quarter-finals
    1BuducnostMilsami
    2ByeVirtus
    3VikingurBye
    4ZalgirisLinfield
    5TNSDifferdange
    6LevadiaIberia 1999
    7O. LjubljanaInter Escaldes
    8Din. MinskEgnatia
    9DecicSK Rapid
    10Dundee UtdUNA Strassen
    11AktobeSparta Prague
    12Ararat-ArmeniaU. Cluj
    13IlvesAZ Alkmaar
    14VaduzDungannon
    17Radnicki 1923Klaksvik
    18KosiceNeman
    19Riga FCDila Gori
    20SutjeskaBeitar Jerusalem
    21VllazniaVikingur Reykjavik
    22HB TorshavnBrondby
    23ZiraHajduk Split
    24Atletic EscaldesDinamo Tirana
    27VardarLausanne
    28Zimbru ChisinauFC Astana
    29LarnePrishtina
    30VarazdinSanta Clara
    31ArisPuskas Academy
    32AEK Athens FCH. Beer Sheva
    33VikingKoper
    34Cherno MoreBasaksehir
    35ArazAris
    36OmoniaTorpedo Kutaisi
    37FC BallkaniFloriana
    38St JosephsShamrock Rovers
    39RakowZilina
    40ZhodinoMaccabi Haifa
    41AIKPaide
    42Pyunik YerevanGyor
    43FK SarajevoUniv. Craiova
    44HiberniansTrnava
    45Polissya ZhytomyrFC Santa Coloma
    46PaksMaribor
    48PetrocubSabah Baku
    49SilkeborgKA Akureyri
    50Novi PazarJagiellonia
    51OleksandriyaPartizan
    54Austria ViennaSpaeri
    55RosenborgBanga
    56HammarbyCharleroi
    57St. PatricksKalju
    59Kauno ZalgirisValur
    60ArdaHJK

    Semi-finals
    1TBD #1Virtus
    2VikingurTBD #4
    3TBD #5TBD #6
    4TBD #7TBD #8
    5TBD #9TBD #10
    6TBD #11TBD #12
    7TBD #13TBD #14
    9TBD #17TBD #18
    10TBD #19TBD #20
    11TBD #21TBD #22
    12TBD #23TBD #24
    14TBD #27TBD #28
    15TBD #29TBD #30
    16TBD #31TBD #32
    17TBD #33TBD #34
    18TBD #35TBD #36
    19TBD #37TBD #38
    20TBD #39TBD #40
    21TBD #41TBD #42
    22TBD #43TBD #44
    23TBD #45TBD #46
    24ByeTBD #48
    25TBD #49TBD #50
    26TBD #51Bye
    27ByeTBD #54
    28TBD #55TBD #56
    29TBD #57Bye
    30TBD #59TBD #60
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