Galatasaray vs İstanbul Başakşehir: Where to Watch, Predictions, Stats

Bet nowGamble Responsibly 18+
Soccer Turkish Super League Galatasaray - İstanbul Başakşehir
Result
2:0
30/05/2025 at 13:00 (Time Zone – GMT-4 (America/New_York))
  • : Super Lig - Round 38
  • Referee: Taskinsoy A. B. (Tur)
Galatasaray - İstanbul Başakşehir - Gamble Responsibly 18+
00:00 / 90:00
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Match Stats

Expected Goals (xG)
3.041.24
Ball Possession
59%41%
Total shots
209
Shots on target
91
Big Chances
52
Corner Kicks
43
Passes
86% (396/462)82% (259/314)
Yellow Cards
11
Expected Goals (xG)
3.041.24
xG on target (xGOT)
2.000.22
Total shots
209
Shots on target
91
Shots off target
86
Blocked Shots
32
Shots inside the Box
157
Shots outside the Box
52
Hit the Woodwork
00
Headed Goals
10
Big Chances
52
Corner Kicks
43
Touches in opposition box
3216
Accurate through passes
00
Offsides
17
Free Kicks
1216
Passes
86% (396/462)82% (259/314)
Long passes
50% (24/48)51% (26/51)
Passes in final third
74% (90/121)61% (38/62)
Crosses
29% (5/17)25% (3/12)
Expected assists (xA)
1.041.05
Throw-ins
713
Fouls
1612
Tackles
53% (9/17)50% (5/10)
Duels won
4144
Clearances
1417
Interceptions
510
Errors leading to shot
00
Errors leading to goal
00
Goalkeeper Saves
17
xGOT faced
0.222.00
Goals prevented
0.220.00

Key Moments

Here there are
  • 1st Half (1 - 0)
  • 17', 1 - 0, Mertens D. (Pen),
  • 28', Ba O. 🟨,
  • 45+2', Osimhen V. 🟨,
  • 2nd Half (1 - 0)
  • 46', Ba O. , Turuc D. ,
  • 63', Frankowski P. , Jelert E. ,
  • 69', Sahiner O. , Kemen O. ,
  • 78', Sanchez D. , Baltaci M. ,
  • 79', Mertens D. , Sallai R. ,
  • 81', 2 - 0, Osimhen V. , Ayhan K. (A),
  • 86', Sari Y. , Ebosele F. ,
  • 86', Gunes U. , Beyaz O. ,
  • 87', Osimhen V. , Akman E. ,
  • 88', Muslera F. , Guvenc G. ,

Highlights

Chances of winning


Galatasaray
63.7%
Draw
18.5%
İstanbul Başakşehir
17.8%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)
64.5% 17.7% 17.8%

Our Initial ML Estimation

68.1% 16.8% 16.9%


Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

  • Galatasaray has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-0.8%)
  • The chances for İstanbul Başakşehir have remained the same compared to the initial analysis.
  • ML Model estimates a higher probability for Galatasaray than the current prediction. (+4.4%)
  • ML Model estimates a lower probability for İstanbul Başakşehir than the current prediction. (-0.9%)
  • Galatasaray - İstanbul Başakşehir Odds

    1 X 2 Marga
    Avarage Now
    (Initially)
    1.47
    (1.45)
    5.01
    (5.3)
    5.37
    (5.25)
    6.4%
    (6.9%)

  • The most likely Over/Under: 3.75
  • What is the prediction for Galatasaray - İstanbul Başakşehir?
  • Users Predictions: 27 users predict this event. Galatasaray will win (votes: 22 - 81.5%). Başakşehir will win (votes: 2 - 7.4%). It will Tie (votes: 3 - 11.1%).
    Confidence interval (95%) for Galatasaray: 66.9%96.1%.
  • High ROI Users Predictions (ROI>2%): 7 high ROI users predict this event. Galatasaray (votes: 5 - 71.4%). Başakşehir (votes: 1 - 14.3%). Tie (votes: 1 - 14.3%).
  • Over/Under & Asian Handicap Predictions by High ROI users:
    • BTS - yes (votes: 3 - 75%).
    • AH -1 - Galatasaray (votes: 4 - 80%).
    • AH -0.5 - Başakşehir (votes: 3 - 100%).
    • AH -0.75 - Başakşehir (votes: 3 - 100%).
  • The most likely score by Bookmakers is 2:1.
  • Preview Facts
    • Galatasaray is Confirmed as championsnQualified for Champions League (League phase )
    • Başakşehir is Qualified for Conference League (Qualification )
    • In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Galatasaray won 4.
    • Galatasaray has been on a winning streak and is in great shape (last 5 games: 5 wins).
    • Başakşehir has been playing with ups and downs recently (in the last 5 games, wins – 2).
    • In this match, Galatasaray is considered a favorite.
    • There will not play in Galatasaray: Akgun Y. (Inactive) Icardi M. (Knee Injury) Osimhen V. (Inactive) Torreira L. (Inactive) Yilmaz B. A. (Inactive)
    • There are questionable in Galatasaray: Bardakci A. (Injury)
    • We predict that Galatasaray will win today's game, with odds of 1.48.
    • In the last 20 head-to-head matches, Galatasaray won 10 matches, drew 5 matches, lost 5 matches, and goals 34:23. (average 1.7:1.2).
    • Including home matches between the teams, Galatasaray won 6 matches, drew 2 matches, lost 2 matches, and goals 17:8. (average 1.7:0.8).
    What were the results of their latest head-to-head matches?
    The latest head-to-head matches between Galatasaray - İstanbul Başakşehir were as follows:
    12.01.2025 İstanbul Başakşehir - Galatasaray 1:2
    08.01.2025 Galatasaray - İstanbul Başakşehir 2:2
    10.02.2024 Galatasaray - İstanbul Başakşehir 2:0
    23.09.2023 İstanbul Başakşehir - Galatasaray 1:2
    08.05.2023 Galatasaray - İstanbul Başakşehir 1:0
    Latest results of Galatasaray
    24.05.2025 Göztepe - Galatasaray 0:2
    18.05.2025 Galatasaray - Kayserispor 3:0
    14.05.2025 Trabzonspor - Galatasaray 0:3
    10.05.2025 Trabzonspor - Galatasaray 0:2
    03.05.2025 Galatasaray - Sivasspor 4:1
    Latest results of İstanbul Başakşehir
    Turkish Super League Table
    2024/25
    PlWDLDiffPts
    1Galatasaray36305191:316095
    2Fenerbahce36266490:395184
    3Samsunspor361971055:411464
    4Besiktas361711859:362362
    5Basaksehir361661460:56454
    6Eyupspor361581352:47553
    7Trabzonspor3613121158:451351
    8Goztepe3613111259:50950
    9Rizespor361541752:58-649
    10Kasimpasa3611141162:63-147
    11Konyaspor361371645:50-546
    12Alanyaspor361291543:50-745
    13Kayserispor3611121345:57-1245
    14Gaziantep361291545:50-545
    15Antalyaspor361281637:62-2544
    16Bodrumspor369101726:43-1737
    17Sivasspor36981944:60-1635
    18Hatayspor36682247:74-2726
    19Adana Demirspor36352834:92-582

          Promotion ~ Champions League (League phase: )
          Promotion ~ Champions League (Qualification: )
          Promotion ~ Europa League (Qualification: )
          Promotion ~ Conference League (Qualification: )
          Relegation ~ 1. Lig

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