Japan vs Ireland, Nations Championship Rugby: Where to Watch, Predictions, Stats

Bet nowGamble Responsibly 18+
Result
20:36
11/07/2026 at 06:10 (Time Zone – GMT-4 (America/New_York))
  • : Nations Championship - Round 2
Japan - Ireland - Gamble Responsibly 18+
00:00 / 90:00
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Match Stats

Tries
25
Conversion goals
24
Conversion goal attempts
25
Penalty goals
21
Penalty goal attempts
31
Goals %
8083
Dropped goals
00
Total runs
96129
Metres run with ball
256405
Yellow cards
10

Key Moments

Here there are
  • 1st Half (13 - 19)
  • 3', Taira M. (Try),
  • 4', Matsunaga T. (Conversion Goal),
  • 8', Timoney N. (Try),
  • 9', Frawley C. (Conversion Goal),
  • 17', Matsunaga T. (Penalty Goal),
  • 20', O'Toole T. (Try),
  • 21', Frawley C. (Missed Conversion),
  • 27', Matsunaga T. (Penalty Goal),
  • 31', Hirose Y. , Costley T. ,
  • 34', Henshaw R. (Try),
  • 34', Frawley C. (Conversion Goal),
  • 40', Riley D. , Greene S. ,
  • 2nd Half (7 - 17)
  • 47', McCloskey S. , Aki B. ,
  • 47', Harada M. , Hayate E. ,
  • 47', Clarkson T. , Illo S. ,
  • 50', Jansen S. (Try),
  • 50', Frawley C. (Conversion Goal),
  • 51', Shimokawa K. , Leitch M. ,
  • 52', Hockings H. , Stolberg M. ,
  • 53', Shuhei T. , Tamefusa K. ,
  • 53', Okabe T. , Otsuka S. ,
  • 54', O'Toole T. , Bohan B. ,
  • 58', Hayate E. (Try),
  • 59', Matsunaga T. (Conversion Goal),
  • 59', Stockdale J. , Byrne H. ,
  • 59', Kelleher R. , Stewart T. ,
  • 61', Jansen S. , Ward B. ,
  • 61', Conan J. , Izuchukwu C. ,
  • 70', Casey C. , Doak N. ,
  • 71', Byrne H. (Penalty Goal),
  • 72', Saito N. , Kamimura I. ,
  • 77', Hayate E. 🟨,
  • 79', Okabe T. , Harada M. ,
  • 79', Stewart T. (Try),
  • 80', Byrne H. (Conversion Goal),

Chances of winning


Japan
11.2%
Draw
3.4%
Ireland
85.4%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)
9.3% 2.5% 88.2%


Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

  • Japan has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+1.9%)
  • Ireland has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-2.8%)
  • Japan - Ireland Odds

    1 X 2 Marga
    Avarage Now
    (Initially)
    8.17
    (10.08)
    26.71
    (37.33)
    1.07
    (1.06)
    9.4%
    (6.9%)

    • The most likely Over/Under: 62.50
    • The most likely Handicap: 2 (-20)
    What is the prediction for Japan - Ireland?
    • Verified Performance Core (Selected Experts): 1 Selected Experts predict this event. Japan (votes: 1 - 100%).
    • Over/Under & Asian Handicap Predictions by Selected Experts:
      • AH -19.5 - Ireland (2.03) (votes: 1 - 100%) .
    • Overall Expert Consensus (including all markets): 2 Selected Experts predict this event. Japan (votes: 1 - 50%). Ireland (votes: 1 - 50%).
    • The most likely score by Bookmakers is 21:41.
    Preview Facts
    • Neutral location - McDonald Jones Stadium.
    • In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Japan won 1.
    • In this match, Ireland is the clear favorite.
    • In the last 6 head-to-head matches, Japan won 1 match, drew 0 matches, lost 5 matches, and goals 100:237. (average 16.7:39.5).
    What were the results of their latest head-to-head matches?
    The latest head-to-head matches between Japan - Ireland were as follows:
    08.11.2025 Ireland - Japan 41:10
    Latest results of Japan
    04.07.2026 Japan - Italy 27:10
    22.11.2025 Georgia - Japan 23:25
    15.11.2025 Wales - Japan 24:23
    08.11.2025 Ireland - Japan 41:10
    01.11.2025 South Africa - Japan 61:7
    Latest results of Ireland
    04.07.2026 Australia - Ireland 31:33
    14.03.2026 Ireland - Scotland 43:21
    06.03.2026 Ireland - Wales 27:17
    21.02.2026 England - Ireland 21:42
    14.02.2026 Ireland - Italy 20:13
    Which TV channels are streaming of Japan - Ireland?
    It is being streamed on various channels, including:
    africaAfricaSuperSport Rugby
    asiaAsiaPremier Sports Rugby Asia
    australiaAustraliaStan Sport
    czech-republicCzech-republicNova Sport 1, Oneplay
    irelandIrelandVirgin Media One, Virgin Media Player
    italyItalySKY Go Italia, Sky Sport Arena
    new-zealandNew-zealandSky Sport 1
    nigeriaNigeriaSuperSport Rugby
    portugalPortugalSport TV2
    romaniaRomaniaDigi Sport 2
    slovakiaSlovakiaNova Sport 1, Voyo
    south-africaSouth-africaSuperSport Rugby
    united-kingdomUnited-kingdomITV 1, ITV X, STV, STV Player, UTV, Virgin TV Go app
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