Result
5:6 penalties
07/09/2025 at 04:00 (Time Zone – GMT-4 (America/New_York))
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Key Moments
Here there are
- 1st Period (2 - 2)
- 00:15, 1 - 0, Faizov A. (G), Khusainov R. (A), Akhsyanov B. (A2)
- 02:47, 2 - 0, Khusainov R. (G),
- 04:06, 2 - 1, Gimayev S. (G), Buzayev K. (A),
- 13:01, 2 - 2, Kalimullin A. (G), Gayev V. (A), Buzayev K. (A2)
- 2nd Period (2 - 2)
- 09:47, 2 - 3, Kalimullin A. (G), Kolomytsev I. (A),
- 12:43, 3 - 3, Akhsyanov B. (G), Faizov A. (A),
- 13:40, 4 - 3, Shaykhlislamov A. (G), Kireyev R. (A), Khafzetdinov A. (A2)
- 16:52, 4 - 4, Sakhapov T. (G), Gayev V. (A),
- 3rd Period (1 - 1)
- 02:33, 5 - 4, Ilyichyov M. (G), Akhsyanov B. (A), Faizov A. (A2)
- 12:09, 5 - 5, Sakhapov T. (G), Fazlov M. (A),
- Overtime (0 - 0)
- Penalties (1 - 2)
- 1, Buzayev K. (Penalty Shot),
- 1, Adamyan A. (Penalty Shot),
- 2, Sakhapov T. (Penalty Shot),
- 2, Ilyichyov M. (Penalty Shot),
- 3, Kolomytsev I. (Penalty Shot),
- 3, Buzdyganov V. (Penalty Shot),
Chances of winning
Tolpar
46.4% | Draw
21.3% | Irbis Kazan
32.3% |
Initial Probability
(when we started the analysis)
Our Initial ML Estimation
Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:
Tolpar has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+6.5%)Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting increased confidence in Tolpar's performance.Irbis Kazan has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-7.6%)Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, and Irbis Kazan might be facing challenges that affect their performance.ML Model estimates a lower probability for Tolpar than the current prediction. (-5.6%)Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests that there may be underlying issues with Tolpar that the model has picked up on.ML Model estimates a higher probability for Irbis Kazan than the current prediction. (+6.7%)Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests that Irbis Kazan could outperform expectations, possibly based on recent matchups or player stats.
Tolpar - Irbis Kazan Odds
|
1 |
X |
2 |
Marga |
|
Avarage Now
(Initially) |
2.04 ↓
(2.33) |
4.44 ↓
(4.6) |
2.93 ↑
(2.33) |
5.6%
(7.6%) | |
The most likely Over/Under: 5.75
Preview Facts
- In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Tolpar won 3.
- In recent matches, Tolpar has shown inconsistent form (last 5 games: 3 wins).
- Irbis is in great form at the moment (in the last 5 games, wins – 4).
- Tolpar may face physical challenges compared to their opponent, as they have played more matches in recent days.
- Recently, the opponents have had a series of home games.
- In this match, both teams are almost equally likely to win.
- In the last 20 head-to-head matches, Tolpar won 7 matches, drew 0 matches, lost 13 matches, and goals 52:64. (average 2.6:3.2).
- Including home matches between the teams, Tolpar won 6 matches, drew 0 matches, lost 4 matches, and goals 30:22. (average 3:2.2).
How many head-to-head matches has Tolpar won against Irbis Kazan?
Tolpar has won 4 of their last 12 head-to-head matches.
How many head-to-head matches has Irbis Kazan won against Tolpar?
Irbis Kazan has won 8 of their last 12 head-to-head matches.
What were the results of their latest head-to-head matches?
The latest head-to-head matches between Tolpar - Irbis Kazan were as follows:
06.09.2025
Tolpar
-
Irbis Kazan
3:4
14.08.2025
Irbis Kazan
-
Tolpar
4:6
28.12.2024
Tolpar
-
Irbis Kazan
4:1
09.12.2024
Irbis Kazan
-
Tolpar
4:3
29.12.2023
Tolpar
-
Irbis Kazan
5:4
Latest results of Irbis Kazan
MHL Table
2025/26Western Conference - Gold Division | | Pl | W | WO | LO | L | | Pts |
| 1 | Krasnaya Armiya | 4 | 3 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 16:8 | 7 |
| 2 | Dyn. Moscow | 3 | 3 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 12:2 | 6 |
| 3 | Dinamo-Shinnik | 2 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 7:2 | 4 |
| 4 | MHC Spartak | 3 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 11:10 | 4 |
| 5 | Loko | 2 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 9:2 | 4 |
| 6 | SKA-1946 | 4 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 2 | 14:14 | 4 |
| 7 | Din. St. Petersburg | 4 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 3 | 10:14 | 2 |
| 8 | Mikhaylov Academy U20 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 1 | 2:9 | 1 |
| 9 | Almaz | 2 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 1:5 | 0 |
Western Conference - Silver Division | | Pl | W | WO | LO | L | | Pts |
| 1 | Amurskie Tigry | 4 | 3 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 12:6 | 6 |
| 2 | SKA-Akademiya | 4 | 3 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 10:6 | 6 |
| 3 | JHC Spartak MAH | 2 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 9:6 | 4 |
| 4 | Krylya Sovetov | 2 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 6:3 | 4 |
| 5 | Tayfun | 3 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 1 | 8:10 | 3 |
| 6 | AKM-Junior | 2 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 5:7 | 2 |
| 7 | Dinamo Karelia | 4 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 3 | 7:14 | 2 |
| 8 | Kapitan | 2 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 6:9 | 0 |
| 9 | Sakhalinskie Akuly | 3 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 3 | 2:8 | 0 |
| 10 | Red Mashine | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 1:7 | 0 |
| 11 | Atlant | 3 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 3 | 4:12 | 0 |
Eastern Conference - Gold Division | | Pl | W | WO | LO | L | | Pts |
| 1 | Omskie Yastreby | 4 | 4 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 26:3 | 8 |
| 2 | Stalnye Lisy | 3 | 3 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 13:6 | 6 |
| 3 | Avto | 4 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 16:22 | 4 |
| 4 | Irbis | 3 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 12:12 | 4 |
| 5 | Tolpar | 4 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 2 | 15:15 | 3 |
| 6 | Mamonty Yugry | 1 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 3:0 | 2 |
| 7 | Chaika | 4 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 3 | 9:16 | 2 |
| 8 | Belye Medvedi | 4 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 3 | 8:15 | 2 |
| 9 | Kuznetskie Medvedi | 4 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 3 | 11:21 | 2 |
Eastern Conference - Silver Division | | Pl | W | WO | LO | L | | Pts |
| 1 | Sibirskie Snaipery | 4 | 4 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 22:5 | 8 |
| 2 | Molot Perm | 3 | 2 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 13:9 | 6 |
| 3 | AKM-Novomoskovsk | 4 | 2 | 0 | 1 | 1 | 20:11 | 5 |
| 4 | Ladya | 3 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 10:6 | 4 |
| 5 | Krasnoyarskie Rysi | 4 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 2 | 10:14 | 4 |
| 6 | Reaktor | 4 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 2 | 5:14 | 3 |
| 7 | Loko-76 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 3:0 | 2 |
| 8 | Sputnik Almetievsk | 4 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 3 | 14:18 | 2 |
| 9 | Tyumensky Legion | 2 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 7:9 | 0 |
| 10 | Snezhnye Barsy | 4 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 4 | 5:24 | 0 |
Promotion ~ MHL (Play Offs: )
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